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matrixdmath5

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  1. matrixdmath5

    La La Land or Mamma Mia?

    Which one did you like more? Both movies play with emotions. Mamma Mia! got no Academy Award nominations, and only two Golden Globe nominations, but I noticed the editing is pretty sharp leading me to think it was an awards contender.
  2. showtime report. 19 theaters, 14 films reported w/ 1,415 combined showtimes from these 14 films. out of 1,415 showtimes Mamma Mia - 12.6% Equalizer 2 - 11.0% Unfriended 2 - 5.2% Hotel Tran 3 - 13.0% Skyscraper - 10.3% Sorry/Bother - 4.2% Ant-Man 2 - 12.9% Purge 4 - 5.7% Sicario 2 - 4.4% Uncle Drew - 1.7% Jurassic World - 6.6% Incredibles - 7.9% Ocean's 8 - 2.5% Tag - 1.7% Hotel 3 stays on top, but Ant-Man almost matches it by retaining almost all its shows from weekend #2. Incredibles still averages more than 1 print showing/theater/day with Skyscraper holding onto 2 prints/day
  3. Equalizer 2 is leading in the poll here suggesting it might be strong relative to Mamma Mia and hit over 30 million. but with a production budget of $62 million, and the first doing 192 million on a $55 budget, https://www.movieinsider.com/movies/-/2018
  4. matrixdmath5

    Tuesday's Numbers

    Equalizer 2 is leading in the poll here suggesting it might be strong relative to Mamma Mia and hit over 30 million. but with a production budget of $62 million, and the first doing 192 million on a $55 budget, https://www.movieinsider.com/movies/-/2018
  5. Here are some December releases from 2001-2017 that were either duds or flops. $budget - Domestic + International Downsizing - $68 - 24 + 31 Ferdinand - $111 - 84 + 212 Passengers - $110 - 100 + 203 Assassin's - $125 - 55 + 186 Joy - $60 - 56 + 45 Point Break - $105 - 29 + 105 Alvin/Chipmunks 4 - $90 - 86 + 149 Heart of the Sea - $100 - 25 + 69 Exodus - $140 - 65 + 203 47 Ronin - $175 - 38 + 113 Walter Mitty - $90 - 58 + 130 Walking w/ Dinosaurs - $80 - 36 + 90 Gulliver's Travels - $112 - 43 + 195 Lovely Bones - $65 - 44 + 50 Nine - $80 - 20 + 34 Invictus - $60 - 37 + 85 The Spirit - $60 - 20 + 19 Tale of Despereaux - $60 - 51 + 87 Children of Men - $76 - 36 + 34 Good Shepherd - $90 - 60 + 40 Charlotte's Web - $85 - 83 + 62 Eragon - $75 - 75 + 174 Blood Diamond - $100 - 57 + 114 The Holiday - $85 - 63 + 142 Munich - $70 - 47 + 83 Memoirs of a Geisha - $85 - 57 + 105 Aeon Flux - $62 - 26 + 26 Phantom/Opera - $70 - 51 + 103 Lemony Snickets - $140 - 119 + 90 Spanglish - $80 - 43 + 12 Blade: Trinity - $65 - 52 + 76 Paycheck - $60 - 54 + 42 Cold Mountain - $79 - 96 + 77 Peter Pan - $100 - 48 + 74 Mona Lisa Smile - $65 - 64 + 77 Big Fish - $70 - 67 + 56 Gangs of NY - $100 - 78 + 116 The Majestic - $72 - 28 + 10 Ali - $107 - 58 + 30 Black Hawk Down - $92 - 109 + 64 Star Trek: Nemesis - $60 - 43 + 24 Alita: Battle Angel's budget is listed at 175-200 putting it with 47 Ronin at the top of this list in terms of production budget.
  6. The poster is looking a little rusty too. Might remind people of the chore it takes to get through the first one from the computer screen point of view. (Hardcore Henry, Searching) The poster situation reminds me of God's Not Dead 3. That one was not showing up on presales either.
  7. This one is still likely to be the #1 sleeper of the Summer IMO. *after reading through this thread, maybe it won't reach those heights. around 25m OW, 75 total. Don't Breath and Lights Out did well, from a surface perspective Slender Man sounds like a Conjuring spinoff coming out a few weeks before The Nun. Polaroid was on the August schedule last year and could have been a chiller like Lights Out, or underwhelmed like Mirrors. *since Slender Man is going against The Meg, well I hope this does not screw both of these movies.
  8. matrixdmath5

    Tuesday's Numbers

    Wednesday predictions (-41%) Hotel 3 - 5.00 - 63.88 (-42%) Ant-Man - 3.20 - 145.36 (-40%) Skyscraper - 2.45 - 34.01 (-34%) Incredibles - 2.25 - 543.77 (-33%) Jurassic - 2.00 - 371.03 (-29%) Purge 4 - 1.30 - 54.23 (-25%) Bother - 0.49 - 6.95 (-26%) Sicario - 0.48 - 44.85 (-35%) Uncle - 0.43 - 38.18 (-33%) Ocean's - 0.43 - 133.75 (-19%) Neighbor - 0.29 - 16.83 (-26%) Tag - 0.20 - 52.01 (-22%) Deadpool - 0.10 - 316.57 (-20%) Avengers - 0.10 - 676.34 (-18%) Hereditaty - 0.07 - 43.18 (-25%) Solo - 0.06 - 212.12 (-25%) Book - 0.05 - 67.96
  9. The Darkness and Incarnate had the largest acting contracts most likely with Kevin Bacon and Aaron Eckhart. I don't think any of the other films paid salary above $1 million for any actor.
  10. Unfriended 2 with theater counts a little less than BH Tilts other top releases. Disappointing considering the brand recognition and low budget. It looks like Unfriended 2 is not making the hype it could have reached with its promising trailer. > NEW RELEASES 1 - The Equalizer 2 Sony / Columbia 3,300+ - - 1 2 - Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! Universal 3,200 - - 1 3 - Unfriended: Dark Web BH Tilt 1,543 - - 1 BH Tilt's widest releases 1 2 The Darkness BH Tilt $10,753,574 1,769 $4,950,859 1,755 5/13/16 2 7 Incarnate BH Tilt $4,799,774 1,737 $2,534,884 1,737 12/2/16 3 5 Birth of the Dragon BH Tilt $6,901,965 1,633 $2,702,430 1,618 8/25/17 4 4 The Green Inferno BH Tilt $7,192,291 1,543 $3,520,626 1,540 9/25/15 5 1 Upgrade BH Tilt $11,871,365 1,458 $4,670,905 1,457 6/1/18 6 3 The Belko Experiment BH Tilt $10,166,820 1,341 $4,137,230 1,341 3/17/17 7 9 The Resurrection of Gavin Stone BH Tilt $2,303,792 890 $1,206,771 890 1/20/17 8 8 Sleight BH Tilt $3,986,245 591 $1,701,785 565 4/28/17 9 6 Lowriders BH Tilt $6,303,560 365 $2,403,885 295 5/12/17
  11. matrixdmath5

    Christopher Robin | August 3, 2018 | Disney

    Paddington got past 8m on the first Saturday. F S S Christopher Robin - 8 + 10 + 8 nearly 4.0 multiplier makes close to 100m. Paddington #'s 2015/01/16 3 $4,654,579 3,303 $1,409 $4,654,579 1 2015/01/17 3 $8,366,953 +80% 3,303 $2,533 $13,021,532 2 2015/01/18 2 $5,945,144 -29% 3,303 $1,800 $18,966,676 3 2015/01/19 2 $6,527,463 +10% 3,303 $1,976 $25,494,139 4 Pete's Dragon 2016/08/12 3 $6,952,488 3,702 $1,878 $6,952,488 1 2016/08/13 3 $8,389,791 +21% 3,702 $2,266 $15,342,279 2 2016/08/14 3 $6,171,816 -26% 3,702 $1,667 $21,514,095 3 The BFG 2016/07/01 4 $7,084,842 3,357 $2,110 $7,084,842 1 2016/07/02 4 $6,260,121 -12% 3,357 $1,865 $13,344,963 2 2016/07/03 5 $5,430,387 -13% 3,357 $1,618 $18,775,350 3
  12. Ghost in the Shell made it to 40.56 domestic. Uncle Drew should pass this sometime next week and might finish around 42-44 domestic. Ghost in the Shell debuted in 3,440 theaters, a number probably similar to what Alita will see. If Alita sees 5 million on each day 12/21, 12/22, & 12/23, that makes a 3 multiplier likely with those upcoming December weekdays and a total above 45 million.
  13. Theater Count Predictions (new) Mamma Mia - 3,300 (new) Equalizer 2 - 3,400 (new) Unfriended 2 - 1,800 Hotel Tran 3 - 4,267 Skyscraper - 3,782 (-200) Ant-Man - 4,006 (-500) Incredibles - 3,205 (-600) Jurassic World - 3,095 (-600) Purge 4 - 2,438 (-1,000) Sicario - 1,006 (-1,000) Uncle Drew - 702 (-1,000) Ocean's 8 - 618 (+200) Bother - 1,005 (-100) Neighbor - 768 (-650) Tag - 332 (-300) Deadpool - 288 (-125) Avengers - 250 (-105) Hereditary - 200 (-115) Solo - 200 (-111) Book - 200
  14. 1. Mamma Mia - 36.25 - 40.00 2. Equalizer 2 - 28.00 - 30.50 3. Hotel Tran 3 -50% - 22.00 - 90.00 4. Ant-Man 2 -44% - 16.30 - 164.60 5. Skyscraper -52% - 12.00 - 48.25 6. Incredibles -38% - 10.00 - 556.00 7. Jurassic World -40% - 9.70 - 382.50 8. Unfriended - 6.75 - 7.50 9. Purge 4 -51% - 4.60 - 59.90 10. Sorry/Bother -17% - 3.50 - 10.90 Sicario 2 -56% - 1.70 - 46.95 Neighbor -22% - 1.53 - 18.64 Uncle Drew -62% - 1.20 - 39.80 Ocean's 8 -62% - 1.10 - 135.20 Tag -67% - 0.42 - 52.62 Avengers -37% - 0.39 - 676.82 Deadpool -54% - 0.36 - 317.03 Hereditary -42% - 0.25 - 43.49 Solo -39% - 0.25 - 212.42 Book Club -38% - 0.18 - 68.19
  15. Equalizer 2 went up in the theater counts. Friday20 NEW IN THEATERS DISTRIBUTOR RELEASE The Equalizer 2 Thriller Sony / Columbia 3,300+ Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! Musical Universal 3,200 Unfriended: Dark Web Thriller
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