Cmasterclay

What does this even mean?

I know I'm getting defensive in this topic about CF's potential, but box office has been such an awesome thing since I discovered BOM in March 2008, and since then, the most exciting box office weekends have been TDK, Hunger Games, Avengers, New Moon, and movies like that- movies that did truly SPECTACULAR. Since Avengers, TDKR was dark days, Skyfall had a wonderful leggy run that was awesome but slow burn, Hobbit and BD2 disappointed, DM2 was good but forgettable, and IM3's OW was great but not spectacular in that sense of WOW, plus I hated the movie. I love box office. It's been a year and a half of merely great OWs. I wanted something fucking awesome. I hope it still comes through!

I have no doubt that the potential for it to drop total is there, and not only there, but probable. But it's a sequel. Spider Man 2 dropped from the first but if it was released over a three day it would have done 125+ in 2004. Sequels combine the new fans of casual interest who saw it on the third or fourth weekend last time PLUS the rabid fans. That's why this weekend is the confounding thing. I have no doubt that it might drop below like 375 in total.

What Spizzer said. It wouldn't make sense for CF to only do what the original did attendance wise on OW. The series and JLaw have grown too much and it's a sequel.

I was saying that it should have done 174 in terms of those factors, but after that midnight, I agree, it won't

The first one was a pop culture sensation to the point that "Hunger Games" is now used by politicians and shit. I know tons and tons of people, including my dad and one of my older brothers who don't read these kinda books, who read the whole series after the first came out. It absolutely exploded the book series even further. In addition, the trailers and reviews were brilliant, JLaw has become a huge, huge star, and the book is the most beloved in the series by book fans. the 174 of IM3 should be a barometer with all those things going for it, coming off a 152 million first edition.

I'm praying for 170, 184 was always a little unrealistic, but 170? That seems by every bit of my box office acumen to be a reasonable as hell goal.

*raises hand slowly* Well, I actually predicted 184 million, so I fall just outside your crazy zone

New Moon was November 2009, right?

It's a great number in a vaccuum but with four years of inflation, IMAX, and showings starting at 8, it's odd that it didn't at least hit the 28 million New Moon did. Hate being pessimistic but it's hard not to consider it slightly disappointing from a statistical perspective, IMO.

1. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire do more than $30 mill from Thursday sneaks/midnight screenings? Yes2. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire make at least $72.5 mill OD (including previews)? Yes3. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire make at least $175 mill OW? Yes4. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire have a Saturday drop of less than 38%? No 5. If you add up THG: Catching Fire's grosses from Monday through Thursday of next week add up to at least half of THG's Catching Fire's opening day (including previews)? (i.e. If the film grosses $50M from Monday through Thursday and has an opening day of $60M, the answer would be yes.)Yes

I don't know if you intended for that to sound sexual, but boy, did it ever

1. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire have a per theater average of at least $40,000? Yes 2. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’s opening day (including previews & midnight grosses) be more than the combined grosses of films #2-#10 for the entire weekend? Yes 3. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire have a Sunday drop of more than 31%? No 4. Will Delivery Man debut at #2? No 5. Will Thor: The Dark World have a Friday increase of more than 125%? No 6. Will The Best Man Holiday fall more than 48%? No 7. Will Free Birds have a better drop than Last Vegas? Yes 8. Will Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa fall less than 27%? Yes 9. Will Captain Phillips remain in the Top 10? Yes 10. Will any film drop less than 20%? Yes 8/10 Correct = 4,000 bonus points 9/10 Correct = 6,000 bonus points 10/10 Correct = 8,000 bonus points Bonus #1) How much will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire gross this weekend? (Please use at least 2 decimal places) [5,000 points] 184.66 Bonus #2) How much will THG: Catching Fire drop on Saturday, percentage-wise? (Please use at least 2 decimal places) [5,000 points] 38.2 Bonus #3) How much will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire gross on Sunday? (Please use at least 2 decimal places) [5,000 points] 41.3 Bonus #4) Which film will have the worst drop in the Top 15? [5,000 points] Thor Bonus #5) Excluding films that are adding theaters, which film will have the best drop this weekend? [5,000 points] Jackass

Everyone knows Idris Elba is the REAL draw for the Thor series

I think Black Nativity has a bigger chance to underperform than Madea, which got a great reaction at BMH and should do, at the very least, pretty damn solid. Black Nativity looks a bit too cheesy and overt for alot of tastes (dude behind me at BMH said "Man, that shit looks corny as fuck," and I can't disagree).

I'm absolutely overjoyed about how well Best Man is doing!

Yay, still above 30!

Man, even black folks think Black Nativity looks corny as fuck. Nas is the man but that ain't gonna be too much a hit. Madea will do very well but TBMH would be very close to 100 by Dec. 13 anyway

I think people are seeing "black ensemble comedy" and giving it the same IM and legs as something like Think Like A Man, when in reality it's a holiday movie and it hasn't even hit Thanksgiving yet. It should play very well throughout the season, with a lack of true holiday films and the great WOM. I think 100 is a strong possibility.

I think TBMH either stays flat or increases slightly....it sold out a ton last night but tonight it started selling out earlier, sold out just as much in the evening, and added a ton of shows to the back end, indicating heavy late night demand. I say it does right around 11, and so close to 30 for the weekend its unfair. WOM is off the chain for this, and that has nothing to do with CS for me.

TBMH is a comedy in the same vein Funny People is a comedy, though Best Man is both much funnier and much more emotionally effective.

Even though Cheadle is a brilliant actor and seems like a great person, I tend to enjoy Howard as an actor more, and he would have been a much better WM

Also, D.C's two big theaters sold out all their nighttime showings of Best Man, and so did my theater back home. It's doing very well.

Really enjoyable. Great acting all around, especially from Howard, Hall, and Diggs. Very funny, and also very sad and touching. Does get a little too overt and cheesy towards the end. Recommend it though, to most (idk if it is this board's style, but I know I'll recommend to my friends.) 8/10

TBMH is actually pretty damn good. Gets too manipulative and overt towards the end, but its funny and very well acted.