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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/05/2019 in all areas

  1. 21 points
    Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday Black Panther 35,429 36,302 39,934 65,453 Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000 Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212 SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533 Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337 Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569 A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501 Fantastic Beasts 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880 Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063 Captain Marvel 33,951 Monday Comps: 96% of Black Panther's Monday (193.6M) 68% of Infinity War (175.6M) 147% of Deadpool 2 (184.2M) 248% of Solo (209.4M) 163% of Incredibles 2 (297.2M) 250% of Venom (200.3M) 372% of A Star is Born (159.8M) 379% of Fantastic Beasts 2 (235.6M) 399% of Aquaman (271M) Black Panther Last 7 Days Comp: 77% of BP (155.1M) Black Panther Day 17-Day 4 Comp: 60% of BP (121.4M) So...yeah, there's a lot of interesting things here. Using the two big Marvel movies (Ant-Man 2's presales would have indicated a $385M+ opener, which...yeah, that ain't happenin'), that seems like the likely scenario. These are also Marvel movies, there's a clear marketplace, Marvel being the biggest thing in pop culture. Why shouldn't it cross at least 180M? However, I still want to be pessimistic here. Not pessimistic enough for the Day 17 BP comp, but more on the line of the Last 7 Days BP comp and the Star is Born comp. I'm sure many are confused why ASIB is listed next to other action/superhero movies based on brands with huge fanbases. Well, the one factor that Captain Marvel has that those other movies don't is strong female appeal. Female-led/skewing movies are notorious for having comparatively larger presales than male-led/skewing releases. And ASIB fits a similar enough bill to CM. Both are female-skewing pictures, and both have large fanbases attached to them that would want to buy tickets in advance (Little Monsters, Marvelites) And simply put...yeah, that 160M number still seems about right. Granted, I've been gunning to be more conservative lately, but I think the female factor's a factor that still needs to be in consideration here. Crossing Beauty and the Beast is already an incredibly high mark (Top 10 OWs), and at least right now, I don't think the hype is quite there yet. But hey, there's still a couple more days to go.
  2. 18 points
    Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 Days and counting Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 156 10034 16149 37.87% Total Sellouts Added Today: 1 Total Showings Added Today: 25 Total Seats Added Today: 2544 Total Seats Sold Today: 551 1.2090x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days] .5399x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days] 1.2488x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to DP2's 29 days] 1.2792x as many tickets sold as Solo 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Solo's 20 days] 1.8991x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to JW2's 22 days] 2.6970x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to AM2's 18 days] 1.9879x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days] NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question. If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. Also, see spoiler box for different comps with BP, without the new theater in town as well as the stat bloc for Captain Marvel without the extra theatre tracking info. Day T-3 Comp: BP: 311 tickets sold [6 sellouts/81 showings | 3766/8279 seats left | 54.51% sold] IW: 549 tickets sold [6 sellouts/151 showings | 3858/13963 seats left | 72.37% sold] DP2: 374 tickets sold [0 sellouts/127 showings | 9812/14181 seats left | 30.81% sold] Solo: 196 tickets sold [1 sellout/103 showings | 6745/11010 seats left | 38.74% sold] JW2: 443 tickets sold [0 sellouts/118 showings | 9224/12907 seats left | 23.75% sold] AM2: n/a tickets sold [0 sellouts/95 showings | 8000/10023 seats left | 20.18% sold] FB2: 203 tickets sold [0 sellouts/102 showings | 10987/13876 seats left | 20.82% sold] CM (adj)*: 500 tickets sold [0 sellouts/156 showings | 9057/14513 seats left | 37.59% sold] * CM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for ==== Further BP Comp inside Spoiler Box:
  3. 15 points
    Monday Numbers How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World: $1.81mn Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral: $1.7mn Alita: Battle Angel: $0.65mn LEGO 2: $0.4mn Green Book: $0.39mn Greta: $0.36mn FWMF: $0.35mn Isn't it Romantic: $0.35mn WMW: $0.24mn ASIB: $0.22mn
  4. 12 points
    Now post the ones acclaiming the movie, i know you wont do that right? So stick with your 4 irrelevant reactions.
  5. 10 points
    Also as someone who loved Alita: Battle Angel, for the love of God please don’t put the two against each other. We should be rooting for female led blockbusters regardless and shouldn’t put them against each other.
  6. 9 points
    I mean it did 91 fucking percent of Infinity Fucking War tonight at the same theaters!!! Okay, it had the room to grow compared to IW. But it smoked the rest of the field, including JW2 which started its roar tonight. Flat out insane, and now I REALLY wonder how much demand is being burnt locally on Thr.
  7. 9 points
    @soccergirl2019 has been permanently banned as a duplicate account.
  8. 9 points
    “This movie is pretty solid, maybe 10th best in the MCU or so.”
  9. 9 points
    MT 2019-03-05 00:00:35.902529 UTC 1 37% Captain Marvel 2 15.7% How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 3 12.3% Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral 4 4% Alita: Battle Angel 5 3.6% The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part BP at same point in time 2018-02-13 00:01:31.167557 UTC 1 38.7% Black Panther 2 23.4% Fifty Shades Freed 3 8.4% Peter Rabbit 4 4.7% 15:17 to Paris, The 5 2.6% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
  10. 8 points
  11. 8 points
    Corpse: Weekend Actuals (03/02-03)01 (---) ¥696,000,000 ($6.2 million), 0, ¥757,447,800 ($6.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) NEW 02 (01) ¥280,558,300 ($2.5 million), +08%, ¥958,207,800 ($8.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) WK203 (---) ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥290,086,900 ($2.6 million), Green Book (Gaga) NEW 04 (02) ¥125,869,600 ($1.1 million), -49%, ¥684,690,600 ($6.2 million), Alita: Battle Angel (Fox) WK2 05 (03) ¥112,314,900 ($1.0 million), -24%, ¥379,999,450 ($3.4 million), My Girlfriend is a Mage (Nikkei) WK2 06 (09) ¥x96,638,100 ($863,000), -01%, ¥12,153,845,280 ($109.0 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) WK17 07 (04) ¥x94,715,500 ($846,000), -32%, ¥885,172,800 ($7.9 million), Fortuna's Eye (Toho) WK3 08 (07) ¥x91,330,200 ($815,000), -15%, ¥1,201,016,700 ($11.0 million), City Hunter: Shinjuku Private Eyes (Aniplex) WK4 09 (05) ¥x80,328,400 ($717,000), -36%, ¥4,248,768,200 ($38.8 million), Masquerade Hotel (Toho) WK7 10 (06) ¥x73,622,600 ($657,000), -40%, ¥1,450,230,900 ($13.1 million), Aquaman (Warner Bros.) WK4>Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration, the thirty-ninth entry in the long-running franchise, easily claimed the #1 spot over the weekend box-office, and delivered the biggest opening weekend so far in 2019. This, of course, comes to no one's surprise since the series always kicks off the Spring box-office season in a big way every year. This year's release did see a decrease from last year's film, but it still achieved the third biggest opening weekend in the franchise, selling 586,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 382 screens, and reaching 645,685 admissions since opening on Friday. Expect a total around the ¥4.5 billion ($40 million) mark. However, there isn't too much for families/children this Spring (no Disney or Illumination this year), so it's possible legs could end up slightly higher than the franchise norm, and this year's film could become only the third entry in the franchise to reach the ¥5 billion milestone. >Tonde Saitama saw a second weekend increase, but I wasn't paying close enough attention to it to see why. My guess is it had some stage greetings with the cast at some point over the weekend, but regardless, a second weekend increase is always great. It's about guaranteed to exceed ¥1.5 billion ($15 million) now, and could approach the ¥2 billion ($20 million) milestone. >Green Book performed very well in its opening weekend, selling 154,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 180 screens, and it reached 234,428 admissions since opening on Friday. This is the highest debut for the Academy Award for Best Picture winner since 2010's The King's Speech, and is 95% higher than last year's The Shape of Water. I imagine legs will be good/great, and see a total around ¥1.5 billion ($15 million). >Alita: Battle Angel fell hard over its sophomore frame, and as a result, will likely only finish slightly above the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone. It enjoyed a so-so opening weekend, but will end up with a disappointing, perhaps bomb-worthy, total. >Bohemian Rhapsody... following its many Oscar wins (and Best Foreign-Language win at the Japan Academy Prize) experienced a significant boost over the past week, and stayed nearly flat versus last weekend. It is now the 19th highest grossing film ever, surpassing The Wind Rises. There's really nothing left to be said about it, so let's just wait and see where it eventually winds up. >Aquaman falls pretty hard once again, but its slightly stronger than usual weekdays (for a Marvel/DC film) is keeping its cumulative total decent. Expect it to finish around ¥1.7 billion ($15/16 million).
  12. 7 points
    Isn't it enough that we get tortured occasionally by users posting grace randolphs videos, now we have users posting even more obnoxious random nobody youtubers
  13. 7 points
    Alright, here's my final prediction (for Monday :P) Previews: $22mn True Friday: $47mn Saturday: $60mn Sunday: $44mn Total: $173mn
  14. 7 points
  15. 7 points
    Ended at 32.9k, strong last hour. Edit: Not quite final, see @CoolEric258‘s posts below for more.
  16. 7 points
  17. 6 points
  18. 6 points
    CHEWING GUM ON HIS PUBIS! @MrPink @Jake Gittes @Telemachos @WrathOfHan
  19. 6 points
    Guideline for review of Captain Marvel I gathered from this topic (from all source: fan screening, social media impression, early critics impression...) - Best of X (X = MCU, the year, movie genres...), groundbreaking... = hyperbole, paid review. - Fun, funny, enjoyable, humor = generic MCU movie, formulaic, easy to forget, popcorn faire. - Praises of character X = character Y sucks. - Criticism of some aspect of the movie while enjoying the others = doomed/trash movie.
  20. 6 points
  21. 6 points
    I was checking the Fandango data from @CoolEric258 sheet. Captain Marvel had sold 59,612 tickets during 18-60 days. BP data ain't available for over 17 days. Since then, CM to BP ratio has been 17-12: 31% 11-5: 67% And Monday is looking like 87%. Now Black Panther had shorter pre-sale time so it was obviously gonna lead in that mid part of sales i.e. from the initial comps. Overall pre-sales in absolute number should be close to 80-85% as it will be in its final stage. I don't know if I was stating the obvious but Fandago tells a $160-170mn weekend
  22. 6 points
    I have pre-sale data for Chile. Wednesday previews stand at 1762 tickets sold at the chain I tracked which has 17% of all showtimes for the previews. Extrapolating that would give ~10,300 in total, a similar total to Bohemian Rhapsody which went on to open to $1,2m USD (equivalent to 99m opening domestic). That would be similar to Black Panther, Thor Ragnarok, and Homecoming EDIT: Using Thor Ragnarok as a comp I get 1,6M USD, the biggest solo opening for Marvel. CM still has one day and a half to go so it will increase a lot (it sold 400 tickets in the last day). Latin American countries tend to behave similarly, and so far Chilean pre-sales have predicted the huge breakout of Dragon Ball Super Broly and the bombing of Alita across the region. I also have data for OD but I don't have anything to compare it to, I just know that the presales are 10x those of Alita but less than Broly which is a pretty big range lol.
  23. 6 points
    MARCH 01-03 WEEKEND. HAPPY DEATH DAY 2U OPENS ON TOP OF THE LOWEST GROSSING MOVIE IN NEARLY ONE AND A HALF YEAR. TOOTHLESS BARELY LOSE HEIGHT OF FLIGHT AND GREEN BOOK GETS POST-OSCAR JUMP. Happy Death Day 2U - Lower than The Witch and 12% over Hereditary. This Wednesday should beat first Happy Death Day which was a limited release. How To Train Your Dragon 3 - Already beat Shrek: Forever After as Dreamworks’ second highest grosser behind Boss Baby. $400M are going to be a photo-finish depending on how much Captain Marvel affects. # MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Happy Death Day 2U $22.4 $22.4 $1.16 413.6K 413.6K 2 Cold Pursuit $16.5 -38,66% $56.4 $2.92 277.8K 1 3 How To Train Your Dragon 3 $16.1 -11,04% $380.1 $19.81 330.6K 7.5 4 Alita: Battle Angel $15.6 -36,58% $148.7 $7.65 263.7K 2.5 5 Lady Rancho $11.8 -20,80% $34.3 $1.38 241.5K 737.6K 6 Green Book $11.3 +121,56% $50.6 $2.60 150.2K 688.5K 7 Serenity $9.9 $9.9 $513K 130.7K 130.7K 8 LEGO Movie 2 $8.6 -32,81% $60 $3.06 170.2K 1.2 9 La Boda de Mi Mejor Amigo $6.9 -53,06% $92.4 $4.74 121.9K 1.7 10 Mia Et Le Lion Blanc $3.6 -41,93% $12.3 $639K 71.7K 257.5K This Friday opens: Captain Marvel, Beautiful Boy, El Ángel and Belmonte
  24. 5 points
  25. 5 points
    (semi xpost with the Tracking thread) Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 Days and counting Sellouts Showings Seats left Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 156 10034 16149 37.87% Total Sellouts Added Today: 1 Total Showings Added Today: 25 Total Seats Added Today: 2544 Total Seats Sold Today: 551 1.2090x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days] .5399x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days] 1.2488x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to DP2's 29 days] 1.2792x as many tickets sold as Solo 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Solo's 20 days] 1.8991x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to JW2's 22 days] 2.6970x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to AM2's 18 days] 1.9879x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 3 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days] NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question. If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. Day T-3 Comp: BP: 311 tickets sold [6 sellouts/81 showings | 3766/8279 seats left | 54.51% sold] IW: 549 tickets sold [6 sellouts/151 showings | 3858/13963 seats left | 72.37% sold] DP2: 374 tickets sold [0 sellouts/127 showings | 9812/14181 seats left | 30.81% sold] Solo: 196 tickets sold [1 sellout/103 showings | 6745/11010 seats left | 38.74% sold] JW2: 443 tickets sold [0 sellouts/118 showings | 9224/12907 seats left | 23.75% sold] AM2: n/a tickets sold [0 sellouts/95 showings | 8000/10023 seats left | 20.18% sold] FB2: 203 tickets sold [0 sellouts/102 showings | 10987/13876 seats left | 20.82% sold] CM (adj)*: 500 tickets sold [0 sellouts/156 showings | 9057/14513 seats left | 37.59% sold] * CM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for


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