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Showing content with the highest reputation since 03/08/2020 in all areas

  1. 21 points
  2. 18 points
  3. 15 points
    California is trying to re-invent the concept of a federal government (which we currently lack).
  4. 15 points
    This is absolutely not true. If you’re getting intubated, it means you literally can’t breathe on your own. These machines are worth their weight in gold right now, they’re not wasting them on anything symbolic.
  5. 15 points
    I live in Brampton. It's a northern suburb of Toronto. There is talk that we are going to be on lock down pretty soon. All bars, restaurants, libraries, theatres and so on are basically closed down. People are being urged to work from home and to not go outside unless they absolutely must. Schools and colleges are closed. There are no sporting events and gatherings of more than 50 people is being frowned upon. Now here's the kicker. I work for the city as a bus driver. We are considered an essential service. This means that along with fire, police, paramedics and doctors, we are forced to work throughout all of this no matter what. If martial law is instituted (and it's not far off) I'm still expected to show up for work. I understand it but I don't like it. Working on a bus, we easily pick up 200-300-400 passengers a day. Right now, I'm sanitizing my hands about 25 times a day and I take three showers every day. I'm doing all I can to make sure I'm as safe as can be. But it seems really unfair and rather dangerous to make us work, especially around all different kinds of people. Just a rant. Had to get it off my mind.
  6. 15 points
    "Pornhub offers free Premium access to all Italian residents and donates all of March profits." https://thenextweb.com/shareables/2020/03/12/pornhub-free-italy-coronavirus/ Definitely seems like a reckless move amidst a toilet paper shortage
  7. 14 points
    But that’s not what they’re saying. 🤦‍♂️ They begged the government to step up early containment. They begged for mass testing so this containment could be possible. Thanks to a combination of inaction and incompetence, that window has closed. Containment is no longer possible. Now the miserable choice we have is to try and minimize the human cost. There is absolutely nothing cavalier in what our epidemiologists and virologists have been calling for. No one is saying “just let it run its course.”
  8. 13 points
    So many turds are gonna blame COVID-19 for their flopping. Starting with Onward.
  9. 12 points
    Nobody has to spin anything. The man is a piece of shit, and has done nothing right by his own volition.
  10. 11 points
  11. 11 points
    Just wanted to say that this March felt like the longest March ever for me.
  12. 11 points
    You know, there's a lot of theorizing about why some/many folks aren't taking this as seriously as they should. Yahoo took a look at this and listed a bunch of reasons that we've all talked about. But, the one at the bottom really struck true with me as a great meta-reason: Everything else mentioned, from Trump to stereotypes regarding age groups to good-old fashioned denial really does seem like details. When it comes right down to it, a lot of the West (but certainly not all) has seen decades of peace, if not always prosperity. Like, take the US. I was talking to @Cap about this off-thread, and I wonder if it's just a simple fact that there hasn't been a true nationwide catastrophe in the US for a very very long time. We've had deep recessions and regional disasters. We've had foreign wars of various intensity practically since the 1950s. And we've had one-off events like 9/11. But I'm not sure we've had a society-wide event like this since, well possibly WWII. The Oil Shocks of the 70s don't even come close. 75 years is a long time for habits and attitudes to seep into the American psyche. Yes, there's been social unrest in that time (and how!). There have been massive economic downturns. There's been tremendous suffering many many times, especially for minority groups. But on the whole, nothing of quite to this level of disruption to routine (or that dreaded word 'sacrifice') across the nation at once. Not that I can think of at least. Might even have to go back to the Spanish Flu epidemic or even the Civil War to find this level of potential nationwide disruption. And it might just take a tremendous leap in body count for this to really start sinking in for some. I dunno. It's a good as theory as any. And one that doesn't rely on tired stereotypes about generation and the like.
  13. 11 points
    The fatality rate you are referring to is one calculated only from lab-confirmed cases. That's a flawed calculation, because people dying of respiratory illnesses are much more commonly tested than people who do not seek hospitalization, especially in 2009 when such testing was much more expensive. I am guessing that in India, lab confirmation of milder cases would be even less common, relatively speaking. The CDC and other academic estimates of total infected are inferred from countries that do routine surveillance - basically, if you know what portion of tested people have a certain flu strain, and you have some idea of the total portion of the population being infected (again, from surveillance), you can estimate the total number of cases. There's obviously a large 95% confidence interval, but regardless even the upper limit (using statistical methods) and the lower limit of infections results in a 0.04% CFR in the US and a 0.08% CFR worldwide. The mean estimate is about 0.02%. The true number of H1N1 cases in India would be vastly, vastly higher than the "lab-confirmed" number. Consequently, the true case fatality rate would be far lower. The proportion of "lab-confirmed" cases compared to total cases in the population is much higher for COVID than for H1N1 because of testing that is much more thorough (in most affected countries), in part due to the novel nature of the disease, but also because of huge advances in sequencing technology since 2009. As a result of a larger proportion of non-deadly cases being "lab-confirmed", the fatality rate may appear lower. However, the correct comparison is to compare the "true" fatality rate, the proportion of deaths out of all cases. Even though it's difficult to pin down exactly how many milder or asymptomatic cases are being missed by testing, there are various methods of estimating that number, and the result is that the true fatality rate of COVID is vastly, vastly higher than for swine flu. About 0.3%-1% (estimate from epidemiologists at Imperial College London), compared to ~0.02% for swine flu. It's true that COVID is less fatal than SARS, or Ebola. But those were far easier to contain because there are no mild cases that escape notice. If containment fails for COVID, and all signs are suggesting it has failed or will soon fail in many countries, the death counts will be far, far higher than they were for swine flu, SARS, or Ebola. There is universal agreement on that point among epidemiologists, people who have made it their life's work to study epidemics. THAT is the reason why people are freaking out about this. Not because of social media.
  14. 10 points
  15. 10 points
    As was explained to you earlier by @Jamiem: The rest of your other post is a whole other can of worms but the thing that jumps to my mind is that a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing. You've drawn a lot of broad conclusions within a field that I think it's fair to say you aren't an expert in. Sometimes it's better to take a step back and realise you don't have all the answers.
  16. 10 points
    You can tell which people have loved ones in their lives that could be severely affected by this thing and which people don't. The one thing I will tell the latter group is that I pray that you never have to endure a situation where you fear your loved one getting sick and dying from "just a virus" everyday while watching a bunch of brats complain about how their spring break is getting ruined.
  17. 10 points
    That is not why they were banned. He was banned for derailing the thread by repeatedly arguing with staff after I asked that the official name of the virus be used here. If you don't know what you are talking about it's best to not post.
  18. 10 points
    Problem is people are going to take it out on Asian Americans and not the Chinese government. Already a huge spike in racist attacks on Asians in the last few weeks before this, we don't need more fuel to the fire. China government doesn't deserve any defense but Chinese/Asian people overseas also don't deserve to be scapegoated as a deflection of his own incompetence.
  19. 10 points
    #21 60 points, 11 lists, Four rank 11-15 votes, Two rank 4-5 votes
  20. 10 points
  21. 9 points
    I love how if those of us posters on the more conservative side said anything remotely close to this shite about the liberals (ish) we'd be thread banned or harrassed like crazy. Keep drinking your koolaid and assuming with your wide brush that all are the same in any one sense. If both liberals and conservatives actually took time to listen and not make assumptions the whole picture of health both physically and mentally around the world would be better. That being said, I think I am about done with this site as its it's obviously become a one sided affair before but the virus debacle has made it clear.
  22. 9 points
  23. 9 points
  24. 9 points
    #26 56 points, 13 lists, Three rank 11-15 votes, One rank 6-10 vote, One rank 4-5 vote
  25. 9 points
    #27 55 points, 11 lists, One rank 6-10 vote, Three rank 2-3 votes
  26. 9 points
    Onward is a visually stunning animation. I hope it can leg out to at least 150m
  27. 8 points
    This pandemic is demonstrating that massive amounts of inequality, both within and between countries, are terrible for people across the world. I mean, we all already knew that, but this is certainly putting this into sharp focus. Peace, Mike
  28. 8 points
    If Republicans want to fight the coronavirus side by side with Democrats and trascend petty partisanship then that's a beautiful thought. But if they insist on sticking to anti-science small government beliefs during this medical crisis then they deserve to be openly criticized. They care about the economy? Fine, let's find a scientific solution and use government tools to help populations in distress to minimize the damage. It's not petty politics to demand one side to stop pouring gasoline when everyone else is trying to stop the house from burning down.
  29. 8 points
  30. 8 points
    🔴 #Coronavirus, national update at 18 • Current cases: 54,030 (+3,612) • Died: 6,820 (+743) • Healed: 8,326 (+894) • Hospitalized in Intensive Care: 3.396 (+192) Total cases: 69,176 (+5,249, + 8.2%)
  31. 8 points
    Yes this is the correct answer. If he had called it that just because it originated in China, he would have done so months ago since China has been updating the CDC on the situation regularly since Jan 3rd. He only started started using the term last week after it became apparent that he had totally screwed up the US response and continues to fuck up. Blaming China/Chinese is the easy way to deflect anger.
  32. 8 points
    Stop. You know better. (I hope.) It hurts the Chinese people, and people of Chinese heritage. It's not about the Chinese government. The phrase "Chinese Virus" and its use intentionally incite racism and corresponding attacks and hate crimes. It was a calculated, gaslighting dog whistle by Grand Poo-Bah Trump meant to rile up his base to A.) manufacture a controversy to distract from his massive failures and B.) create more perceived camaraderie between himself and his exclusively racist, sexist, homophobic and religiously intolerant remaining supporters as the election approaches.
  33. 8 points
  34. 8 points
    Every single government official that has acted like a bozo needs to be held accountable. There’s just zero excuse for this level of incompetence. They saw how this virus played out in countries that it hit. They saw how certain countries handled the situation (South Korea vs Italy). There’s been testing made available for months. These countries had months to prepare for this situation and instead of preparing they acted like they were invincible to the situation. They criticized a country like Italy for how they handled the situation and now that things have gotten bad, they’re running around like chickens without a head. This isn’t just about Trump either. He’s mishandled this of course...and acted ignorant of the situation. But Johnson, Macron, Trudeau amongst others all acted with a level of incompetence that is inexcusable and indefensible. People are going to die and people may wind up with permanent fibrosis of their lungs. All for a situation that could have been entirely avoided had governments acted proactively instead of just reacting...and reacting like idiots. I cannot remember seeing so many world leaders acting with this level of incompetence during a situation like this. Just pure stupidity and a disregard for life across the board.
  35. 8 points
  36. 8 points
    The president of Brazil, Jair Bolsonaro, is being tested for corona virus, despite calling the pandemic a "fantasy" a week ago. That's what I call karma!
  37. 8 points
    I won't update BO anytime soon. Cinemas in Madrid are only selling 1/3 of the entire capacity of the theatre until 26th March (it could be more days if the situation is worse) so we can expect low numbers. Films should move (Mulan, Trolls 2, A Quiet Place) and stay safe everyone
  38. 8 points
    so you judge the legs of a movie, based on your own feelings ? ok ? stop being negative, you may see it and actually like it
  39. 8 points
    #8 85 points, 16 lists, Three rank 11-15 votes, Two rank 2-3 votes, Two #1 votes
  40. 8 points
    wait, isn't that a great hold for TIM both dom and OS? What happened to corona? Ah, yes, it magically only affects that Dreamworks movie, I mean Pixar movie that looks like Dreamworks.
  41. 7 points
    This. Modelling shows (and this should be clear if you pause to think about it) that the majority of disease tranmission occurs from internal travel, rather than external, for the simple reason the number of people moving around within a country vastly exceeds the number of people entering and leaving. Now, if you could completely seal a border before a single case gets in, then yes, you can prevent a disease from entering a country to begin with. There are two problems with that, however. Firstly, that borders can't be completely sealed because citizens must be allowed some means to return (in most countries), and for countries with land borders, it's very hard to transfer goods without also allowing a person moving the goods to cross. The second problem is that unless you already have routine screening in place (which most Western countries did not), you're very likely to have already let cases into the country by the time you close the border. What this means is that in practice, "closing the border" generally makes a small difference to the trajectory of the epidemic within a country, all other things being equal. That doesn't mean that border restrictions shouldn't be put in place, however. Screening at the border and reducing non-essential travel from the most affected external area can buy a little bit of time, which can then be used to do things like increase testing capacity etc. (An aside: if you close the border but you don't restrict internal movement or aggressively ramping up screening/testing etc., you're basically doing nothing at all except political grandstanding.) Also, I think once you're at the point of asking residents of a country to make huge sacrifices, there's a big political problem with continuing to allow non-essential travel from outside the country. It seems fundamentally unfair, no matter how relatively inconsequential it may be. Ultimately, I think that at least partial border restrictions are consistent with an approach of reducing disease transmission, but also that there isn't a one-size-fits-all solution for every country in terms of what those restrictions are and how they apply.
  42. 7 points
    On a day when nearly 2,000 Americans died from the pandemic, FoxNews continues to find new lows.
  43. 7 points
    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/02/weekly-jobless-claims.html 6.6 million jobless claims this week. Holy fuck. So 10 million jobs gone in the last two weeks. This is absolutely insane and it's going to get worse. EDIT: I guess that kind of includes me, my company has just furloughed me since the movie projects I was working on at this point have been suspended and we're sitting around twiddling our thumbs. I'll be fine, but I worry greatly about my coworkers, especially the ones paid less who work like two or three jobs.
  44. 7 points
    Most of this is nonsense coming out of your butt. 2009 was 11 years ago, we’ve had a relatively long expansion era, however many workers never truly recovered from the Great Recession. The 2008 Recession had long term structural impacts on the economy. Unemployment hit some recent lows, but the LFP never truly recovered, many workers just never re-entered the labor force: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART While recently real wages have been growing for educated white workers, they’ve been falling for uneducated workers, and wage gaps between white and minority workers has expanded: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R45090.pdf Next, Recessions can be spurred on for a number of reasons. While, yes, there is less reason to worry about the long term impact of the current one compared to 2008, it has nothing to do with “learning our lesson”. It’s that the current recession is caused by an external, or extraneous, demand shock from an outside factor. Historically, these recessions are not as long lived, but that doesn’t provide any indication that there are not structural problems in the economy that could later collapse: https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/R40198.html This does NOT mean, however, that external shock recessions like this one won’t have long reaching impacts for certain sectors of the population. Recessions in general have a “scarring” effect, even if they’re shorter, in which long run human capital development (or educational achievement) can slow. A short term decrease in investment in new capital will have longer term lag effects for the years following. Even a short amount of time without income can bring families near poverty level into poverty, which can lead to bankruptcy for a large portion of the population. So following the recession, it’s harder to grow from poverty than it is from lower income brackets (google research on poverty cycles): https://www.epi.org/publication/bp243/ I’m not sure what you mean by “Theory of mass collection of resources”. This is not concept in Macroeconomics. From inference, the only point I can guess that you’re trying to make is that Trump’s tax cuts somehow allowed for rapid expansion. There’s lots of economic literature on tax changes, and so it usually depends on how tax cuts are implemented and financed. If a tax cut is financed through raising the deficit, this could actually lead to lower long term investment: https://www.epi.org/publication/bp243/ Corporate tax cuts, all else equal, has also been seen to raise income inequality: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication Files/18-101 Rouen Corporate Tax Cuts_0a4626be-774c-4b9a-8f96-d27e5f317aad.pdf And for a nice, brief overview of income inequality trends, and why that growing inequality (despite the “roaring” economy) matters: https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2020/01/09/trends-in-income-and-wealth-inequality/ There is no consensus on how long impacting this current recession will be, especially since we do not know how long these lockdowns will be or how much stimulus the federal government will be able to provide. While, it is likely that this recession would be shorter lasting if lockdowns only last til the summer, that would still be dependent on proper government reaction to the slowdown to alleviate the long run scarring effects in their infancy (which $1,000 per American may not be enough to alleviate this).
  45. 7 points
    Awful word-of-mouth is kicking in for quite a few movies.
  46. 7 points
    One of the most significant events in USA Canada relations in 200 years is about to happen.... The United States and Canada are preparing to issue a joint statement to suspend non-essential travel between the two countries in the next 24 to 48 hours
  47. 7 points
    I'm actually feeling just a little optimistic tonight. Yes, there's more pain to come. There's going to be pain. But at least almost everyone has woken up to the situation. You would have to be brain-dead after this week to think this isn't. I've been screamed at a lot over the past two weeks for what some thought to be a pessimistic, hype-inducing, even death-mongering approach to this issue. Part of the reason I had a strong approach was because this country was asleep at the wheel. There was genuine denial up until this week. That denial is gone. It's hit everyone's wallets. Everyone's entertainment. Everyone's social plans. Everyone's sports. Everyone's work conversation. I am optimistic tonight, that now that (almost) everyone is awake, (almost) everyone will be more careful. Everyone except for the braindead Fox primetime audience.... which is only about 3 million people (rough nightly average), less than 1% of the nation. If we're all on the same page, we can make up for some of the government's shortcomings, with self-protective measures. And that's a lot easier for us to do if it's impossible to deny the situation. So there's a lot of pain ahead, but I'm just the slightest bit more optimistic right now.
  48. 7 points
    Mortality rate of H1n1 was really not 4.5% it affected between 700M to 1.4Billion people, it was around 0.02%, if this stay at 2% (that sound very high and unlikely) it would be 100 time the swine flu of 2009. Mortality rate is a relevant point of data but the ability to transmit and how long people are infectious without knowing it are also important, those were quite different for Ebola/SARS and Swine flu was has of now for Covid not in the same category of killing (because the old, those who die were in good proportion immunised/built defense over their lifetime on that one). There is more than 9,000 known infected in Italy alone, who knows how many unknown but it is a lot (or the death rate could be quite high among certain population).
  49. 7 points
    why would anyone be excited about these characters? generic look like this exists on several cartoon network cartoons. Nothing that screams must see or something never seen before. no wonder they had to ramp up that Spidey and Star Lord were doing voices.
  50. 7 points
    Onward D2 MTC1 - overall 4903 shows 220800/908836 2815544.28 2390765.68 post 6PM 2210 shows 88991/419645 1289257.89 1046248.06 MTC2 - overall 4493 shows 239050/704837 2464095.72 1986922.82 post 6PM 1664 shows 75808/270265 908110.78 644223.96 Again huge over performance at MTC2 and meh at MTC1. Overall increase is like 70% and MTC tends to under index on saturday and so inline with what Charlie posted above. I am expecting good hold tomorrow and 40m is still in play, Does not change the theme that its a huge disappointment.


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