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juni78ukr

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Everything posted by juni78ukr

  1. The Way of Water would easily beat the first movie. 5 bln rub is a safe prediction, likely more. It's doing huge money without any advertising basically in pirated copies.
  2. Avatar: The Way of Water grossed at least $2.7 mln this weekend in Russia. But officially Hollywood wouldn't get a single cent. At least for now.
  3. Avatar didnt do much in CIS counties. Around 4% of overall gross. 9.42 admissions right now.
  4. Just some quick notes. A local movie Cheburashka broke pretty much all box office records in Russia. Billion rub in 3 days, 2 billions in 6 days, Around 2390 mln RUB or $33.9 mln just from Sunday to Friday . Will easily pass Avatar all-time record in gross (3659.2 mln RUB). Not so sure about admissions. 14.3 mln admissions would be hard to beat. Avatar: The Way of Water grossed so far huge $8.21 mln in Kazakhstan and other CIS countries. First movie ever with more than milliion admissions in Kazakhstan, Would be enourmous hit if properly released in Russia. 5bln RUB or $70+ mln is a reasonable estimate. Actually some theaters are alreadly have undercover shows of Avatar and many others will join after the holidays. Real box office is hard to estimate with no official reports but in major cities average attendance might be between 100 and 200 people per show. Local movie share in Russia right now is around 95%. But Operation Fortune (January, 12th) is expected to do very well. People just love Guy Richie's movies. Among recent independent foreign moderate hits ($2-3 mln) are Three Thousand Years of Longing, Paws of Fury, Fall and After Ever Happy.
  5. $4.61 mln including Saturday. Already well above lifetime grosses of Dr. Strange 2 and Wakanda Forever.
  6. Around $2.45 mln CIS countries without Russia and Belarus, Best opening ever.
  7. We have top 10 weekend charts for Latvia and Estonia. Admission numbers are available too. https://www.kinobusiness.com/kassa_world_prokata/other_countries/estonia/ https://www.kinobusiness.com/kassa_world_prokata/other_countries/latvia/
  8. Is it possible that after weak New Year grosses Chinese authorities will be more lenient towards Hollywood movies? Apparently they do not want to see box office decreased compared to last year and do not want to lose box office crown to US again.
  9. Is there any sourse left for weekend top 10 in admission? Had at least three 3 sites with more or less reliable numbers before covid but all of them have no updates for long time or even removed their databases. And why is Morbius in official weekly charts from Ancine since 15 December?
  10. Still no presales for New Year releases. Anyone know when they will start?
  11. Public holidays in Russia all this week. Monday will be the first working day. Spider-Man NWH is the biggest movie ever in Ukraine. 160.19 mln UAH or $5.88 mln, 1 404 803 admission. Will pass Avatar record in admissions too.
  12. Canacine once again added numbers for the whole week. Is it really hard to do the same job every week?
  13. The bigest opening ever in Ukraine. $2,2 mln weekend and $2.45 mln with Wednesday previews. 515 361 admissions.
  14. Didnt you realize that words encourage, recommend, advise, ask, suggest are a recipe for disaster? No enforcement too many people will simply ignore all the rules. People are smart and will make their own decisions. Heard that rubbish too many times in last two years. Closing pubs and restaurants early would be absolutely pointless. Zero effect, Omicron is spreading too fast. No time for trying half measures and those or "social distancing" are not even half measures.
  15. https://www.yahoo.com/news/highly-vaccinated-countries-thought-were-154515101.html Scientists caution that the knowledge of omicron remains imprecise. Denmark's virus modelers have many scenarios, not just one. But even in a middle-of-the-road scenario, Danish hospitals will soon face a daily flow of patients several times beyond what they've previously seen. "This will overwhelm hospitals," Grove Krause said. "I don't have any doubt about it." In her office building, where she works with a six-person modeling team, she tried to explain why omicron amounted to such a setback in the fight against the pandemic. She likened the virus to a flood, and described how vaccines, under earlier variants, had acted like two barrier walls safeguarding the health system. One barrier resulted from the vaccines' ability to reduce the probability of infection, keeping spread low. The other barrier stemmed from the diminished likelihood of severe sickness and death. Both barriers had some holes, but together, they assured the floodwaters never got too high. But now, she said, the first barrier has been largely removed. Denmark's data shows people with two doses to be just as vulnerable to omicron infection as the unvaccinated. Those who've been boosted have better protection - a sign of hope - but meantime some three of four Danes have yet to receive a third dose, making the majority of the country vulnerable. That dynamic, coupled with a variant far more transmissible than the one from last winter, means any Danish person is now dramatically more likely to come in contact with the virus - including the old and the frail, as Denmark's demographics skew older, like much of the West. The water will now flow through the holes in the second wall. Denmark has 85% vaccinated. Apparently they are sure that 2 doses are not enough to prevent hospitals from overwhelming. They still provide some protection but not enough to prevent serious illness in many situations. Yes, they believe that the 3rd dose provide better protection. Still it will require some time to make shots and recieve actual boost in protection after them. The question is for how long and still it will be much less effective than in initial research. And we live in the global world, You might get 4th or 5th dose while billions of other people still have none, or one, or two. Those will interact, new variants will emerge. So the idea that we will be fine dont care about others will not work. Dont get me wrong, Any vaccine works and they are betther than nothing. Everyone should be vaccinated, But the whole idea that we will vaccinate 70-80%, drop all restrictions and return to normal life right now is dead.
  16. New variant emerged only a month ago. Came to Europe even later. Started mass spreading probably only 2 weeks ago. Of course it is pointless to talk about new deaths in such situation. They will be lagging at least for several weeks.
  17. Apparently vaccines didnt help much with omicron. Previous illness too. 2 doses of Astra Zeneca have negligible effect. No one is pretty sure about three. Omicron is a gamechanger. Only in September Denmark government announced that Covis is not a serious threat anymore. And now they are closing everything for 4 weeks with 84% of people aged 5 and above vaccinated.
  18. Spider-Man Early estimates 270 mln RUB or $3,67 mln Wednesday + 185 mln RUB or $2,51 mln Thursday Matrix Resurrections $965-970k Thursday
  19. My estimates 245-248 mln Russia + 35-40 mln CIS. Around 1.25 bln or $17 mln 5 days
  20. Where did you get your numbers?. Don't see anything like this on ComScore. So far less than 19 mln reported. There might be some delays due to public holidays in Kazakhstan today and tomorrow but still 65 mln RUB looks way too high.
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