harry713
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Posts posted by harry713
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23 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
I'm not the best at projecting summer legs for animated movies but Elemental should be heading to 120 right? That'd be very nice number.
I think it could be looking at a range of $150-$170 considering the lack of competition. It will continue to play well to young audiences for the next 6+ weeks. Weekdays are especially strong. Considering how hard it had to fight for a theater audience, if it can crawl its way to 400m WW I think it can be considered a total win for Pixar, even if with that total it takes counting all ancillaries for it to break even for Disney.
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2 minutes ago, MightyDargon said:
What would have to happen for Beasts to hit 150 mil US?
Keep its theater count above 3000 for the next 3 weeks, which is pretty unlikely.
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6 films above 10m this weekend?
Elemental - 21m (-29%)
AtSV - 18m (-33%)
Flash - 17.5m (-68%)
NHF - 15m (new)
RotB - 10m (-52%)
AC - 10m (new)
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Could Elemental take #1 today (Wednesday)?
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7 minutes ago, harry713 said:
Could Elemental be rather leggy? The next PiB2? 200m incoming? Probably not. What competition is coming to chop its feet off?
I take that back. There’s really no direct competition the rest of summer for children other than Ruby Gilman which is a non-factor (is it even getting a decent screen count?). Elemental could easily achieve a 5-6x OW total from being the only thing around for younger audiences for the rest of summer. That is if it can hold onto screens.
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Could Elemental be rather leggy? The next PiB2? 200m incoming? Probably not. What competition is coming to chop its feet off?
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6 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said:
Megacorps are coming we like it or not, my friend. We might as well just embrace it. There is absolutely no way that both Disney and WBD aren’t bought. I suspect WBD goes first, Disney 10 to 15 years from now.
Disney is a megacorp.
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56 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:
It's Monday drop might not have been great but that +38% today is substantially better than anything else in the top 6, aka any of the films still making substantial $$. Is that just a product of it being the newest release on discount Tuesday? I've never noticed that, if consistently so.
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7 minutes ago, ogkalu said:
Was a 46.6 percent drop. The course may still change but that's too harsh to expect 400m + OS tally from an 88m opening.
Not much higher than TLM's 2nd weekend despite opening 20m higher.
I think the discussion was Guardians not AtSV
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3 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:
Movie Title Distributor Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per
TheaterTotal
GrossDays In
Release- (4) Guardians of the Galaxy V… Walt Disney $1,555,189 +25% -39% 3,580 $434 $325,988,564 33 This will pass Vol 1 by Sunday. A finish right around 350m.
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11 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:
Must be a shitty track with these drops.
A 41% drop from last Tuesday is great tho?
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with a 5.2 mon, what would best case tues be, 6.75?
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13 minutes ago, Maggie said:
I just wanna say this May and June are way gonna be way crowded than July. May and June are full of potential Billion dollar movies. July looks like a waste land compared. Unless barbie breaks out big
To be fair Indy5 will make the majority of it's loot in July.
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Should we expect SMB to stay even today or drop slightly? Typical Tues bump offset by Easter Monday to remain relatively flat?
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1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:
Increased 115k with actuals! Drop is only 35.8% for 5th weekend. It should finish above $110m domestic and maybe $190m WW.
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Scream 6 having amazing late legs. Will pass 100m Thurs and should pass the original Scream 1996 gross by Sunday to become top grosser in the franchise.
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Week-to-week holds continue to improve for Scream 6.
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Uncanny how all 3 previous JW films have a nearly identical OW/DOM multiplier of 3.
Leaves JW4 nothing else but to gross $221,453,850.
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21 hours ago, Ronin46 said:
Its tracking similar to the last Scream which had 41% drop 3rd weekend and 34% drop 4th weekend.
This was more of a worst case scenario to see if there’s any chance of it missing the 103m gross of the original, which looks nearly impossible. I think realistically the end tally will be 110-112m dom.
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Scream should collect about 6m mon-thurs this week, putting it around 82m.
wknd 3: 8.6m (-50%) - 90.5m
week 3: 3m (-50%)
wknd 4: 4.3m (-50%) - 97.8m
week 4: 1.5m (-50%)
wknd 5: 2.2m (-48%) - 101.5m
week 5: 800k (-47%)
wknd 6: 1.2 (-45%) - 103.5m total
Barring a complete collapse it looks like 6 will surpass the 103m gross of the first film to become highest domestic total in the franchise.
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2 hours ago, Ronin46 said:
Just about 50/50
BOP predicted 19M already.
Scream 6 2nd W/E Over/Under Scream 4 OW
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What are the chances of Scream 6 doing 20m this weekend?
Would put it real close to Scream 5's total after only 10 days.
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6 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
That would be a 75,4% jump on Sat. Highly, highly unlikely.
What Sat jump are we looking at realistically? 40%? That would put Sat at $16m.
A 50% bump would put it at 17.1m and it would need an 11.5m Sun to get to 40m. Achievable?
Weekdays (June 26 - 30) | Spiderverse 2.78M, Flash 1.66M, Feelings 1.65M
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by harry713
That's very true. I guess more than anything I'm happy that its box office haul will be a good sign for the future of Pixar's big screen business.