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LonePirate

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  1. LonePirate
    The TR drop this weekend is going to be brutal. It faces direct competition and it will be losing a lot of screens as well. It might not clear $4M.
  2. LonePirate
    I agree with what you're saying. I merely added that tweet because it is emblematic of the intense emotional attachment many viewers have with Love, Simon. Given that most of us are movie fans on this site, it's great to see people connecting so strongly with a film. Maybe we're spoiled right now because we're seeing it with both Simon and Black Panther. Such strong feelings about a movie don't happen very often. Sure, plenty of good movies are released every year which people enjoy. LS and BP are on a whole other level. Wonder Woman seemed to generate a similar response last year but I cannot remember the last film before WW to do that. It's rare and special. It deserves to be appreciated. For those of us on this site, at least for me, it is unusual for a film to evoke such attachments but not set the box office on fire. I kind of wish I worked at Fox right now, even in an unpaid position, just to study and learn from this film's targeted marketing and impact. Fox knew months ago they had a good movie on their hands but I don't think they knew how to market it effectively and obtain the audience they wanted for it.
  3. LonePirate
    Yeah, it's a bit of an understatement to say this movie is well-liked. Fans are downright protective of it.
  4. LonePirate
    ICOI has a showing in 30 minutes at one of my local theaters. It has sold almost 50% of the seats in 250 seat auditorium. The people around me love this movie.
  5. LonePirate
    I think the release date may be partially to blame. There are simply too many films out right now. Plus, the movie feels like an October release to me. I wonder what would have happened if the film had opened on Super Bowl weekend. It would have claimed the #1 spot for the weekend if it had grossed the same as it did last weekend. I doubt the second weekend of Maze Runner would have impacted its opening much. Simon would have held up well in its second weekend as Fifty Shades Freed was going after a different audience. A few days later, Valentine's Day would have seen it do remarkable business. Then it could have captured spillover business from people who could not get in to see BP during that weekend. By then, its legs would have kicked in for a nice run. I don't know. I'm not in the marketing department of a movie studio so maybe I am completely wrong about MR and FSF impacting it with a Super Bowl weekend opening. Regardless, LS is beloved by the people who have seen it. It has developed a cult-like following, even if the film is on the verge of outgrossing the threshold for a cult status film. If nothing else, I hope the film encourages studios to release more high quality rom coms, be it with straight or not straight romantic leads.
  6. LonePirate
    I wish I could go back in time and sit in on some of the pitch meetings for ICOI. I have no doubt I would be amazed by the persuasive tactics used to secure financing for a movie about a 15+ year old Christian music song. How many times were they laughed out of the room? How many times did they get hung up on almost immediately? Yet here we are now looking at, arguably, the most surprising hit of the year. The film has zero appeal to me and I will never watch it. Still, I have to applaud the people behind ICOI for getting it made and turning it into a completely unexpected success.
  7. LonePirate
    This film sure does have its passionate fans. Eleven times is reaching a level of repeat viewings unheard of since Titanic.
  8. LonePirate
    Yeah, where is the backlash to BP? It's certainly not present at the box office or in how its fans reacted to it or in how it generated massive buzz and respect within society. I liked the film more than Baumer did, perhaps a 9 or 9.5 from me. However, I am open to the possibility of people genuinely disliking the film, provided of course, those reasons are not based wholly on the race of the movie's cast. From what I have seen, many of the Americans who dislike the film are doing so only for bigoted reasons.
  9. LonePirate
    Game Night's PTA increased this weekend over last weekend despite the 26% overall drop. The film is indeed holding well. A great title, recognizable stars and a marketplace that has abandoned adults have all worked in its favor. I'm wondering if AWIT and LS swap places once actuals arrive on Monday. Will BP outgross PR:U next weekend? Seems possible to me.
  10. LonePirate
    Exactly. While the sub-20% drop looks good, it lost roughly 40% of its PTA which takes some shine off the film's performance. It is still performing very well, though. A final gross of at least $70M seems very likely.
  11. LonePirate
    PR:U seems to have found something of an audience on Saturday or else that estimate will suffer a noticeable decrease come Monday afternoon. That TR drop is better than I expected but it is still not great. It will be losing a lot of screens next week. GN has become a nice mid-range hit. Going after the adult comedy market with no competition has carried it along nicely.
  12. LonePirate
    You obviously are not aware of the massive geographical and cultural differences that exist in the US, the most diverse nation on the planet.
  13. LonePirate
    You obviously don't know any adults who have seen it as they are reacting just as strongly as the teens you're criticizing. The film's ability to generate such strong emotions from such a wide range of moviegoers in age, ethnicity, geography, culture and class speaks to its high quality of film making, even if you disagree.
  14. LonePirate
    Yeah, your dislike of it is very uncommon, provided you have seen it. Most of the people watching LS are reacting positively to the emotions it elicits, much like this girl: The movie is not raking in big bucks but a sizable share of its audience has seen it at least twice. It doesn't take long to read through the hashtag to find people who have seen it multiple times. I've seen tweets from three people who have seen it at least eight times.
  15. LonePirate
    The drop for ICOI is not as good as it seems given the 600+ theaters it gained this weekend. Still, the film is holding very well, no doubt about it. I don't think it hits $100M but $80M seems possible as it will be a little shy of $40M after this weekend. Paul doesn't seem to have hurt it much at all.
  16. LonePirate
    Thanks for the correction. Not sure why she didn't choose Detroit then but maybe she has a fondness for Minneapolis.
  17. LonePirate
    Yes, McAdams was the best thing about that season of TD but Kitsch was good in his role. Farrell was meh and the less said about Vaughn, the better. Season 1 was vastly superior in every regard, though.
  18. LonePirate
    Simon had the best percentage increase of any of the wide releases yesterday. Hopefully it can produce another large increase today. It would be great if it can hit $3.5M today.
  19. LonePirate
    Nightcrawler was an excellent film. He was also good in Prisoners which is a classic that does not receive nearly enough credit for being as good as it is. His films don't make much money but Gyllenhaal does pick great material and is building a strong career for himself.
  20. LonePirate
    After the success of the Hunger Games series, I am kind of surprised Liam Hemsworth has done pretty much nothing of significance since then. Maybe Hollywood only has room for one Hemsworth. Similarly, I would have expected Hunnam to capitalize on his Sons of Anarchy buzz into something of a movie career. Evidently not. As for Kitsch, he was OK in John Carter and he did have one great scene in Battleship even though that movie was beyond horrible. He should probably stick to TV where he can recreate his Friday Night Lights and True Detective success. I think that film would be lucky to make 24M total, let alone OW.
  21. LonePirate
    Out of Sight is perhaps his most underrated movie. He was still learning his craft then but it's a good film. Clooney was also good in it. Definitely worth a rewatch if you have not seen it in years.
  22. LonePirate
    The TR drop should be a surprise to no one. It was passed in the dailies two days ago by a film about a Christian music song. Nobody except the true believers had even heard of that movie two weeks ago. Sure, Vikander deserves better but TR should still cross $50M. Maybe.
  23. LonePirate
    Something is being underestimated that is for sure. I was running late so I didn't have time to check tickets sold at the theater closest to me; but the parking lot was jam packed for the first round of afternoon shows today. It was as full as it gets during evening prime time on the weekends. I suspect ICOI and/or Paul are going to exceed these initial estimates.
  24. LonePirate
    Kristen Bell is also buying out a theater in her hometown of Minneapolis. Greg Berlanti and his husband Robbie Rogers are buying out a theater in Kentucky and another one in Mississippi. Somebody else I had never heard of is buying out a showing in Boston. Good for them for helping out the people in their hometowns. Granted, these buyouts won't have much impact on the box office; but they do prove how much people love this movie and how much they want others to see it. I wouldn't be surprised if more celebrities hop on this theater buyout bandwagon given how beloved the film is. Plus, for Hollywood stars, spending a few thousand bucks on a theater buyout is a pretty cheap way to express their gratitude and assist their communities. I wouldn't be surprised if Ellen, Jim Parsons, Neil Patrick Harris, anyone who has ever worked with Berlanti or any LGBTQ+ ally in Hollywood also buyout showings in the days to come. This film certainly has earned the adoration it is receiving. ETA: NPH has bought out a showing in Albuquerque. I expect more celebs will follow suit.
  25. LonePirate
    If Simon manages to land in that range from Deadline, then $8M would be a 32% drop and $10M would be a 15% drop. Maybe its exceptional WOM is finally starting to kick in.
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