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wildphantom

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About wildphantom

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  1. Going to be hilarious hearing from all the naysayers when this has one of the biggest opening weekends of all time at Christmas. The cinemas are dead don’t forget!
  2. I didn’t expect my post to be met with questioning whether people would show up for a brand they’ve consistently shown up for in a territory. My point was that the appetite for going to the movies in China right now is clearly extraordinary. You can look further back from this weekend to see that. An MCU movie, or a F&F movie is about as sure a thing as Hollywood has for that market. With them having just spent a record $400 million in 3 days on one of their own comedies (even with some distancing) bodes like a pretty sure thing for Black Widow. I don’t see them delaying it again.
  3. This. There’s the likes of John Campea, convinced Disney will move Widow again. I keep saying, it isn’t all about America now. A near $400 million opening weekend for Detective Chinatown 3 is going to have them doubling down on releasing it as planned - whether the US is ready for it or not. I think international will likely ensure a pretty decent summer performance for the studios. I’m not taking anything for granted after the horrendous year everybody has had, but I think it’s important to be hopeful. I watched Con Air and Face/Off over the weekend. What a summer 1997 was. We took it for granted
  4. I don’t think they’ll need any gimmicks. Just movies people want to see that they can’t see anywhere else. That’ll largely be down to the studios backing theaters of course, but they’d be mad not to. I’ve never felt less enthused to watch blockbuster movies in my life. And I love them. Without the theater they’re borderline pointless.
  5. This is great work. Really enjoying this. I’m a little surprised that Close Encounters ended up so low in the top ten, but other than that...well, the top five is what I expected. As for what order, we shall see!
  6. Nope. That was the loss from what they spent on streaming. A ton of it on renewing sports rights for ESPN.
  7. Agree. But there’s only so many video services that people will pay $15 a month for all year long. We also cannot underestimate how much money it costs to run these services. It’s a fortune. Disney made nearly $5 billion in revenue from streaming in the last quarter (Disney Plus, ESPN and Hulu) and still made a loss of nearly $600 million. Crazy.
  8. Yep, it’ll be interesting for sure. I saw Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom at my local indie tonight in the UK. It’s on Netflix in a couple of weeks and everybody knows it. Yet my screening still had plenty in there, paying what Netflix would cost them a month, plus food and drink. Why, when we could just watch it at home in a couple of weeks? Because it’s THE MOVIES. There’s a magic about it that has never gone away. I remain confident that people will come back in very strong numbers once we’re all vaccinated. We might see a downturn in the number of screens in multiplexes, but there’s still a big audience that will want to see films theatrically, even if they can watch them at home. They need to be served, and exhibitors will have to adapt to lure them in. I don’t think there’s many people on here that would want an opening night of an MCU movie to be in their living room, instead of with fellow fans in a packed out huge screening at a theater. As Gandalf would say “that is an encouraging thought”
  9. Amazon is a bit different as it’s the delivery service as much as the video. Whichever way you look at it, three hundred million people paid to see Endgame worldwide. One movie. Not unlimited movies and tv shows....but ONE movie. That kind of revenue just cannot be attained by a streaming service. not only that, but people pay to see the movie, they pay to rent/buy it months later. There’s a number of windows for cash - as opposed to throwing it on streaming day one and then it’s over. I’m not as down at today’s news as some are. I think it’s shortsighted and unsustainable. People are always going to want to go out and see movies, and once we’re near the other side of this awful pandemic and a big movie goes all out theaters only - you’ll see fireworks. just a play for subscribers. All it is.
  10. Ummm, near 90 million people went to see Endgame just last year in America. NINETY MILLION. Show me a streaming service that has that many subscribers in the states. And that was just for one movie. People love going to the movies. Not in as consistently large numbers as once upon a time, but it is still THE thing that people do for entertainment when getting out of the house. Personally I still believe people will go where the films they want to watch are. If the only way they can see the next Avengers is in theaters, then that’s where they’ll go. I don’t think this news today will particularly thrill the millions of moviegoers out there that are missing going to the movies, let alone all the other things they love. This is a play for subscribers gamble, and at $15 a month, with that slate? On top of Netflix and Disney+ subs? I’m not convinced. whilst I do think Disney might well announce Black Widow for Disney Plus next week, it seems foolish to banish massive potential revenues from theatre-going when a vaccine is about to begin its rollout. In six months, with the vulnerable taken care of, this is going to be a whole different ball game. I wish WB had given the cinemas a month before putting the films on HBO Max, but there we go. You can bet most of the big movies will open internationally before they come out domestically.
  11. Mine will be in by the 30th. A third of the way through a marathon of all 32 movies.
  12. I just checked out my local indie and the upcoming show of On the Rocks is almost sold out (with social distancing reduction of course). A movie that everybody knows is on Apple in a couple of weeks, and they're still coming out to see it. Desperate to see new movies. Which ironically the indie cinemas can provide due to not adhering to the 'window' law. There's a continuous pipeline of major movies coming out in the coming months from superstar filmmakers, and big stars. Indie cinemas are going to do great with these. If only the behemoth chains thought differently! I can only speak for myself, but I will always try and see a major film theatrically if I can - even if I know it will be on streaming in two weeks. The way these films are performing in indie cinemas further shows that appetite. Big screen is still a player, window or not.
  13. People are going out to restaurants to get out and do something enjoyable. You say eating is a necessity, but they can just eat at home - so why are they going out? They're going out because people like to go out and enjoy themselves. Restaurants, bars, movies, bowling - whatever. They wouldn't be going to the restaurants if there was no food they wanted to eat there. That's what's happening to plenty of people who would go to the movies if there was something to choose from. I take your point on the broadway comparison, but like I said earlier - it is totally different. To run a stage theater you have to be able to fill it completely to make anything. A movie can be shown tens of thousands of times from that one production. It's not a fair comparison. They had to shift everything back as they can't function without full capacity. Cinemas can function, and are all over the world. They just need product.
  14. sure. it varies from state to state, town to town I would imagine? I guess other forum members would be the ones to verify that, depending on what States they are in. Forgive me for my assumption on much of what I am saying. I am forming much of what I believe in what I'm hearing, reading, seeing - and from you guys.
  15. Some cracking discussion going on now - well done guys. I think most of us have had enough of this. There's nothing we can do about it, but we can call out mistakes that have been made. For every person that doesn't feel comfortable going to a theater, there is someone who will. The latter is not being served, and the former isn't getting the movies either. You've got the same customers, just at opposite ends of how they're willing to seek your movie out. So adapt and keep them both happy. It is disgraceful that the studios and exhibitors didn't work this out months ago. A temporary new window and realistic pricing and I don't think we would be in this situation where theaters are on their knees. Greed is killing the industry as we know it.
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