RyneOh1040
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Posts posted by RyneOh1040
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working it this week. you guys will probably get news before i have time to post but it was a ton of fun today.
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59 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
TCP and MG have the same problem (pro tip: it isn't musical). They are remakes of stone cold classics. Both Spileberg's TCP and original MG are iconic. Everyone knows Fetch. A remake of an iconic movie has an uphill battle. It has to be as good or better and even then people may not want to pay again for something they've seen 1000 times, just because it now has different cast (that they may not like) and somewhat different take (ditto). That is also why Wonka didn't suffer from musical bait and switch. It wasn't Charlie&the Chocolate Factory remake but a prequel, a "new" thing.
think it’s a pretty big fallacy to compare them this way. the color purple had multiple factors working against it, and the spielberg property wasn’t one of them. you have what many see as a black targeted film, in a busy season, that also happens to be a musical. it simply had an audience cap which is reflected in the glowing reviews, great cinema score and audience scores, and bad legs. mean girls suffers from something similar. a young female white targeted film with pretty good reviews that is also a musical. wonka has four quadrant appeal, fits right into the ‘holiday vibe’ corridor in which it’s released, and is a musical. but musicals aren’t a monolith. the cast of wonkas net is just so so much wider.
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really a shame for TCP. the crowd i saw it with on opening day ate. it. up. and i reallly thought this would catch fire but it isnt. going to need to really level out to reach 110-120.
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charlie says 9.25 for Wonka which is excellent.
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5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
TCP 7-7.25M TUE.
more front loaded than i would have hoped but also think WOM is going to kick in fast.
les miserables seems like the best comparison here. they had almost identical opening days on christmas that also fell on a weekday. take the true opening day of 15.89 and this fell 55%. Les fell 32% from OD so yeah TCP will really need to have some great legs to have a shot at 150.
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23 minutes ago, wildphantom said:
I’m not sure that’s fair. Gladstone is fantastic in the film. A worthy contender, even if it’s much more a supporting role than a lead one.
Carey Mulligan’s Maestro performance is by far the best lead actress contender I’ve seen. Yet we know campaigns and politics all come into it, especially in the final weeks. It’s always about the nominations for me. The eventual winners are subject to a pony show that takes no prisoners.
this is greta lee erasure.
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1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:
I would be emotional if Fantasia wins the Oscar. Would love to see her become the frontrunner
the dream but also greta lee
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the color purple is about to be a WOM storm we haven’t seen maybe all year. i went in knowing it would good but fantasia is fucking unreal in this.
haven’t seen a crowd this engaged in a very long time at the theaters. if OD really is 16, i think this has a shot at around 200+ domestic.
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BOSS has really had some great legs.
I finally saw - 1 Sunday night and holy hell what a film.
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so stoked for waitress. was shot incredibly well and added a new dimension to an already emotional ride.
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curious to see the waitress numbers. we went at 7 thinking no one would be there and it was sold out so we had to go to the 730.
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really hoping the renny estimate holds would be great IM for the immediacy this had with core fans.
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what a gift this film was.
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https://deadline.com/2023/11/renaissance-a-film-by-beyonce-box-office-preview-1235641798/
Looks like 20 stateside and internationally would be on the higher end.
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a '90' from Uproxxx and THR and an '80' from Variety on Metacritic good good.
yeah 20 seems to be the number here for a good turnout, 30 being exceptional. going to play terribly in small cities.
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56 minutes ago, Taylor89 said:
It won't do over 30m
based on presales i agree which is why i said it would be a huge win.
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as a fucking huge beyonce stan who is so thankful were getting this i think anything over 30 is a huge win. what taylor (also a huge fan to be clear) did and is doing is so far and apart diffferent from where beyonce is focused and if anything renaissance ostracized many of her mainstream fans for the sake of a vision. taylor knows what her fans want and gives it to them in spades, while continuing to accelerate the growth of that fan base. beyonce is doing work solely for herself.
in nashville our imax shows are well sold (all around 80% the first few days) but the general shows are EMPTY. expecting this to do at least 50% of its business on Thursday/Friday and fall hard. 30/60 is what im hoping for.now let me go get all my silver shit out.
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LOL at anyone saying 50 is the ceiling you simply don’t understand Taylor’s power right now. It’s unmatched.
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yeah, AMC's entire site is down LOL
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the site crashed. i was in the queue and its down.
upping my prediction to 75 for the weekend.
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Truly believe this thing can do 50 million over the weekend. Taylor has made going to the Eras tour a cultural event and this will be an inexpensive way for her fans to relive the magic. Going to be insane.
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1 hour ago, vafrow said:
He was apparently given 20% of gross. It's unclear if that's just domestic or international. Even just domestic, he's walking away with a ridiculous amount.
holllllly shit if true.
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24 million per empire, sweet jesus.
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CinemaCon 2024 | 8th to 11th of April | Roundup and Discussion Thread
in The Speakeasy
Posted
finally got some sleep after working like 16 hour days. shit was wild.
okay so here were my big thoughts of things i can remember (i was at all the presentations and most of the smaller panels).
1. fall guy - i am SHOCKED but i did not like this. i am a huge gosling fan and coming off the reviews from sxsw was so excited but i am in the minority clearly when i say i..just did not find it funny. at all. to me it spreads itself too thin and succeeds at none of what it is trying. if it weren’t for gosling and blunt i would have damn near hated it. i would say the screening seemed receptive but also not like through the roof wom. i still think it will do really well.
2. biggest shock for me - how good michael looks. shit is going to do INSANE numbers.
3. saw the first 35 minutes of inside out 2, a big return to form for pixar. REALLY funny.
4. new apes is being marketed poorly because we saw nine minutes and it was really, really beautiful.
5. speak no evil, smile 2, and alien romulus look scary as hell. especially speak no evil james mcavoy was TERRIFYING in the content they showed.
6. wicked is going to do whatever its cap is. i truly think it’s has a shot at 125 million three day or 150-160 five day. universal also spent a shit ton at the presentation with marketing materials.
7. as someone who’s top three of all time include twister i was really annoyed with the sequel (especially after they turned down hunts idea) BUT THAT BEING SAID. the footage was a LOT of fun and the three leads seem great (daisy is wearing the iconic white tee and khakis in one scene).
8. quiet place looks excellent from what we saw and could definitely break out. also saw an extended scene of transformers one in 3d that was some really stunning animation.
9. deadpool footage was very very funny. a lot of breaking the third wall.
those are the big things i can remember it was a crazy week lol.