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mahnamahna

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Everything posted by mahnamahna

  1. Logan's doing well - on its way to $230-270 million DOM. Get Out is holding phenomenally. I'm fully expecting it to reach $175 million DOM if it can do $20-21 million against Kong next weekend. The Shack might do $50 million+ DOM - solid considering its budget
  2. 3.6 7.5 10.5 7.5 ($25.5 million 2nd weekend, $75 million 10-day total)
  3. Battle of the Sexes Blade Runner 2049 Darkest Hour Downsizing Dunkirk Get Out The Greatest Showman Logan mother! Wonderstruck Call me crazy, but Get Out's insane reception, possible $150 million+ DOM run, sociopolitical commentary and the desire to avoid an #OscarsSoWhite controversy again just might cause it to be that rare horror film to get some Oscar attention. I'm not saying it'll win, but it seems like it and Logan will be those rare crowdpleasers that wow critics also (kinda like Mad Max - Fury Road),
  4. How high is Get Out's second weekend going to go? Even if it has a small Tues bump, typical Wed drop, and 10-15% drop on Thurs, it'll still be on pace for a $20-22 million 2nd weekend. Given the buzz/WOM and Logan possibly 'only' doing $55-70 million OW, there's room for Get Out to have a jaw-dropping hold for a horror film (especially if Universal adds another 500-700 theaters this weekend). $25-28 million seems likely. But could it shock everyone with a $30 million+ 2nd weekend? I know it's unlikely, but perhaps it'll be the rare horror film that reaches mainstream America - helping it to leg its way to $175-225 million DOM.
  5. $4.9 million $3.8 million $3.7 million ($49 million 7-day) $7.5 million $10.5 million $7 million ($74 million 10-day) I might be a bit soft on Fri/Sat based on its holds so far, though
  6. Yep From a $31 million OW: $21.5 million ($65 million) $15 million ($89 million) $8 million ($104 million) $5.5 million ($114 million) $3.5 million ($121 million) $2.5 million ($125 million) $1 million ($126 million) $130 million DOM
  7. Realistically, with Get Out breaking out and likely doing $80 million+ DOM, Logan getting stellar buzz/reviews, B&tB set to do huge numbers and Power Rangers possibly surprising like TMNT did in 2014, anything over $100 million DOM is solid for Kong (and Ghost in the Shell, too). The market will be too crowded for it to develop any real late legs (by weeks 3 and 4, it'll lose a chunk of its screens to PR/Ghost/Boss Baby/Life/CHiPs) It's not just Kong, though. I also think Ghost in the Shell and Boss Baby will be hurt by Logan/B&tB/Power Rangers becoming the top three films for the overall spring break period. I see the March slate performing like this: At the very least, March 2017 should be much more well-rounded than last March, especially if Kong/Ghost/Power Rangers all do $100-125 million DOM.
  8. Considering Deadline lowballed Split at $30-32 million during early/mid afternoon its OW and its solid buzz/reviews, Get Out will likely do low-mid 30s for the weekend.
  9. Once The Bourne Ultimatum Enchanted The Simpsons Movie 3:10 to Yuma Juno Ratatouille Hairspray Stardust Dan in Real Life Hot Fuzz Meet the Robinsons The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Disturbia Atonement Blades of Glory Transformers Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix The Bucket List Surf's Up Beowulf The Host The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep Wild Hogs The Nanny Diaries Someday I'll see enough 2007 films to where #24 and #25 won't be anywhere close to being finalists
  10. With these kinds of reviews, I wouldn't be shocked if it does $40-50 million OW and legs its way to $175-200 million DOM.
  11. Split The LEGO Batman Movie Fifty Shades Darker Logan Kong - Skull Island Beauty & the Beast Power Rangers The Fate of the Furious Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Snatched Alien - Covenant Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales Baywatch Wonder Woman The Mummy Cars 3 Transformers - The Last Knight Despicable Me 3 Spider-Man - Homecoming War for the Planet of the Apes Dunkirk Girls Trip The Emoji Movie Ninjago Blade Runner 2049 My Little Pony Movie mother! Cloverfield 3 Thor - Ragnorak Daddy's Home 2 Justice League Coco Murder on the Orient Express Star Wars - The Last Jedi Jumanji Pitch Perfect 3 The Greatest Showman Downsizing
  12. A- The LEGO Batman Movie Still to see (January-April) Split A Dog's Purpose The Founder Get Out The Shack Logan Kong: Skull Island Beauty & the Beast Life The Zookeeper's Wife Ghost in the Shell Going in Style The Circle
  13. LEGO Batman on its way to $175-205 million DOM. 50 Shades held better than expected, so $125 million DOM looks likely. Tough to see John Wick 2 miss $100 million DOM, but $80-90 million is still excellent. Split is having some monster legs. It might top The Conjuring's multi. Everything held as well as expected (Dog, Hidden Figures, LLL, Lion). New releases seem to be non-starters.
  14. I doubt it'll be large enough. HF $8 million/$9.5 million ($147 million) $5.5 million ($154 million) $4 million ($161 million) $2.5 million ($165 million) $1.5 million ($167 million) $172 million DOM LLL $5 million/$5.75 million ($134 million) $3.5 million ($138 million) $3 million ($144 million) $2 million ($147 million) $154 million DOM
  15. If it wasn't for the two horror films over the next two weeks, Split would have a chance at $150 million. Hidden Figures is quietly on its way to $160-165 million DOM. LLL will do $135-140 million DOM, so it's still a solid hit.
  16. Unlike last February, at least it won't be one blockbuster carrying the entire month LEGO Batman - 55/200 50 Shades Darker - 45/105 John Wick - 30/95 Get Out - 25/80 Fist Fight - 25/75 The Great Wall - 20/55
  17. LEGO Batman should still do $56-63 million OW. That puts it on pace for $190-250 million DOM - solid for a mid-budget February animated film. 50 Shades could hit $47 million OW with a $21 million Fri. That'd likely put it on track for $105-110 million DOM. John Wick surprising everyone with a $27-32 million OW. $75 million+ DOM is solid considering it's a sequel to a film that never really got huge. I wasn't expecting Chapter Two to potentially double the original (and nearly triple if the Friday number increases and it hits $35 million OW). A welcome surprise by any stretch. February could have 3 $100 million+ DOM performers (with Fist Fight and Get Out possibly doing some solid numbers of their own)
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