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lilmac

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Everything posted by lilmac

  1. I think Barbie will end closer to $600m based on its trajectory, than $650m, but we will see. 

  2. If the weekend drops never changed from last weekend, here are the projected domestic totals: Barbie - $583M (I know alot of folks have insanely high final projections for Barbie but I think it'll close lower than many think....$600M is very hard to achieve...not saying it won't make it to that milestone but it will be more difficult than many may have predicted even with summer weekdays) Oppenheimer - $306M Sound of Freedom - $182M Mission Impossible 6 - $169M Indy 5 - $173M
  3. These last few weeks remind me of my earliest boxoffice tracking experiences….the dual run of Forrest Gump and Lion King. I believe Forrest Gump had a photo finish two weeks in a row! I could be mistaken. Obviously Barbie and Oppenheimer (just saw it a 4th time) are vastly apart but the dual nature of that 1994 summer season is there.
  4. If Empire's $12.7M is accurate then I might have to downgrade my prediction to low to mid 50s
  5. The 2nd derivative of Barbie vs TDK predicted "mid 90s" for Barbie last week, so far it's tracking toward a 3rd weekend drop significantly lower than TDK's 43%. Let's say 35% (maybe less). Going with $60.4M for now. This movie could get to $600M domestic (as hard as it may be to believe $600M is still not guaranteed even with summer weekdays). Mid-summer really saved the boxoffice. Next weekend is looking to be healthy.
  6. Barbenheimer connection: * Barbie wears bikinis. The A-bomb was tested on Bikini Atoll. * A post-nuclear dystopia of mutants with fixed plastic smiles and missing genitals. * Further, Los Alamos' common abbreviation is 'LA', Malibu is in LA County. #OppenheimerFilm
  7. Are we seeing the Barbie core demographic flocking to Oppenheimer? That would be so cool to see. LOL After watching Oppenheimer a 3rd time, I saw a number of young women leaving the showing as well. Made me chuckle thinking they were taking part in 'Barbenheimer.' (of course they could just be interested in the subject matter but that was the less fun mental exercise)
  8. Best strategy (IMO) is to shed the remaining DCEU inventory (Aquaman, BB), collect whatever boxoffice revenue they accrue, wait a few years, and start anew. Not sure that we've hit rock bottom yet.
  9. Me too! We did that in the 90s on TheForce.com forums, AintItCoolNews, and the Time Pathfinder Boxoffice forums. Had conversations over scraps. So much fun when a film broke out in ways unexpected (Matrix, Sixth Sense, Titanic, etc.)
  10. It probably will be low due to weekdays. The calculations I used based on weekend drops is more accurate than not (IMO) but I think it undercounts summer weekdays.
  11. Neither does he have to. The movie is about Oppenheimer. Not every film has to check off the list and be obliged to give {{fill in the blank}} a certain amount of playing time on the court so to speak. Let them criticize. They're obviously removed from what people care about (as seen by the rave audience reviews and massive boxoffice).
  12. Based solely on this weekend alone here's where the ultimate Domestic grosses are tracking towards: Barbie - $567M Oppenheimer - $279M Sound of Freedom - $183M Mission Impossible 7 - $163M Dial of Destiny - $177M Elemental - $153M Insidious: Red Door - $84M Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse - $382M
  13. I love, love, love this box-office run. For me, Sound of Freedom joins Mario, Oppy, and Barbie as one of the feel good box-office performances this year. ------------------------------------------------- XXR Dar-Benn Without getting into it too deeply, there's basically nothing wrong with the film by itself but the people who made it are either very heavy conspiracy theorists or at the very least, heavy handed politicos. That's why those who are undecided shouldn't worry about the opinions of critics who oppose the film, based on external non-film factors, particularly political ones. In Hollywood, there are plenty of heavy-handed politicos on the left who incorporate their beliefs into their movies, which is something that "Sound of Freedom" did not do. And yet, this doesn't deter conservatives from continuing to watch movies. It's a good film on its own merit.
  14. I wish I lived near a 70MM IMAX. Has anyone seen Oppy in that format? If so, care to share your experience.
  15. Disney did just have a top 5 WW film of all time, just 8 months ago (Avatar 2). You could say that was more Fox/James Cameron but the revenues did go into the Disney bank account. But I get what you're saying and largely agree.
  16. The conclusion from that paper is that you can’t engineer a meme event. It has to just happen, organically. Studios just have to hope and pray the Minions & Barbenheimer movements happen again. Imagine the studios trying to manufacture a Creator/Saw X or Aquaman/Migration meme. Lol
  17. Barbie is this year’s TGM Barbie, Sound of Freedom, Mario, Oppenheimer. …lots of great boxoffice stories this year.
  18. My ranking of Nolan films: Dark Knight Oppenheimer Interstellar Dark Knight Rises Inception Prestige Batman Begins Insomnia Tenet Memento
  19. Just saw Oppenheimer a third time. I am just tickled pink when I see numbers of young women watching it knowing that some are doing so only as part of the Barbenheimer meme. Hilarious!
  20. Agreed, good sir. Give it to someone else.
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