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Hopefully the Nintendo additions shift that perspective a little. Mario, Zelda and Pokémon done right could be almost as much of a draw as WWOHP. All three combined could even surpass Potter's merch/food/beverage sales. I think people are drawn by Harry Potter, but notice Universal has had higher quality additions for quite some time now. Once they realize there's much more to do, they're hooked IMO. A water park, 2-4 more hotels, a second entertainment complex, a monorail and a fully-realized third theme park (not like the half-baked Hollywood Studios), plus more affordable pricing and convenience than Disney should help the Orlando resort continue to thrive.

Why would it drop that hard against a $30 million opener? I don't see GB being real competition I could easily see it rebounding with a 15-20% drop next week to offset the 50-55% drop this week. Also, why such a harsh drop against Suicide Squad? That has almost zero kid appeal.

How is Central Intelligence holding amazing? I don't get this logic. That's more of the reactionary style of people on here than actual fact IMO. $15 million ($452 million) - no competition $9.5 million ($472 million) $7.5 million ($487 million) $5 million ($496 million) $3.5 million ($501 million) $2 million ($503 million) $1.5 million ($505 million) $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($509 million) Dory should hold well just about every week for the rest of the summer except Kubo. I think IA5 will underperform big time due to a possible $350 million+ DOM for Pets. Disney will find a way for $500-505 million DOM. A 15-20% drop next week would help matters.. Ghostbusters doing only $30-35 million OW would help. Central Intelligence isn't doing amazing. It's holding how just about every well-liked studio comedy of the last 5 years has held. Its not like it's a Hangover 1 multi.

Unlike Pets, Sing hasn't had that good of a marketing campaign. $175-225 million would be a solid range for it.

Cant blame one for choosing Totoro, Kiki, Ponyo and Arriety over the Pets movie. Really any Ghibli movie What's wrong with Studio Ghibli? My Neighbor Totoro and Kiki's Delivery Service are whimsical fun, Spirited Away an excellent coming-of-age story, Grave of the Fireflies and Princess Mononoke are both mature animated films for teens/adults. I don't see what's so bad about them.

I think plenty expected $290-320 million DOM, but almost no one thought Pets would do more than DM2. Guess the blue-sky trackless dark ride based on the movie is getting greenlit and fasttracked.

Other than Sausage Party, there's no male-skewing comedies for the rest of the summer (War Dogs is listed as a dramedy). I don't think it'll get super legs, but a 2.5x-2.8x isnt crazy for a modestly-received xomedy.

It also helps that it's not a sequel in a summer of a seemingly endless array of sequels GAs didn't really want (Neighbors 2, X:A, Alice 2, TMNT 2, NYSM2, IDR)

Since it's rated R, West Coast numbers might boost it to $6.5-7.5 million. It doesn't have a ton of competition so a 2.5x-2.8x shouldn't be that hard to achieve with summer weekdays.

Oh, I thought that was the Dory number. Yeah, Mike & Dave will probably do $12-16 million OW. Not that bad given how low the budget is.

IO is a heavier film with a more complex premise to market. It also opened after a $200 million+ opener. Because of this, I'd say both are about equal. Ghostbusters will probably underperform now... $30-35 million OW wouldn't surprise me. I don't know... if it gets a $115-125 million OW, I'd hope it can do $440-470 million DOM. If Moana does $350 million+ DOM and Sing does $200 million+ DOM, that would be possibly the biggest year for animation in general.

With a $115 million OW, I'd give Pets a 3.5x. That'd take it to $402 million DOM. With $125 million OW, it could do $375 million-$450 million DOM. Pets and Dory both surpassing Shrek 2 DOM would be the biggest story of Summer 2016. So a $19-25 million range for the weekend. Not bad considering Pets just might do $120 million + OW.

$85-115 million OW on the way

Pets - $82 million Mike & Dave - $8 million

If it gets $11-12 million this weekend, that's $57-58 million. $6 million ($70 million) $2 million ($74 million) $1 million ($76 million) Average to slightly above average legs get it to $75-80 million.

Zootopia Kubo and the Two Strings Moana The Red Turtle Finding Dory

Despicable Me 1 benefited from a smaller OW, stellar WOM (from GAs, not critics) and less kiddie competition. Plus, the Minions felt fresh 6 years ago. DM1: TS3 ($76 million)+Airbender ($31 million)+Sorcerer's ($63 million)+Ramona ($26 million)+C&D2 ($43 million)+Nanny McPhee 2 ($29 million)=$268 million DOM Pets: Dory ($100 million)+BFG ($35 million)+Ice Age 5 ($115 million)+Nine Lives ($30 million)+Pete's Dragon ($100 million)+Kubo ($80 million)=$465 million DOM Even with inflation included, that's still $130-160 million more than DM1's competition back in 2010. Despicable Me 2's multi is skewed because of the 5-day opening. It would have opened to around Minions' OW ($105-115 million) if it didn't open on a Wednesday and ended up with a 3.1x-3.4x. Pets would be doing well to get a 3.2x-3.5x IMO.

Other than Frozen 2, I don't really think there's a sequel that could touch $500 million+ DOM. DORY is benefiting from being the solid follow-up to Pixar's most popular and beloved film. $75 million OW on its way to $250-280 million DOM sounds about where it should end up. July 2016 could end up being pretty solid aside from BFG doing sub-$100 million.

No It'll hold nicely next weekend against Ghostbusters (20-30% drop wouldn't surprise me) and after IA5, it'll have solid holds pretty much until Labor Day (Aug 19-21 being the exception). It helps that both target slightly different demographics. Dory focuses more on teens/adults nostalgic about the original, while Pets is strictly targeting the new generation of kids. Similar to TS3/DM1 and IO/Minions, they both should be able to coexist and do $300 million+ DOM. 35-45% 4th weekend drop for Dory and a $75-90 million OW for Pets is certainly doable (happened for IO despite a $115 million OW for Minions).

From a $25 million 4th weekend ($427 million 24-day total) $18.5 million 5th weekend (-28% drop) - $464 million 31-day total $10 million 6th weekend (-46% drop) - $485 million 38-day total $7.5 million 7th weekend (-25% drop) - $500 million 45-day total $5 million 8th weekend (-33% drop) - $510 million 52-day total $3.5 million 9th weekend (-40% drop) - $516 million 59-day total $2 million 10th weekend (-42% drop) - $519 million 66-day total $1.5 million 11th weekend (-25% drop) - $521 million 73-day total $2.75 million/$3.5 million 12th weekend (+80-ish%/+130-ish% increase) - $526 million 80-day total $530-535 million DOM $540 million+ could happen with a $26-28 million 4th weekend and a sub-40% drop against Ice Age 5. But otherwise, just around TDK seems likely. It has zero competition next weekend (a PG-13 sci-fi comedy and a small-scale thriller), so it could have a 15-25% drop. That would put it on track for $75 million+ DOM since summer weekdays can allow for 45-50% drops week-to-week and still turn into a solid run (if there are some decent holds interspersed). Double features with Pete's Dragon could get it to $80 million+ DOM by Labor Day. $80-90 million DOM and $250-350 million WW would be enough for it to eventually turn a small profit.

Since Zootopia is probably the best of the WDAS resurgence thus far (its screenplay being one of its strongest aspects), I can definitely see the Academy giving it an Original Screenplay nomination alongside Best Song and Best Animated Feature. Unlike Tangled/Wreck-it Ralph/Frozen/Big Hero 6, it has some strong sociopolitical commentary and a great use of sarcasm/irony throughout. It's closer to classic Pixar than a typical animated film. It doesn't have a chance at a BP nomination, but Original Screenplay is definitely doable if Disney campaigns for it.

$25-28 million 4th weekend confirmed

It'd also be for Tarzan if the budget were $90-100 million instead of $180 million.

Zootopia had a 4.55x.

Dory, IDR, Tarzan, Purge 3 and Central Intelligence all had solid bumps from actuals to estimates.