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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. Most movies are leggier in OS than in domestic. There are markets with crazy legs(10x happens quite often in Japan) and overall few big markets can lead to stronger OS legs. Just look at 2nd weekend drops for joker(there were markets it increased as well). That happens only during holidays at domestic. So this was always expected unless a movie bombs OS.
  2. It has slowed down this weekend. Movies have recovered after a meh weekend. But it needs better holds to beat BvS and Suicide squad domestic. Otherwise it ends in 310-320 region. Last week I thought 350 can happen. Anyway its all gravy at this point. This has been an extraordinary run WW.
  3. I am not seeing massive acceleration for either Mal 2 or Zombieland. Mal 2 wont hit 10m(without previews) while Zombieland is looking like 9m with previews at best. Joker probably is looking at 115% when I compared to thursday number but I can confirm in the evening.
  4. Would Mal 2 exactly behave like nutcracker. I looked at PS for day 2 at AMC/Cinemark and AMC is 25% ahead while cinemark is like 15%. I will update end of day and I am expecting PS to total multi to be better tomorrow as well. That said 60% seem too much for this movie being a sequel as well.
  5. Terminator - Dark Fate (T-13) AMC - 5339/163775 (772 shows) +1517 Cin - 1364/122661 (814 shows) + 205 Numbers are still incredibly low. I think real action will start only in the week of the release.
  6. Ok Really early update. Zombieland is like 35-40% behind Mal 2 and is at 30% slower run rate as well. I am expecting late shows to be lot stronger for Zom over Mal 2. I would say 10m Mal 2 true Friday 9-9.5m joker (still early for joker as its all walks up based) 6.5-7m true Friday Zom So Mal 2 at this point looks like winning the weekend but its really early to confirm it.
  7. Amazing job @ScareLol@peludo@efialtes76 you seem to predict these weekends very well. So Joker could stay at no:1 if Maleficent just opens to 2.5m.
  8. It did lose quite a few shows yesterday but at AMC that has increased quite a bit. it will increase big today. I will not worry.
  9. I had predicted 3m at 8PM but when I checked back at 10Pm it did not increase that much. So not much boost with late shows. Also I was expecting lot more shows to be added if there were sellouts and that did not happen. It added only 3-4 shows. Maleficent did not even do that. Still WIth so much tracking these numbers seem obvious at this point :-).
  10. Zom OD PS AMC - 29050/414198 (2665 shows) Cin - 16269/282064(2536 shows) 40% below Mal 2 for OD PS. I am thinking even with better walk ins this will barely hit 10m with previews. Still looking at mid 20's OW at best.
  11. Mal 2 OD AMC - 45623/643887 (3561 shows) PS Final Cin - 30083/419069(3114 shows) PS Final I think this is good. I am thinking 250K-300K tickets between these 2 chains. That should translate to 3m from these chains which should be 9-10m true friday.
  12. Joker (Day 14) AMC - 49038/321201 (2418 shows) Cinemark - 36171/271234 (2892 shows) it has lost quite a few shows since tuesday but its still good. Its losing shows at cinemark tomorrow(down to 2541) but gaining shows at AMC(2841 shows). I am sure it will have much better increase than last friday. Prediction for today would be 4.3m+/- 0.2m.
  13. Previews Update Zombieland AMC- 41405/136454 (886 shows) Cin - 27808/85330(1017 shows) Mal 2 AMC - 40347/207294(1101 shows) Cin - 31733/193916(1640 shows) Good growth for both the movies but Zombieland is more impressive considering how much behind it was as late as yesterday. Its going to shoot past final Maleficent numbers and Average ticket price will also be higher. This is with lot fewer shows. Prediction - Based on numbers above both the movies should finish like 0.5m difference. So I would say 3m Zombieland and 2.5m Maleficent. But I would look at comps from others to make closer prediction.
  14. Quick run for Mal and Zom previews shows at AMC Zom has just caught up to Mal numbers(almost 33k). May be by end of day both these movies can get beyond 40K then preview number could be better than what i posted earlier. Let me confirm this evening.
  15. Zom OD (Thursday Mid day update AMC - 22528/422540 (2665 shows) Cin - 12344/285376(2525 shows) Very good increase from yesterday especially in AMC. Still this wont be as backloaded as Maleficent and so I am not sensing more than 25m this weekend.
  16. Mal 2 OD PS (thursday afternoon update) AMC - 36202/653607 (3561 shows) Cin - 23206/425392 (3110 shows) Very good boost across both the chains. Could hit double digits OD even with low 2m previews.
  17. Yes. Looking more like 30m OW. That means Joker will repeat for sure. I want to check again tonight to confirm how things finish. I have not tracked that many previews to be absolutely sure but based on the numbers seen Preview sales are around 1-1.2m. I just dont see it coming close to 3m as its already past 5PM eastern.
  18. Zombieland (Mid day Thursday Update) AMC - 26901/132598(842 shows) Cin - 14380/95472 (970 shows) Almost caught up to Maleficent and will probably finish better. Probably 2.5m previews at this point.
  19. Mal2 (Mid day thursday update AMC - 28008/205082 (1080 shows) Cin - 14455/164560 (1287 shows) Don’t see this hit 3m with this number. Probably closer to 2m previews.
  20. BOM will report what ever studio tells them. But it could be a typo but 39m for 3 days seem low.
  21. phenomenal number. This shows how strong evenings are and Its hard to extrapolate unless you have numbers in the evening. I have a quick and dirty script that I can execute in the evening today. Let us see how things go. I dont see Joker below 35m this weekend. Last week behavior was weird with mild boosts due to yom kippur and some schools being off on friday. This week you will see normal behavior
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