keysersoze123
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Everything posted by keysersoze123
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 8816/120903 151276.88 928 shows +1789 Friday - 11213/298520 185865.53 2209 shows +2609 yikes. No acceleration seen today. Probably looking at 700-800K previews now. At least Friday pace/number is ahead of Abigail. Does not look like its going to hit double digits 😞 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Abigail MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 10465/216094 177343.31 1350 shows +2490 Friday - 9639/408683 158408.56 2535 shows +2238 May be I am over estimating this movie. But expecting it to have good walkups tomorrow. So no change in previews prediction but OW bumping it down to low double digits. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes MTC1 Early Shows(5/8) - 11255/89557 244706.43 365 shows Previews - 9377/459726 189282.69 2306 shows Friday - 7901/652644 154054.47 3233 shows Again minus early shows, presales are moribund. This is 15 days of update 🙂 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Fall Guy MTC1 Early Shows - 7520/91619 169143.92 371 shows Previews - 7409/329914 154230.01 1581 shows Friday - 6774/592388 133358.50 2790 shows Again there is almost no pace. There is still time but unless the pace picks up dramatically, we are looking at a disappointment. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Early Shows(04-22) - 10009/59743 212865.41 249 shows Previews - 6995/227709 142617.23 1297 shows Friday - 5707/357727 112547.81 2009 shows Strong early show sales and looking at previews/Friday, its looking at 20m OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 7027/120427 121282.69 923 shows +1719 Friday - 8604/296883 143249.24 2194 shows +2399 Its show count is low but its pace is higher than Abigail. That said I am expecting final day sales for Abigail to be higher looking at the genre. That said at least at MTC1 its going to be close. With around 500K gross from early shows and probably around 1m thursday, its also looking at low to mid teens OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Abigail MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 7975/215247 134951.99 1344 shows Friday - 7401/405967 120543.70 2508 shows Sold just over 1600 tickets today for previews and 1800+ for friday. Probably looking at 1m ish previews and mid teens OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I did not check. Was busy with a project. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Ok. its doing well but release is very limited and at MTC1 its only standard shows and that too at $5 ticket price everywhere. I dont think its going to even hit 1m. Anyway Spidey Monday MTC1 - 25699/49929 128495.00 318 shows Also Civil War Friday for reference - 115641/710535 1944262.87 3618 shows Since you said 7m TF, it did not over index that much today. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
you should compare only thursday to thursday. Early shows dont have similar release size. Civil War had very limited early shows only. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
What I meant is its not behaving like a big breakout. I am sure anecdotally doing well in big cities. That does not make any movie a breakout. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Dont Worry darling had a bigger cast. I was looking at presales for that movie and it wont be easy for Challengers to be that big. Let us wait and see close to release. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Put anecdotal. Its definitely not close to selling out everywhere. So far release looks small. I am not buying a big OW at this point. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Civil War MTC1 Previews Final - 65334/400424 1181922.83 2098 shows +27979 Friday - 44491/706164 808746.43 3595 shows +11710 Really strong final day of walkups. I am thinking 3.3m+ true thursday and another 325K for early shows. OW should be low 20s at minimum. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Looking like its going to have a strong finish. Definitely 3m+. Probably around 3.5m with early shows if they club it together. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Civil War MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 37355/398875 715288.13 2087 shows +6390 Friday - 32781/704452 610358.39 3581 shows +6763 There was not that much of an acceleration today. I dont think this movie will over index as much as Monkey King but 35% MTC1 ratio means it needs to have good walkups to hit 3m. Let us see how things go tomorrow. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Civil War MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 30965/398149 600910.07 2084 shows +5597 Friday - 26018/699115 491670.30 3556 shows +5669 Really strong day for Civil War. This is definitely not another Monkey King. Its probably going for 3m thursday at this point. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Are you taking about Apes movie. I did take a look and presales does not scream a huge breakout. Early shows have good presales but that is just it. Definitely nothing like what Quorum is predicting. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Civil War MTC1 Early Shows Final - 9304/15392 211793.46 52 shows Previews(T-3) - 25368/372819 497887.18 1918 shows +3610 Friday - 20349/622796 391428.55 3081 shows +3253 Early shows looks like ~325K based on show count posted by @katnisscinnaplex. Definite growth again for previews. Also this is playing better at most places than say Monkey Man last week. So I am going to bump up thursday alone at 2.5m+ at this point. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
No clue but there are couple of others who have looked at it and it seem to be doing nothing so far. But horror tends to be walkup friendly and so we have to wait until release day to see how it goes. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Civil War MTC1 Early Shows(4/8) - 8104/15392 186110.96 52 shows Previews(T-4) - 21758/350298 430581.70 1758 shows +2158 Friday - 17096/575346 331903.44 2804 shows +2075 Now thinking 500K is possible for early shows. @katnisscinnaplex do you have show count for tomorrow? Preview sales have picked up today. Let us see how final 4 days goes.