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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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3 hours ago, fmpro said:

Is the big sunday drop compared to Hobbit bad WOM or just different time of the year?

25% is within the norm. I think AM was down 24%

Should hold -60%~ tomorrow and for Tuesday the o/u is -12% for the WOM barometer.  AM held better than -10%

 

The big problem are the showtimes this weekend. Piofang is showing just 5% right now, itll be a few percent higher come Saturday but still that's god awful for a potential $100m+ hit for its 9th day. I doubt TP4 and HG4 will do $100m combined but they are taking a lot of screens

 

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Monday estimates

 

SPECTRE 32.4M/339M/$53.3M

Les Aventures d'Anthony 5.75M/46M

Exfiles 2 6.35M/225.5M

Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials  1.75M/190M

Everest 0.65M/99.1M

 

             Hobbit 3  vs    SPECTRE

mid         5.0M                5.3M

Fri         90.2M              90.5M

Sat         120M               121M

Sun       98.1M              89.8M

Mon      41.2M               32.4M

Tue       38.0M

Wed      32.2M

Thu      28.5M

Fri        33.8M

Tot        768M

Edited by The Good Olive
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1 hour ago, The Good Olive said:

The market is 140-150% bigger than the time when Skyfall was released.

So 60% increase is just bad.

 

Welcome to Chinese BO 2015. The place were movie's mainly underpreform

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As "The Martian" passes 200M$ domestically, in USA+Canada market there are 7 movies that have reached this milestone in 2015 vs 6 in Chinese market. In 2014 the result was 13-1. I think USA+Canada could be at 10 at the end of the year (adding Star Wars, Hunger Games and The Good Dinosaur). What about China? How many movies will be over 200M?

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AM 1           JB 24                
Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Daily % Diff      
Fri 80     80 13 96     96 15 20.0%      
Sat 108 35.0%   188 30 121 26.0%   217 34 12.0%      
Sun 84 -22.2%   272 43 89 -26.4%   306 48 6.0%      
Mon 32 -61.9%   304 48 33 -63.5%   339 53 1.6%      
Tues 29 -9.4%   333 52                  
Wed 25 -13.8%   358 56                  
Thur 23 -8.0%   381 60                  
Fri 33 43.5% -58.8% 414 65                  
Sat 60 81.8% -44.4% 474 74                  
Sun 47 -21.7% -44.0% 521 82                  
Mon 15.3 -74.5% -52.2% 536 84                  
Tue 14.6 -4.6% -49.7% 551 86                  
Wed 13.3 -8.9% -46.8% 564 89                  
Thu 12.1 -9.0% -47.4% 576 90                  
        675 106                  
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4 hours ago, The Good Olive said:

The market is 140-150% bigger than the time when Skyfall was released.

So 60% increase is just bad.

Well the market is up 150% but that is in part due to local movies exploding. HLWD movies are up more like 125% since then, when you take into consideration their market share has dropped. Also spectre will be down 33% in domestic, 600m puts the movie on par performance wise.

Skyfall = $60m x 2.25 -33% = $89m = 567m

:D

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