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Incarnadine

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Everything posted by Incarnadine

  1. I'll be seeing this in theaters, the first movie since Godzilla Minus One that I'll see in theaters. Pretty pathetic that I haven't gone in 2024 at all yet. There were a couple I was on the fence on, but never pulled the trigger. Pre lock downs I literally went more than 50 times a year (big movies opening weekend, smaller movies and 2nd or even 3rd viewings on discount Tuesdays), now it's once every 2 months or so.😑 I was actually about to buy tickets, but since my last time getting tickets online they have added a $1 online booking fee and raised ticket prices to $21 for AVX (the only option right now, regular will be added closer to release date). This is just plain crazy now. I'll still see it, but I'll get tickets in person tomorrow since the theater happens to be a convenient stop on my way home from work.
  2. Didn't Disney say there were no longer reporting International markets? I just checked and a number of markets are showing totals going through December 10th (U.K. , Spain and Mexico among the largest markets still reporting). It's not much, it looks like about $2.9m total for both last week and the weekend. Maybe Disney just really wanted to show it finally passed $200m WW?😈 WW total stands at $202,229,615.
  3. It did lose 500 this week and that was without any major openings. With Wonka coming out I'll be surprised if TM is still over 1000 this weekend.
  4. Interesting, so far for every movie that actuals have been posted here the number is up from estimates. Usually some go up and others go down a bit, but it looks like the weekend overall was stronger than expected.
  5. Probably a toss up. TM will make a bit more but Wish had a smaller budget (TM $270m vs Wish $200m are the rough numbers I remember seeing). Someone put in a very easy to explain way as to how much these 2 movies will lose between them. Figure combines budgets of $470m and roughly $100m each for marketing (probably a bit low), then figure roughly $400m combined WW boxoffice take of which Disney will get about 50%. So Disney recovers $200m from boxoffice, which covers the marketing costs, but doesn't even touch the budgets leaving a nearly half a Billion in losses.
  6. Wow, Wish nearly caught by Trolls in the dailies already. Not a good sign of legs, but then again the Monday number already dispelled any hope of legs.🤡
  7. Damn, that drop for Wish is considerably higher that the others. Napoleon -69.1% BOSS -71% TM -75.8% Wish -83.3%
  8. Wow, BOSS is just $0.9m behind TM now despite opening to $1.5m less and a week later. What a difference WOM makes. After today BOSS will blow past TM and by the end of the weekend will likely have a higher boxoffice than TM will end up after its entire run.😲
  9. Damn, last time I looked the RT score was 58% and now it's down to 51%. Even worse the Top Critics score is just 31%. Absolutely nothing working out for Disney this year.
  10. That's a really solid hold for Hunger Games, more than double the first Monday for The Marvels. It really shows the difference WOM can make. Both movies had a very similar OW (TM was about $1.5m ahead), BOSS has already moved $1.3m ahead after day 4. I quite liked BOSS, even if like most others I thought the 3rd act was weak. Crowd reaction when it was over was quite positive. I think this will do a bit better than 3x its OW. I hope this has a solid Tuesday bump, I'd love to see $6.6m to double TM first Tuesday.
  11. It's kind of amusing that The Flash was a contender for biggest flop of all time and now it's not even going to be the biggest flop of the year.😈
  12. So, The Marvels is seriously likely to end up lower than The Flash WW ($270.633M), and has a legitimate shot at under for Domestic as well ($108.133M). I know it was tracking low for quite a while now and expectations were being lowered almost daily, but did anyone in their wildest dreams (or nightmares?) see numbers this low coming. I will say it makes watching the boxoffice numbers really interesting, like watching a trainwreck in slow motion.🚂
  13. Are they planning on charging full price for tickets? I enjoy seeing movies on the big screen, but only in a rare few will I be willing to pay full admission price these days ($14.50 now, more for 3D or VIP). I like when they have the Flashback Film Festival each year where there is a decent selection of movies over 1 week and admission was just $6 the last time I went. I saw Pulp Fiction, Jaws, Battle Royal, Lord of the Rings, Close Encounters of the Third Kind and Gremlins I believe. I'd see THG for a discount, but not full price, although I did pay full price when the showed Avatar before Avatar 2 released.
  14. We really are in a stagnant part of the year right now. It's already Friday and the weekday thread this week isn't even close to getting past page 1. The movies playing have either been out for ages or have only minimal interest and there's at least 2 weeks until we get something that may finally spark some interest. Ah well, back to lurking until things pick up again.😛
  15. Since you mentioned Babylon, that's the second time Margot took over a role that Emma dropped out from, the first being Focus.
  16. Really looking forward to this. I actually just watched the trailer again and it is as out there as I remembered. The movements and dancing from Stone remind me a lot of that Will Butler music video "Anna" that Stone starred in, weird but fun.
  17. I never saw this in the theater, but I see that next Saturday The Flash is free on Crave. I suppose I'll have to check it out now just to see if it's as bad as its boxoffice take makes it out to be.🤔
  18. I actually saw that in the theater way back. I didn't find it bad, but it is probably top 5 for weird. The one thing that sticks out is I saw more people walk out of that movie than any other movie I saw, by far. Personally I've never walked out of a movie, but I was a hair away from walking out of Tree of Life, soooooo boring!
  19. I haven't heard much about this and haven't looked into it beyond the trailers and posters, but it doesn't look terrible. That being said it also doesn't look particularly great either, it's just kind of there. It's kind of hard to nail down how it might do, it could bomb, it might also be moderately successful, though opinions I've been reading indicate the former. If the budget had been closer to $80M than $120M this might have been a nice little moderate "filler" movie in a weak schedule, unless the writing/acting are truly terrible, in which case bombs away.😜
  20. So, is that net profits? We all know how creative Hollywood accounting is when it comes to paying out people who are supposed to get a % of the net profits. Going by their accounting there has never been a movie that made a profit.😛 I still remember the Forrest Gump lawsuit. The author was owed 3% of the net profits, the movie had a budget of $55M and did $678M WW and Paramount was claiming the movie was still over $60M in the red.😄
  21. That was a bad one, but it had a budget of just $5m. When I think of a contender for all time bomb I think of Pluto Nash. Big star, $100m budget (back in 2002!) and a truly epic fail at the boxoffice.
  22. Pretty amazing that Barbie opened almost exactly 2:1 over Oppenheimer and that ratio has barely moved after 10 days, it's still just barely over the 2:1 ratio.
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