Burgess

Casino Royale and Skyfall had amazing legs. With NTTD’s similar critical acclaim, I wouldn’t underestimate its potential performance. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Could Sunday be higher, given the holiday? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

This hard... OHMSS, CR & TSWLM My favorite is TLD. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

To be fair, a marketing campaign was never attached to two of those previously announced release dates. But you bring up a good point about cash flow. I have to imagine that everyone involved (including MGM’s debt holders) see the logic and necessity in delaying NTTD theatrical release. There’s not really any good options, even with paid digital downloads, that can replace theater revenue. Assuming that advertising costs for the biggest films would stay the same for VOD, it’s cheaper than ever for studios to release films theatrically. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

There’s two ways a decision like this could go: It’s a great success for Disney that brings the rapid decline of theaters or it’s a moderate success that pushes theater owners to push back on Disney’s draconian rules for showcasing their films. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Maybe, but everyone is in the same position. With theme parks, movie theaters and current productions all shut down is Disney or Universal in any better position than MGM right now? If MGM’s plan is to use NTTD as leverage for a sale then sitting on a billion dollar earner with hundreds of millions in downstream media potential makes sense when it’s your only blockbuster. Unlike Disney and Uni, MGM isn’t juggling $100m+ loans for a half dozen (or more) unreleased films. Given worldwide events, January - March 2021 may be just as viable as April 2020 (pandemic notwithstanding) if NTTD has to move again. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Maybe, but everyone is in the same position. With theme parks, movie theaters and current productions all shut down is Disney or Universal in any better position than MGM right now? If MGM’s plan is to use NTTD as leverage for a sale then sitting on a billion dollar earner with hundreds of millions in downstream media potential makes sense when it’s your only blockbuster. Unlike Disney and Uni, MGM isn’t juggling $100m+ loans for a half dozen (or more) unreleased films. Given worldwide events, January - March 2021 may be just as viable as April 2020 (pandemic notwithstanding) if NTTD has to move again. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Different budgets and box office expectations. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

+1 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

https://www.comingsoon.net/movies/news/1126853-disney-halts-production-on-all-live-action-projects Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Maybe by late summer we’ll know whether NTTD has a shot at being the only billion dollar film in 2020. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

NTTD may have a shot at being the only billion dollar film of 2020. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

What about the rest of world? China is a major market but it’s only one of several that are grappling with COVID-19. The Chinese have been fighting this thing since November of 2019, and are just now starting to recover. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Unfortunately, MGM and EON's decision to move NTTD's release is looking more prophetic and wise by the day. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

No, I didn’t know what you were trying to say. It helps to actually just say what you mean like you did in the above post. You don’t know that there won’t be a mass quarantine or restrictions of public gatherings. The Chinese quarantined 50 million people for a couple of months so the scenario you say won’t happen did happen for one major country. It doesn’t take a 28 Days Later-style quarantine to cripple an economy or stop teenagers from going to the movies. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Whether or not we trust in the science, the fact is that the way in which governments and business are combating the spread of COVID-19 is impacting the entertainment business. The emergency response will continue to affect the entertainment business through the next several months. So, studios will have to adjust. It’s simply a practical matter. Also, don’t take offense, but to shrug your shoulders at the possible deaths of the young and old and sick is inhuman. Swap in Black or Jew as demographic descriptors to really hear how absurd your statement sounds. The responsibility of government is to save lives and that’s what they’re trying to do. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Die Another Day is the exception with a release date of November 22nd, 2002. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Oh, I’m sure. Having it open over the Thanksgiving Holiday also helps. Now an $88-90m opening looks more like a possible $100m Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

We’re on the same page. They did the smart thing. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

https://www.mi6-hq.com/news/extra-time-for-no-time-to-die-tinkering-200306?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

That’s a good idea! They really only need to make a splash with one of those festivals to get buzz going. Given Bond’s international appeal, Venice may be the most logical and conducive to a warm welcome. See the Joker’s reception at Venice compared to TIFF. Could they even do a separate Bond film festival that dovetails into one of those other festivals with NTTD? Uni held a streaming concert just to premier the F9 trailer. Things could get creative. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

That’s assuming exhibitors (theater chains) have the capacity to take on another Blockbuster in the the middle of the Spring/Summer schedule. Also, if the consensus is that things will get worse before they get better then MGM was smart to push NTTD out as far into 2020 as is financially viable. Disney may not be able to move Mulan due to theater contracts and BW could still be moved. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

But the loss in gross wasn’t just from China. If it had, I’d think they would be releasing in April. But most, if not all, of South East Asia is shuttered. Also parts of Europe and the Middle East. They were looking at a $300m loss, at least. “...theaters across the world have been shuttered in recent weeks, stretching from Japan to Italy. That could have resulted in a minimum of 30 percent shaved off the final box office tallies — a possible $300 million out of a likely $1 billion global haul.” https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.hollywoodreporter.com/amp/news/mgm-take-30-million-hit-moving-bond-film-no-time-die-1282803 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

That’s a good point but in that comparison the question is whether enough was done in 2009 to prevent the death of 200,000 people worldwide. Do we want to accept that hundreds of thousand of people can die now because it happened before? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Let’s not conflate pre-production issues with this release date change. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk