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chenguonk

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Posts posted by chenguonk

  1. A fun comparison would be Avengers minus its first week versus Iron Man's entire run.If it roughly keeps pace 600 should be a breeze. It's currently running ahead in the dailies.

    Can't agree more :PThat's what I've wanted to point out since the second weekend.TA 2nd vs IM 1st: 103.1M vs 102.1M (plus preview)TA 3rd vs IM 2nd: 55.6M vs 51.2M
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  2. I'm not sure what this is supposed to be, but I like it. If its some japanese porn-thing, please tell me.

    Posted Image

    :D Don't worry. It's nothing related to porn stuff.

    This is Chinese, not Japanese. I think it's just for fun.

    For your translation:

    "It's painful with outdated culture." "It's painful without a girlfriend."

    "It's painful without a brother." "It's painful without a boyfriend."

    "It's so delighted to be handsome rich man." "It's painful to be a cyclop."

    "It's painful to be unbeatable." "You guys are all bullies to me. So painful."

    Characters in the middle are: "The painful and cute ally"

    Sorry, my English is so poor that I cannot translate the exact humor inside.

  3. I think some people are letting bias get in their way here. Spider-Man is by far the most popular worldwide hero so overseas it has a strong chance of beating Avengers whether you want to admit it or not

    No matter how it's popular worldwide, we are talking about the Chinese market here, which is quite different from worldwide's taste, especially on super heros.And I'm sorry, I want TASM to do well too. I don't see any bias here in this thread, however, in the actual life around my friends and college BBS who are the frequent moviegoers, they have bias on super heros. And I would say this bias view is very common across China.Spidey3 did well in China because of movie market exploding. It will definitely grow this time. But you cannot expect it to grow to the level as high as $100M. Even Harry Potter doesn't achieve that height.
  4. So bascially TASM will be the most over-predicted film of this summer in CHina.

    :D I have the same thought.

    I think TDKR and TASM can do it, but not TA. Sometimes HK could be a good indicator, while sometimes it is not. Like Toy Story 3. So TA breaking out in HK means nothing about what it might do in mainland. South Korea, on the other hand, probably is a better indicator for hollywood movies. TA is just doing normally good in SK with some 12M OW and 30~35M total, less than half of TF3.

    I think TDKR (if gets released) and TASM can both outgross TA in China. Spidey is more like a family film than TA and it can attrac both children and aduits. TDKR has TDK and Inception effect, and it should get very strong wom and talking topics among movie goers.

    Not really. I think TASM is way overhyped by you. I don't see any difference between Spidey and other Marvel heros. I can feel the same bias view on Spidey as that on other Marvel heros from my friends, of the age mid-20s (I'm a fan, though :lol: ).

    I think POTC4 is not a good comparison to Spidey. The largest draw of POTC series is Depp and the epic visual effect, which always works well in China. And also POTC type movie is well received in China. On the hand, even if TASM is not a reboot, with all the original cast back, it won't have the same increase we see in POTC4. It's intrinsically still a super hero movie. Now it's rebooted, it tells the similar story again. I don't think it will do much well. I never know how this super hype comes from. However, I do believe that it will attract much more female moviegoers than TA. :D

    TASM might not even beat TA in China. Mark my words ;)

  5. I only see the hype for TA on the internet (only on movie sites to be exact). Just hope WOM can give it some good legs to finish around 70~80M.

    Same opinion here. Super hero movies are not that popular in China. Of the mainstream moviegoers, most don't take SH seriously. Just like most think Animes are made for children, which is not true.Perhaps the exception is TDK. However, TDK never got a release, so no one knows if it follows the normal SH way. But with the always-good WOM of Nolan's films, I believe TDKR will do much better than TA, if it is released.
  6. from BOmojo

    so IM1 and TIH about correct; IM2 underreported and Thor and Capt. were released but no success.

    I bet you anything they will count the BO of The avengers with the other releases.

    No, it's not what you thought. Underreporting indeed exists, but the difference in numbers here doesn't come from underreporting.

    I cannot access IM2 foreign page on BOM at the moment. However, I find the $7.9M number in BOM first weekend report. That is to say, $7.9M for IM2 is not its gross, it's only the opening week, that's why you see a decrease from IM. You can check it here:

    http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2769&p=.htm

    "...Even with openings in China, Germany and India, Iron Man 2's $59 million represents a 41 percent decline from its opening. In China, the movie got off to a strong $7.9 million start, which was up 39 percent from the first Iron Man's debut two years ago..."

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