China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[dxmatrixdt]

15 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

China Box Office
Transformers: The Last Knight
Day	Date		Rank	Gross		% - YD	% - LW	Gross-to-Date	Day #	Weekly Gross	% - Change
				RMB / M	USD / M			USD / M		USD / M
Thu	Jun. 22		1	¥41.76	$6.11	-	-	$6.11	0	$125.83	-
Fri	Jun. 23		1	¥285.95	$41.84	-	-	$47.95	1
Sat	Jun. 24		1	¥312.26	$45.69	-4.71%	-	$93.64	2
Sun	Jun. 25		1	¥220.01	$32.19	-29.54%	-	$125.83	3
Mon	Jun. 26		1	¥84.37	$12.34	-61.65%	-	$138.18	4
Tue	Jun. 27		1	¥68.08	$9.96	-19.31%	-	$148.14	5
Wed	Jun. 28		1	¥60.20	$8.81	-11.58%	-	$156.95	6

 

 

So is the exchange rate between US DOLLAR 6.835??  When is the last time it increased?  How often does it change?

 

Is it best for us to look at it before or after exchange rates???

THANK YOU

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

 

 

So is the exchange rate between US DOLLAR 6.835??  When is the last time it increased?  How often does it change?

 

Is it best for us to look at it before or after exchange rates???

THANK YOU

It usually moves less than 1% in a given month as the government controls it but when they let it slip it can move up to 5% in a couple of days. It was 6.90 for a few months. BO reporting is often lazy and doesnt make adjustments if there is a sharp move in the middle of the run and often use the XR at the close. I track it properly.  For MH which edged out FF7 they used 6.21 for a majority of the run as they should have, then used 6.40 for the tail end. If they used 6.40 for the whole run it would been short of FF7.  Its been 6.83 for TF5 which has already made 2/3 of its money. If the XR changes dramatically by friday then a adjustment would be made for the weekend. 

 

Mojo used to have negative weekly totals. A movie that was at $98m last week and made $2m this week had a new total of $95m. They were applying the 5% adjustment in XR to the whole run. Very funny

 

Edited June 29, 2017 by POTUS

[dxmatrixdt]

@POTUS

are you sure TF5 has made 2/3 of its money?  it seems like one out of every ten Hollywood movies holds up a little better than epic collapse.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, Matrix4You said:

@POTUS

are you sure TF5 has made 2/3 of its money?  it seems like one out of every ten Hollywood movies holds up a little better than epic collapse.

Its made 1.1b. I doubt its going over 1.65b with a 75%+ WoW drop tomorrow. Its not just collapse, in part is the amount of seats it gets on OW now and the rush to see factor. Less than 2x OW is becoming the norm for anticipated tentpoles. FF8 barely reached 2x with a good audience rating.

 

 

Edited June 29, 2017 by POTUS

[Gavin Feng]

THU

before service charges

TF5  -  49.1m / 1,062m

Reset  -  17.6m (started from 6:00 pm)

Wished  -  8.03m / 9.89m

Paths of the Soul  -  4.89m / 34.5m

77 Heartbreaks  -  4.15m / 34.3m

Alien: Covenant  -  2.73m / 278.8m

The Mummy  -  1.68m / 579.8m

Dangal  -  1.44m / 1,192m

 

after service charges

TF5  -  52.3m / 1,134m

Reset  -  18.9m (started from 6:00 pm)

Wished  -  8.6m / 10.6m

Paths of the Soul  -  5.3m / 38.1m

77 Heartbreaks  -  4.55m / 37m

Alien: Covenant  -  2.95m / 300.6m

The Mummy  -  18m / 619.9m

Dangal  -  1.57m / 1,292m

[Gavin Feng]

Transformers: The Last Knight grossed $164.67/￥1,125 million by 7 days. TF4 did $168.33/￥1,047 million at the same point.

[BoilingHotCoffee]

Friday looks to be heading for around ￥65M looking at Maoyan. About a 77% drop from last Friday.

[Gavin Feng]

FRI

before service charges

TF5  -  54.8m / 1,120m

Reset  -  32.1m / 49m

Wished  -  13.7m / 23.1m

Paths of the Soul  -  5.17m / 40.3m

77 Heartbreaks  -  4.17m / 38m

Alien: Covenant  -  1.55m / 280.4m

Dangal  -  1.02m / 1,193m

 

after service charges

TF5  -  58.2m / 1,194m

Reset  -  33.8m / 51.8m

Wished  -  14.7m / 24.8m

Paths of the Soul  -  5.6m / 43.8m

77 Heartbreaks  -  4.55m / 41.7m

Alien: Covenant  -  1.67m / 302.3m

Dangal  -  1.11m / 1,293m

 

[Gavin Feng]

China Box Office
Transformers: The Last Knight
Day	Date		Rank	Gross		% - YD	% - LW	Gross-to-Date	Day #	Weekly Gross	% - Change
				RMB / M	USD / M			USD / M		USD / M
Thu	Jun. 22		1	¥42.14	$6.17	-	-	$6.17	0	$126.34	-
Fri	Jun. 23		1	¥289.02	$42.29	-	-	$48.45	1
Sat	Jun. 24		1	¥312.26	$45.69	-5.71%	-	$94.14	2
Sun	Jun. 25		1	¥220.01	$32.19	-29.54%	-	$126.34	3
Mon	Jun. 26		1	¥84.37	$12.34	-61.65%	-	$138.68	4
Tue	Jun. 27		1	¥68.21	$9.98	-19.15%	-	$148.66	5
Wed	Jun. 28		1	¥60.08	$8.79	-11.93%	-	$157.45	6
Thu	Jun. 29		1	¥52.54	$7.69	-12.55%	-	$165.14	7
Fri	Jun. 30		1	¥58.20	$8.52	10.78%	-82.43%	$173.65	8

[Gavin Feng]

The Summary of China film market in the first half year

 

(the numbers of this year are all including service fees)

 

Box Office: ￥27,175 million, +10.49% compared to the first half year of 2016(￥24,594 million)

 

Admissions: 781 million(+7.92%), 723 million from the first 6 months of 2016

 

￥16,769 million from import films ￥10,406 million from local films

 

Monthly Box Office(million):

            2017 vs 2016

Jan - ￥4,905 / ￥3,844 ↑

Feb - ￥6,180 / ￥6,813 ↓

Mar - ￥3,367 / ￥3,758 ↓

Apr - ￥4,906 / ￥3,103 ↑

May - ￥3,887 / ￥3,136 ↑

Jun - ￥3,921 / ￥3,863 ↑

 

Holiday Box Office(million):

            2017 vs 2016

New Year's Day - ￥662 / ￥863 ↓ (3 days)

Chinese New Year - ￥3,360 / ￥3,088 ↑ (7 days)

Valentine's Day - ￥380 / ￥590 ↓ (VD of 2016 is the last day of CNY holidays)

Qingming Festival - ￥587 / ￥578 ↑ (3 days)

May Day - ￥735 / ￥650 ↑ (3 days)

Children's Day - ￥147 / ￥149 ↓ 

Dragon Boat Festival - ￥757 / ￥845 ↓ (3 days)

 

			Rank	Title	Lifetime Gross (Million)
			1	Fate of the Furious	¥2,670	$387.94
			2	Kung Fu Yoga	¥1,753	$254.87
			3	Journey to the West: The Demons Strike Back	¥1,656	$240.87
			4	Dangal	¥1,292	$187.22
			5	Transformers: The Last Knight	¥1,191	$174.29
			6	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	¥1,179	$172.01
			7	Kong: Skull Island	¥1,159	$168.50
			8	xXx: Return of Cage	¥1,127	$163.88
			9	Resident Evil: The Final Chapter	¥1,110	$161.64
			10	Duckweed	¥1,049	$152.49
			11	Buddies in India	¥758.3	$110.27
			12	Logan	¥730.4	$105.92
			13	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2	¥685.9	$99.38
			14	The Mummy	¥618.8	$91.04
			15	A Dog's Purpose	¥607.0	$88.03
			16	Wonder Woman	¥605.2	$88.89
			17	Beauty and the Beasts	¥590.5	$85.58
			18	Bonnie Bears: Entangled Worlds	¥522.5	$75.99
			19	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	¥478.3	$69.15
			20	The Devotion of Suspect X	¥402.2	$58.44

[ymblcza]

DM3 has cleared 3m OD presale,able to open 70m at least.And TF5 is going to lose 60% showings next Thurs and Friday.

 

DM3 has limited preview today with about 50k admissions, looks like it's well received, some people said better than 1 and 2.

Edited July 1, 2017 by ymblcza

[Olive]

Dangal will be in Top 10 for 60 days...easily the longest since Avatar.

[ymblcza]

TF5's presale downs 15% tomorrow as expected.

.... 12.4% instead, not bad

Edited July 1, 2017 by ymblcza

[Gavin Feng]

SAT

before service charges

TF5  -  77.8m / 1,202m

Reset  -  33.7m / 82.1m

Our Time Will Come  -  18.4m

Wished  -  9.93m / 32.9m

Paths of the Soul  -  7.59m / 48m

77 Heartbreaks  -  5.29m / 43.6m

Despicable Me 3  -  2.02m(previews)

Dangal  -  1.59m / 1,194m

 

after service charges

TF5  -  82.8m / 1,278m

Reset  -  36m / 87.7m

Our Time Will Come  -  19.8m

Wished  -  10.7m / 35.4m

Paths of the Soul  -  8.25m / 52.2m

77 Heartbreaks  -  5.7m / 47.5m

Despicable Me 3  -  2.15m(previews)

Dangal  -  1.73m / 1,295m

[A Marvel Fanboy]

DM3 has the biggest ever marketing compaign for an imported animation. A lot of outdoors and co-promoting brands like McDonald's.

 

OFO's Minions bicycles:

 

[a2k]

2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

SAT

before service charges

TF5  -  77.8m / 1,202m

Reset  -  33.7m / 82.1m

Our Time Will Come  -  18.4m

Wished  -  9.93m / 32.9m

Paths of the Soul  -  7.59m / 48m

77 Heartbreaks  -  5.29m / 43.6m

Despicable Me 3  -  2.02m(previews)

Dangal  -  1.59m / 1,194m

 

after service charges

TF5  -  82.8m / 1,278m

Reset  -  36m / 87.7m

Our Time Will Come  -  19.8m

Wished  -  10.7m / 35.4m

Paths of the Soul  -  8.25m / 52.2m

77 Heartbreaks  -  5.7m / 47.5m

Despicable Me 3  -  2.15m(previews)

Dangal  -  1.73m / 1,295m

 

Looks like TF5 has a shot at 1600 yuan doesn't it? Should 1330+ by Sunday.

About 60 Mon-Thu will give it 1390-1400.

150 more from Fri-Thu (whole week).

Then 50 more the following week will take it to 1600.

 

[POTUS 2020]

32 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Looks like TF5 has a shot at 1600 yuan doesn't it? Should 1330+ by Sunday.

About 60 Mon-Thu will give it 1390-1400.

150 more from Fri-Thu (whole week).

Then 50 more the following week will take it to 1600.

 

Itll make 270m this week to 1400m and will lose 60% of shows next week with DM3 and a local opener. Itll drop at least 66% making 90m or less then a large local opens the following week- 30m or less.  Im thinking 1510-1530m

[baumer]

So does this mean Transformers 5 will probably just slightly cross 200 mill (US) and not much more?

[fmpro]

27 minutes ago, baumer said:

So does this mean Transformers 5 will probably just slightly cross 200 mill (US) and not much more?

 

Should gross 220-225 mill. Still a mighty fall B

 

But Paramount allready scored 100 mill upfront. So they will be fine

Edited July 2, 2017 by fmpro

[baumer]

3 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

Should gross 220-225 mill. Still a mighty fall B

 

But Paramount allready scored 100 mill upfront. So they will be fine

 

Yep, I know the fall is massive.  But what do you mean they scored 100 mill upfront?