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Happy New Year, everyone!
 

  Thursday       December 31
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 40,617 40,660 +0.1% +62.0%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 42,342 24,289 -42.6% +29.5%
3 Anniversary 10,602 18,468 +74.2% +164.2%
4 The Peanuts Movie 14,110 10,363 -26.6% +25.4%
5 The Little Prince 15,546 9,485 -39.0% +36.8%
6 Joy -- 9,325 --  
7 Yo-Kai Watch 7,150 2,011 -71.9% -20.9%
8 Ten Years 832 1,156 +38.9% +32.7%
9 Initiation Love 1,296 638 -50.8% +53.7%
10 Burnt 406 634 +56.2% -1.9%


Average admissions per showing
Ip Man 3: 95 on 425 showings (includes Thursday midnights, 4DX)
Star Wars 7: 75 on 321 showings (includes Thursday midnights, Atmos, IMAX, 2D and 3D versions, 4DX)
Anniversary: 85 on 215 showings (includes Thursday midnights)

Superb for Ip Man 3. Bad hold for Star Wars 7. Not that great for Anniversary. Early reviews must have sucked the life of its walk ups because this type of movie should do well with walk-ins too. Opening day score is a 3.8/5. Good hold for Peanuts. Bad for The Little Prince. Horrible for Joy. It'll be interesting to see if it's 4.4 from opening day user reviews will make a dent at the box office. Atrocious for Yo-Kai Watch. Very good for Ten Years. Terrible for Initiation Love. Great hold for Burnt.
 

  Friday adm. (so far)     January 1
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 34,652 22,948 -33.8% +18.9%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 37,201 18,177 -51.1% +30.9%
3 The Peanuts Movie 13,332 9,047 -32.1% +53.1%
4 Anniversary 7,016 7,821 +11.5% -21.3%
5 The Little Prince 12,202 5,548 -54.5% +14.8%
6 Joy -- 5,234 -- -0.8%
7 Yo-Kai Watch 7,559 2,741 -63.7% +113.1%
8 Ten Years 604 1,327 +119.7% +22.1%
9 Steve Jobs -- 429 -- --
10 Secret In Their Eyes -- 342 -- --

Very good for Ip Man 3. Bad but not outright disastrous for Star Wars. Nice hold by Peanuts. Anniversary was frontloaded. Bad reviews early on did not help either. Scary hold for The Little Prince. Ouch for Joy. Funnily enough, only the 2 new openers in the top 10 fell on New Year's Day. Awful for Yo-Kai Watch. Fantastic for Ten Years. Steve Jobs and Secret in Their Eyes sneak previews made the top 10.

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3 PM update: Films are having all sorts of trouble today.

Holdover Drops from Christmas Day admissions (so far)

Ip Man 3: -34.7%
Star Wars 7: -54.3%
Peanuts Movie: -31.6%
The Little Prince: -54.7%

From these holdovers, Peanuts and Ip Man 3 are doing quite well. Both are looking at drops in the -15% to -20% range from Christmas. Star Wars 7 should be able to get under 50% today, around a -47% fall. The Little Prince is doing terrible business. It should decline over -50% today.

Anniversary, meanwhile, just now surpassed its sneak admissions from last week and is headed for a big decline from New Year's Eve.

Joy does not look good either and is aiming for only a little above 10,000 today.

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16 hours ago, Bluebomb said:

Happy New Year, everyone!
 

  Thursday       December 31
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 40,617 40,660 +0.1% +62.0%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 42,342 24,289 -42.6% +29.5%
3 Anniversary 10,602 18,468 +74.2% +164.2%
4 The Peanuts Movie 14,110 10,363 -26.6% +25.4%
5 The Little Prince 15,546 9,485 -39.0% +36.8%
6 Joy -- 9,325 --  
7 Yo-Kai Watch 7,150 2,011 -71.9% -20.9%
8 Ten Years 832 1,156 +38.9% +32.7%
9 Initiation Love 1,296 638 -50.8% +53.7%
10 Burnt 406 634 +56.2% -1.9%


Average admissions per showing
Ip Man 3: 95 on 425 showings (includes Thursday midnights, 4DX)
Star Wars 7: 75 on 321 showings (includes Thursday midnights, Atmos, IMAX, 2D and 3D versions, 4DX)
Anniversary: 85 on 215 showings (includes Thursday midnights)

Superb for Ip Man 3. Bad hold for Star Wars 7. Not that great for Anniversary. Early reviews must have sucked the life of its walk ups because this type of movie should do well with walk-ins too. Opening day score is a 3.8/5. Good hold for Peanuts. Bad for The Little Prince. Horrible for Joy. It'll be interesting to see if it's 4.4 from opening day user reviews will make a dent at the box office. Atrocious for Yo-Kai Watch. Very good for Ten Years. Terrible for Initiation Love. Great hold for Burnt.
 

  Friday adm. (so far)     January 1
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 34,652 22,948 -33.8% +18.9%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 37,201 18,177 -51.1% +30.9%
3 The Peanuts Movie 13,332 9,047 -32.1% +53.1%
4 Anniversary 7,016 7,821 +11.5% -21.3%
5 The Little Prince 12,202 5,548 -54.5% +14.8%
6 Joy -- 5,234 -- -0.8%
7 Yo-Kai Watch 7,559 2,741 -63.7% +113.1%
8 Ten Years 604 1,327 +119.7% +22.1%
9 Steve Jobs -- 429 -- --
10 Secret In Their Eyes -- 342 -- --

Very good for Ip Man 3. Bad but not outright disastrous for Star Wars. Nice hold by Peanuts. Anniversary was frontloaded. Bad reviews early on did not help either. Scary hold for The Little Prince. Ouch for Joy. Funnily enough, only the 2 new openers in the top 10 fell on New Year's Day. Awful for Yo-Kai Watch. Fantastic for Ten Years. Steve Jobs and Secret in Their Eyes sneak previews made the top 10.

In my opinion Yo-Kai Watch did above average and my expectations. If you consider the original movie has already aired in Japan over a year ago. (Compared to Doraemon, however, is released in Hong Kong after only 2-3 months behind Japan.)

 

At least they not only become the second ever Japanese post-2000 TV animated franchise passes 1M mark but quite near with Doraemon releases (excluding Stand by me of course). Should they put the sequel in Summer I believe can score a better result.

 

Compared to Yo-Kai Watch, The Boy and the Beast did perform poorly in Hong Kong however. And I afraid it will miss the 1M mark.

Edited by maxima
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3 hours ago, maxima said:

In my opinion Yo-Kai Watch did above average and my expectations. If you consider the original movie has already aired in Japan over a year ago. (Compared to Doraemon, however, is released in Hong Kong after only 2-3 months behind Japan.)

 


Are you talking about the Hype has faded off, or talking about Piracy options where people in Hong Kong choose to watch the movie online?

Because if it the latter, like what Bluebomb has mentioned before, piracy seems to not be a huge issue in Hong Kong as compared to markets like China or Malaysia. The Wolverine is a good example, expendables 3 did not do well because of its quality, not because of the leaked movie. Ip Man 2 had HDrip version out.. 2 days after its release date in 2010, and it didn't affect its gross and holding power in HK, but it did in China.
 

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49 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:


Are you talking about the Hype has faded off, or talking about Piracy options where people in Hong Kong choose to watch the movie online?

Because if it the latter, like what Bluebomb has mentioned before, piracy seems to not be a huge issue in Hong Kong as compared to markets like China or Malaysia. The Wolverine is a good example, expendables 3 did not do well because of its quality, not because of the leaked movie. Ip Man 2 had HDrip version out.. 2 days after its release date in 2010, and it didn't affect its gross and holding power in HK, but it did in China.
 

I did see your point, quality did play a lot (unless you are trying to pull big trick), but for Yo-Kai Watch's case it has few relationship to piracy as they are dubbed version rather than original Japanese ones. I am not sure for the hype issue but I don't think so.

 

I mentioned it did its expectations just because as overall, crossing 1M is a really difficult task nowadays as a non-Gibiri/Doraemon Japanese animation (I mentioned before, all but 2 non-Gibiri/Doraemon animations that had crossed 1M-mark are based on pre-2000 franchises). Consider the result (2.5~3M in week 1) I think this did quite well, although there has room to do better.

 

Probably just cinema's politics?

Edited by maxima
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8 hours ago, maxima said:

In my opinion Yo-Kai Watch did above average and my expectations. If you consider the original movie has already aired in Japan over a year ago. (Compared to Doraemon, however, is released in Hong Kong after only 2-3 months behind Japan.)

 

At least they not only become the second ever Japanese post-2000 TV animated franchise passes 1M mark but quite near with Doraemon releases (excluding Stand by me of course). Should they put the sequel in Summer I believe can score a better result.

 

Compared to Yo-Kai Watch, The Boy and the Beast did perform poorly in Hong Kong however. And I afraid it will miss the 1M mark.

Disagree. Yo-Kai Watch is a self starter that went up against animation competition but it was the first big Japanese anime movie to be released in a long while. Big animated fare are only released during 4 periods: Chinese New Year, Easter, Summer and Christmas, therefore, it's been pretty much 4-5 months since a 'big' Japanese animated release. If The Boy and the Beast were to switch with Yo-Kai Watch in release dates, would Yo-Kai Watch performed like it did last week? Most likely not. It also only did marginally better than standard Doraemon fare with higher ticket prices and almost a picture perfect weekend of 3 holidays plus Christmas Eve. This is an important distinction because holidays means everyone is off but in the summer, parents still need to work.

 

If they put the Yo-Kai Watch sequel in the summer, it might not do as well because in the summer there are a lot of animation releases + the yearly summer Doraemon release. It might get lost in the shuffle or it might lose out to Doraemon. Also, the distributor might feel that this Yo-Kai Watch film is better suited for the winter so that Doraemon/Yo-Kai Watch releases do not go head to head.

 

2 hours ago, James said:

What about Point Break? I see from Mojo's foreign breakdown that it made 1.2m in HK. Has it's run already ended?

No, it's still ongoing. On New Year's Day, it ranked 24th for the day in admissions with 105 from 2 showtimes.

 

    Thursday Actuals           December 31
LW TW Movie Last Thu. (USD) Thu. (USD) % chg Theaters Days Total
2 1 Ip Man 3 $399,947 $465,331 +16.3% 42 8 $4,047,480
1 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $593,470 $322,251 -45.7% 43 15 $8,378,542
5 3 Anniversary $96,761 $232,021 +139.8% 35 1 $1,031,205
3 4 The Peanuts Movie $174,170 $109,565 -37.1% 37 8 $1,598,368
4 5 The Little Prince $145,000 $103,120 -28.9% 33 8 $1,160,105
-- 6 Joy -- $96,675 -- 26 1 $96,675

Some additional info + others
Ip Man 3: $465,331 on almost 46k admits, avg 106 per showing
Star Wars 7: $322,251 on almost 21k admits, avg 62 per showing (2D represented more than 50% share on NYE)
Anniversary: $232,021 on around 22k admits, avg over 100 per showing
Peanuts: $109,565 on 8,800 admits, avg almost 50 per showing
Little Prince: $103,120 on 9,200 admits
Joy: $96,675 on more than 9,600 admits, avg about 73 per showing

Yo-Kai Watch: more than 2,000 admits, avg about 32 per showing
The Boy and the Beast: about 500 admissions, avg about 26 per showing
Ten Years: $12,890/$103,120, avg 100 per showing

That's a big discrepancy between the admissions site and what the blog is reporting. Ip Man 3 is nearly 6,000 admissions up from the adm. site and down 3,000 from it with Star Wars 7. I do know that a couple of IMAX theaters' admissions are being added in twice on the adm. site. These would have an effect from 3,000-5,000 admissions depending on capacity filled. Anyway, Star Wars 7 drops to #3 in admissions and Joy ends up ahead of both Hollywood animated films. Ten Years is doing really well.

Wonderful for Ip Man 3. It will pass 5m by this weekend, closing in on Ip Man 2's total. Star Wars had an iffy hold though 9m will happen by Sunday. That is much better for Anniversary. Peanuts had a good hold. Big surprise from Little Prince in gross. Pretty bad for Joy.
 
  Friday       January 1
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 54,982 48,328 -12.1% +18.9%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 54,635 30,946 -43.4% +27.4%
3 Anniversary 12,425 18,051 +45.3% -2.3%
4 The Peanuts Movie 19,500 15,041 -22.9% +45.1%
5 Joy -- 10,863 -- +16.5%
6 The Little Prince 18,232 10,356 -43.2% +9.2%
7 Yo-Kai Watch 9,539 3,769 -60.5% +87.4%
8 Ten Years 718 1,509 +110.2% +30.5%
9 Secret In Their Eyes -- 758 -- --
10 Steve Jobs -- 738 -- --
Most films had excellent late afternoon, early evening ticket sales which saw drops boosted. Excellent hold for Ip Man 3. Ok for Star Wars 7. Anniversary did well to come back from a big drop in pre-sales. Strong for Peanuts. Joy is still not doing very well. Terrible for The Little Prince. Despite a 87% bump from NYE, that is still horrible for Yo-Kai Watch. Very good for Ten Years.
 
  Saturday adm. (so far)     January 2
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride -- 18,308 -- --
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 31,368 12,342 -60.7% -32.1%
3 Ip Man 3 32,179 12,127 -62.3% -47.2%
4 The Peanuts Movie 13,259 4,503 -66.0% -50.2%
5 Anniversary 5,633 3,676 -34.7% -53.0%
6 Joy -- 2,908 -- -44.4%
7 The Little Prince 8,931 2,817 -68.5% -49.2%
8 Ten Years 586 1,420 +142.3% +7.0%
9 Yo-Kai Watch 6,413 1,323 -79.4% -51.7%
10 Secret In Their Eyes -- 246 -- -28.1%
Excellent opening day pre-sales for Sherlock. Star Wars 7 looks to be fighting back though its week-to-week hold is bad. Weak for Ip Man 3. It seems that holidays bring out the pre-sales but every other day it struggles in pre-selling. Horrible for Peanuts and Anniversary. Joy seems to be picking up steam. Awful for THe Little Prince. Superb for Ten Years, the only film in the top 10 to increase. Disaster for Yo-Kai Watch.
Edited by Bluebomb
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25 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said:

Am I missing something? I don't see any USD anywhere on any updates here.

 

    Thursday Actuals           December 31
LW TW Movie Last Thu. (USD) Thu. (USD) % chg Theaters Days Total
2 1 Ip Man 3 $399,947 $465,331 +16.3% 42 8 $4,047,480
1 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $593,470 $322,251 -45.7% 43 15 $8,378,542
5 3 Anniversary $96,761 $232,021 +139.8% 35 1 $1,031,205
3 4 The Peanuts Movie $174,170 $109,565 -37.1% 37 8 $1,598,368
4 5 The Little Prince $145,000 $103,120 -28.9% 33 8 $1,160,105
-- 6 Joy -- $96,675 -- 26 1 $96,675
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4 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Ip Man's 3 admissions today has dipped incredibly.. don't think it can reach 6000wan HKD or beat Kung Fu Hustle anymore....

Disagree. I will explain below.

 

  Saturday       January 2
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 55,219 33,595 -39.2% -30.5%
2 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride -- 27,116 -- --
3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 48,360 23,884 -50.6% -22.8%
4 Anniversary 12,629 12,903 +2.2% -28.5%
5 The Peanuts Movie 18,145 8,127 -55.2% -46.0%
6 Joy -- 7,605 -- -30.0%
7 The Little Prince 15,244 6,740 -55.8% -34.9%
8 Yo-Kai Watch 8,135 2,020 -75.2% -46.4%
9 Ten Years 715 1,660 +132.2% +10.0%
10 Steve Jobs -- 525 -- -28.9%
Very good hold for Ip Man 3. It was the only wide holdover to fall less than 50% on Saturday and that is with last Saturday being a holiday and Sherlock opening to 28,000 admissions. Though it fell 30% from Friday, keep in mind that Saturday is not a holiday. Saturdays are a working day for most adults. Good start for Sherlock but you can already tell it's going to be very frontloaded. Pre-sales represented a staunch 68% of its admissions on Saturday. Decent hold for Star Wars. This is the first hold I can say that is not disappointing. It seems to do better on non-holidays or working days because its holiday drops have been disappointing. It also had the best hold of any semi-wide release or above. Not that good for Anniversary. It already dropped on the holiday Friday so to drop another 29% is a sign that bad word of mouth is spreading. Animated movies were the hardest hit on Saturday. Peanuts fell a whopping 46% after the holiday while The Little Prince did slightly better but only to make up for its lackluster holiday bump. Horrible for Joy.
 
  Weekend Projections     December 31
Rank Movie TW % chg Total
1 Ip Man 3 $1,740,000 -22.8% $5,320,000
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $1,300,000 -52.0% $9,355,000
3 Anniversary $770,000 +41.2% $1,570,000
4 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride $570,000   $570,000
5 The Peanuts Movie $450,000 -45.4% $1,935,000
Very good hold for Ip Man 3. It passes 5m and will pass Ip Man 2 on Tuesday at the latest. The next few weeks don't inspire much confidence that anything can surpass Ip Man 3 so it should be able to hold down the mantle until either the January 21/28 weekend. Next weekend will decide how it will end its run. If it posts a weak hold, it will miss beating Kung Fu Hustle but if it has a stellar post New Year's weekend, this will break 8m and could challenge 9m or 10m. Judging from what we've seen this weekend so far, it seems Ip Man 3 will follow the latter's path. Star Wars had underwhelming holiday holds but saw good holds on non-holidays to push it past 9m. It will enter the 10m ranks by next week. Anniversary had powerful sneaks but its opening weekend was a little underwhelming. Weak word of mouth has circulated and has already begun to affect its admissions. Sherlock opened on Saturday and it will rank #4 this weekend. Good hold for Peanuts with the loss of the Saturday holiday this weekend.
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13 hours ago, Bluebomb said:

Disagree. I will explain below.

The next few weeks don't inspire much confidence that anything can surpass Ip Man 3 so it should be able to hold down the mantle until either the January 21/28 weekend. Next weekend will decide how it will end its run. If it posts a weak hold, it will miss beating Kung Fu Hustle but if it has a stellar post New Year's weekend, this will break 8m and could challenge 9m or 10m.

 


Thank you! I do hope so. Asian movies and Authentic Hong Kong Movies have not been flourishing in recent years with Hollywood blockbusters' frequency increasing. Most of the time they only does well during Chinese New Year period.. 

I am concern though, the number of showtimes for Ip Man 3 has reduced dramatically today, having less showtimes than Star Wars, despite a smaller % drop yesterday...

PS: Just saw this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fiIF7Q7tuAA
Apparently Newport is the distributor for CTHD2 in Hong Kong despite some news saying that the movie will not be shown in HK theaters, but this TV spot proves other. Feb 18th, is that considred a good release date? And is the movie confirmed to be showing?

Newport's website upcoming movies: http://www.theatre.com.hk/en/movie/1170  
Funny why they took the Mandarin Version instead of the English version.....

Any news on Stephen chow's mermaid?

Edited by TigerPaw
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  Sunday adm. (so far)     January 3
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride -- 13,110 -- -28.4%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 24,812 11,557 -53.4% -6.4%
3 Ip Man 3 25,324 10,616 -58.1% -12.5%
4 The Peanuts Movie 11,115 4,031 -63.7% -10.5%
5 Anniversary 3,391 3,037 -10.4% -17.4%
6 The Little Prince 6,340 2,580 -59.3% -8.4%
7 Joy -- 2,086 -- -28.3%
8 Yo-Kai Watch 4,937 1,594 -67.7% 12.3%
9 Ten Years 661 822 +24.4% -37.9%
10 Secret In Their Eyes -- 204 -- -17.1%
Much weaker for Sherlock. Better for Star Wars. Ok for Ip Man 3.

 

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10 hours ago, TigerPaw said:


Thank you! I do hope so. Asian movies and Authentic Hong Kong Movies have not been flourishing in recent years with Hollywood blockbusters' frequency increasing. Most of the time they only does well during Chinese New Year period.. 

I am concern though, the number of showtimes for Ip Man 3 has reduced dramatically today, having less showtimes than Star Wars, despite a smaller % drop yesterday...

PS: Just saw this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fiIF7Q7tuAA
Apparently Newport is the distributor for CTHD2 in Hong Kong despite some news saying that the movie will not be shown in HK theaters, but this TV spot proves other. Feb 18th, is that considred a good release date? And is the movie confirmed to be showing?

Newport's website upcoming movies: http://www.theatre.com.hk/en/movie/1170  
Funny why they took the Mandarin Version instead of the English version.....

Any news on Stephen chow's mermaid?

HK movies have been doing quite well in recent years: Little Big Master this year, As the Light Goes Out and Overheard 3 last year, Unbeatable in 2013, Cold War/Vulgaria/A Simple Life in 2012, Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy/Overheard 2 in 2011 and the list goes on. These are all films that opened outside of the CNY period and all of them grossed at least 3m.

 

Feb. 18 is the weekend after CNY. New releases don't do very well on that weekend with the exception of The Lego Movie from last year. It's generally a down weekend at the box office so I don't think CTHD 2 will do that wel.

 

Mermaid is tentatively scheduled to open on Feb. 8.

 

Dec. 31 - Jan. 2 Weekend Estimates (- Sunday, all numbers are Saturday estimates/total estimates)

1. Ip Man 3 - $359,632/$4,885,334
2. Star Wars 7 - $9,113,276
3. Sherlock: An Abominable Bride - $257,801
4. Anniversary - $154,680/$1,379,237
Peanuts Movie - $1,830,389
The Little Prince - $1,289,006
Joy - $64,450/$257,801
Ten Years - $135,345

If these estimates turn out to be true, Sherlock won't be making $500,000 this weekend and Joy will open lower than Silver Linings Playbook's OW without sneaks.
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On 1/3/2016 at 11:18 AM, TigerPaw said:

I am concern though, the number of showtimes for Ip Man 3 has reduced dramatically today, having less showtimes than Star Wars, despite a smaller % drop yesterday...

Most likely due to little midnight and late midnight showtimes and strong pre-selling for Sherlock. Ip Man 3 had more than 50 midnight showtimes on New Year's Eve and Sherlock pre-selling must have surprised some theater operators so a few screenings of Ip Man 3 moved over to Sherlock otherwise there was no sizable decline in showings for Ip Man 3.

 

  Sunday       January 3
Rank Movie LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 Ip Man 3 49,221 30,453 -38.1% -9.4%
2 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride -- 23,770 -- -12.3%
3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 37,719 20,166 -46.5% -15.6%
4 Anniversary 10,163 11,253 +10.7% -12.8%
5 The Peanuts Movie 16,898 8,423 -50.2% +3.6%
6 The Little Prince 12,632 6,658 -47.3% -1.2%
7 Joy -- 6,604 -- -13.2%
8 Yo-Kai Watch 6,750 2,433 -64.0% +20.4%
9 Ten Years 713 1,895 +165.8% +14.2%
10 Steve Jobs -- 502 -- -4.4%
Very good hold for Ip Man 3. It was the only non-animated fully released wide movie to fall less than 10% on Sunday. Sherlock is very frontloaded. Good hold for Star Wars 7 though Saturday/Sunday saw more 2D showtimes. Anniversary slid hard on Sunday. Animated releases all saw good daily holds on Sunday. Joy is a disaster.
 
  Weekend adm.     Dec 31-Jan 3
Rank Movie LW TW % chg
1 Ip Man 3 200,039 153,036 -23.5%
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 183,056 99,285 -45.8%
3 Anniversary 45,819 60,675 +32.4%
4 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride -- 50,886 --
5 The Peanuts Movie 68,653 41,954 -38.9%
6 Joy -- 34,397 --
7 The Little Prince 61,654 33,239 -46.1%
8 Yo-Kai Watch 31,574 10,233 -67.6%
9 Ten Years 2,978 6,220 +108.9%
 
  Weekend Estimates     December 31
Rank Movie TW % chg Total
1 Ip Man 3 $1,690,000 -25.0% $5,270,000
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $1,300,000 -52.0% $9,355,000
3 Anniversary $710,000 +30.2% $1,510,000
4 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride $490,000   $490,000
5 The Peanuts Movie $450,000 -45.4% $1,935,000
Ip Man 3 had a really strong weekend despite the weird weekend configuration with Friday being the main holiday and Saturday/Sunday depressed with Sherlock opening to boot. Next weekend is a killer weekend for all films. I will say that Ip Man 3 will fall 50% next weekend courtesy of another weird weekend with Thursday openers, The Revenant out on Friday, the loss of the Friday holiday but the weaker Saturday/Sunday from this week. Star Wars 7 saw a decent but unspectacular weekend. While its holiday holds were less than desired, it found itself rebounding on Saturday/Sunday. It won't matter how well it's been holding on non-holidays because this weekend is a huge stumbling block for many films. In 2010, even the mighty Avatar fell a whopping 42% while every other holdover declined 55% or more. With the way it's been holding so far, I expect a 70-75% decline for Star Wars 7 this weekend. Overall, a good weekend for Anniversary though its daily drops are a concern. It has already surpassed the original film, Marriage with a Fool, but next weekend should see it take in one of the biggest falls of any holdover with no holiday to prop up its gross and mixed WOM. Sherlock had a good opening but it was very frontloaded. I could see it falling over 60% next weekend despite Thursday/Friday added in. The Peanuts Movie had an OK decline. With strong WOM, this could buck the heavy decrease animated releases usually get next weekend but we will need to see how theaters schedule their animated films next weekend.

December 24 - January 3 Estimates

1. Ip Man 3 - between $4,666,203-$4,743,544/457,000 admissions
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - between $4,575,973-$4,653,313/295,000 admissions
3. The Peanuts Movie - between $1,508,137-$1,546,807/119,000 admissions
4. Anniversary - between $1,443,687-$1,482,357/142,000 admissions
5. The Little Prince - between $1,263,226-$1,289,006/112,000 admissions
6. Yo-Kai Watch - between $451,152-$489,822/46,000 admissions

Look at the difference between gross and admissions for Ip Man 3/Star Wars 7. Ip Man 3 won the holiday period but it took 150,000+ admissions to do so. This really has a lot to do with IMAX and how Star Wars 7's IMAX record won't be broken for a while until some other studio comes in and sets outrageous prices to beat it. Another good example of 3D vs 2D would be Peanuts vs. Little Prince. Both are 3D movies but theaters shunned 3D for 2D with The Little Prince and Peanuts ended up more than $200,000 ahead of Little Prince with only a 7,000 admissions gap from more showings in 3D. Anniversary had better admissions than the 2 animated releases despite opening a week later. Perhaps being the only romantic release of the season led many to watch it and also due to the original's goodwill being carried over.
Edited by Bluebomb
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Actuals

1. Ip Man 3 (葉問3) - $5,222,834 ($40,464,056 HK)
2. Star Wars 7 (星球大戰 : 原力覺醒) - $9,378,883 ($72,663,155 HK)

Ip Man 3 will pass Ip Man 2 on Wednesday and Little Big Master on Friday or Saturday while Star Wars 7 will pass 10m by next week barring a complete meltdown (ex. -90% collapse) this weekend.

 

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Early Thursday schedules

None of the openers will make much of a dent this weekend. Daddy's Home/Secret in Their Eyes are going wide. Holdovers Sherlock and Ip Man 3 will fight for the biggest screen at most places. Star Wars 7 is cut to half day showtimes or sent to the smallest screen or both. Anniversary locks down half day showtimes while the 2 Hollywood releases will see its movie exit from most theaters this week.

The Revenant looks to be a semi-wide to wide release on Friday.

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Below is the most accurate data available. Most are from MPIA although some grosses such as 2015's hit movies or You Are the Apple Of My Eye have come from other sources. This list will be updated when 2015's year-end press release is released.
  Top 20 Films of All Time (Hong Kong)    
Rank Movie HK Gross US Gross
1 Avatar* $178,029,440 $22,964,414
2 Avengers: Age of Ultron*** $132,985,487 $17,065,603
3 Titanic** $114,939,000 $14,826,276
4 Iron Man 3 $106,389,801 $13,723,457
5 Transformers 4 $98,196,851 $12,601,288
6 The Avengers $96,705,670 $12,474,280
7 Jurassic World $96,295,976 $12,357,355
8 Toy Story 3 $89,364,118 $11,527,276
9 Transformers 3 $84,703,797 $10,926,131
10 The Dark Knight Rises $80,269,966 $10,354,201
11 Minions $78,403,991 $10,061,334
12 Monsters University $77,407,664 $9,984,987
13 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 $76,785,999 $9,904,797
14 Star Wars: The Force Awakens* $72,663,155 $9,324,631
15 Inside Out $66,053,079 $8,476,381
16 The Amazing Spider-Man $61,983,852 $7,995,435
17 Jurassic Park $61,898,795 $7,943,275
18 You Are the Apple of My Eye $61,857,826 $7,938,017
19 Kung Fu Hustle $61,278,697 $7,863,699
20 Shaolin Soccer $60,739,847 $7,794,550

* - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK)
** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK)
*** - Incomplete. Box office gross up to June 30, 2015 only.
* - still in release
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According to data from Variety, total box office went up 20% in 2015 to $1.99b HK ($256m US) from $1.65b HK ($212m US) last year.

332 films saw the light of day in 2015, an increase of 7% from 2014 where 310 films showed in theaters. HK movies saw an uptick too with 59 local movies getting a release in 2015, up from 52 in 2014.

Top 10 of 2015 (Period from January 1 - December 31, 2015, all figures in HKD)

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $132,985,487
2. Jurassic World - $96,295,976
3. Minions - $78,403,991
4. Inside Out - $66,053,079
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $64.9m (estimate)
6. Furious 7 - $59,634,515
7. Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - $52,970,115
8. Ant-Man - $50,710,391
9. Stand By Me Doraemon - $46,891,675
10. Little Big Master - $46,729,492

Only 1 local release and 1 foreign release outside of Hollywood made the top 10.
_____________________________________________________
Tuesday January 5 - Top 10

1. Ip Man 3 - $42.6m HK
2. Sherlock: The Abominable Bride
3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $73.9m HK
4. Anniversary
5. Joy
6. The Little Prince
7. Ten Years
8. The Peanuts Movie
9. Initiation Love
10. The Boy and The Beast

Ip Man 3's average in the past 2 days was a solid $125k while Star Wars was around $80k.

Sherlock beating Star Wars 7 on Tuesday is very big news. Sherlock held a 2,000 admissions advantage over Star Wars 7 on Tuesday which signifies that Star Wars is not generating enough from 2D or 3D now to compensate for the high ticket prices. There are more 2D to 3D showtimes now, around 60-40% in favor of 2D and 3D will see another round of cuts on Thursday.

Ip Man 3 is looking at a 55% decline while Sherlock is headed for a 40-50% decline from last weekend's 2 day OW. Star Wars 7 is eroding fast and should dump about 75% from last weekend. An 80% tumble is also in play. Top 10 of all time for Star Wars 7 is still likely unless if it truly falls off the map next week then it is finished.
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  Thursday adm. (so far)   January 8
Rank Movie LW TW % chg
1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 13,883 3,159 -77.2%
2 Ip Man 3 19,305 2,022 -89.5%
3 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride -- 1,860 --
4 Anniversary 9,937 1,167 -88.3%
5 Ten Years 1,087 916 -15.7%
6 The 33 -- 768 --
7 Secret In Their Eyes -- 763 --
8 Daddy's Home -- 527 --
9 Joy 5,275 491 -90.7%
10 The Little Prince 4,832 455 -90.6%

Star Wars 7's drop is closer to 85-90% with IMAX duplicates and D-BOX taken out. Every holdover had terrible holds aside from Ten Years. Today will definitely come down to walk-ins with so few admissions separating 1 from 10. Ten Years is starting to fade just a little bit.

The new openers all stunk. Daddy's Home is doing the worst of the 3 despite being the only opener with over 100 showtimes on Thursday.

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