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lilmac

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    Weekend Thread | Estimates - Barbie $53M (hit a billion!), Meg2 $30M, Oppy $28.7, TMNT - $27.95M (5-day $43M), HauntedMansion $8.97M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    If the weekend drops never changed from last weekend, here are the projected domestic totals:

     

    Barbie - $583M (I know alot of folks have insanely high final projections for Barbie but I think it'll close lower than many think....$600M is very hard to achieve...not saying it won't make it to that milestone but it will be more difficult than many may have predicted even with summer weekdays)

     

    Oppenheimer - $306M

    Sound of Freedom - $182M

    Mission Impossible 6 - $169M

    Indy 5 - $173M

     

     

     

    • Like 1

    Weekend Thread | Estimates - Barbie $53M (hit a billion!), Meg2 $30M, Oppy $28.7, TMNT - $27.95M (5-day $43M), HauntedMansion $8.97M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    These last few weeks remind me of my earliest boxoffice tracking experiences….the dual run of Forrest Gump and Lion King. I believe Forrest Gump had a photo finish two weeks in a row! I could be mistaken. Obviously Barbie and Oppenheimer (just saw it a 4th time) are vastly apart but the dual nature of that 1994 summer season is there. 

    • Like 3

    Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    The 2nd derivative of Barbie vs TDK predicted "mid 90s" for Barbie last week, so far it's tracking toward a 3rd weekend drop significantly lower than TDK's 43%. Let's say 35% (maybe less). Going with $60.4M for now.

    This movie could get to $600M domestic (as hard as it may be to believe $600M is still not guaranteed even with summer weekdays). Mid-summer really saved the boxoffice. Next weekend is looking to be healthy.

    Barbie | July 21, 2023 | Warner Bros | Margot Robbie is Barbie. Ryan Gosling is Ken. | Taking down Deathly Hallows 2 to be WB's biggest movie ever

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted · Edited by lilmac

    Are we seeing the Barbie core demographic flocking to Oppenheimer? That would be so cool to see. LOL

     

    After watching Oppenheimer a 3rd time, I saw a number of young women leaving the showing as well. Made me chuckle thinking they were taking part in 'Barbenheimer.' 

    (of course they could just be interested in the subject matter but that was the less fun mental exercise)

    Oppenheimer | 2024 Academy Award Winner for Best Picture and Best Director

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    21 hours ago, Redolent said:

    It’s great that the movie’s out and doing so well, but I kind of miss the anticipation and buildup, having no clue what’s coming up, hunting and analysing scraps of early reactions from shady Reddit and Twitter nobodies 😄

    Me too! We did that in the 90s on TheForce.com forums, AintItCoolNews, and the Time Pathfinder Boxoffice forums. Had conversations over scraps. So much fun when a film broke out in ways unexpected (Matrix, Sixth Sense, Titanic, etc.)

    Oppenheimer | 2024 Academy Award Winner for Best Picture and Best Director

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    13 hours ago, BadAtGender said:

     

    Neither Blunt nor Pugh are given a whole lot to work with, but damn do they both deliver with the material they have

     

    13 hours ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

    probably a near masterpiece, one of Nolan's best films, but may not have much rematch value . this won't fix Nolan getting criticism with female characters , he nearly wasted Blunt until the final act

     

    Neither does he have to. The movie is about Oppenheimer. Not every film has to check off the list and be obliged to give {{fill in the blank}} a certain amount of playing time on the court so to speak. Let them criticize. They're obviously removed from what people care about (as seen by the rave audience reviews and massive boxoffice).

    • Like 3

    Sound of Freedom || Discussion of The Movie And Its Producers Should be HERE and HERE ONLY || The Report Button Is Your Friend || Keep It Civil

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted · Edited by lilmac

    I love, love, love this box-office run. For me, Sound of Freedom joins Mario, Oppy, and Barbie as one of the feel good box-office performances this year.

     

    -------------------------------------------------

    XXR Dar-Benn

    Without getting into it too deeply, there's basically nothing wrong with the film by itself but the people who made it are either very heavy conspiracy theorists or at the very least, heavy handed politicos. 

     

    That's why those who are undecided shouldn't worry about the opinions of critics who oppose the film, based on external non-film factors, particularly political ones. In Hollywood, there are plenty of heavy-handed politicos on the left who incorporate their beliefs into their movies, which is something that "Sound of Freedom" did not do. And yet, this doesn't deter conservatives from continuing to watch movies. It's a good film on its own merit. 

    • Like 4

    Weekend Thread 7/28-7/30 - Barbenheimer Week 2; Barbie 93M/Oppy 46.2M - Haunted Mansion & Talk to Me OW; Mansion 24.2M, Talk 10M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    4 hours ago, hasanahmad said:

    The problem with Disney box office performances is entirely contextual . Disney movies recently especially have been produced with over ballooned budgets which means they will lose money unless it makes avatar level money . Hell their most recent Marvel tv show was produced for 250 million $ . 
     

    disney needs to refocus on experiences more than nostalgia. Quality over quips. Efficiency over throwing money. And Kathleen kennedys time is up so is Kevin Feige 

     

    Kathleen Kennedy incompetence wss hidden by lightning in a bottle movies sequences which have vanished and Feige has shown he doesn’t know what to do when movies don’t do well . Still waiting for a comeback success since final avengers. It’s been over 5 years and almost 2 phases and 2 of your best stars are gone and no one with charisma to replace them . His success was also due to the stars not his own 

     

    Disney did just have a top 5 WW film of all time, just 8 months ago (Avatar 2). You could say that was more Fox/James Cameron but the revenues did go into the Disney bank account. But I get what you're saying and largely agree.

    Weekend Thread 7/28-7/30 - Barbenheimer Week 2; Barbie 93M/Oppy 46.2M - Haunted Mansion & Talk to Me OW; Mansion 24.2M, Talk 10M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    6 hours ago, LonePirate said:

    At the start of the summer, those numbers for the Saturday of opening weekend, heck maybe even the entire opening weekend, would have led to champagne bottles being popped. For those to be the Saturday numbers from the second weekend is now simply obscene. 

     

    Someone is going to earn an MBA by writing a paper on these films' marketing and promotion campaigns coupled with the Barbenheimer event. 


    The conclusion from that paper is that you can’t engineer a meme event. It has to just happen, organically. Studios just have to hope and pray the Minions & Barbenheimer movements happen again.
     

    Imagine the studios trying to manufacture a Creator/Saw X or Aquaman/Migration meme. Lol

    • Like 2

    Weekday numbers July 24-27

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    41 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said:

    We can always hope that Narnia goes the way of Masters of the Universe at Netflix. I really don’t think Greta needs the faith weirdos hating on her for Narnia as well, it doesn’t seem like a good fit for her. Marvel, DC, Star Wars, Bond, give her the keys to all the franchises and let her pick what she wants to do next. I like the idea of directors that make "one for them, one for me", and I think she could thrive on that.

     

    As a Christian, I wouldn't want Greta anywhere near the Narnia series. We'll kill it buzz wise before Day 1. It will be Noah all over again. 

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