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China Box Office: General Discussion Thread

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bangbingchan    346
8 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

@bangbingchan

 

What you expect OW for Guardian Vol 2 and Pirates 5?

GotG2 400-500M ow,

between Xxx and Kong this year.

It will be interested to see GotG2 OW.

its impact on FF8 and its own performance .AoU never met FF7 in 2015.FF6 hit by Pacific Rim in 2nd weekend.Let's wait and see.

Pirates 5 not sure yet 

500M is on the floor imo.600M?it depends on buzz and wom.Pirates 4 once was No.3 in 2011.FF5 was No.10.Six years is a long time.FF franchise is totally different now.There is Dragon Boat Holiday right behind Pirates 5.That's benefits for Captain Jack to stay Top5 this year.

 

PS:Alien:Covenant will release in May too.

Edited by bangbingchan

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Momo    158

4

28 minutes ago, bangbingchan said:

GotG2 400-500M ow,

between Xxx and Kong this year.

It will be interested to see GotG2 OW.

its impact on FF8 and its own performance .AoU never met FF7 in 2015.FF6 hit by Pacific Rim in 2nd weekend.Let's wait and see.

Pirates 5 not sure yet 

500M is on the floor imo.600M?it depends on buzz and wom.Pirates 4 once was No.3 in 2011.FF5 was No.10.Six years is a long time.FF franchise is totally different now.There is Dragon Boat Holiday right behind Pirates 5.That's benefits for Captain Jack to stay Top5 this year.

 

PS:Alien:Covenant will release in May too.

 

400M WW or in China? Because the first GOTG only made 87M total in China.

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Gavin Feng    3,064
2 minutes ago, Momo said:

4

 

400M WW or in China? Because the first GOTG only made 87M total in China.

Only? We think that is huge. A completely new film did more than TASM2

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keysersoze123    3,099

Guardians PS will start this week. We will know in a week's time how its going to perform(at least an indication). I am skeptical about it growing a lot. Very few movies have grown in past couple of years.

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bangbingchan    346
2 hours ago, Momo said:

4

 

400M WW or in China? Because the first GOTG only made 87M total in China.

of course China ow.

¥400-500M/$60-70M

This year most Hollywood films have a strong start except R1 and BtaB.I don't think Disney will under perform this time.Marvel is very stable brand in China.Musical and star wars don't.DS cross ¥300M/750M without fees.GotG should at least cross¥800M within fees.1bn is possible.If wom is great,GotG2 may close to CA3.

Edited by bangbingchan

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bangbingchan    346
1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians PS will start this week. We will know in a week's time how its going to perform(at least an indication). I am skeptical about it growing a lot. Very few movies have grown in past couple of years.

SH films are stable growth in sequel

not too low not too high

at least 600M.1.2-1.4Bn is on the roof.

Wolverine→Logan 200M→730M

TASM1→TASM2 310M→540M

DofP→Apocalypse 720M→800M(hit hard by WF.should cross 1bn with 385M ow)

CA2→CA3 720M→1.2BN

GotG1→ GotG2 596M→???

GotG1 release 2 month later in October.GotG2 release in May.Summer is better than Fall 

Edited by bangbingchan

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bangbingchan    346
55 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

@Olive have all theaters reported for saturday. What is the final number?

I'm afraid actual number should wait for more days.System is not stable now.might break down anytime.

Maoyan update Sat 473M,Sun 370M 

Thousands and hundreds of theaters haven't repo.

MN 62M Fri 412M OD 475M with fees now.both higher than estimate number

Edited by bangbingchan
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fabiopazzo2    565
3 hours ago, bangbingchan said:

of course China ow.

¥400-500M/$60-70M

This year most Hollywood films have a strong start except R1 and BtaB.I don't think Disney will under perform this time.Marvel is very stable brand in China.Musical and star wars don't.DS cross ¥300M/750M without fees.GotG should at least cross¥800M within fees.1bn is possible.If wom is great,GotG2 may close to CA3.

60M OW for Gotg2? Huge! I hope beat DS and BvS in opening weekend 

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pepsa    880
9 hours ago, POTUS said:

50%~ of the population is rural, low wage and not close to multiplexes. The movie going population draws from about 750m people, about double Dom and with half the half the.

We thought 200m was locked and 250 possible based on PS. With a 2:15 run time causing 1 less show per screen per day caused an overestimation. Also PS sellouts preventing walkups caused the PS multi to be the lowest ever for a HLWD movie.  It went to into new territory and all models went awry on the last day. Hell, even Maoyan couldnt get the same day projections right.

We have a good idea what to anticipate for TF5 now should PS hit similar levels..

 

April will up more than 50% from last year. 10-20% over 2015

 

I just want to say that Dom solled a lot more tickets 50 years ago when there were less complexes and a low wage. So it's normal for china tbh.

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Olive    23,431

BATB ends its run with 592M yuan(554.5M sans ticket fees)

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Olive    23,431

FF8 OW numbers up to 1329M yuan with some theaters left.

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StephenN18    46
13 hours ago, peludo said:

That is not correct. F7 opened on Sunday and it did $63.5m during that OD. And during the next 7 days it grossed another $182m, which I guess is the amount you are referring to (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=CH&id=fast7.htm). It is impossible to compare one opening to the other.

 

By the second Sunday (8 days), F7 was, more or less, at 1.5b Yuan ($246m multiplied by 6.2, which was the ER by April 2015). F8 will have reached that amount tomorrow (after 4 days), or Tuesday (5 days). Probably some of us got excited too much with initial presales about beating SW OW record outside US, but 190-195m is a brutal record, no matters how you look at it.

If that's the case it's even worse! $180 million from Sunday-Tuesday was amazing, I didn't know it opened on a Sunday (what a strange day to open on). So 2 years later from Friday-Sunday OW it really should have been higher, am I wrong? What does everyone think the film will end on, will it beat F7? 

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keysersoze123    3,099
24 minutes ago, StephenN18 said:

If that's the case it's even worse! $180 million from Sunday-Tuesday was amazing, I didn't know it opened on a Sunday (what a strange day to open on). So 2 years later from Friday-Sunday OW it really should have been higher, am I wrong? What does everyone think the film will end on, will it beat F7? 

 

it did not gross $180m from sunday to tuesday. It grossed that in 7 days....

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jiangsen    561
3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

its crazy that someone is saying F8 OW as disappointing. If I am not wrong it beat OW record by 70% !!!!!.

There's only one guy who think's it is disappointing @StephenN18 and dude, no offense, you clearly don't understand CBO.

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StephenN18    46
25 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

it did not gross $180m from sunday to tuesday. It grossed that in 7 days....

Oh I see, i'm with you all now lol. It's Box Office Mojos fault as this page says OW $182 million, when you click on it, it says $63.5 million! So really it's on par with the last film. And I never said it's disappointing, just less than we all thought.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=fast7.htm

Edited by StephenN18
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StephenN18    46
5 minutes ago, jiangsen said:

There's only one guy who think's it is disappointing @StephenN18 and dude, no offense, you clearly don't understand CBO.

It was BOM who misleaded me into thinking the previous OW was $182 million, that's all. Wow, all I said was underperform and you get shot at on here :stretcher:

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