langer

Blu Ray chart for week ending Jan 15th is out. Not much to talk about until Doctor Strange gets released in mid February. SS reached 50M$, Deadpool reached 60M$ and SLOP is looking to pass FD next week. In terms of units, both SS and SLOP are trailing badly though. The next several months will only have two major blockbusters on HV (Rogue 1 and BATB) as well as some mid size blockbusters (Sing, Moana, DS, Fantastic Beasts and Logan).

MBFGW better be in this. Edit : nice initiative Baumer!

How beautifully off topic of you.

Which proves how incredibly popular it was. No other movie had that much demand from the public to had a re-release run as successful as SW.

I know it's hard to compare because of release date, but Suicide Squad still as a higher selling price on Amazon now, but I agree that estimating $ figures based on 30$/ unit is probably off.

Numbers for week ending Jan 1st are out : Blu Ray chart Secret Life of Pets reached 50M$ on Blu Ray, the 2nd animated movie of 2016 to do so. It should pass FD in the next two weeks. Suicide Squad is one week away from becoming the 4th 2016 CBM to reach 50M$ on Blu Ray after Deadpool, BvS and CA:CW. It should end up in 2nd place behind Deadpool. Although it is still in the top 10, SW:TFA shouldn't reach any milestone for a couple months (rank 3 all time units, 150M$, rank 2 & eventually 1 in $, 158M$ and 162M$ milestones). Some of them could happen with the Blu Ray release boost of Rogue One, but it is most realistic to expect these milestones with the release of The Last Jedi. Not much to talk about on the DVD side of things : DVD chart While SLOP will beat FD on DVD and reach 30M$, this is not something to be proud of as it is barely above The Good Dinosaur and will end up far away from Zootopia which sits at 46M$. Looking at the past three years of DVD sales, it looks like sales have stabilized in the 30M$-45M$ range for the yearly top 10 (with the notable exception of Frozen). Just a reminder that no movie has achieved 50M$ on DVD since Inside Out released late in 2015 with Minions (49M$) and Zootopia (46M$) being the closest to the milestones since then. On the combined side of things : combined chart SLOP (81M$) will also beat FD (83M$) and fall short of passing Zootopia (95M$). Suicide Squad (68M$) will pass both BvS (72M$) and CA:CW (73M$) but will fall short of passing Deadpool (90M$). SW:TFA is about 2-3 weeks away from reaching 175M$. The last movie to reach this milestone is Frozen and the last live action movie is the first Avengers.

And I really appreciate that to be honest. Props to the mods or OP keeping track of the relevant content.

I'm actually a man... but yeah this would be me if I was a woman.

I like looking at the thread on Fridays to get the numbers. It's really hard sometimes to have to scroll through all the bullshit. Hope you guys are enjoying yourselves.

It was marketed brilliantly as a gastronomy movie...Chinese people love dogs... with Teriyaki sauce.

Blu Ray numbers are out and only holdovers are worth analyzing. Finding Dory has passed the 50M$ mark on Blu Ray, the first animated movie since Minions to do so. Secret Life of Pets will reach this next week and it is less than 500K$ away, SLOP should win the 2016 animation crown on HV in both Blu Ray and Combined category with Zootopia winning the DVD category (I don't believe Moana or Sing stand a chance). Star Wars : TFA is now 10M$ away from reaching the 150M$ mark on Blu Ray.

I thought it looked grainy because it was covered in ice...?

Yeah I don't know how they get those figures.

Looks like I was way off on this one. CA:CW dropped off too hard in its 2nd and 3rd week to hope to get in the top 10. It will also most likely end up in 6th place in combined sales in the MCU behind Avengers (234M), IM1 (196M), IM2 (178M), GotG (128M and CA:TFA (109M). It will placed better on the Blu Ray ranks though only falling behind Avengers (120M) and GotG (79M) and beating CA:TFA (62M) for 3rd place. As for the next movie to reach 100M$ on Blu Ray, I was wrong on considering Finding Dory and had completely forgot about the 1991 Beauty And the Beast that currently stands at 96M$ and has not even received any direct boost from the 2017 live action Beauty and the Beast. I also believe that if Rogue One doesn't reach 100M$ by mid summer, the 2017 Beauty and the Beast will beat it to 100M$ on Blu Ray.

Speaking of Suicide Squad, we just got numbers from its first week on Blu Ray. With 31M$ sales in its first week on Blu Ray, SS is off to a great start. This is the third best week for a 2016 CBM behind Captain America : Civil War (39M) and Deadpool (33M), but above Batman v Superman (29M). This guarantee that SS will reach 50M$ in Blu Ray and unless it completely drops off from its first week like CW did, then reaching 60M should also happen within 12 months. I believe it will end up just below Deadpool in combined sales. In other news, SW:TFA got its first Rogue One boost and is now less than 600K units from passing Despicable Me 2 on Blu Ray something that will either be achieved before summer or it will have to wait for the Episode VIII boost. It's also 21M$ away from claiming rank 2 over Frozen, which I don't see happening until Episode VIII gets released. TFA now stands at 167M$ 38 weeks into its HV run, just shy of my 175M$ 52 week prediction (Bragging rights!). Finding Dory is one week away from reaching 50M$ on Blu Ray, the first animated movie since Minions (currently at 63M$) reached that mark. Secret Life of Pets (39M$) and Zootopia (49M$) should also reach this milestone sometime in 2017. In fact, Zootopia should also reach 50M$ DVD and 100M$ combined milestones in the first half of 2017. The next two weeks of sales should be the last interesting data until we get to the fall and early winter releases in about 2 months although only Rogue One is worth analyzing as all the other releases are mid level blockbusters (Dr. Strange, Fantastic Beast, Moana, Sing and Troll to an extent).

A 5 week BUMP where we only got 2 weeks worth of update. In those 2 weeks, we got Pete's Dragon, The BFG, Jason Bourne and Secret Life of Pets and only one release is worth analyzing (SLOP). Secret Life of Pets sold for 42M$ of DVD and Blu Rays in its first week which was better than most of the last 5 major animated releases (FD - 39M, Zoo - 41M, IO - 37M, Minions - 51M, BH6 - 48M). SLOP should settle between 100M$ and 115M$ when all is said and done (just like comparable recent animated movies). The last major movie of 2016 to have been released on HV in 2016 is Suicide Squad and we should have data for that movie shortly. Here's the current rankings of 2016 comic book movies 1 - Deadpool - 88M$ 2- BvS - 72M$ 3 - CA : CW - 70M$ 4 - X-Men Apoc : 28M$

Yeah I agree with this. Zootopia definitely lost steam when it became available on Netflix.

Thanksgiving week Blu Ray numbers are in. Finding Dory had a better drop than I expected and should easily pass Zootopia in both Blu Ray and Combined sales. Speaking of Zootopia, it now trails The Lego Movie at the same point in its run by roughly 2M$ as it received a Thanksgiving boost around half of what Lego had. It should settle between 100-110M$ after Christmas boost. Both BvS and CA:CW reached 50M$ on Blu Ray.

So Finding Dory opened to about the same level as Zootopia on Blu Ray (25M$ vs 24M$ for Zoo) although it sold about 25% more units. This should guarantee 100M$ combined for FD, but days of top animation movies reaching 200M$ with ease are long gone. SW : TFA also just passed The Avengers in units sold on Blu Ray for rank 4 all time.

2017 sequels impact and upcoming milestones Underworld : Blood Wars - Underworld 3 : Rise of the Lycans (50M$ DVD and combined) - currently 47M$ (possible) Logan - X-Men : The Last Stand (150M$ DVD and combined) - currently 145M$ DVD and 146M$ combined (unlikely to both) - The Wolverine (50M$ Blu Ray) - currently 41M$ (unlikely) The Fate of the Furious - The Fast and the Furious : Tokyo Drift (50M$ DVD and combined) - currently 41M$ DVD and 42M$ combined (unlikely to both) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - Guardians of the Galaxy (50M$ DVD and 150M$ combined) - currently 49M$ DVD and 128M$ combined (guaranteed for DVD and unlikely for combined) Pirates of the Caribbean : Dead Men Tell no Tales - Pirates of the Caribbean : On Stranger Tides (100M$ combined) - currently 90M$ (unlikely) Wonder Woman & Justice League - Batman V Superman (50M$ Blu Ray) - currently 49M$ (guaranteed - should get it in 2016 once we get Thanksgiving and Christmas reporting) Cars 3 - Cars 2 (50M$ Blu Ray and 150M$ combined) - currently 39M$ Blu Ray and 142M$ combined (unlikely for Blu Ray - possible for combined) Transformers : The Last Knight - Transformers : (300M$ DVD) - currently 295M$ (unlikely as it only received a 2M$ boost from the last entry) Despicable Me 3 - Despicable Me (200M$ DVD and 300M$ combined) - currently 199M$ DVD and 277M$ combined (guaranteed for DVD, could get in with 2016 reporting - unlikely for combined) - Despicable Me 2 (250M$ combined ) currently 245M$ (guaranteed) - Minions (50M$ DVD) - currently 48M$ (guaranteed) Spider Man : Homecoming - The Amazing Spider Man 2 (50M$ combined) - currently 47M$ (possible) War for the Planet of the Apes - Rise of the Planet of the Apes (50M$ DVD) - currently 44M$ (unlikely) - Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (50M$ combined ) - currently 41M$ (unlikely) Thor : Ragnarok - Thor (50M$ DVD, 50M$ Blu Ray & 100M$ combined) - currently 40M$ DVD & Blu Ray and 80M$ combined (unlikely to all milestones) - Thor : The Dark World (50M$ Blu Ray ) - currently 39M$ (unlikely) - Avengers : AoU (50M$ Blu Ray) - currently 49,7M$ (guaranteed, should even reach it with the remaining 2016 reporting) - Avengers (250M$ combined) - currently 234M$ (unlikely) Star Wars : The Last Jedi - Star Wars : The Force Awakens (150M$ Blu Ray and 200M$ combined) - currently 133M$ Blu Ray & 163M$ combined (likely for Blu Ray - possible for combined as the boost will mostly be received in January & April 2018) - Rogue One : A Star Wars story (50M$ Blu Ray and 100M$ combined) - even though the movie is not out on HV yet, I predict it will reach both milestones with or without the "sequel" boost Pitch Perfect 3 - Pitch Perfect (100M$ DVD) - currently 89M$ (unlikely as it received only a 6M$ boost from the last entry) - Pitch Perfect 2 (50M$ combined) - currently 40M$ (unlikely)

Here's another look back at the sequels impact on previous titles and close milestones. Last time I reviewed this was on July 10th and we had reporting up to May 1st, while today we have reporting up to Nov 6th. At that time, only X-Men DOFP had reached a milestone (50M$ Blu Ray). From the "guaranteed" category: Avengers : AoU (50M$ Blu Ray). It began the year at 46M$ and is now less than 300K$ away from reaching this milestone. With Thanksgiving and Christmas not yet reported, it should reach it before year's end. Star Trek 09 (200M$ combined). It was at 197M$ in January and is now less than 50K$ from 199M$. With Star Trek Beyond being released on HV the Nov 6th week, this could give ST09 enough of a boost to reach the milestone before year's end, but it's more likely to reach it in 2017. From the "likely" category: Captain America :The First Avengers - 50M$ DVD. It started the year above 46,5M$ and hasn't even reached 47M$. The impact was insignificant. X-Men The Last stand - 150M$ combined. It started the year above 145,5M$ and hasn't reached 146M$. Another insignificant impact... Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - 100M$ combined. It started at 95M$ and now stands at 98,7M$. It received a significant boost, but not enough to reach the milestone in 2016. With another sequel unlikely, it will eventually crawl to 100M$ combined. Kung Fu Panda - 150M$ combined. It started the year at 147M$ and is currently at 148M$. I doubt this will reach 150M$ anytime soon, maybe when the next entry gets released. Possible 2017 milestones that could still be reached in 2016 Guardians of the Galaxy - 50M$ DVD. Currently at 49M$. Despicable Me - 200M$ DVD. Currently at 199M$ with around 500K$ to reach it. While I don't believe any other milestones can be reached, Thanksgiving often brings us surprises. I will list the 2017 sequels and possible milestones later today.

Feeling good about my TDK prediction from last summer. Within 3M of the OW and less than 15M of DOM.

I agree. People only went to the theaters to wear 3D glasses. We really have the cream of the crop on these boards!

No No NO!!!! You can only compare to another movie that opens to 248M (give or take 5$) on December 18th, when the weather is not too snowy and the competition is not too Illuminationy. Any other comparison is wrong and don't you dare say those TFA legs are nothing short of EXTRASUPERFABULOUS!!!!!

I like this thread. Keep it up @WrathOfHan!