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Everything posted by MrPink
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CPWP | Starting in like 10 Minutes| The Thin Man
MrPink replied to Wondy's topic in Box Office Discussion
*Fast forward* Tele was not happy. -
12/3/2020 The Day BO Died. RIP Movie Theaters
MrPink replied to CloneWars's topic in Box Office Discussion
It's out of my hands, all I can do is wait and see. -
I think Nolan's not wrong in terms of a need to adapt but I think his analysis of the state of exhibition in 2019 feels like a misinterpretation of what happened. A big year for theaters but only because Disney threw the kitchen sink. And if the wealth is all going to the top, that doesn't provide any relief to the other studios, especially those that are franchise-less. There's something to be said about Tenet managing to do somewhere in the range of about 75-80% (maybe more?) it would have done otherwise in normal circumstances OS, but Tenet, despite its bad luck in the case of South Korea, was probably very fortunate to release where it did. Because any later and it wouldn't have been nearly as successful. So studios are going to have to eat some losses in 2021 and be smart about spacing releases and stringing them along without too much gaps to keep exhibition going. But if we're gonna see spikes like these over the next 6 months, well, sorry to say, but I don't think theaters can remain open under that kind of environment. And we better hope this isn't going to be a regular occurrence
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
MrPink replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
I assume this will kneecap Tenet's remaining run.- 17,763 replies
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I'm sure BW can be successful even in an ongoing pandemic environment, but successful (or at least profitable) isn't the profitable that Black Widow is going for. It was meant to be more for Disney. With nothing to look forward to, I'm more curious to see what OS theaters are going to do. The US will likely have to shut down through November at least.
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This is also partially why the lumped in number was so weird, because they said it wasn't about the opening (And tried to make it look as big as possible anyway). Because this weekend will make that narrative look worse even though the drop itself is kinda....fine, removing the element of how terrible last weekend was gross-wise.
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WB played themselves here. They bet on having a respectable number through the 11 day total (probably a number starting with a three?) and now they're in a situation where the 2nd weekend drop is gonna be bad and the number is gonna be single digits for the 2nd weekend which the press will run wild with. After that though, I see no point in hiding. The only card you have left to play after that is low 20-30% drops (if not smaller depending on reopenings) to basically say "Hey this thing will run for a decent while, maybe Tenet isn't the right movie but the market can show good legs"