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Showing content with the highest reputation since 10/20/2021 in Posts

  1. A word to the wise - the trackers on this thread are some of the best, committed, and most experienced folks on this site. Picking a fight with them in your 1st two posts is the way to become persona non grata on the boards. Instead, I, like Charlie, suggest you read this entire thread and many of the other movie threads (including past weekend threads) to get a feel for how folks arrive at their early movie box office predictions, how they use early presales to adjust those expectations, and how they use late presales to see if movies are still on proper tracks for t
    23 points
  2. Whats your point? Charlie has been far more accurate than the tracking websites (BO report BoPro). Its impossible to predict within a few million every single time because nobody knows what walkups will be. The preview number have been very accurate for the most part. James Bond for example was selling like it would do 70M plus up to 3 days before opening. Now a person could say 'lets see how it goes" up until Thursday and then make a prediction or just simple state previews are showing... ticket sales for the weekend are showing and this indicates 70 to 75M opening. If there is no s
    22 points
  3. 19 points
  4. Dune at MTC2 is at 56030/261888, $745765. Will probably final at 58k. Definitely slowed down in the late hours (runtime also might contribute to that). Will finish around 90% of Bond, though with MTC1 doing better, I will stick with ~5m. Friday final PS is looking like ~52k though I won't have full numbers tonight. Running about 70% of Bond pretty consistently, so I think 11-12m seems likely for true Friday. Hopefully MTC1 is better.
    19 points
  5. Friday numbers from last night: Eternals MTC2 Friday: Showtimes: 3713 Seats Sold: 16165/620794 (+1285) Total $ Sales: 216912 (+17238) Strong reactions bump, though not quite as amazing as the bump for Thursday was. Dune MTC2 Friday: Showtimes: 3410 (+1207!) Seats Sold: 29546/517814 (+5815) Total $ Sales: 385641 (+73328) Decent jump, well below Bond's jump though, but with this being non-discount-boosted, can catch up tomorrow. Still thinking 14 million Friday is possible. 5-14-17-
    18 points
  6. 17 points
  7. The tracking thread pretty much just seeing the lines of green code like Neo in the Matrix at this point. They got the cheat codes.
    17 points
  8. Dune Comps Regal: Fox Run Mall Total: 208/707 BW: 436/858 || 47.71% - 6.29M SC: 405/780 || 51.35 - 4.52M VLTBC: 231/894 || 111% - 12.88M NTTD: 175/772 || 84.13% - 5.3M Average: 7.25M Average W/O Venom: 5.37M Falmouth Flagship Total: 108 / 172 BW: 252/399 || 5.6M SC: 154/218 || 6.17M VLTBC: 82/191 || 15.28M NTTD: 113/268 || 6.59M Average Comp: 8.41M Average W/O Venom: 6.12M Couple things we learned from the Data. The Northeast is bonkers for Tentacle
    17 points
  9. Here's what happens to me when a tweet like this goes out: I immediately get flooded with DMs asking me for more information which I can't provide. I immediately get a bunch of people calling me an idiot because they're defensive of a movie they haven't seen yet. Let's assume I just put out that initial tweet with no clarification (seven whole minutes) after. What exactly do I gain from that? I don't have a platform that makes money. I don't have a name that needs bigger "reach". And forgive me, but a couple hundred strangers liking my tweet doesn't exactly make my d
    16 points
  10. Definitely the worst MCU movie I've seen in ages. Was a surprisingly dull movie to watch in my opinion. The performances were okay I guess and some nice use of light in some scenes (Zhao's handiwork only pops up there and in the restrained dialogue). The plot felt overcomplicated while feeling incoherent. Meh.
    15 points
  11. Oh we're not doing this revisionist stuff here. All of y'all were saying this was going to be a megabomb of epic proportions. Everybody was saying that the film was doomed forever because of HBO Max. But now despite all the stuff going against it, we're suddenly about to poo-poo on an opening that most of y'all would say would be above average pre-pandemic? I know part of the reason is because the legs will be nonexistent (seriously, Jason Kilar has no excuse to make Dune and Matrix exceptions), but give me a break.
    15 points
  12. Awesome User name for sure :-) Dune MTC1 Previews Final - 94843/326874 1615809.43 1822 shows Friday PS final - 107136/728057 1811176.50 4026 shows 1st off all previews did taper off after it looked like hitting 100K tickets early on. I am thinking low 5's(~5.3m ) from my perspective. its tad above 30% gross from Suicide Squad final as well. Strong Canada and few other minor chains balance weak MTC2. Its PS is more than 90% in gross compared to NTTD. Similar walkups should take it close to 15m but let us see how things go. Should be suffice
    15 points
  13. Eternals MTC2 Thursday: Showtimes: 1966 Seats Sold: 23663/320507 (+1838) $ sales: 338191 (+25961) Good bump from reactions. More than doubled yesterday's pace. Hopefully the pace doesn't drop too much in the following days (a drop is surely inevitable though). Needs to sustain at least some of this boost to avoid falling too far behind BW. Dune MTC2 Thursday: Showtimes: 1709 (+478) Seats Sold: 23575/248493 (+3568) $ sales: 330144 (+48813) Ok bump I suppose. Unfortunately can't really use the Bond comp to
    15 points
  14. Dune is on track right now for a $10m+ Sunday. The actuals should go up significantly from the estimates.
    14 points
  15. MTC1 is at 82474/326130 1430719.68 1813 shows just before shows are starting. Definitely thinking its going over 5m. Let us see how walkups are before I hone in on a number. Will update somewhere between 8-9M PST.
    14 points
  16. NYC Local (5pm) Dune: 178/1753 (69% sales are PLF - down from 83%) RGW: 1/496 (went down from 3...) DUNE COMPS Venom 2: $6.8m Ad Astra: $6.5m Ford v F: $5.7m Bond: $5.64m TSS: $4.88m BW: $4.71m BOP: $4.5m Joker: $3.12m OUATIH: $3.08m SCC: $3.08m $4.8m avg. In preview sales Venom 2 under performed here by about 30% and SC over performed by about 50%. If I subtract both the avg is almost the same at $4.76m. Joker was also very pre-sale/preview heavy here. On the other end AA and FF didn't have any
    14 points
  17. Previews are at 73307/325025 1287916.89 1795 shows. Start is not bad. I think it will go above 100K I think by EOD. Should be sufficient for low 5's previews. Let us see how the day goes.
    14 points
  18. Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold T-0 Dune Jacksonville 7 47 6,928 748 148 10.80% Phoenix 7 34 4,463 830 166 18.60% Raleigh 8 24 3,137 634 135
    14 points
  19. I think many didn't get my joke. I was saying that, "Deadline saying same numbers as mine i.e. 30-35M, probably mean that I will be wrong." There was no other serious commentary on any of Deadline mentions. As for @Sano's "I was saying 25M for Dune". I think its technically true. I was saying 25-35M, and earlier on Sunday I said its leaning toward lower end of that. I was thinking of 4.5-5M previews and (8.5-9.5 8.5-9.5 5-5.7 FSS) for 26.5-29.7M weekend. Even now, I am thinking of 4.5-5M previews, more likely 5 but FRI numbers and pace seems strong enough to crack 11M
    14 points
  20. The bizarre hatred for Black Widow here is perplexing to me. So many users act as if it's an affront to God, but it's really just a fine, mildly amusing summer action title. If that's the movie that gets you so worked up and angry, you clearly have not seen too many bad movies.
    13 points
  21. 72. The Invisible Man (2020) (33 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director and Screenwriter: Leigh Whannell Starring: Elisabeth Moss, Aldis Hodge, Storm Reid, Harriet Dyer, Michael Dorman, Oliver Jackson-Cohen Synopsis: When Cecilia's abusive ex takes his own life and leaves her his fortune, she suspects his death was a hoax. As a series of coincidences turn lethal, Cecilia works to prove that she is being hunted by someone nobody can see. Box Office: 143.2M Critical Reviews: 93% on RT Appearances on Other BO
    13 points
  22. 78. Under the Skin (2014) (30 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director: Jonathan Glazer Screenwriters: Walter Campbell, Jonathan Glazer Starring: Scarlett Johansson Synopsis: A mysterious young woman seduces lonely men in the evening hours in Scotland. However, events lead her to begin a process of self-discovery. Box Office: 7.3M Critical Reviews: 84% on RT Submissions Received: 5 Average Position: 42nd Top 10 Placements: 2 Jonathan Glazer’s Under the Skin has polariz
    13 points
  23. Eternal MTC1 Previews (T-12) - 64347/366992 1126631.01 1865 shows Friday (T-13) - 44024/724131 777094.70 3584 shows Saturday(T-14) - 35188/765507 573656.78 3809 shows 1st of all ignore $ gross for BW. There was a bug where my scrapper would return 0 when ticket price was like 8.09 or something like that. So I have 100's of shows with Zero gross despite having many tickets sold. That said Eternals does have some ticket price advantage and it has hung close to BW for previews/friday(BW previews was middle of the day) while being comfortably ahead on saturday. This week
    13 points
  24. I'm new to this! I frequent the box office subreddit and just started looking at this website and I decided to make an account. I'll update my local theatre's results so far for Dune and Eternals today and start to do comps when I have more data!
    13 points
  25. Sorry, had to step out last night, so posting the #s from last night now. These are 24-hour paces though, just posted late. Dune MTC2 Thursday: Showtimes: 1814 (+105) Seats Sold: 28837/257650 (+5262) Total $ Sales: 400990 (+70846) NTTD Comp: 4.7 million Not too bad of a jump here. It kept pace with Bond's jump for today. Hopefully it can at least have slightly better walkups (Bond's were not good at all). Friday: Showtimes: 3540 (+130) Seats Sold: 36896/532456 (+7350) Total $ Sales: 476207 (+90566)
    13 points
  26. 97. Dracula (1931) (22 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director: Tod Browning Screenwriter: Garrett Fort Starring: Bela Lugosi, David Manners, Helen Chandler, Dwight Frye, Edward Van Sloan Synopsis: Transylvanian vampire Count Dracula bends a naive real estate agent to his will, then takes up a residence at a London estate where he sleeps in his coffin by day and searches for potential victims by night. Box Office: N/A Critical Reviews: 94% on RT Submissions Received: 6 Average Position: 43r
    13 points
  27. My Hero Academia MTC2 Friday Subbed Showtimes: 580 Subbed Seats Sold: 11038/86462 Subbed $ Sales: 153719 Dubbed Showtimes: 708 Dubbed Seats Sold: 19190/100683 Dubbed $ Sales: 273833 Combined Showtimes: 1288 Combined Seats Sold: 30228/187145 Combined $ Sales: 427552 Dubbed occupancy better than subbed, subbed purists in shambles.
    12 points
  28. 71. mother! (2017) (34 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director and Screenwriter: Darren Aronofsky Starring: Jennifer Lawrence, Javier Bardem, Ed Harris, Michelle Pfeiffer, Domhnall Gleeson, Brian Gleeson, Kristen Wiig Synopsis: A couple's relationship is tested when uninvited guests arrive at their home, disrupting their tranquil existence. Box Office: 44.5M Critical Reviews: 68% on RT Submissions Received: 5 Average Position: 40th Top 5 Placements: 1 After four years of campaig
    12 points
  29. Moderation @Cruel Summer has been suspended for one month. Move along now.
    12 points
  30. In the middle of my local meeting & discussion re: the potential agreement. I was already not in the greatest mood this morning; I’m feeling bleaker about my industry than I was before — not really in terms of whether it’ll be ratified or not, but it’s becoming increasingly clear that the corporations will do everything they can to treat us as widgets to be replaced as needed and a lot of movie fans are happy to see us crews slowly crushed into oblivion if it means they get to watch stuff for free. 😕
    12 points
  31. Dune MTC1 Saturday PS Final - 113967/785097 1813086.91 4337 shows daytime Imax/PLF has to do better than today and so I am expecting 10% bump.
    12 points
  32. Horrendous walkups for Dune. Worse than Bond. but average ticket price higher. Dune Friday MTC1 - 189953/731509 3045787.45 4086 shows Bond Friday MTC1 - 247965/882999 3729533.77 5048 shows I would say Friday around 13.2 or so.
    12 points
  33. 85. Freaks (1932) (26 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director: Tod Browning Screenwriter: Willis Goldbeck, Leon Gordon Starring: Wallace Ford, Leila Hyams, Olga Baclanova, Roscoe Ates Synopsis: A circus' beautiful trapeze artist agrees to marry the leader of side-show performers, but his deformed friends discover she is only marrying him for his inheritance. Box Office: 341k Critical Reviews: 95% on RT Submissions Received: 4 Average Position: 32nd Top 10 Placements: 1
    12 points
  34. 86. Annihilation (2018) (25 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director and Screenwriter: Alex Garland Starring: Natalie Portman, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Gina Rodriguez, Tessa Thompson, Tuva Novotny, Oscar Isaac Synopsis: A biologist signs up for a dangerous, secret expedition into a mysterious zone where the laws of nature don't apply. Box Office: 43.1M Critical Reviews: 88% on RT Submissions Received: 4 Average Position: 35th Top 10 Placements: 1 Alex Garland’s Annihilation is an un
    12 points
  35. Morning start is 33617/259745, $463866. Decent start, it's pacing similarly to TSS. If it can keep matching TSS walkups, will finish ahead of Bond.
    12 points
  36. Dune MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 68917/324093 1217446.89 1785 shows Friday(T-2) - 84455/718161 1455649.59 3922 shows On to final day. Nothing more to add beyond what I said yesterday.
    12 points
  37. Dune (Wednesday Night Outlook) Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX Thursday: IMAX showings: 84/776 6:00 P.M.: 64/388 9:45 P.M.: 20/388 2D showings: 65/648 6:30 P.M.: 45/135 7:30 P.M.: 9/67 8:00 P.M.: 0/85 8:30 P.M.: 0/85 9:30 P.M.: 0/141 10:15 P.M.: 11/135 Total Sold: 149/1,424 (10.5% sold) Comps: Black Widow: $3.33 mil The Suicide Squad: $5.82 mil Shang-Chi: $4.28 mil Venom 2: $4.52 mil No Time to Die: $6.75 mil Average: $4.94 mil Friday: IMAX showings: 164/1,552
    12 points
  38. 96. Black Christmas (1974) (22 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director and Screenwriter: Bob Clark Starring: Olivia Hussey, Keir Dullea, Margot Kidder, John Saxon Synopsis: During their Christmas break, a group of sorority girls are stalked by a stranger. Box Office: 4.1M Critical Reviews: 71% on RT Submissions Received: 7 Average Position: 57th Bob Clark’s cult classic slasher has found its way onto the countdown. Two unsuccessful remakes over the past 15 years have led to mor
    12 points
  39. Dune Megaplex T-1 days Thursday(59 showings): 3485(+451)/16304(+570) in 15 theaters NTTD comp: 8.90M Shang-Chi comp: 12.41M Black Widow comp: 9.24M T-2 days Friday(164 showings): 4474(+684)/44575 in 15 theaters NTTD comp: 18.64M Shang-Chi comp: 41.23M Black Widow comp: 24.76M T-3 days Saturday(162 showings): 2830(+546)/44200 in 15 theaters NTTD comp: 20.98M T-4 days Sunday(147 showings): 788(+127)/40664 in 15 theaters NTTD comp: 22.79M
    12 points
  40. 99 (TIE). Eyes Without a Face (1960) (22 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director: Georges Franju Screenwriters: Georges Franju, Jean Redon, Pierre Boileau, Claude Sautet, and Pierre Gascar Starring: Pierre Brasseur, Edith Scob, Aida Valli, Juliette Mayinel Synopsis: A surgeon causes an accident which leaves his daughter disfigured and goes to extreme lengths to give her a new face. Box Office: N/A Critical Reviews: 98% on RT Submissions Received: 5 Average Position: 43rd
    12 points
  41. 99 (TIE). Coraline (2009) (22 Points) Previous Ranking: N/A (NEW) Director and Screenwriter: Henry Selick Starring: Dakota Fanning, Teri Hatcher, Jennifer Saunders, Dawn French, Keith David, Ian McShane Synopsis: An adventurous 11-year-old girl finds another world that is a strangely idealized version of her frustrating home, but it has sinister secrets. Box Office: 124.6M Critical Reviews: 90% on RT Nominated for Best Animated Feature at the Academy Awards Appearances on Other BOT Lists: 68th on 202
    12 points
  42. Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold T-1 Dune Jacksonville 7 46 6,891 600 97 8.71% Phoenix 7 32 4,336 664 99 15.31% Raleigh 8 24 3,137 499 60
    12 points


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