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chasmmi

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Everything posted by chasmmi

  1. Not quite an SOTM, but also not quite a preseason. This is a little bit like the old Who wants to be a Millionaire SOTM of the past but it runs every week. It is one thread. One question per week and a simple Yes/No or Over/Under question. e.g. Aquaman makes $100M Over / Under? Players post in this thread their prediction and the thread is locked over the weekend. Survivor Thread Tweaks: 1 question per week for every week of the game Correct answer is 20000 points (Cumulates) Incorrect answer cashes you out at half the points won over the player's current answer streak Cash Out cashes you out at full points won THERE ARE NO PASSES ANYMORE. FAILURE TO ANSWER FOR A WEEK IS AN AUTOMATIC CASHOUT WITH A 20% TAX REMOVED FROM PRIZE POOL (Rounded up to the nearest 1000 points). After cashing out, players are automatically reentered into the next question, but the points per question is reduced as follows: After first reentry - 15,000 points After Second reentry - 10,000 points After Third Reentry - 7,000 points After Fourth Reentry - 5,000 points After Fifth Reentry - 3,000 points is the lowest limit. BONUSES: If a player gets all the way to the end without being wrong or cashing out, they will get a 150,000 point bonus. If a player gets all the way to the end without being wrong with 1 cash out, they will get a 100,000 point bonus. If a player gets all the way to the end without being wrong with 2 cash outs, they will get a 75,000 point bonus. If a player gets all the way to the end without being wrong with 3 cash outs, they will get a 50,000 point bonus. If a player gets all the way to the end without being wrong with 4 or more cash outs, they will get a 25,000 point bonus.
  2. I can get behind love for CRA and Spiderverse. I still have a lot to see from 2018 at this juncture though, to comment on anything else in the top 5.
  3. The last 30 minutes or so of this are just... perfect. It's a strong front runner for potential best film of the year for me.
  4. So, this was what I was planning to do back in October before inheriting the animation countdown. I decided this was the right time to go through with it again. List is simple. What are the best movie songs of all time? Now as there are many ways to categorise a movie song I will clarify: 1. Any song that was sung by a character in a movie (that can be as short as Singing in the Rain from Clockwork Orange or a full blown Musical number) 2. Any song that plays as part of the soundtrack during the runtime of a movie (Like say... Immigrant Song in Ragnorak) 3. Any song written specifically for a movie (even as an end credits song) (Men in Black) 4. Multiple instances of the same song within the same franchise are not eligible, pick the best one. The same song in different franchises can be voted for in two different positions. If a song has multiple versions within a film or franchise, I will log all votes together as one. (Like say Remember Me from Coco) 5. A Movie song MUST HAVE LYRICS AND SINGING - No scores or instrumentals, just songs. 6. Songs that are in trailers or deleted scenes but not the actual movie are ineligible. 7. Any rule I haven't thought of yet Please choose songs based on their impact and relevance to the movie and its scene. Don't just pick a song you like Your list can be anything from 15 to 100 songs. The scoring system will be presented in the Spoilers below (as it is needlessly complicated ). If anyone wishes to put forward a non-ordered list it will be accepted and scoring will be done with all songs given an identical score equal to the average score the films would have received in an ordered list. PM lists are preferred for both ease of compilation and suspense purposes.
  5. I'm gonna try and get this slid over to the main forum once all the fallout from @grim22's countdown has subsided. But just a quick reminder at we are closing in on the point where the deadline gets its obligatory 10 day or so push back.
  6. The final weekend of stuff approaches, and we have weeklies, make ups, SOTMs and even Make up SOTMs!! This is also the point where I ask people to refrain from posting what they make have scored, or mentioning that player x has aced preseason and has probably won etc as it ruins the suspense when we do the official countdown towards my victory.
  7. WINTERTIME IS HERE, HUZZAH! WELCOME TO THE SUPER MEGA STREAMLINED SEXY SMOOTH WINTER GAME 2018! Looking for a fun and frantic way to quench your predictioning thirst until next summer rolls around again? If yes, the winter game is where things be at. The game will run from Friday November 2nd (There is no week zero this winter) until Monday February 25th. So that means that all grosses and predictions will only count until Monday February 25th. As for structure, the main focus is on preseason general gross predictions and a sprinkling of bonus questions. Then during the game itself, there will be weekly sets of questions as well as the good old SOTM (Spur of the Moment – You will learn to love these ) questions too. So let’s get to the predictioning: A: DOMESTIC TOP 15 Predict the 15 films you believe will gross the highest over the course of the winter game along with a predicted gross. You may choose any film for this list that gets released during the course of the winter game (If you think that some film listed on BOM for a 22 screen limited release is going to explode to $750M domestic, then go ahead and predict it). Therefore your top 15 predictions should look something like the following: 1) Avatar: 485M 2) Ernest Saves Christmas 46lM 3) The Tom and Jerry Movie 411M 4) Ironclaws! Fists of fury. 325M 5) Honey we ate the kids 232M 6) The Really Amazing Spiderman, We Promise it Really is This Time 4: 177M 7) Halloween Part Ninety Three 155M 😎 BSG: The Movie 118M 9) Sparticus 2: The Quickening 115M 10) Hans: A prince’s Tale 112M 11) Snow White and the 7 Gigolos 109M 12) Aliens vs Ja Ja Binks 104M 13) We Bought a Nuclear Powerplant 101M 14) Tetris The Movie 95M 15) On the Cusp of Yesterday 92M POINT SYSTEM: For every film you call correctly in the top 15, in any order, you will get 25,000 points. For every film you call in the exact spot, you will get 50,000 points (total). So you must think this out thoroughly. You will also lose 15,000 points for every film in the top 15 that you call incorrectly. So, for example, if you say Rogue One will be in the top 15, and it misses the top 15, you will lose 15,000 points (PLUS whatever you miss the gross by). If you are able to call the top two positions right, in order, regardless of the gross, you will get a 50,000 point bonus. If you are able to call the top three positions right, in order, regardless of the gross, you will get a 100,000 point bonus. If you are able to call the top four positions right, in order, regardless of the gross, you will get a 150,000 point bonus. If you are able to call the top five positions right, in order, regardless of gross, you will get a 250,000 point bonus. This is not as easy as you might think it is. The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers: B: DOMESTIC TOP 7 WEEKENDS (READ CAREFULLY) NOTE: THIS IS NO LONGER EXCLUSIVELY OPENING WEEKENDS. Due to platform style release schedule of award targeted films before the proper release date, this section will no longer be exclusively opening weekends but rather any weekend in general. This means that if a repeat of the American Sniper situation from Winter 2014 occurs again, the 100 million ‘3rd weekend’ or whenever it was would be that film’s qualifying weekend. A film cannot qualify twice however. A film’s weekend will always be deemed its 3 day Friday to Sunday gross (including Thursday previews). So if a film opens on a Wednesday, only the BOM reported Friday-Sunday 3 day will count as the weekend total. POINT SYSTEM: For each correctly predicted film, regardless of order you receive 20,000 points For each film in the exact spot you receive 10,000 bonus points (so 30,000 total) Call top 2 in order and receive 40,000 bonus points Call top 3 in order and receive 80,000 bonus points Call top 4 in order and receive 120,000 bonus points Call top 5 in order and receive 200,000 bonus points Call 3 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 25,000 bonus points Call 4 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 50,000 bonus points Call 5 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 75,000 bonus points Call 6 of the top 7 (any order) receive 150,000 bonus points Call top 7 (any order) receive 250,000 bonus points For every incorrect film lose 10,000 points The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers: 😄 TOP 12 WORLDWIDE TOTAL GROSS Predict the top 12 grossing films of the Winter, worldwide. POINT SYSTEM: For each correctly predicted film, regardless of order you receive 25,000 points For each film in the exact spot you receive 15,000 bonus points (so 40,000 total) Call top 2 in order and receive 50,000 bonus points Call top 3 in order and receive 75,000 bonus points Call top 4 in order and receive 125,000 bonus points Call top 5 in order and receive 200,000 bonus points Call 8 of the top 12 correctly (any order) receive 100,000 bonus points Call 9 of the top 12 (any order) receive 175,000 bonus points Call 10 of the top 12 (any order) receive 250,000 bonus points Call 11 of the top 12 (any order) receive 350,000 bonus points Call top 12 (any order) receive 500,000 bonus points For every incorrect film lose 15,000 points The more in depth scoring is in the spoilers: 😧 MULTIPLIERS MULTIPLY THE FUN! Predict which 5 Domestic wide releases have the largest multipliers. The multiplier will be determined by the films total gross divided by their opening Fri-Sun (Incl Thurs previews) gross. A film will only be eligible for this list if: (If a film fails to meet any of these requirements, it will lose either 10 or 25k depending on its gross) l It opens before February 1st l Is in more than 1,500 theaters in its first weekend l Makes more than $40M. POINT SYSTEM: Call a film correctly in the top 5: 30,000 points Call a film correctly in the top 5 and in the correct place: 50,000 points (including the above 30) Chosen film does not make top 5 – Minus 10,000 points Chosen film does not make $40m – Minus 10,000 points Chosen film does not make $40m AND does not make top 5 – Minus 25,000 points (total) Call 3 of the top 5 – 25,000 points Call 4 of the top 5 – 50,000 points Call 5 of the top 5 – 100,000 points Call 3 of the top 5 in the correct positions – 40,000 points Call 4 of the top 5 in the correct positions – 80,000 points Call 5 of the top 5 in the correct positions – 150,000 points GROSS ACCURACY: There are no gross/multiplier predictions required only placements. E: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS This winter we have three generous risk-free questions to start you off: RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 50M B: 100M 😄 150M 😧 200M E: 300M RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B B: $1B 😄 800M 😧 600M E: 400M RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film of each month by the end of the game: A: November B: December 😄 January 😧 February E: Highest Grossing Best Picture Nominee SCORING Predict the first placed film – 25,000 points Predict the second placed film – 10,000 points Predict all 5 first placed films – 75,000 bonus Predict all 5 first or second placed films – 25,000 bonus This is everything. There will be no big list of preseason questions this winter. Instead, there will be three POTM (Preseason of the Month ) questions. These will all have a deadline of the start of game. Oh and the Survivor is back, that's always fun!!! ***ONE FINAL NOTE*** The official Deadline for this game is November 2nd. There is no Week Zero or backup second deadline. That is it! MAKE YOUR PREDICTIONS IN THIS THREAD LINKED
  8. Here is a special Make up SOTM for anybody who missed at least one SOTM during the game, but be warned, it is potentially dangerous... 1. Will Alita make more than $13.5M? 2. Will Alita Open to more than $18.5M? 3. Will Alita Open to more than $16M? 4. Will Isn't It Romantic finish above What Men Want? 5. How many films will make more than $3M? 6. Will Lego Movie 2 drop more than 45%? 7. Will Cold Pursuit Finish Above The Upside? 8. Will Glass have a PTA above $1,200? 9. Will Aquaman have a PTA above $1,200? 10. How many Best Picture Nominees will increase this weekend? 11. Will The Prodigy increase on Friday? 12. Will Lego Movie Increase more than 100% on Saturday? 13. Will Glass have a bigger Sunday drop than Aquaman? 14. Which film in top Domestic top 15 will Alita be closest to in Dollars by the end of the Game? 15. are you angry at how annoying and random a few of the above questions ended up being? All you have to do is pick as many or as few of the above questions and answer them with the same answer as you gave in the weeklies. 1 correct answer = 4,000 points Answer at least 10 and all are correct = Double your score Answer all 15 and all are correct = Triple your score 1 incorrect answer = minus 12,000 points Answer at least 9 and 3 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 16,000 points Answer at least 12 and 3 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 20,000 points It is all about confidence in your answers. You can abstain for 3,000 points Deadline is as you expect it to be.
  9. This is very simple indeed. Here are the weekly questions for this coming weekend that you have already answered: 1. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $45M? 2. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $55M? 3. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $50M? 4. Will Dragon 3 increased more than 55% on Saturday? 5. Will Dragon 3 make more than 50% of the combined total of the top 5 movies? 6. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $6M? 7. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $10M? 8. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $8M? 9. Will Fighting With My Family open in 4th? 10. Will Cold Pursuit stay above The Upside? 11. Will Green Book have a smaller percentage drop than Bohemian Rhapsody? 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger decrease than Lego? 13. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $550k? 14. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $650k? 15. Will The Prodigy stay in the top 12? 16. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 55%? 17. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 33% on Sunday? 18. Will What Men Want increase more than 60% on Saturday? 19. Will Alita overtake Green Book Domestic total by the end of the game (so including the Monday) 20. What will be the highest placed film to win an Oscar? 21. Will The Upside cross $100M by end of Sunday? 22. Will Miss Bala stay above the Oscar Short Films? 23. Will Will the top 10 make more than $115M combined? 24. Will Mortal Engines make a mystical 55 Million this weekend and save my top 15? 25. Will you be back for Summer? All you have to do is pick as many or as few of the above questions and answer them with the same answer as you gave in the weeklies. 1 correct answer = 5,000 points Answer at least 10 and all are correct = Double your score Answer at least 20 and all are correct = Triple your score 1 incorrect answer = minus 15,000 points Answer at least 10 and 4 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 20,000 points Answer at least 20 and 4 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 25,000 points It is all about confidence in your answers. You can abstain for 6,000 points Deadline is as you expect it to be.
  10. chasmmi

    Winter Game Make Ups

    If you missed a weekly questions set during the game you are eligible to answer these. If you are ineligible and play them anyway you will lose 10,000 points for being annoying and making me (well JJ-8 probably) double check all the entrants for each week. Part A (Everything is the 3 day unless stated) 1. Will Alita make more than $13.5M? 1000 2. Will Alita Open to more than $18.5M? 2000 3. Will Alita Open to more than $16M? 3000 4. Will Isn't It Romantic finish above What Men Want? 4000 5. How many films will make more than $3M? 5000 6. Will Lego Movie 2 drop more than 45%? 1000 7. Will Cold Pursuit Finish Above The Upside? 2000 8. Will Glass have a PTA above $1,200? 3000 9. Will Aquaman have a PTA above $1,200? 4000 10. How many Best Picture Nominees will increase this weekend? 5000 11. Will The Prodigy increase on Friday? 1000 12. Will Lego Movie Increase more than 100% on Saturday? 2000 13. Will Glass have a bigger Sunday drop than Aquaman? 3000 14. Which film in top Domestic top 15 will Alita be closest to in Dollars by the end of the Game? 4000 15. are you angry at how annoying and random a few of the above questions ended up being? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points No part 2 for Make Ups Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. 4. 7. 8. 10. 13. Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  11. It's the Final Weekend... Part A: 1. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $45M? 1000 2. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $55M? 2000 3. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $50M? 3000 4. Will Dragon 3 increased more than 55% on Saturday? 4000 5. Will Dragon 3 make more than 50% of the combined total of the top 5 movies? 5000 6. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $6M? 1000 7. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $10M? 2000 8. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $8M? 3000 9. Will Fighting With My Family open in 4th? 4000 10. Will Cold Pursuit stay above The Upside? 5000 11. Will Green Book have a smaller percentage drop than Bohemian Rhapsody? 1000 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger decrease than Lego? 2000 13. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $550k? 3000 14. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $650k? 4000 15. Will The Prodigy stay in the top 12? 5000 16. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 55%? 1000 17. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 18. Will What Men Want increase more than 60% on Saturday? 3000 19. Will Alita overtake Green Book Domestic total by the end of the game (so including the Monday) 4000 20. What will be the highest placed film to win an Oscar? 5000 21. Will The Upside cross $100M by end of Sunday? 1000 22. Will Miss Bala stay above the Oscar Short Films? 2000 23. Will Will the top 10 make more than $115M combined? 3000 24. Will Mortal Engines make a mystical 55 Million this weekend and save my top 15?? 4000 25. Will you be back for Summer? 5000 Bonus: 13/25 3000 14/25 5000 15/25 7000 16/25 9000 17/25 12000 18/25 15000 19/25 18000 20/25 21000 21/25 25000 22/25 30000 23/25 36000 24/25 42000 25/25 50000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Dragon 3 make for its 3 day? 2. What will Alita's Percentage drop be? 3. What will Lego Movie's percentage change be? 4. What will Green Book's PTA Be? 5. Will Will Ralph Breaks the Internet's Domestic Total Be at end of Sunday? Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. 4.  6. 7. 9. 11. . Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Oh and don't forget this:
  12. Here are 8 values (kind of): 1. The combined 3 day OW of Alita, Happy Death Day 2, and Isn't It Romantic 2. Double the OW of Alita, plus Lego Movie 2's Second weekend total (only Alita is doubled) 3. Isn't It Romantic's Opening Saturday gross multiplied by 9 4. Double Happy Death Day's domestic Total by the end of its opening Monday 5. How To Train Your Dragon 3's final Gross at the end of the game 6. What Men Want's final gross at the end of Game 7. Aquaman's weekend gross for the weekend of February 15th-17th multiplied by 30 8. Lego Movie's 2nd weekend groos multiplied by 3 You simply have to rank them from the highest gross to the lowest (highest at the top, lowest at the bottom). You must rank them all. Every film in the correct place - 10,000 points Every film that misses by 1 - 4,000 points Every film that misses by 2 - Minus 2,000 points Every film that misses by 3 or more - Minus 8,000 points, the second time minus 16,000, the third minus 24,000 cumulative and so on. If all 8 films are within 1 place - 70,000 points If 7 films are within 1 place - 50,000 points If 6 films are within 1 place - 20,000 points Deadline is the usual. Abstain for 3,000 points
  13. 1. Double the OW of Alita, plus Lego Movie 2's Second weekend total (only Alita is doubled) 2. Lego Movie's 2nd weekend gross multiplied by 3 3. Aquaman's weekend gross for the weekend of February 15th-17th multiplied by 30 4. Isn't It Romantic's Opening Saturday gross multiplied by 9 5. The combined 3 day OW of Alita, Happy Death Day 2, and Isn't It Romantic 6. How To Train Your Dragon 3's final Gross at the end of the game 7. What Men Want's final gross at the end of Game 8. Double Happy Death Day's domestic Total by the end of its opening Monday
  14. Part A (Everything is the 3 day unless stated) 1. Will Alita Open to more than $15M? 1000 2. Will Alita Open to more than $21M? 2000 3. Will Alita Open to more than $18M? 3000 4. Will Isn't It Romantic Open to more than Alita? 4000 5. How many new releases will have a bigger 3 day weekend than Lego Movie 2? 5000 6. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $18M? 1000 7. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $24M? 2000 8. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $21M? 3000 9. Will the top four films combine to more than $80M? 4000 10. Will Glass say above the Prodigy? 5000 11. Will Miss Bala's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger percentage drop than Aquaman? 2000 13. Will The Upside increase more than 175% on Friday? 3000 14. Will What Men Want drop more than 47% this weekend? 4000 15. Will Alita cross $1B WW by Saturday? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Alita make for its 3 day? 2. What will be the percentage change for Lego 2? 3. What will Happy Death Day's PTA be? Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. 3. 5. 6. 8. 11. Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Oh and don't forget this:
  15. chasmmi

    Week 16 - Happy Death Day to Alita?

    Part A (Everything is the 3 day unless stated) 1. Will Alita Open to more than $15M? 1000 YES 2. Will Alita Open to more than $21M? 2000 YES 3. Will Alita Open to more than $18M? 3000 YES 4. Will Isn't It Romantic Open to more than Alita? 4000 NO 5. How many new releases will have a bigger 3 day weekend than Lego Movie 2? 5000 TWO 6. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $18M? 1000 YES 7. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $24M? 2000 NO 8. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $21M? 3000 NO 9. Will the top four films combine to more than $80M? 4000 NO 10. Will Glass say above the Prodigy? 5000 YES 11. Will Miss Bala's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 NO 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger percentage drop than Aquaman? 2000 NO 13. Will The Upside increase more than 175% on Friday? 3000 NO 14. Will What Men Want drop more than 47% this weekend? 4000 NO 15. Will Alita cross $1B WW by Saturday? 5000 It'll Be Touch and Go Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Alita make for its 3 day? $22.8m 2. What will be the percentage change for Lego 2? -37% 3. What will Happy Death Day's PTA be? $5,750 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Alita: Battle Angel 3. Lego 2 5. What Men Want 6. Cold Pursuit 8. Glass 11. Prodigy Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  16. Turns Out every other SOTM is unmarkable at this juncture.
  17. SOTM 4 1. Creed 2 - $113M TOO lOW 2. Robin Hood - $28M TOO lOW 3. Possession of Hannah Grace - $5M TOO LOW / DOUBLE 4. Mortal Engines - $55M TOO HIGH / HALF 5. The Mule - $80M TOO lOW 6. Bumblebee - $100M TOO lOW 7. Second Act - $40M TOO HIGH 8. Vice - $65M TOO HIGH 9. Escape Room - $32M TOO lOW 10. The Upside - $39M TOO lOW / DOUBLE PART B 1. Which film will be the lowest grossing except Hannah Grace? Mortal Engines 2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $100M? The Upside 3. Will exactly four films make the Domestic top 15? YES 4. Will any film double its predicted gross? YES 5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? YES 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? Second Act 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Mortal Engines 9. How many of these films will open in the number 1 position? One 10. Will 4 or more of these films open in 5th or lower? Yes Panamovie 78k + 9 x 5 x 1000 = 123k Wrath 80k + 10 x 4 x 1000 = 120k Sheikh 78k + 9 x 3 x 1000 = 105k Simionski 78k + 9 x 4 x 1000 = 114k Fancy Archer 72k + 9 x 3 x 1000 = 99k Kayumanggi 78k + 9 x 2 x 1000 = 96k Chasmmi 64k + 8 x 3 x 1000 = 88k glassfairy 47k + 8 x 5 x 1000 = 87k WrathofHan 50k + 7 x 3 x 1000 = 71k Bcf26 58k + 7 x 0 x 1000 = 58k ZeeSoh 30k + 6 x 4 x 1000 = 54k JJ-8 24k + 6 x 2 x 1000 = 36k MikeHunt 20k + 4 x 3 x 1000 = 32k BobDole 24k + 3 x 2 x 1000 = 30k Anyone Not listed above scores 10k
  18. I would also say that all of the top 14 still have a shot of top 3 / winning with a strong preseason and SOTMs. I did a quick SOTM marking of number 2. Time tohead out now, but may do a few more that are markable in the next few days.
  19. SOTM 2 Results barring an unexpected explosion... 1st: November 23rd - 25th $216.47M 2nd: Dec 28th -30th $188.00M 3rd: Dec 21st -23rd $178.31M BobDole - 95k (2/1/3) bcf26 - 70k (3/2/1) Kayumangi - 70k (3/2/1) Wrath - 70k (3/2/1) Simionski - 70k (3/2/1) Sheikh - 70k (3/2/1) Glassfairy - 70k (3/2/1) Chasmmi - 70k (3/2/1) Panamovie - 70k (3/2/1) aabattery - 70k (3/2/1) Zeesoh - 70k (3/2/1) JJ-8 - 55k (2/3/1) Fancy Archer - 55k (2/3/1) WrathofHan - 55k (2/3/1) MikeHunt - Minus 61k (3/1/X) [Dec 21st $215M = Minus 26k Nov 23rd $213M = Plus 15k Nov 16th $210M Minus 50k]
  20. Part A 1. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $50M? 1000 2. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $60M? 2000 3. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $55M? 3000 4. Will Cold Pursuit Open to more than $9M? 4000 5. Will Cold Pursuit Open to more than $12M? 5000 6. Will The Prodigy open to more than $5M? 1000 7. Will What Men Want Open to more than $22.5M? 2000 8. Will Lego make more on Saturday and Sunday than the other 3 major new releases make all weekend combined? 3000 9. Will Glass Stay above the Upside? 4000 10. Spiderverse stay above Green Book? 5000 11. Will Aquaman's PTA stay above $1,150? 1000 12. Will Escape Room have a bigger percentage drop than DOg's Way Home? 2000 13. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 105% on Saturday? 3000 14. Will Miss Bala increase more than 120% on Friday? 4000 15. Will Lego Superman have a weird invisible moustache? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Lego 2 make for its 3 day? 2. What will be the percentage change for SPiderverse? 3. What will Glass's PTA be? Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. 5. 7. 9. 10. 12. Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Oh and don't forget this:
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