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LonePirate

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Posts posted by LonePirate

  1. I checked some AMC theaters in NYC and LA for Civil War on Thursday the 11th and the 7:00 hour shows were selling briskly in IMAX and Dolby. I then checked Chicago and SF and some tickets had been sold but nowhere even close to the levels in NYC and LA. I then checked Dallas and Boston. They had sold a few but were a step or two behind Chicago and SF. 
     

    I’ll defer to others as to how normal this behavior is with over two weeks to go.

    • Like 2
  2. I think people are overconfident about Joker 2’s chances. It should open well but I think its legs will be poor. Mixing the two genres is going to leave audiences confused if not angry. The trailer and ad campaign better shine some light on how much a musical the film actually is because audiences are going to reach a point where disguising musicals as other types of films is going to piss them off. This film could well be it.

    • Sad 1
  3. 9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

    Oppenheimer has achieved almost everything. Next is only strong run at Japan. Early PS makes me slightly optimistic it will do very well in large cities with big expat population. 

    Any chance it comes close to $40M in Japan in order for the film to hit $1B? Seems unlikely to me but Japan does have a connection to the film no other country can claim and that might be enough to drive it higher than expected.

  4. 29 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

    I liked Zendaya's performance but it just seemed a bit anachronistic to the culture of the movie. She just seemed like an American girl to me. 

    I have no issues with her performance. It’s the writing for her character that largely failed her. She simply did not factor much into the film apart from one scene. Her presence in the film would not have been missed if she was absent from it apart from that one scene. Her character otherwise was a non-entity in the film.

  5. Finally watched Dune in IMAX yesterday and it is certainly a well-crafted movie. Definitely nice to understand the context behind all of the Stilgar memes floating around. Ferguson and Butler were the obvious standouts with Pugh being a rung behind simply due to not having enough to do. Zendaya was fine but she was largely wasted as she really only had one purpose in the film. As for Chalamet, he simply does not have the screen presence necessary for the part he’s playing. He may be the luckiest actor in Hollywood in recent years largely thanks to the high profile roles he has been given. 

    • Like 4
    • ...wtf 4
  6. Oppenheimer is now about $1.7M away from reaching a 4.0x domestic multiplier. It will likely crawl to make it there but it is still a good 2-3 weeks away.

     

    I wonder what sort of Valentine’s Day bounce Anyone But You will receive. Will it be enough to push the film over $90M domestic?

  7. 2 hours ago, Valonqar said:

    The movie didn't play well with foreign voters (also see BAFTA flop where Gerwig and movie missed) whose % is growing rapidly and thus changing the nomination landscape such as inclusion of more foreign movies in Top 10. And Poor Things as very artsy movie is closer to foreign voters sensibilities than than something like Barbie or other blockbuster that they consider lightweight or too American. They are picked from film-makers not regular audience hence more highbrow tastes.

     

    This is the correct explanation I believe. While foreign audiences may have loved Barbie, the foreign members of the Academy simply didn’t think so. The BAFTA snubs should have been red flags for everyone that Barbie was headed for some resistance from Oscar voters.

  8. Will Nolan win 2 or 3 awards? The film’s heft will likely carry over into the Adapted Screenplay category to give him that third one of the night. His other two categories are in no way close horse races whatsoever.

     

    The Best Actor category will be an interesting battle between Giamatti and Murphy. BAFTA and SAG should help portend the winner. Unlike during the nominating round, all of the technical branches vote in all categories. Nolan has a lot of past nominees and winners in those areas who will likely be voting for Oppenheimer in all 13 categories.

  9. Were people really expecting Soul to perform well? It's a Disney Pixar film about an older man unlike Turning Red and Luca, both of which are about kids. It's not Up where a kid and dog also were prominent characters. I don't think Turning Red and Luca are going to set the  box office on fire; but the appeal for Soul is just not there after being on Disney+ for a couple of years.

    • Like 1
  10. 25 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

    Wish All of us Strangers was doing better and getting more nominations. 

    From now on, I am preparing to be wrecked emotionally by any film with Paul Mescal. Amazing to think that he’s an actor now because an injury derailed his football (soccer) career. Glad he’s getting a star making turn in the upcoming Gladiator sequel to go along with his Oscar nom from last year.

  11. Didn’t feel like dragging myself to a theater to see any of the new releases so instead I caught up with a couple of films on streaming.


    The first was Leave the World Behind. There was an interesting premise in it that left the door wide open for a sequel that does not need to be made. I did enjoy the film, though.

     

    The second was Aftersun which certainly deserves more eyeballs as it is quite engaging and delivers an emotional gut punch at the end. It’s not for everyone but it is aces in all regards.

    • Like 1
  12. qgX5H5g.jpeg
     

    The regular IMAX re-release of Oppenheimer is still very light for pre-sales this weekend; but the 70mm IMAX showings like this one at Lincoln Square in NYC and others like the one at the AMC Metreon in SF are selling plenty of tickets. With Oscar noms coming soon, the film is still inching towards the $1B threshold with roughly $48M more to go. Overseas numbers will need to increase to make $1B a reality.

    • Like 2
  13. The Color Purple is easily selling 2x-3x more tickets than anything else on Monday in the theaters near me. Several showings are down to a single digit number of seats available despite playing in some of the largest auditoriums. It should easily clear $20M for the day. I wouldn’t be surprised if it hits $30M for the day.

    • Like 4
  14. Attended a matinee showing of Poor Things. It’s a mixed bag for me. Once you accept the central premise of the movie as being possible in this cinematic universe, there are some entertaining and funny moments. On the flip side, some of it is simply too absurd and too prurient to serve any purpose. Then there was the clerical error of mixing up God and Goat on the last scene. Stone was terrific throughout as she fully committed to the role in every regard.

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