langer

This looks great

2018 sequels impact and upcoming milestones Maze Runner - The Death Cure - The Maze Runner (50M$ combined) - currently 40M$ (impossible) Avengers : Infinity Wars - The Avengers (250M$ combined) - currently 235M$ (impossible) - Iron Man (200M$ combined) - currently 196M$ (unlikely) - Captain America : TFA (50M$ DVD) - currently 48M$ (possible) - Guardians of the Galaxy (150M$ combined) - currently 140M$ (unlikely) - Spider Man Homecoming (50M$ combined) - currently 44M$ (possible) - Doctor Strange (50M$ combined) - currently 44M$ (possible) Deadpool 2 - Deadpool (100M$ combined) - currently 99M$ (guaranteed) Solo : A Star Wars story - Star Wars The Force Awakens (150M$ Blu Ray and 200M$ combined) - currently 148M$ Blu Ray and 184M$ combined (guaranteed for Blu Ray, possible for combined) - Star Wars The Last Jedi (50M$ Blu Ray and combined) - not yet released (possible for Blu Ray, guaranteed for combined) Jurassic World :Fallen Kingdom - Jurassic World (100M$ Blu Ray and 150M$ combined) - currently 94M$ Blu Ray and 133M$ combined (likely for Blu Ray, possible for combined) Hotel Transylvania 3 : Summer Vacation - Hotel Transylvania (100M$ combined) - currently 96M$ (likely) Mission Impossible : Fallout - Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol (50M$ combined) - currently 46M$ (unlikely) Dark Phoenix - X-Men : The Last Stand (150M$ DVD and 150M$ combined) - currently 145M$ DVD and 146M$ combined (unlikely to both) 2019 and future How to Train your Dragon (200M$ combined) - currently 195M$ Iron Man (200M$ combined) - currently 196M$ Guardians of the Galaxy (150M$ combined) - currently 140M$ Secret Life of Pets (100M$ combined) - currently 97M$ Toy Story 3 (200M$ DVD and 250M$ combined) - currently 192M$ DVD and 249M$ combined Transformers (300M$ DVD) - currently 295M$ Fate of the Furious (50M$ combined) - currently 45M$ Wonder Woman (100M$ combined) - currently 92M$ Frozen (400M$ combined) - currently 388M$ Rogue One : A Star Wars story (100M$ combined) - currently 78M$ Despicable Me 2 (250M$ combined) - currently 247M$ The Croods (50M$ DVD) - currently 48M$ Avatar (400M$ combined) - currently 398M$ Spider Man Homecoming (50M$ combined) - currently 44M$

Reviewing last year's prediction of sequels impact on HV sales Out of 6 guaranteed predictions, I was right on 4 (3 needed only 1M$ to reach their milestones) and was wrong on 2 (one needed 5M$ and gained 2M$ and the other one was not even released on HV at the time of the prediction). Of the 4 possible scenarios, 2 movies stayed flat and gained nothing, while two movies covered between 57% and 63% of the ground to reach their milestones.

I was just kidding. I take joking very seriously.

No they are not. There is a law against that.

These faith based movie threads are always gold. While I believe anyone has a right to write and film fiction, I also believe religious people should have an obligation to write and film fiction, which I also believe they are already doing.

I believe OS will save this movie and may secure a 3rd entry. I see it dropping to around 70M$ DOM and increasing to 350M$ OS. The 3rd entry will not be released in the US.

I see what you did there...

Comparing Avatar's WW to the MCU's DOM average is awesome! I'll go bolder, Avatar is averaging 2,78B$ while the MCU can only manage an average of 12M$ in previews... It takes about 232 MCU movies to outgross Avatar with midnight and previews shows. I'm tempted to compare SW with Avatar but it would be pointless since Avatar is not really a franchise yet.

TLJ will probably crawl to just over Avengers. Terrible legs. Not the worst December legs of all time, but very close.

I love the circle jerking around that happened when Deadline first reported 20M for TLJ. Saw a lot of experienced posters project under 600M for TLJ. Never change BOT, you are a mirror of society.

TLJ still on track to finish at around 630-635M. The Friday jump will really tell the story of the rest of its run. R1 jumped 56% while TFA jumped 80% - TFA also had a stronger Saturday jump compared to R1 which I believe is explained by the calendar as TFA had a weak Wed-Thurs in week 3. R1 made roughly 60% of TFA in its first 3 weeks, then crashed to about 45% for the rest of its run. TLJ has made 75% in week 1, 64% in week 2 and 71% in week 3. It needs to stay above 45% in week 4 and forward to finish above The Avengers and it need to stay above 61% to beat JW and 65% for Titanic. I believe TLJ will manage 50% of TFA for the rest of its run and finish at 635M.

Hey guys, did you know that the Avatar franchise has not gross a single $ since 2010? Talk about a dead franchise

It's also a stellar drop from TFA and terrible legs for a December movie. It will still be very profitable.

TLJ on track for 630-640M finish

Here's what TFA and R1 made after the Monday coming off New Year: TFA = 186M$ R1 = 91M$ IF TLJ keeps the 65% of TFA it was roughly been doing in the last week, it will finish around 655M$, or just under 3X multi, which we all know is really bad for any December release regardless of OW. I have a feeling that TLJ will barely keep up with R1 and finish around 635-640M for a 2,9X multi and just above The Day the Earth Stood Still (2,6X), Golden Compass (2,7X) and Exodus Gods & Kings (2,7X). Hopefully EP 9 will rebound and fare better.

Yet TLJ is about to drop 30%... Here's a look at other record breaking follow up as far as OW is concerned. TLJ is looking to be towards the bottom of this list. Batman Forever increased 13% SM2 dropped 8%, TDKR dropped 15%, HP2 dropped 18%, AoU dropped 26% POTC 3 dropped 27% TLW dropped 35% Batman & Robin dropped 42%

Yeah it's dropping like AoU to Avengers and JL to BvS. TLJ is doing great guys.

Are the critics wrong or are the fans wrong? Critics TLJ : 91% JL : 40% Audience TLJ : 52% JL : 78% If we keep bashing JL because of its horrible RT score and we ignore that 4 out 5 moviegoers like the movie, should we by the same token ignore that half the audience of TLJ hate the movie and state that TLJ is a great movie? Or can we say the critics got it wrong for both movies?

It's not a franchise yet...

Sorry, but 3,2X multi in December would not be "a hell of a nice performance overall". It would be on the very low end of mid December friday multipliers. TLJ is a very divisive movie and it's going to experience legs accordingly.

Any big budget movie that was released by Fox Searchlight recently?

Pretty sure a lot of guys did the same thing for the Twilight movies.

I still have doubts this will come out...

ruined temporarily..