superduperm

Everything is 95% sold out for Oppenheimer on Saturday. If you’re going alone, you might be able to sneak into a good seat on a standard screen, but otherwise, you’re out of luck unless they add more shows. If this “only” opens with $80M, it will be because of capacity.

$150M for Barbie and $75M for Oppenheimer are now the floor for both IMO. Barbie should have an IM higher than GOTG3, and a 7x IM for a three-hour adult biopic should be a cakewalk. This super blockbuster weekend is going to be number porn. First the reviews and now the box office. I’m hoping for a $300M weekend total. $314M weekend total for #2 all-time would be one for the ages.

Is it fair to expect a x9 or even possibly a x10 IM for Oppenheimer? I know it’s Nolan in July and all but it’s a three-hour R-rated movie with limited capacity. Its audience is going to have a much, MUCH easier time setting aside three hours to watch it on Friday night, Saturday, and Sunday afternoon than Thursday night.

Honestly I’m not even planning on seeing Barbie (seeing Oppenheimer tomorrow night though) but this is still the most pumped I’ve felt going into a box office weekend since Endgame. This weekend just feels like it’s going to be really special, like a super blockbuster weekend similar to Jurassic World + Incredibles 2 in June 2018, but bigger. I know since the pandemic we’ve had No Way Home beating Infinity War’s OW, TGM’s historic run, Avatar 2, and Mario, but if this weekend crosses $300M, this could be seen as the moment cinema is officially back.

I may be going crazy here, but is second-biggest total box office weekend of all time (~$315M) in play?

2 fresh reviews away now.

Yeah Mario did extremely well at my AMC as well. Sub-26M would be extremely disappointing to be quite honest.

Big yikes. Sub-25M incoming? Mario did really well at my local AMC (including IMAX) so quite disappointed.

Any idea what the number for today could be? Or are you simply just trying to figure out what gets the weekend to 60? To answer your question, though, I think $27.5M should be the target.

13.5M would be kind of meh given how this run has gone so far tbh.

It got another rotten yesterday, so once again it needs 5 fresh in a row to get there.

I’ve never heard yikes in a positive connotation before 😂

Umm… In the DL article saying Evil grossed $2.5M on Thursday night, they snuck in that Mario grossed $4.9M… Really hope that’s true because that changes the equation a bit going into today…

Going to root for a $15M Friday. I know a 230% jump is a lot but Sonic 2 jumped more in back to back weeks so why the heck not for Mario? A $15M Friday probably gets it to a $60M weekend.

Just curious, how can you tell? I can only see the 10,000+ number on the front page.