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Everything posted by Burgess

  1. It really is. It's a good sign that NTTD could be close to $500M WW by the time it opens in China at the end of the month.
  2. ‘No Time To Die’ Nears $400M At Global Box Office https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2021/10/15/no-time-to-die-starring-daniel-craig-as-james-bond-007-nears-400-million-at-worldwide-box-office/?sh=43f81cda1772
  3. Obviously, we'll see what kind of domestic legs NTTD has, but I'm not completely convinced that the takeaway should be skewing younger. International numbers suggest that Bond is as strong as ever. I mean, many countries are still operating at limited capacity and NTTD has already grossed over $300M WW. With China and Australia upcoming, there's still a shot that NTTD comes in at number 2 or 3 in Hollywood box office takings for the year.
  4. Monday (10/11) is Columbus Day in the States. Maybe Sunday will have a smaller drop off from Saturday since people have the following day off.
  5. Yes. If NTTD stays the course then it'll gross 100 mill+ by Monday. It may even match or beat Spectre's opening weekend gross.
  6. ‘No Time To Die’ Clocks $22M Through Two Days Offshore, Sets Multiple Records – International Box Office https://deadline.com/2021/10/no-time-to-die-opening-weekend-uk-international-box-office-daniel-craig-james-bond-1234847227/
  7. I think this film will do well overseas. NTTD is getting people talking and, I think, the word is mostly positive. https://variety.com/2021/film/global/james-bond-zurich-film-festival-daniel-craig-1235076781/
  8. The video reviews I'm watching on YouTube all seem to praise NTTD as imperfect but really good. This may be too hard to fully parse but I think you'll see a split between Bond fans and major critics, while audiences and professional (sliding scale) bloggers will give the film consistent praise. I still think NTTD breaks $700 million.
  9. That seems low. If NTTD matches CR domestically at $160 mill, I don't see NTTD only doing $390 mill overseas.
  10. Everyone is low balling everything. It makes for a better narrative and builds some cushion. This will open to 120+.
  11. https://deadline.com/2021/09/no-time-to-die-international-box-office-preview-daniel-craig-james-bond-1234845794/ ‘No Time To Die’ Looking To Bond With $90 Million At Early International Box Office – Preview
  12. NTTD has a real shot at being number two or three for the year for both domestic and international grosses (excluding Chinese releases). I think this was true internationally (worldwide) even before the pandemic.
  13. Older is a relative term. Certainly, there are some 80 year old fans but the average sits between 25 and 45. I think NTTD will perform in Europe. I worry about Australia and China. NTTD opens in China at the end of the month, while the Australian opening is in November.
  14. It's currently tracking at 70 mill with 12-13 days to go. NTTD can open with $85+ million with good reviews and international momentum at the box office.
  15. I think you're exactly right. "Older" seems to be overemphasized. Certainly, Bond fans range from 8 to 80 but the major audience demographic is 25 to 45. "Hollywood.com analyzed Facebook mentions of the film Skyfall shortly after its release and found that among men, those aged 25 to 34 made the most frequent mentions and that mentions in the United Kingdom exceeded those in other countries. It found that 52% of the Facebook users who described themselves as Bond fans were female.[16] Fan demographics are considered by the filmmakers and the firms seeking product placement.
  16. I agree. NTTD is a hotly anticipated film but it's not a comic book movie. There will be a ton of walk-up business.
  17. ***Sorry about the re-post*** https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/no-time-to-die-james-bond-fever-britain-ticket-sales-1235019978/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
  18. I think the easy explanation for that is people have actually seen Dune. The premier took place at the Venice Film Festival and several markets are already playing it. The boards I'm on outside this site are seeing big buzz in the UK (of course) and much of Western Europe. Anecdotally, I'm seeing buzz where I live in the States.
  19. What would you use to quantify "commercially successful?"
  20. This is a quote from his original post: "Bond has been on screen for 60 years and its never been as commercially successful as it is now with the Craig iteration" Showing adjusted figures speaks to this not being true. Most films from the 60's don't appear on any competitive lists for inflation-adjusted grosses even though they existed within the same ecosystem as the Connery Bond films. Inflation is not the only metric used in judging a film's popularity, but tickets sold and relative box office gross are ways in which "commercially successful" can be quant
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