Cmasterclay

Then what is? The only two movies with arguments are Austin Powers and the Hangover, and lookie how their sequels did.

Love the 20/20 revisionist history going on already by some here. Anchorman 2 was the sequel to the most beloved and quoted comedy of the past 20 years. The first one wasn't just a cult classic- it turned into a cultural sensation. AM2 was incredibly well marketed and insanely hyped- one of the most anticipated comedy sequels ever. It didn't get bad reviews, either. Of course, it could still pick up and be huge. But to say that it was always just an "overpredicted fanboy movie" is ridiculous.

There's no way to shake that anything lower than ten isn't a disappointing number, sadly.

I thought it was absolutely hysterical. I laughed so hard my ribs and my face hurt. Make no mistake- this movie is completely non-sensical, insane, and unstructured. It's more of a sci fi/fantasy film than anything at times, and it's almost like one long sketch comedy. Hell, there was a few lines that sounded like something from a Bad Lip Reading. But I loved it. If you go into it expecting the right thing, you will, too.

I hate the fact that they changed the release date in the first place, because in general if it isn't for a holiday (like Christmas next week) I hate, hate tracking non-three day openers. I know that sounds stubborn, but it just makes box office a bit less fun for me, because it eliminates most points of comparisons and lowers the impact of opening day. Plus, who wants to see a big opener on a Wednesday?

I agree, actually. I only predicted 3.5 million for it, but it should have come closer to 3 than it did, IMO.

The same amount of schools were on the same day last year for AUJ, and it dropped harder than the first. Hell, more schools had snow days this year, too, if I was a gambling man.

It's not a good number and there's no way to spin it. I haven't seen the movie yet, but among people that didn't like AUJ, reception doesn't seem too much better. It simply seems better among those who enjoyed but didn't love the first. Even if it is, across all people, better received, it's facing much stiffer competition. First one faced two 120+ movies. This one faces four potential 120+ films, IMO. Wolf/Hustle combined should do very near to Django/Les Mis, and with Saving Mr. Banks added in there, it'll face a trio tougher than that duo easily. Mitty/Ronin/Grudge Match should do very close to the TI40/Reacher/PG combo, as well. And Frozen is much, much stiffer family competition as a holdover than anything from last year. And then you add in Anchorman 2, a potential 150+ bemoth? It's gonna be rough sledding for the Hobbit, like it or not.

Is "there's a snowstorm!" this year's "Just wait until kids get out of school!" as the go to excuse from Ringers?

Huh, so even the groups that have screened and apparently really liked Wolf are leaving Hill off. Too bad. I really wanted to be able to say "two time Oscar nominee Jonah Hill" soon.

1. Will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make more than $90M? No 2. Will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make less than $15M during previews and midnight screenings? Yes 3. Will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make at least 3 times what Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas makes? No 4. Will Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas make more than $33M? No 5. Will Frozen drop less than 36%? Yes 6. Will Saving Mr. Banks have a per theater average of more than $36,000? Yes 7. Will American Hustle make more than Saving Mr. Banks? Yes 8. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire drop more than 40%? No 9. Excluding films that are increasing in theater counts, will any film drop less than 25%? Yes 10. Will Philomena have a better drop than Dallas Buyers Club? No 8/10 Correct = 4,000 bonus points 9/10 Correct = 6,000 bonus points 10/10 Correct = 8,000 bonus points Bonus #1) How much will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make on Friday (including midnight previews)? [5,000 points] (Please use at least 2 decimal points) 32.44 Bonus #2) How much will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug gross this weekend? [5,000 points] (Please use at least 2 decimal points) 75.6 Bonus #3) How much will Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas gross? [5,000 points] (Please use at least 2 decimal points) 31.24 Bonus #4) How much will films #2-#5 combine to make over the 3-day weekend (including any Thursday previews)? [5,000 points] (Please use at least 2 decimal points) 78.2 Bonus #5) What will American Hustle’s per theater average be? [5,000 points] 84,000

Apparently, Wolf wasn't even screened for SAG, just like Django last year, so at least Leo and Jonah Hill aren't completely out.

Very fascinating. I'm writing a play for the stage right now and it's quite a fucking difficult task- I tried to make a movie out of it and that was even harder. Script writing is tough as hell, man.

I bet at most two people on this board who regularly trash Madea movies have actually seen a Madea movie

Final Predictions before SAG and Globes: Nine Nominees! The Mortal Locks 1. 12 Years a Slave 2. Gravity Big Stars, Big Players, Big Ratings 3. American Hustle 4. Captain Phillips 5. Saving Mr. Banks 6. Wolf of Wall Street Indie Domination 7. Nebraska 8. Inside Llewyn Davis 9. Her The Alternates 1. Phinomenla 2. Fruitvale Station 3. The Butler 4. Lone Survivor (Dark Horse)

Honestly, that could very easily be the Oscar nominees if there were to be 10 nominees

12 Years A Slave is to slavery movies what Schindler's List is to Holocaust movies- uncompromisingly brutal and raw, incredibly well made, and absolutely awe inspiring. Well deserving of every win. That said, it's my favorite movie of the year so far, and even I think it'll be boring if it sweeps, so I can imagine how everyone else feels (though NBR, NYCC, and LAFCC are the majors, and it didn't win any of those).

Nice to see that Wolf finished runner up in Picture, Director, and Actor in Boston: seems like it will do well for itself this season. Until that ensemble win, Hustle had been invisible today.

"I can't believe this shit. CF isn't doing well, but watch, next weekend, everybody will go out and watch their shitty left wing propaganda white guilt movie and talk about how they cried and loved it because the reviews and the internet told them it was a stupid "important" movie that mattered, even though a movie about slavery is about as important as Movie 43. Bullshit!"- James Cameron in his new book, apparently.

Interesting start to the season (though I'm not sure if NBR has even seen Hustle- if they have and that happened, VERY interesting). 12 Years a Slave still looks like the favorite but it's no lock, by any means. Hustle and Wolf look like they'll at least be contenders for strong noms. I've said for awhile Her has a good shot in a system dependent on Number 1 Votes. LOVE the love for Fruitvale and Prisoners. Sad to not see Phillips

The mother of one of my older brother's (my dad's ex wife) said that she and her niece met him at an event in Nevada. Apparently, he was the nicest guy on the planet. Gave her little niece a kiss and signed several autographs, hugged everyone, stayed around to chat. Really sad it happened to someone who was such a great person.

The box office is still on fire and the Iron Bowl is one of the greatest college football games ever, as was OSU Michigan. But none of that is important now. Really tragic news

That was fucking insanity

6 Preferrential Yes to horror, yes to docs I guess but I'll skip it

It's essentially made the same through two weekends as TDK. It obviously won't do 533 million, but it's not doing 130 million less, either. So yea, 400 is happening