Juby

1991 - Home Alone becomes the 12th film ever with +$200 million domestic gross. 2002 - Spider-Man becomes the 12th film ever with +$300 million domestic gross. 2011 - The Lion King (1994) becomes the 12th film ever with +$400 million domestic gross. 2022 - Top Gun: Maverick will cross $600 million domestic as the 12th film ever Somehow we skipped "$500 million decade". $600m is the new $400m now

Top Gun: Maverick 7th weekend - $15.5m Aladdin (2019) 7th weekend - $7.52m Aladdin was at $320.7m at this point and ended with $355.6m. With similliar legs TGM should finish with around $662-670 million domestic. With weaker competition during this summer, I believe TGM will fly even higher than that.

Here's why:

Is it Sunday? Or early Monday?

Holy shit! Can TGM beat Titanic's 6th weekend??! That would be second time ever (only Avatar did that before).

Not in 2022 anymore. Iron Man 2 also droped from the first one. This is also the first time sequel doesn't have the main star of the first film. I also think this prediction is deffinetly too low, but yeah, BP2 will drop much, maybe more than AoU.

What about them?

$1.3bn worldwide is very achievable at this point.

If $4.75m for TGM is true, than I see $4.15m on Wednesday, $3.75m Thursday, $24.5m 6th weekend ($6.4m + $9.3m + $8.8m / -17.2% lw), $7.5m July 4th = +$570m next Monday, and about $595-599m on July 10th. $650-670 million domestic final is the target now.

On Sunday TGM broke record for the "best legs" for a $100-million opener. Currently it's at x4.15. It will be over x5 when it's all done. For movies with +$50m OW (Friday releases) only two films have over x5.00 legs - Avatar (x9.74) and Jumanji: The Next Level (x5.40). Well, there's also Jurassic Park, but it was +$50m with Thursday previews.

Dominion will be around 9.2% behind FK at this point. Seems $375-380m domestic total. Doctor Strange 2 should finish with $413-414 million. That would be the worst multiplayer in MCU history (44.9% of its domestic gross would be OW).

After its opening weekend Jurashit World was ahead of Top Gun: Maverick by $82.1m ($208.8m to $126.7m). After 5th weekend it's around $70 million ahead. I'm not sure if TGM can close this gap, even though JW was after 4th of July weekend and had shorter, more wide-release-packed summer in 2015.

Crossing only thanks to some "magic Disney numbers" from its last 7 days. Black Panther's $700 million is a bs. But okay, let's say Black Panther added $95m after its 5th weekend (and it was highly inflated number due to Infinity War release and some double-features). No Way Home added $106.8m (3rd best from all time Top10 only behind Avatar and Titanic) and Gran Torino (its 5th weekend was 1st in wide release) added $107.5m. TGM is doing even better than all of them, so at least $107.5m + $521.7m (current Mav. dom) = $629.2m.

I have TGM final at $631-636m right now. With some expansion or great late legs it might go higher, closer to $650m. I also don't see TGM at $600m on July 10th yet, bit under $590m imho. Being in all time Top10 (it will finish even in Top9) after $126.7m opening weekend is just insane. Almost all members of this club were +$200 million openers. After Maverick's OW I thought it can finish its domestic run at 520m max.

Titanic isn't Paramount film outsode U.S. So the biggest Paramount film worldwide is Tf3.

Seriously?! Wow, I've never heard of this film and its box office success. We were talking about non-December releases. Films released before/during Christmas holidays often have great legs (Night at the Museum 1 and 3, both Jumanji with Dwayne, The Greatest Showman, Ghost Protocol).

Thanks a lot!! So there was one film with nearly 5x and over $50m opening. I think TGM will beat this result with slighly over 5x multiplayer as the best one is 21st century and the best since 1999. AMAZING!!

The 6th Sense was after TPM and JP (summer blockbuster that made it to Top10 of 1999 with Friday release date).

First of all, don't quote the entire post right above yours. It doesn't make any sens. Second of all, I was asking about +5.00 multiplayers, not x4.

@charlie Jatinder What's your current prediction (OW) for Thor based on advance ticket sale?

Maverick will easily beat record for best legs of +$100 million opener (Shrek 2 x4.08, or Wonder Woman x4.00) and can go even as high as x5.00 multiplayer! Does anyone know when the last time such thing happen for non-christmas wide release? I think there's no such film in XXI century. Inception with x4.66 is the best I can find. Edit: The Hangover in 2009 wass the last time i guess. Or Bridesmaids in 2011, but it was released in less than 3000 theaters. For a film with +$50 million OW that's unheard of, I think.

https://deadline.com/2022/06/titanic-rerelease-date-remastered-version-james-cameron-1235050212/ Titanic will be over $660 million next March.

Titanic won't give up. Maverick will have to beat him by a larger margin, because the ship will be over $660 million domestic next year. :) https://deadline.com/2022/06/titanic-rerelease-date-remastered-version-james-cameron-1235050212/

TGM $636m for now, but if it keeps surprise us, I think $660 million is possible. BP2 - no chance for +$600 million.

1) This isn't the last chapter. It's the first half of the "one last ride". F&F11 will be in 2025 probably. 2) Being 5th last year means nothing. This year F9 wouldn't be in Top10.