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Posts posted by wileECoyote
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5TH UPDATE, Saturday PM: Tropical Storm Bonnie, the first of the year to threaten the U.S., will hit South Carolina by Sunday night, so distrib chiefs can’t use the weather as an excuse yet for what has been a lackluster Memorial Day weekend at the B.O.. The new titles — 20th Century Fox’s X-Men: Apocalypse and Disney’s Alice Through the Looking Glass — were both down today from their Friday B.O., respectively -24% and -11%, while all the holdovers were up on Saturday. As such, 3-day and 4-day projections on both titles have fallen. The fourth Bryan Singer X-Men movie after making an estimated $19.85M tonight is set to bring in $64M over FSS and a little more than $77M for its four-day, below the $80M that the Fox lot was forecasting. Oy vey. Meanwhile, Disney’s mishap Alice 2 is seeing $26.9M-$27.4M over FSS and $34M-$34.5M for FSSM.
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2016 Date
(click to view chart)Rank Weekend
Gross%
ChangeTheaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#May 6–8 1 $179,139,142 - 4,226 - $42,390 $179,139,142 1 May 13–15 1 $72,637,142 -59.5% 4,226 - $17,188 $295,966,220 2 May 20–22 2 $33,114,000
(Estimate)-54.4% 4,226 - $7,836 $347,390,153
(Estimate)3 - 1
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Cant get enough of those Bourne chase scenes.
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No surprise but enthusiasm just jumped to warp speed.
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So as expected today is the day for the first 1B movie of 2016.
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From Weekend thread
4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:QuoteDisney’s Captain America: Civil War is set to grip No. 1 for the third sesh in a row with a -40% to -50% hold of $36M-$44M. Cap made $3.7M yesterday taking its second week cume to $90.97M and its running domestic total to $314.3M.
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Good recovery for Cap. I was a little worried after that Friday number but all in all its and expected MCU sequel type number. It's still lower than I had wanted but I'm far from disappointed. Looks like MCU event movies are settling into a good range.
The movie that just keeps on surprising is Zootopia. -12.4% wow. Best run of the year so far IMO.
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I just made a quick spreadsheet comparing OW multiplier of CW, AoU, and IM3 after same days. Daily numbers seem to be in line with those comps and when looking at OW multiplier.
OW Multiplier Day CW AoU CW/AoU IM3 CW/IM3 4 1.074199 1.0691613 100.5% 1.06470261 100.9% 5 1.151017 1.137822 101.2% 1.12951598 101.9% 6 1.201125 1.1870183 101.2% 1.1761002 102.1% 7 1.246679 1.2320495 101.2% 1.21979724 102.2% CW is slightly stronger, so far. Yeah it's early and this weekend could change the numbers drastically but so far so good.
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1 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $8,160,569 -9% - 4,226 $1,931 $223,329,078 7 2 2 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $1,399,828 -1% -21% 4,144 $338 $293,996,110 28 3 3 Mother's Day ORF $514,878 -12% -32% 3,141 $164 $25,498,120 14 4 4 Keanu WB $300,184 -9% -28% 2,681 $112 $16,712,503 14 5 5 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $261,015 -6% -39% 2,901 $90 $41,959,250 21 6 6 Zootopia BV $200,476 +4% -14% 2,077 $97 $329,014,439 70 7 7 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $165,846 -6% -28% 1,734 $96 $49,680,702 28 8 8 The Boss Uni. $135,805 -17% -33% 1,933 $70 $59,961,700 35 9 9 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $94,050 -7% -37% 1,593 $59 $327,679,243 49 10 10 Ratchet & Clank Focus $85,636 -14% -37% 2,895 $30 $7,517,257 14 11 11 Green Room A24 $49,789 -17% -24% 470 $106 $2,296,595 28 12 12 Eye in the Sky BST $47,351 -16% -32% 419 $113 $17,525,402 63 - 1
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41 minutes ago, John Marston said:
Following the comps so far.
So if itfollows AoU about 75-76. IM3 about 80.
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So around 1.4 DOM Thursday.
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My thinking is:
Duds-Disappointing movies that are around break even point. Example Terminator:Genysis, TASM2
Bombs- Big budget movies that show up in company quarterly results as major write offs. Tomorrowland, The Lone Ranger, Jupiter Ascending.
I haven't been following Ben-Hur but Tarzan looks to be a prime candidate.
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Good number. Now let's see if it can consistently stay above IM3 and/or AoU.
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13 minutes ago, moviesRus said:
Disney cannibalizing itself now.
Not really. CW is not really a Mother's Day movie. So a family oriented Disney alternative was JB. If it wasn't for JB maybe some families would've gone to Zootopia. If not these two they may have gone see another movie. But not likely CW.
Either way I think Disney captured more money.
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6 minutes ago, ecstasy said:
Yeah I watched it. Explains a little more of why he comes back. Not much in terms of new footage. A little more of the subway scene and motorcycle. Biggest Bourne movie yet etc etc...
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23 minutes ago, StarSaber said:
How come Zootopia is expected to drop 50% on Sunday? That seems like a really harsh drop for mothers day. No other animated comp fell like that which.
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19 minutes ago, VGPOP said:
I want to congratulate to CW for a humongous weekend. Indeed a spectacular number. A few things we all were able to get from this movie.
No matter how big, no matter the time, no matter how many good reviews, no matter the lack of competition, for a movie to gross $200+ million at this age is EXTREMELY, EXTREMELY difficult.
We have been lucky to witness three movies to hit this mark in the last four years (two of them last year). But we better be careful of calling a movie a guarantee 200+ million nowadays.
And those three had something that would push them over that barrier. Avengers - first culmination of a CBM shared universe. JW-a huge nostalgia trip for many. SW7- Star Wars nuff said.
However, I think CW may have been a lot closer if not over 200, if not for Deadpool and BvS opening . 2 mega CBM events would burn off GA demand IMO.
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Heh people complaining about is this a Cap v Avengers movie debate and "disappointing" numbers just made me think of the great threads we had a few weeks ago.
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Big hit for JB. Looks like 1B is out of reach unless Japan and SK really breaks out.
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6 minutes ago, BourneFan #1 said:
ZOOTOPIA: $628.8M Overseas Total / $956.4M Global Total
So close to 1B. Still hoping Japan can push it over.
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Jason Bourne | 7.29.2016 | One week IMAX release on August 26 thanks to Ben Hur flopping
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Beware. There may be a spoiler in the spot.