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Posts posted by wileECoyote
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From 102 to 105 to 107 back to 105.967
Yeah typical big day on this forum.
Still puts OW record in reach. More fun to come today.
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Sushi and beer before the big show. Enjoying the nice comfortable routine after another crazy day. 20 min to showtime.
102 is a damn good number. Hoping WC can pull it higher.
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5 hours ago, The Mad Titan said:
Does the article say anything else of interest? I can’t get around the paywall.
Not many other highites
But 2 interesting things popped out
QuoteAmong people surveyed in research widely used in Hollywood, 45% named “Infinity War” as their first choice to see among all upcoming films. At the same point in time before its opening, “The Force Awakens” was at 33%.
The new film, which cost close to $300 million to make....
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Fantastic week over week holds for WW, Pirates 5 and GotG2. But not unexpected because of more schools being out for Summer. It'll be interesting to see how the latter 2 hold due to TC loss. WW showing some ridiculous holds but I'm not too sure about sub 40 weekend drop yet. Wouldn't surprise me though. Great run so far.
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Weekend estimate from Corpse
Quote
(C)2017 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Weekend Estimates (06/10-11)
01 (01) ¥294,000,000 ($2.7 million), -04%, ¥10,925,000,000 ($96.8 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK8
02 (---) ¥285,000,000 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥285,000,000 ($2.6 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) NEW
03 (---) ¥240,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥240,000,000 ($2.2 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) NEW
04 (02) ¥90,000,000 ($815,000), -45%, ¥500,000,000 ($4.5 million), Logan (Fox) WK2
05 (04) ¥77,000,000 ($700,000), -35%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.6 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK3
06 (03) ¥74,000,000 ($670,000), -42%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), Flower and Sword (Toei) WK2
07 (---) ¥60,000,000 ($545,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($545,000), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) NEW
08 (06) ¥58,000,000 ($525,000), -27%, ¥6,625,000,000 ($59.3 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK9
09 (05) ¥48,000,000 ($435,000), -42%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.6 million), What a Wonderful Family! 2 (Shochiku) WK3
10 (07) ¥46,000,000 ($420,000), -27%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.0 million), Peach Girl (Toho) WK4
The race for the #1 spot this weekend is very contested between Beauty and the Beast in its eighth weekend, and the debut of Confessions of a Murderer. There's a high chance that one film will be #1 in terms of admissions, while the other ranks #1 in terms of gross.
>Beauty and the Beast barely dropped in its eighth weekend, aiming to achieve its 8th-consecutive week atop the box office. It also closes the gap between it and Alice in Wonderland from 3.1% last week to 2.1% this week based on estimates. It's very likely to overtake Alice in the next week or two, and is almost assured to become Disney's highest-grossing live-action film of all-time as a result.
>Confessions of a Murderer is a nice result for Warner Bros., who continues to have better success distributing domestic films. There's a 50/50 chance that it dethroned Beauty and the Beast to claim the #1 spot, but a second place start at nearly ¥300 million is quite good, especially for the month of June. It was quite stable over the weekend (flat on Sunday), so legs should be fine and could push it near a ¥2 billion ($20 million) total. The film is a remake of the 2012 South Korean film.
>Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon opens pretty well, even if it has to settle for a third place debut. There was clear signs of frontloading occurring over the weekend, but a total over ¥1 billion ($10 million) is a lock, and it might finish closer to ¥1.5 billion ($15 million). The film is set three years after the events of the popular Fuji TV drama (13.9% avg.) of the same name, based around housewives having affairs while their husbands are at work.Great hold for BatB. So at least 1B¥ at least. How much more can it get?
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39 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:
So this is GOTG2's first sub-$1M day
But it's already sitting at $359M so yeah, hardly a problem
Down only -38% from last Thursday. It's holds from last week have not been as strong as AoU for the past few days but pretty good considering the direct competition. 380 is a pretty safe bet but think it can still leg it to 390+.
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Daily Domestic Chart for Wednesday June 7th, 2017
← Previous Chart Chart Index Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $9,326,011 -35% 4,165 $2,239 $138,676,720 6 2 (2) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $2,117,135 -38% 4,276 $495 $123,144,861 13 3 (3) Captain Underpants: The Fir… 20th Century Fox $1,831,298 -32% 3,434 $533 $30,387,935 6 4 (5) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $997,631 -31% 3,507 $284 $359,113,645 34 5 (4) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $945,659 -38% 3,647 $259 $45,551,661 14 6 (6) Alien: Covenant 20th Century Fox $461,918 -33% 2,660 $174 $69,036,678 20 7 (7) Everything, Everything Warner Bros. $417,179 -31% 2,375 $176 $29,765,733 20 8 (8) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The L… 20th Century Fox $192,498 -23% 2,088 $92 $18,532,526 20 9 (9) Snatched 20th Century Fox $161,169 -29% 1,625 $99 $44,410,178 27 10 (10) King Arthur: Legend of the … Warner Bros. $125,347 -39% 1,222 $103 $37,656,519 27 11 (11) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $95,240 -17% 684 $139 $171,227,654 69 12 (12) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $81,438 -18% 527 $155 $502,414,376 83 13 (14) The Fate of the Furious Universal $63,130 -15% 593 $106 $224,011,085 55 14 (13) 3 Idiotas Lionsgate $41,257 -48% 349 $118 $779,650 6 15 (-) Going in Style Warner Bros. $29,678 -21% 303 $98 $44,342,747 62 - (15) The Lovers A24 $29,468 -29% 348 $85 $2,014,357 34 - (-) Gifted Fox Searchlight $26,027 -22% 225 $116 $24,150,967 62 - (-) Lowriders BH Tilt $24,795 -26% 179 $139 $5,842,940 27 - (-) How to Be a Latin Lover Lionsgate $22,843 -42% 277 $82 $31,789,124 41 - (-) Born in China Walt Disney $21,344 +49% 115 $186 $13,722,633 48 - (-) Kong: Skull Island Warner Bros. $18,617 -18% 208 $90 $167,816,718 90 - (-) The Lego Batman Movie Warner Bros. $16,002 -19% 166 $96 $175,730,880 118 - (-) Get Out Universal $15,905 +14% 121 $131 $175,470,085 104 - (-) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $10,215 -17% 115 $89 $17,335,856 69 - (-) Love, Kennedy Purdie Distribution $8,429 -53% 19 $444 $81,696 6 - (-) Their Finest STX Entertainment $6,217 -4% 73 $85 $3,527,097 62 - (-) Dean CBS Films $5,364 -3% 31 $173 $76,722 6 - (-) Logan 20th Century Fox $5,147 -11% 92 $56 $226,203,657 97 - (-) The Circle STX Entertainment $5,070 -33% 91 $56 $20,493,804 41 - 2
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Great hold for BatB. Hoping it goes up with actual. If it challenges AiW then that's an additional 13.5M.
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10 minutes ago, HenryjRhetorics said:
BOM has GOTG2 raking in 13M this weekend. As much as I love Guardians, I think it's a bit of a stretch. 36% drop will be insane and may seal the 400m DOM.
11.5m seems like the realistic goal here. Even that would be impressive.
Sent from my E6533 using Tapatalk
If it can track AoU for the weekend it'll get about 11.4. -45% from Memorial Day 3-Day weekend would be a great hold in the face of it's first major direct competitor, keeping 400 still alive. 390 would be an achievable target with an 11.4-11.5 type of weekend.
And it'll likely have a softer drop next weekend. The Mummy isn't likely to have the same impact as WW.
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51 minutes ago, Sam said:
I think Tele has some kinds of weird fetish over his DC movies, what's with the 400M for MOS and WW and all. Not sure what is his goal exactly
Tele during DCEU ramp up
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That POTC5 drop doesn't look great at first glance.
GotG2 Wed-Wed drop (-36%) is still better than AoU (-39%) CACW (-47%) IM3 (-45%) and even TA (-37%)
If it weren't for WW around the corner I'd say 390+ target. Let's see how hard it's hit this weekend.
And BatB still showing amazing late legs. I'm thinking another 3-4M even with Blu-Ray being released next week.
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11 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
it's also already probably made about $100m more WW (counting Wed).
Yeah well was on my iPhone. Couldn't find a comp fast enough
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So about -56% drop. It held slightly better than Alice2.
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4 hours ago, druv10 said:
So I was correct, that 40% drop was bunk. 400M is still alive, we'll see the WW impact.
Yeah it'll all depend on next weekend. If it falls hard it may even shoot down 390.
Just did a quick comp chart...
Post MD weekend drops, 4-Day MD weekend multiplier, GotG2 gross with same multiplier
CACW -49%. 2.53, 382
AoU -47.4%. 2.69, 386
IM3 -56.3%. 2.47, 380
TA -44.2%. 3.11, 398
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Guardians 4-Day
2017/05/26 3 $5,375,096 +124% 3,871 $1,389 $318,691,023 22 2017/05/27 - $7,883,339 +47% 3,871 $2,037 $326,574,362 23 2017/05/28 - $7,648,686 -3% 3,871 $1,976 $334,223,048 24 2017/05/29 - $6,282,030 -18% 3,871 $1,623 $340,505,078 25 Vs Estimates
2 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2
Buena Vista
3,871$5,322,000
+121.4% / $1,375
$318,637,927 / 22$7,814,000
+46.8% / $2,019
$326,451,927 / 23$7,505,000
-4% / $1,939
$333,956,927 / 24$4,512,000
-39.9% / $1,166
$338,468,927 / 25- 14
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1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:
True, but worse drop than Iron Man 2 this weekend.
It has followed IM2 relatively closely.
Disney has GotG2 dropping -13.6% on Sunday. It's a conservative hold compared to IM2 (-5.1%), AoU (-2.9%), CACW (-4.1%), IM3 (-11.8%). More likely than not, it'll go up with actual. 380+ looks good, 390 doable. 400 unlikely but not dead.
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26 minutes ago, Finnick said:BATB SAILING TOWARD FROZEN WW NUMBER SLOWLY!!! $1.232BTotal Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: $500,563,435 40.6% + Foreign: $732,000,000 59.4%
= Worldwide: $1,232,563,435 Doubt it passes Frozen but it looks like the recent numbers shows it'll stay ahead of F8 WW
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From Corpse
QuoteA bit of a slow, boring week, so I wasn't too motivated to post a Weekend Forecast this weekend. May and June are two of the weaker months of the year, so don't expect anything exciting until July rolls around.
As for this weekend, though:
Beauty and the Beast goes unchallenged once again and will claim its sixth-consecutive weekend atop the box office, probably earning ¥325-350 million ($3.0-3.2 million) over the weekend. Its six week total should be around ¥9.6 billion ($85 million) after Sunday.
Second and third place this weekend is a bit off a toss-up between the top two openers, but one is favored slightly over the other:
First, coming in the likely second place position comes the latest film Yoji Yamada film, What a Wonderful Family! 2, debuting this weekend looking to deliver a modest debut between ¥125-150 million ($1.1-1.3 million) based on its Saturday admissions. That's a little on the low end of most Yamada films, but since his films skew very old they typically rely on weekdays rather than weekends. This marks the 85 year-old's 84th theatrical release.
And the likely third place film this weekend will probably go to To Each His Own, Toho's live-action adaptation of the award-winning novel. Based on Saturday's figures, it'll come in around ¥110-130 million ($1.0-1.2 million).So about 20-26% drop for BatB
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2 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $19,890,000 -42.6% 3,871 -476 $5,138 $333,205,927 $200 4 4 1 Alien: Covenant Fox $10,525,000 -70.9% 3,772 +11 $2,790 $57,347,181 $97 2 Lol. A timely and appropriate summary of GotG2 vs AC drops
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4 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:
It's amazing how a couple weeks ago some people were saying that after its OW GotG Vol. 2 would barely match its predecessor's total and now it's gonna achieve this feat in its fourth weekend.
Great hold for GotG2. If it follows AoU pattern, about 21.5M 3-day 28 4-day and it'll pass GotG1 by Sunday.
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If GotG2 is closer to 5.3 as Deadline is reporting, it could be heading towards AoU sized Memorial Day weekend of 21M 3-day and 28 4-day. Despite having a 30% larger OW than GotG2. Definitely keeps 400 alive.
Looks like BatB has fallen off the top 10. Not surprising. Still it would be interesting to see how it's holding up.
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8 minutes ago, Rth neutral said:
Fri looking
POTC2 22.6,BW 5.6,GOTG2 4.9
He's home
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2 hours ago, SpiritComix said:
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 had the smallest drop of the top five (-25%). On par with the first movie drop, but bigger than 'Civil War' (-21.4%) and 'Age of Ultron' (-22.9%).
GOTG Vol 2 ($2,534,650) > A: AoU ($2,329,898) > CA: CW ($2,272,708).
Still keeping slight hope of GotG2 400 alive at least for another day. AoU made another 78M after this point on but as can be seen GotG2 has been holding better. Of course AoU didn't have another CBM movie hitting it after Memorial Day weekend but I think Guardians' late legs will still be better overall.
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INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Just wow.
2nd viewing in 7 hours at the Metreon Dolby