jj99

Week 6: NO

God Bless Nikki Finke. miss her so much.

could the fact that it opened against Baywatch in both the UK and Australia impacted the OW.

Dead...

Pine is definitely the best actor of the bunch. Evans was excellent in snowpiercer but he needs to choose better roles outside of CAP.

lets hope @Wonder of Rth blesses us this Weekend.

I want this to happen but... How Sway?????

I am dreading these numbers. please be decent... let it be above 9M

Slay. Looking forward to the OW figures.

@Wonder of Rth Hey, any word on Wonder Woman presales. Are they looking strong?

Part A: 1. Will Wonder Woman Open to more than $120M? 1000 No 2. Will Captain underpants Open to more than $35M? 2000 No 3. Will Will Captain Underpants open to more than Wonder Woman's Sunday? 3000 No 4. Will the two main openers combine to more than $150M? 4000 No 5. Will 3 Idiotas open to more than $1M? 5000 Yes 6. Will Pirates drop more than 60% 1000 No 7. Will Baywatch drop more than 65% 2000 No 8. Will Alien drop more than 70%? 3000 No 9. Will Snatched have a lower percentage drop than King Arthur? 4000 Yes 10. Will guardians cross $350M by the end of Saturday? 5000 Yes 11. Will the Smurfs stay above Get Out? 1000 Yes 12. Will God of War have a PTA above $2,500? 2000 Yes 13. Will Beauty and the Beast have a PTA above $1,100? 3000 Yes 14. Will Baywatch's domestic total overtake Snatched's Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? 4000 No 15. Will a successful OW for Wonder Woman lead to the end of civilization as we know it on the streets of Sweden? 5000 Definitely Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Wonder Woman make for its 3 day OW? 118M 2. What will be the difference between Wonder Woman and Captain Underpants' Saturday grosses? 38M 3. What will King Arthur's PTA be this weekend? $1,100 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales 6. Alien: Covenant 8. Diary 12. 3 Idiotas 15. Gifted 17. Beauty and the Beast Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Week 5 - YES

1. What will Guardians' total be at the end of the game? $391M 2. What will Baywatch's total be by the end of the game? $48M 3. What will 47 Meters Down's 3 day OW be? $2.1M 4. What will Wonder Woman's Second weekend percentage drop be? 55.5% 5. What will be the difference in gross between Alien Covenant and Power Rangers by the end of the game (No need to state which is higher)? $5M 6. What will transformers' multiplier be from it's opening Wednesday (So total gross by end of game divided by Wednesday gross)? 6.1x 7. What will Despicable Me 3's 12 day total be (The end of its second Sunday)? $175M 8. How many days will Spiderman make more than $1M? 27 9. What will Pirates 4th weekend gross be? $4.75M 10. How close will Spiderman, Wonder Woman, Apes and The Mummy's combined midnight preview totals come to $100M? $48M

I believe the last tracking we received said 90M+ Opening but that was like 2 weeks ago. i can definitely see it crossing 100M but not by much.

Why do people enjoying over estimating so much? Nothing in the tracking has suggested an over 115M opening. This will only lead to disappointment.

Part A: 1. Will Will Baywatch's 5 day opening (Wed-Sun) be higher than Pirates pure weekend (Sat+Sun only) gross? 1000 *NO* 2. Will Pirates Open to more than $65M? 2000 *YES* 3. Will Baywatch open to more than $32.5M? 3000 *NO* 4. Will baywatch and Pirates combine to more than $100M for the weekend? 4000 *NO* 5. On what day will Pirates' cumulative domestic gross overtake Baywatch's? 5000 *Friday* 6. Will Alien drop less than 55% 1000 *YES* 7. Will Guardians drop less than 40% 2000 *YES* 8. Will Snatched stay in the top 6? 3000 *YES* 9. Will King Arthur drop more than 65% 4000 *NO* 10. Will Beauty and the Beast cross $500M domestic by the end of the weekend? 5000 *YES* 11. Will Boss Baby increase 100% or more on Saturday? 1000 *YES* 12. Will Everything Everything drop less than 45%? 2000 *YES* 13. Will The Hear after have a PTA above $5,000? 3000 *NO* 14. Will that Norman film drop less than 15% for the weekend? 4000 *YES* 15. Will Fate of the Furious stay above Boss Baby? 5000 *YES* 16. Will The Circle stay above Power Rangers 1000 *YES* 17. Will the Wall stay above the Zookeeper's wife? 2000 *NO* 18. Will Latin Lover have a PTA above $1,750? 3000 *YES* 19. Will Wimpy Kid have a larger Saturday percentage increase than Guardians? *YES* 20. How much Mermaid porn can we expect to see over the course of the two new openers? 5000 *Not Enough...* Bonus: 12/20 2000 13/20 4000 14/20 7000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 21,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Pirates make for its 3 day OW? 67.3M 2. What will Baywatch and Pirates' combined domestic totals be by the end of Sunday? 107M 3. What is Snatched and King Arthurs combined percentage drop be (e.g. if both drop 14% then the answer would be 28%)? 110% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Baywatch 4. Alien 6. Snatched 10. Boss Baby 14. Gifted 17. Smurfs

Week 4: No

1. Will Alien Covenant have a higher OW than Alien vs Predator ($38.29M)? Yes 2. Will Alien Covenant's Midnight's be higher than Alien's OW ($3.52M)? Yes 3. Alien Covenant's Domestic total pass Alien Resurrection's Total Domestic gross ($47.79M) within its first 10 days of release ? Yes 5. Will Alien Covenant's WW total overtake that of Aliens' WW total ($131.06m) the the end of the weekend? Yes 7. Will Alien Covenant have a better 2nd weekend drop than Prometheus (59.4%)? Yes

1. Will Alien open to more than $35M? 1000 *YES* 2. Will Wimpy Kid Open to more than $10M? 2000 *NO* 3. Will Everything, Everything open to more than $10M? 3000 *NO* 4. Will the three wide releases have a combined Friday above $25M? 4000 *NO* 5. Will Alien and GOTG2 finish the weekend within $5M of each other? 5000 *YES* 6. Will Snatched drop more than 55% 1000 *YES* 7. Will King Arthur drop more than 62.5% 2000 *YES* 8. Will F8 of the Furious stay above Boss Baby? 3000 *NO* 9. Will the Circle remain in the top 12? 4000 *NO* 10. Will the Wall stay above Made in China? 5000 *NO* 11. Will any new opener drop more than 30% on Sunday? 1000 *YES* 12. Will Baahubali cross $20M by the end of Saturday? 2000 *YES* 13. Will Wakefield have a PTA above $16,000? 3000 *NO* 14. Will Beauty and the Beast drop more than 30% for the weekend? 4000 *NO* 15. How many Covenant characters will have turned out to have graduated from the Prometheus school of Astronauting? 5000 *All of them* Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Covenant's make for its 3 day OW? 37.90M 2. What will Boss Baby's PTA be? $1,373 3. What will BATB's total domestic gross be by the end of the weekend? 498,684,625 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Alien 4. Diary 6. King Arthur 9. How to be a Latin Lover 12. Gifted 14. Logan

Week 3: Yes

Abstain

Part A: 1. Will King Arthur Open to more than $20M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Snatched Open to more than $20M? 2000 Yes 3. Will King Arthur open to more than Snatched? 3000 Yes 4. Will Lowriders open to more than $1m? 4000 No 5. Will King Arthur and Snatched's combined 3 Day total come to more than GOTG2's combined Friday and Saturday? 5000 No 6. Will Boss Baby drop less than 30% 1000 Yes 7. Will Baahubali drop more than 65% 2000 No 8. Will How to be a Latin lover stay in the top 6? 3000 No 9. Will The Promise drop more than 75% 4000 No 10. Will The Circle have a better weekend percentage drop than Fate of the Furious? 5000 Yes 11. Will any new opener stay in second place for every day of the weekend? 1000 No 12. Will Absolutely anything have a PTA above $4,000? 2000 Yes 13. Will The Wall have a PTA above $6,000? 3000 Yes 14. Will GOTG2 drop more than 60% for the weekend? 4000 No 15. Will Liam Neeson get confused and try to rescue Amy Schumer and Goldie Hawn? 5000 Never Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Snatched make for its 3 day OW? 20.75M 2. What will Lowrider's PTA be? 2,345 3. What will be the difference in gross between Arthur and Snatched's weekend totals (no need to say which is higher)? 3.5M Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Snatched 6. BaTB 8. Circle 11. Going in Style 14. Lowriders 18. Unforgettable Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Abstain.

1. King Arthur - $67M Too low 2. Lowriders - $15.3M Too High 3. Snatched - $85M: Too high 4. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - $32M Too low 5. Everything Everything - $26M: Too Low 6. It Comes at Night - $39M: Too high 7. Captain Underpants - $93.5M: Too high 8. All Eyes on Me - $49M Too Low. 9. Rough Night - $80M: Too Low 1. Which film not called Lowriders will be the lowest grossing?: It Comes at Night 2. Which non-animated film will be the highest grossing? Rough Night 3. Will a non-animated film on that list make the main games Domestic Top 15 list? Rough Night 4. Will any film double its predicted gross? No 5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? No 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the 10 films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? Snatched 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Everything Everything 9. Will 3 or more of these films open in the number 2 position? Yes 10. Will 2 or more of these films open in 5th or lower? Yes

Compare that to Collateral Beauty with its 12% RT, making 88M WW from a 36M Budget. Plus it was considered a complete flop.