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RyneOh1040

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Posts posted by RyneOh1040

  1. 1 hour ago, water said:

     

    How is $15-25m over $210 "clearing it in its sleep" our numbers are basically the same.

    hahahah what other expression is he supposed to use?  we're to the point in FB run where 15-25 million more is a LOT of cash.  if a month ago you said 210 and he said 225 thats one thing, but were 165 million in, and that 15-25 million that you're under predicting against all logic makes all the difference at this point.  And if you agree that its not that much anyway, just up your prediction like any sensible analyst would and call it a day.

    • Like 5
  2. Just a fantastic hold for FB, there were several people here saying it would have a 60%+ drop second weekend.  There's absolutely no denying that WOM is very, very strong.  I still don't think this is a family film, or drawing them in, I simply think there wasn't a rush factor for this among HP fans.  They WOULD see it, they just didn't necessarily see it opening weekend.  Interested to see if the demo break downs for this weekend are the same as last.  

    • Like 2
  3. 26 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

    She was great... Sudol that is... As was the No Maj dude. Very, very charming. Both 'em. Kind of buoy the film really. I kept thinking that Joel Edgerton would've fit a villainous role in this one. Farrell was stale as fuck. Redmayne Redmayned about as hard as he could. Waterston tried really, really, really hard and did, well, okay. Ezra was solid. Morton was chilling and I could've used more of her. Voight and that entire subplot was fucking joke. Total waste. The beasts, a few of 'em, were great. Newt's reason for being there was shit. Easy fix there. Shocked it wasn't for different reason.

     

    Eh, Rowling knocked off the rust. She'll do something better next go 'round.

     

    Very glad to see it and Strange are holding very well. Moana kicking ass too. And, Arrival, maybe the best movie I've seen this year, holding MUCH better than I expected.  Go news all around for me.

    What do you mean by this?

  4. Really loved the film.  The best praise I can give it is that it gave me the same feeling I would get whenever I finished a Potter book for the first time.  It's a kind of warmth that's quite hard to find in life.  The only real critique I have of the film is that the last three to five minutes felt like several different endings.  It didn't bother me too much, but it was a bit distracting.

     

    A-.  Cannot WAIT for the sequel.

     

    Also, I have a theory on a major plotline for the sequels: The less surprising of it is that I think Ariana Dumbledore was an obscurus.  She died very similarly to how those are created.  But I also think obscurials eventually become dementors.  I think it's the only real explanation of why we never heard of them in the 7 Potter books (wizards don't need to supress their powers anymore, so they either don't exist or are VERY rare).  It would make sense as to why Dumbledore hated dementors so much...his sister (who's death he had fault in) eventually became one.  

    • Like 3
  5. 18 minutes ago, laudemhirjan said:

    Except Rowling foreshadowed it.

      Hide contents

    If you have the Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them book, you will see that it was published by Obscurus Books. Also in the Deathly Hallows, Aberforth pretty much implied that Ariana herself was an obscurus.

     

    Spoiler

    The Ariana part I had implied, but I don't catch the connection between OB and dementors.  I get that it's a foreshadowing of what they're called but im not seeing the dementor connection.

     

  6. If you've seen Fantastic Beasts....

     

    Spoiler

    I've been trying to think about what things from FB stuck out.  Like what didn't align with the potter universe.  The big one for me is the obscuras.  How in 7 years did we never hear of that.  Then I thought maybe as time passed it would have made sense that wizards didn't have to hide as much and therefore didn't suppress their magic (a la something like being a Jew in WW1.). But then I couldn't reconcile what happened to the obscuras from before ,what became of them? and then it hit me:  DEMENTORS!!!!  I've read the books many times over and I can't ever remember their origination being talked about.  Do you think obscuras become dementors? 

     

    • Like 5
  7. Just now, WrathOfHan said:

    I go to the Wizarding World monthly :redcapes:


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

    I got to go on opening day back in 2010 and it was INSANELY crowded but so worth it.  Rode the Hulk with Tom Felton.  We tried to get into the press opening the night before but it was a no go.  Still we sat outside and listened to the opening ceremony.  If you've never seen it watch this.  John Williams and a full orchestra were by the castle playing the score live.

     

     

    • Like 6
  8. 2 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

     

    That's what I was talking about.  Hogsmeads in Islands of Adventure. Which is part of Universal Orlando. I'm well aware of where it is 

     

    There's every chance as it's been rumoured all year long Challenge is going. I'm just saying what I've been reading for months from lots of sources. 

    It would make sense.  Even though that's a big attraction in terms of size it was there well before WW and needs an update.  I could see them putting in another coaster thats FB themed.  When I left the theater on Thursday I told my friend 'i can already see WB doing two things: selling the SHIT out of those wand tipped clear umbrellas and making a dope ride where you tour Newt's briefcase.

     

    And to any fan who hasn't been to the Orlando park it is an absolute must.  I've never seen anything like it in terms of sheer immersion.

    • Like 2
  9. In the U.S., Fantastic Beasts played notably older than the final two Harry Potter movies, with 65 percent of the audience over the age of 25 compared to 56 percent and 55 percent for Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows — Part 1 and Part 2, respectively. At the same time, there was a large concentration of moviegoers in the 25-35 age range, with 55 percent of Friday's audience under the age of 35.

     

    Clutch excerpt from THR that I think makes sense in the way that this is performing.  What a joy to have been a Potter fan from the beginning and literally age with a franchise.  There really is nothing else like the feeling.

  10. 20 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

    Fantastic Beasts did as well as it did thanks to Potter, and even then it still underperformed. Without the Potter connection it would have straight up bombed. A lot of the people who went because of Potter won't be back for the next installment. Without the Potter connection it might as well have been this: 

     

    beautiful_creatures.jpg

     

     

    Lol, there is literally no proof of that being the case.  WOM seems to be great so far and those that have seen it seem to be on board for the franchise.

  11. 4 minutes ago, Lumos said:

    Good number. Fantastic beasts has been receiving rave reviews on my facebook. And the preview to full day ratio is well below that of Potter which is a good sign for legs. Call me crazy but I actually think a 3x is within the realm of possibility lol. 

    oddly enough same here.  and many from friends who were just casual fans of the HP series.  

    • Like 2
  12. Let's go right in the middle and say it does 75.

     

    Using Mockingjay comps (which I think FB should hold a bit better) we get something like:

     

    M - 6.84

    T - 9.09

    W - 10.9

    TH - 8.18

    F - 16.85

    S - 16

    SU - 8.32

     

    That gets it to 151.18 by next Sunday.  I don't see any reason why it should hold as poorly as TMJ2 did but I think this give us an idea of the absolute floor.  I can't see it missing 200 even with all of the competition until Rogue One.

    • Like 2
  13. That is honestly a really strong OD in comparison to the preview (29%) and is almost an identical percentage to DS.  I want a Saturday number before I get my hopes to high but maybe this is going to be much less frontloaded than the Potters were and play better over a longer period of time.  Thanksgiving can't do anything but help.

     

    If it were to follow similar comps to DS it would look something like:

     

    30

    28.8

    19

     

    77.8 OW.

     

    Until we get Saturday numbers I would say the range is anywhere from 72-80.

     

     

    • Like 1
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