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Gopher

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Gopher last won the day on August 22 2015

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About Gopher

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  • Birthday April 23

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  1. Guys, I'm not sure I'd believe those Shang Chi opening day numbers if I were you... I keep being told movie theaters are dead.
  2. The idea of Sopranos fans the year following an ENORMOUS resurgance for the show getting together in a movie theater to celebrate the story continuing feels... quite viable to me, actually?
  3. Anyone else think it's possible that this opening nearly identical to Birds of Prey (despite a day-and-date launch) may mean there's just not a ton of interest in this specific corner of DC movies at this moment? And that like with Birds of Prey, they just never really came up with a marketing hook that made the movie seem new and compelling to audiences? *Everyone* I've spoken to has no idea if this is a reboot or a sequel or a whatever to a movie they didn't like in the first place.
  4. Looooots of the next nine months of so of programming will be about taking the L and moving on. Jungle Cruise did perfectly well given the circumstances. Older adults are going to be the last to go back to theaters-- I know many who are so used to streaming and/or so afraid of covid they don't see the point-- which means stuff like Green Knight and Stillwater will only be able to muster 2/3s of what they could've opened to normally. This forum is all about the big openers and numbers but that trend is going to hurt theaters as much as the tentpoles going day-and-date. Counterprogr
  5. I don't disagree, but I'd just keep in mind how many studios didn't want their Venom 2s and No Time to Dies out this summer because worldwide access to movie theaters is still sketchy, and how we've seen pretty strong evidence suggesting that day-and-date releases sink the legs of viewers who would consider going to a movie in its second or third weekend. So all this weekend has is a lowish-budget horror movie by a famously divisive director (which is still doing fine!), a spinoff of a pretty weak IP that hasn't been tested in eight years, and two movies in their second and third w
  6. I'm unclear why this thread is melting down. Both of these movies are performing exactly within tracking expectations (Snake Eyes slightly under, but a 39% RT score will do that). Old cost 18 million. It will break even for Uni before PVOD. A Lady in the Water comparison doesn't exactly work considering that cost 70 million in 2006. I can say with some confidence that we're not going to get massive blockbuster delays, at least domestically. When can you delay to now? When studios hope more people decide to get a vaccine? If there's market uncertainty we'll keep gettin
  7. Really doesn't make sense to me now why Disney is starting their 45-day window era with Free Guy and not with Black Widow. The sense that something can only be experienced in a theater matters to a ticket-holder, especially if it's an MCU *movie* they want to differentiate from their Disney+ shows. I wonder if it's truly the state of the worldwide box office-- which so long as countries like ours are not aiding in the worldwide rollout of vaccines will ebb and flow for years-- or they realize audiences won't get too hyped for an MCU installment that feels five years too late. But
  8. Interesting to see how much TLK's run is mirroring BATB's domestically. Swinging higher on weekdays and lower on weekends. Presuming TLK has a 4x from a 38m weekend (BATB had 3.44x from its third weekend, will give the end of summer haziness the benefit of a doubt for TLK) it'll end up at 542m, just shy of BATB's multiplier (2.84x vs. 2.88x). It's safe to say Disney's out of IP for remakes that can make these numbers again on their own. Little Mermaid is a possibility but I'd expect closer to Aladdin's final total (still ungodly).
  9. Gonna point out in all the doom and gloom that Rocketman's going to hit a 42-43% drop off a solid opening weekend, easily the best of last weekend's releases. Will likely leg its way out past 90m. Totally respectable for a 40m grosser (though I imagine marketing was at least that much), which will clear 200 worldwide. Whether this was the best time of year to put it out for the film itself I'm unsure about, but it's definitive proof that an original movie for adults can fight its way past the summer insanity if 1. the marketing buy is strong enough 2. the movie is good.
  10. This will pass... Civil War in 5 days Ultron in 6-7 days Avengers in 10 days Black Panther in 15 days Avatar in 17 days Force Awakens... by the end of June at least
  11. Domestic crown feels likely. If it pulls 340-350 it only needs legs a bit better than IW's to get there. If a film was gonna get to 1 bil domestic this is the one.
  12. 10 mil previews 37m OD 32m Saturday 24.3m Sunday 93.3m weekend Go big or go home
  13. It's a strangely paced film (so was Unbreakable though!) and one of its plot developments I could see didn't even play with a crowd of die-hard M. Night fans. But I found the movie consistently entertaining and really admired its ambition. I'd much rather filmmakers at this level of attention make these sorts of risks, many of which landed for me. The reaction will be mixed but it will have its ride-or-die supporters.
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