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wileECoyote

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Posts posted by wileECoyote

  1. 29 minutes ago, Finnick said:

    GUARDIANS LOWER WITH $0.6M, BATB HIGHER WITH $0.14M, ONLY 2$M TO JOIN THE $500M CLUB, WOW!!

    KING ARTHUR UP WITH ACTUAL $0.3M, BETTER HOLD TO SAVE SOME FACE!!! EE LOWER WITH $0.3M? GOOD NUMBER FOR THE YA MOVIE.

     

    2 (1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $34,653,754 -47% 4,347 $7,972   $301,391,228 17

     

    9 (5) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $2,545,579 -47% 1,792 $1,421   $497,924,628 66

     

    3 new Everything, Everything Warner Bros. $11,727,390   2,801 $4,187   $11,727,390 3

     

    6 (3) King Arthur: Legend of the … Warner Bros. $7,152,269 -53% 3,702 $1,932   $27,503,490 10

     

     

     

     

    Disney shuffling the $$$ around.

     

    GotG2
                Estimate    Actual
    Fri    $8,804,000    $8,717,079    
    Sat    $15,040,000    $14,951,137    
    Sun    $11,218,000    $10,985,538


    BatB
                Estimate    Actual
    Fri      $625,000    $659,284    
    Sat     $1,079,000   $1,137,124    
    Sun    $699,000    $749,171    


     

  2. From Corpse @ World of KJ

     

    Weekend Estimates (05/20-21)
    01 (01) ¥414,000,000 ($3.7 million), -28%, ¥8,825,000,000 ($78.2 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK5
    02 (03) ¥156,000,000 ($1.4 million), -36%, ¥6,100,000,000 ($54.5 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK6
    03 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), Peach Girl (Shochiku) NEW
    04 (02) ¥147,000,000 ($1.3 million), -41%, ¥650,000,000 ($5.9 million), Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (Disney) WK2
    05 (04) ¥141,000,000 ($1.2 million), -38%, ¥3,425,000,000 ($31.1 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK4
    06 (---) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), Arrival (Sony) NEW
    07 (05) ¥94,000,000 ($840,000), -24%, ¥1,400,000,000 ($12.6 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK4
    08 (06) ¥66,000,000 ($595,000), -45%, ¥750,000,000 ($6.7 million), Memory (Toho) WK3
    09 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($495,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($495,000), Your Eyes (Nikkatsu) NEW
    10 (07) ¥39,000,000 ($350,000), -45%, ¥1,470,000,000 ($13.0 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Alien Shiriri (Toho) WK6


    >Beauty and the Beast successfully defended its position atop the box office, to claim its fifth-consecutive week at #1. It's hard to be "disappointed" with a sub-30% weekend hold, but the past dailies and this weekend's drop probably means the film isn't going to surpass Alice in Wonderland to become Disney's highest-grossing live-action film. It's doable, but it'll be an uphill climb for sure.  

    It's still going to exceed ¥10 billion (~$90 million), no question about that and it's always a major achievement, and it will likely hit ¥11 billion (~$100 million), too, but it'll take several weeks, perhaps a month+, to challenge the top-tier of Disney live-action films -- Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (¥10.90 billion), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (¥11.63 billion), and finally, Alice in Wonderland (¥11.80 billion).  

    >Peach Girl, along with the rest of the Top 5, is in a very close race to see which film comes in second place and each subsequent ranking from #2-#5; they could all be less than ¥20 million ($180,000) apart. Wherever it places, its estimated debut is fine, and Shochiku is likely okay with it. The film is a live-action adaptation of shojo manga of the same name directed by Koji Shintoku.

    >Arrival didn't breakout as I was beginning to anticipate, but it still managed to sell ~27% of its weekend tickets, and that's nothing to scoff at and it surely would have opened a bit higher had Sony given it a wider release. Japan's results will at least get the film over the $100 million overseas and $200 million worldwide marks.

    >The bottom two spots in the Top 10 are very contested, and it could be any two of holdover Crayon Shin-chan, or the two openers, Your Eyes and Tatara Samurai. I believe Your Eyes will make it since a significant portion of its theaters are in rural regions, and they're largely unrepresented. It certainly did well enough in the urban regions, Kanto and Kansai, to be Top 10 eligible if the rural areas delivered.

     

     

    Looks like BatB fell harder than he forecast but still a good hold.  Here's hoping it stabilizes to take out AiW.

    • Like 6
  3. 2017 WORLDWIDE GROSSES

     

    Rank Title (click to view) Studio*
    Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / %
    1 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $1,221.8 $497.8 40.7% $724.0 59.3%
    2 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $1,212.6 $219.9 18.1% $992.7 81.9%
    Congratulations to the 1.2B+ grossing movies. BatB just overtook IM3 WW. F8 not far behind.
    • Like 2
  4. Rank* Title Friday
    5/19

    (Estimates)
    Saturday
    5/20

    (Estimates)
    Sunday
    5/21

    (Estimates)
    Monday
    5/22
    1 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2
    Buena Vista

    4,347
    $8,804,000

    +138.2% / $2,025
    $275,541,474 / 15
    $15,040,000

    +70.8% / $3,460
    $290,581,474 / 16
    $11,218,000

    -25.4% / $2,581
    $301,799,474 / 17

    N/A
    2 ALIEN: COVENANT
    Fox

    3,761
    $15,350,000

    -- / $4,081
    $15,350,000 / 1
    $12,025,000

    -21.7% / $3,197
    $27,375,000 / 2
    $8,625,000

    -28.3% / $2,293
    $36,000,000 / 3

    N/A

     

     

    Weekend could still flip.   GotG2 hold is a little generous but AC has been going lower ever since earlier projections.

  5. 33 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

    36m is what I went with in my club.  After the Australian opening I think I had the broad range as $35-40m.  I may have been to optimistic with GOTG2. 

     

     

    Your club isn't dead yet.  Friday - previews for AC looks like 11 versus Prometheus which was 17.9 (21.466-3.56).  Points to AC being more front loaded.  And Prometheus' Saturday dropped from Friday - previews.  If AC follows that pattern it could go as low as 33-34

    • Like 2
  6. Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday May 18th, 2017

    ← Previous Chart Chart Index  
     
        Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
    1 (1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $3,696,324 -7% 4,347 $850   $266,737,474 14
    2 (2) Snatched 20th Century Fox $1,070,113 -12% 3,501 $306   $25,182,600 7
    3 (3) King Arthur: Legend of the … Warner Bros. $941,462 -11% 3,702 $254   $20,351,221 7
    4 (4) The Fate of the Furious Universal $323,505 -9% 3,067 $105   $216,710,300 35
    5 (5) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $271,307 -4% 2,172 $125   $495,379,049 63
    6 (6) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $233,457 -6% 2,911 $80   $163,352,550 49
    7 (7) How to Be a Latin Lover Lionsgate $184,361 -16% 1,123 $164   $27,258,810 21
    8 (9) Lowriders BH Tilt $114,260 -13% 295 $387   $3,028,385 7
    9 (8) The Circle STX Entertainment $109,243 -26% 2,132 $51   $19,578,784 21
    10 (10) Gifted Fox Searchlight $103,560 -17% 1,426 $73   $22,134,058 42
    11 (12) Born in China Walt Disney $95,628 +8% 1,055 $91   $12,766,047 28
    12 (11) Going in Style Warner Bros. $81,965 -9% 1,244 $66   $42,772,817 42
    13 (13) Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony Pictures $71,384 -12% 1,605 $44   $42,492,004 42
    14 (14) The Belko Experiment BH Tilt $53,915 +2% 74 $729   $10,157,605 63
    - (-) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $39,275 +1% 425 $92   $16,607,716 49
    - (-) Their Finest STX Entertainment
    • Like 2
  7.  

    Daily Domestic Chart for Monday May 15th, 2017

    ← Previous Chart Chart Index  
     
        Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
    1 (1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $4,701,588 -77% 4,347 $1,082   $253,122,499 11
    2 (2) Snatched 20th Century Fox $1,411,454 -82% 3,501 $403   $20,953,702 4
    3 (3) King Arthur: Legend of the … Warner Bros. $1,256,137 -73% 3,702 $339   $16,627,407 4
    4 (6) The Fate of the Furious Universal $385,320 -77% 3,067 $126   $215,520,095 32
    5 (4) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $300,754 -84% 2,172 $138   $494,441,088 60
    6 (5) How to Be a Latin Lover Lionsgate $263,770 -84% 1,123 $235   $26,515,669 18
    7 (7) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $247,650 -83% 2,911 $85   $162,523,534 46
    8 (8) Lowriders BH Tilt $178,705 -75% 295 $606   $2,582,590 4
    9 (10) The Circle STX Entertainment $152,675 -73% 2,132 $72   $19,095,926 18
    10 (9) Gifted Fox Searchlight $118,184 -80% 1,426 $83   $21,723,901 39
    11 (13) Going in Style Warner Bros. $84,394 -77% 1,244 $68   $42,471,845 39
    12 (14) Born in China Walt Disney $77,010 -75% 1,055 $73   $12,488,564 25
    13 (12) Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony Pictures $76,751 -81% 1,605 $48   $42,231,588 39
    - (-) The Belko Experiment BH Tilt $51,200 -13% 74 $692   $9,992,415 60
    - (-) Get Out Universal $41,905 -62% 405 $103   $174,581,605 81

     

     

    As expected sharper drops for the Mother's Day movies.

    • Like 3
  8. 10 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

    Wow, Beauty and the Beast won a weekend over Boss Baby for once. 

     

    Yeah daily numbers all went up from estimates

    BatB

        Estimate    Actual
    Fri    $960,000    $1,041,175    
    Sat    $1,794,000    $1,911,337
    Sun    $1,106,000    $1,856,658

     

    Same for GotG2
        Estimate    Actual
    Fri    $16,427,000    $16,490,524    
    Sat    $27,804,000    $27,879,884    
    Sun    $18,776,000    $20,893,084
     

     

    • Like 8
  9. http://deadline.com/2017/05/king-arthur-snatched-guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-2-weekend-box-office-1202091662/

     

    Monday AM, 7:11AM: Yesterday was a day for moms at the movies with 20th Century Fox’s R-rated comedy Snatched grossing $8.05M and repping an amazing Sunday B.O. boost of 25% over Saturday for a final opening take of $19.5M in second place. And Snatched wasn’t the only movie getting a hug from mom: Pantelion/Lionsgate’s How to Be a Latin Lover jumped 24% over Saturday with $1.69M and Disney’s Beauty and the Beast upticked 1% with $1.8M.

     

    Typically, we see very good holds on Mother’s Day in the form of dips for chick pics — i.e. 2015’s Hot Pursuit (-2%) and The Age of Adaline (-4%) or 2014’s The Other Women (-16%)– but last year, this boost trend for the holiday began when Garry Marshall’s final movie Mother’s Day in its second weekend saw a +60% surge vs. Saturday on the femme holiday with $5.6M.

    Though critics didn’t like Amy Schumer’s latest outing as much as her cinematic debut Trainwreck, (respective Rotten Tomatoes ratings 36% rotten to 85% certified fresh), the comedy plays significantly better with audiences, not to mention it’s pulling older audiences who are fans of star Goldie Hawn. Snatched reps Hawn’s return to the big screen in 15 years following 2002’s The Banger Sisters.  Snatched is produced by Chernin Entertainment and FeigeCo.

    In addition, the weekend’s No. 1 movie Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 and clunker King Arthur: Legend of the Sword also look to be coming in better than expected respectively with $65M and $15.4M over three days. GOTG2 saw an estimated $20.9M Sunday, -25%, while Guy Ritchie’s latest drew $4.6M, -16% from Saturday.

     

     

    No word on F8 or BB so I guess they're around estimates.

     

    • Like 6
  10. 5 hours ago, MikeQ said:

    Beauty and the Beast is down only 20.6% from last week. If Mother's Day is kind to it, it could have an especially strong weekend coming up.

     

    Peace,

    Mike

     

    Would tend to agree with this except that BatB will have the harshest TC drop -19%, of its run, so far.  I'm expecting the Friday bump to be more muted than before but the Sunday drop should be softer.

     

     Either way, 500 is pretty much a done deal. A solid run for a movie that didn't the advantage of Holiday or Summer boosts.

  11. 1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

    I hope BatB doesn't drop with actuals again. That movie has done and is still doing great but boy the obstacles it has to overcome! OS fight to stay ahead of F8 and maybe pass Frozen. Domestic fight to hit 500M. It's quite a rollercoaster. 

     

    I doubt it'll drop. Disney is estimating a steeper Sunday drop (-48.3%) than the rest of the top 10, unlike the previous weekends.  In fact I think it could rise with actual.  

     

    Amazing to see a movie from India up there.  I asked a friend what she knew about it and she laughed that she never even heard of it.  But she's from Delhi so I guess the audience is very regional based.

  12. http://deadline.com/2017/04/guardians-of-the-galaxy-vol-2-fate-of-the-furious-baahubali-2-china-international-box-office-1202079772/

     

    Quote

    BEAUTY AND THE BEAST

    Beauty And The Beast Box Office

    Disney

    Coming off of a $17.2M weekend in 46 territories, the Bill Condon-directed Beautyhas played to $662.4M worth of overseas audiences. Globally, the total is $1.142B, making it the No. 13 highest grossing movie of all time. This week it waltzed past Transformers: Age Of Extinction, Skyfall, Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King, and Transformers: Dark Of The Moon.

     

    In Japan, Disney saw turnstiles spin 9% harder than on the first weekend. The cume there is now $33.6M and Golden Week is upon us. Elsewhere, holds were strong including in the Netherlands (-10%), Spain (-30%), New Zealand (-30%).

    In Europe, the estimated cume to date of $267M, makes this the 2nd highest grossing film of the past 12 months in Europe (behind only Rogue One). In the UK/Ireland, Beauty And The Beast is the 8th biggest movie of all-time, and the biggest musical ever there with $87.4M..

     

     

    So 1.25B is the target.  When should we know if Japan can get it passed Frozen? 

     

  13.  

    Saw no Thursday thread so...

     

    Movie

    Distributor

    Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
    1 (1) The Fate of the Furious Universal $1,940,625 -8% 4,329 $448   $173,331,575 14
    2 (2) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $661,724 n/c 3,315 $200   $473,700,233 42
    3 (3) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $526,268 -2% 3,697 $142   $139,415,584 28
    4 (4) Going in Style Warner Bros. $451,267 -5% 3,038 $149   $33,739,770 21
    5 (6) Born in China Walt Disney $370,517 -3% 1,508 $246   $6,434,031 7
    6 (5) Gifted Fox Searchlight $364,137 -6% 1,986 $183   $12,530,025 21
    7 (7) Unforgettable Warner Bros. $356,102 -5% 2,417 $147   $6,538,819 7
    8 (8) The Promise Open Road $262,276 -28% 2,251 $117   $5,624,018 7
    9 (9) Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony Pictures $219,167 -1% 2,737 $80   $34,419,501 21
    10 (10) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $148,975 -4% 1,033 $144   $13,816,195 28
    11 (11) Get Out Universal $117,475 -4% 965 $122   $170,824,010 63
    12 (12) Phoenix Forgotten Entertainment Studi… $100,328 -17% 1,633 $61   $2,361,486 7
    13 (13) Kong: Skull Island Warner Bros. $97,489 -4% 1,203 $81   $164,365,386 49
    14 (-) Ghost in the Shell Paramount Pictures $86,142 -6% 913 $94   $39,511,668 28
    - (14) Free Fire A24
    • Like 2
  14. 8 minutes ago, narniadis said:

    Sheesh the Wednesday drops are bad this week. 

     

    Tuesday jumps just exaggerate the drops.  Mon and Wed. comparisons seem in line.

    Looks like holdovers are going to have a strong holds this weekend.   BatB should be at or near 480 by the end of the weekend.

     



     
        Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
    1 (1) The Fate of the Furious Universal $2,111,370 -40% 4,329 $488   $171,390,950 13
    2 (2) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $662,700 -31% 3,315 $200   $473,038,509 41
    3 (3) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $535,749 -37% 3,697 $145   $138,889,316 27
    4 (4) Going in Style Warner Bros. $474,338 -34% 3,038 $156   $33,288,503 20
    5 (5) Gifted Fox Searchlight $385,914 -40% 1,986 $194   $12,165,888 20
    - (7) Born in China Walt Disney $383,139 -28% 1,508 $254   $6,063,514 6
    7 (6) Unforgettable Warner Bros. $373,379 -42% 2,417 $154   $6,182,717 6
    8 (8) The Promise Open Road $364,272 -20% 2,251 $162   $5,361,742 6
    9 (9) Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony Pictures $220,617 -36% 2,737 $81   $34,200,334 20
    10 (10) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $155,735 -27% 1,033 $151   $13,667,220 27
    11 (12) Get Out Universal $122,240 -20% 965 $127   $170,706,535 62
    12 (11) Phoenix Forgotten Entertainment Studi… $120,284 -35% 1,633 $74   $2,261,158 6
    13 (14) Kong: Skull Island Warner Bros. $101,085 -29% 1,203 $84   $164,267,897 48
    14 (13) Free Fire A24 $91,564 -37% 1,070 $86   $1,336,028 6
    • Like 3
  15.  

    8 minutes ago, baumer said:

    That's a monstrous drop.  BvS didn't even fall that much.

     

    Are we looking at a 70% drop this weekend?

     

    I have a feeling discount Tuesday exaggerates the drop but still a nasty fall nonetheless.  Also, BvS had the luxury of having an early Easter so having more kids out could have softened up it's drop.  I wouldn't be surprised with around a 65%+ drop this weekend though.

    • Like 1
  16. 6 hours ago, Valonqar said:

     

    That's exactly how the reaction is all over the Net. TFA teaser >>>>> TLJ teaser, TLJ poster >>>>> TLJ teaser, where are the new characters? where are characters who aren't Rey? :lol:

    Heh Well I wouldn't say >>>>.  More like they liked it better.  They still loved the trailer overall but it's hard to beat "Chewie. We're home" Although that was the second teaser, that was the one most were comparing TLJ teaser to instead of the first one.

     

    But yeah for the most part, I think attendees understood it was just a teaser.  Personally I had the same reaction but I'm expecting more later on so I'm good to go.  

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