All Activity

Such a shame for The First Omen, loved it too. Hard disagree. Late Night With The Devil, Immaculate, The First Omen and Abigail all have more than good reviews. There are plenty good options and it’s only April. The indies are doing the heavy lifting this year. Big studio wise: Alien Romulus, A Quiet Place Day One, Speak No Evil and Smile 2 will hopefully be big.

We all suspect by showing in the trailer that dad is the serial killer, there is a second twist coming by the end of the movie right? 🙂 Maybe his daughter is the mastermind. 🤪

Abigail MiniTC2 Previews - 1305/21076 (100 showings) $16.5K Good walkups after low sales. Normally these sales would imply ~$850K previews, MTC1 is much better than that. Maybe it hit $1M after all. Horror doesn't under-index here normally.

Not really surprised, it's been so long since the series now that it's lost any heat that it had.

Abigail MTC1 Previews Final - 23269/215614 379317.93 1346 shows +12804 Friday - 15215/409246 247116.88 2547 shows +5576 Definitely way better walkups compared to ministry. I am thinking slightly over 1m for this today. Friday sales are still weak. Need even better walkups to hit low double digits. Let us see how things go.

What previews do you see for Abigail?

PREDICT PREDICT PREDICT

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1 Previews Final - 15782/120808 260299.55 929 shows +6966 Friday - 16373/298722 266665.97 2215 shows +5160 Awful final day. Around 650-700K thursday previews(not including early shows which should add another 500K). Looking at 7 ish OW at this rate.

(⁠゜⁠o⁠゜⁠;(⁠☉⁠｡⁠☉⁠)⁠!

Forgot about that one. Yeah it’ll probably do good business, though I still don’t see what people saw in that first one.

These EA showings are really getting to be annoying. It feels like it throws the comps off.

Do we know how much The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare made in EA?

None of which I have

Really impressed with this trailer. I really liked Knock at the Cabin when I watched it a few months ago.

Minnesota Previews: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-21): Day: T-21, T-20 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 98 23 121 17196 0.7 Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters 23 33 188 5146 3.65 TOTALS: 121 56 309 22342 1.38 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 110 20 90.91 MTC1: 71 6 58.68 Alamo: 16 1 13.22 Other chains: 34 16 28.1 Comps (THU + EA combined): 1.44x The Fall Guy: ??? 0.32x Oppy: $3.37 Million (17 theaters) 0.44x MI7 (w/ EA): $3.94 Million (12 theaters) Keeps climbing, decent pace so far

Abigail not doing well here at all. Pretty much all of my comps point to around 800k previews. Although one outlier weirdly is telling me 1.5M+ but I’m willing to discard that one for now.

Jungle Cruise, The Lost City and Bullet Train will be the best comps for this.

Minnesota Previews: The Fall Guy (T-14): Day: T-14, T-13 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 25 theaters 75 29 141 13674 1.03 Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters 23 26 143 5090 2.81 TOTALS: 98 55 284 18764 1.51 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 117 23 82.98 MTC1: 94 17 66.67 Alamo: 18 0 12.77 Other chains: 29 12 20.57 Comps (combined EA + THU): 2.35x Monkey Man: $3.28 Million (17 theaters) 0.82x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $3.83 Million (17 theaters) 0.78x TMNT: $4.31 Million (17 theaters) Average: $3.8 Million Running with these comps for now, can't think of much I have honestly that fits here sadly Tarot only has 2 theaters sold in all the 25 theaters I track so not posting that chart for now

Minnesota Previews: Challengers (T-7): Day: T-7, T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 20 theaters 64 44 80 10596 0.76 Monday April 22 EA: 17 theaters 17 83 215 3773 5.7 TOTALS: 81 127 295 14369 2.05 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 57 30 71.25 MTC1: 65 39 81.25 Alamo: 4 0 5 Other chains: 11 5 13.75 Thursday Comps: 0.26x Civil War (THU): $750k 0.43x The Creator (THU): $580k (17 theaters) 0.58x Asteroid City: $640k (12 theaters) EA Comps: 1.78x Civil War EA: $580k 0.22x Dune Part 2 (T-3 EA): $435k 0.36x MI7 (T-3 EA): $720k THU + EA Comp: 0.62x Mean Girls: $2 Million Still not doing great here but with an important caveat that one of the two heaviest pre-sale theaters hasn't released showtimes for Thursday previews for some reason. Whenever it does I can see the pre-sale number bounce up artificially somewhat

The Dahmer show is within the top 5 most watched originals shows on Netflix ever. People like a good thrilling story (true or fictional) about evil people. If this is the tense Hitchcock-ian thriller I expect it to be, it should be fine.

Smile 2 should do well in October as well, even if it doesn't make as much as the first.

This is pulling very strong numbers on Twitter I think it can do very well, seems to have a broader appeal than Cabin

Perhaps it's an "all in his head" twist. That would probably be too obvious though.

While I personally don't think this deal will happen or want it to. It is smart for Sony to make a play here for paramount or WB Sony needs franchises other than spiderman to stay afloat in Hollywood. Let's compare what they would get: Paramount has: star trek, transformers, gi joe sonic SpongeBob, avatar the last Airbender, top gun, smile, TMNT south park mission impossible and some of the marimax franchises. ( alongside potential one for Danny Phantom, and a potential follow up for days of thunder [ I'll be honest those rumblings for DoT2 is coming more from Charlotte NC, than Hollywood] As for WB you have DC, Harry Potter, the conjuring, ready player one, monsterverse* dune* looney tunes, RWBY, Wonka and Scooby doo. ( Yes I know WB doesn't have much creative control on dune or monsterverse films. That's legendary. But legendary does have a deal with Sony) Another aspect to put into play is Sony has gone in a different direction when it comes to streaming services which both have. Now from what I understand max is really liked in the USA ( Canadian here so I can't get it thanks Bell.) and paramount+ is struggling. Sony tends to play to niche audiences with their streaming plans ( crunchyroll and pureflix) As for the way I see it: paramount is a fits into Sony's plans alot better then WB does. That's what the eye test is telling me

The concept sounds good but I'm not sure how a full movie where the protagonist is an unapologetic serial killer trying to evade the cops will work in terms of audience sympathy.