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RyneOh1040

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Posts posted by RyneOh1040

  1. 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

    Good to hear. It's tracking at 15-20M right now, and I won't be surprised if it can come close to 30M with how long it's been since the last comedy hit (DH2)

    Yeah, it MAY get a lower RT score than that just because comedies tend to be a hard sell but I really think GA will be all over this.  It's a fun night out and it's been a while since we had that.

    • Like 2
  2. CALLING IT NOW.

     

    This will be the sleeper of February.

     

    Could not believe how consistently funny it was. The cast is EXCELLENT (hoping this can be a door to America finally catching on to how good Sharon Horgan/Catastrophe is) and even though it gets quite silly it's ALWAYS entertaining.

     

    Also will not be surprised to see this land in the 70's range on RT.  My audience ate. it.  up.

     

    If it can make a play for 20-25 OW, 100+ is happening.  WOM will be gooooood.

    • Like 8
    • Astonished 2
  3. caught Maze Runner yesterday.  Actually thought the RT score was kind of low on this one....definitely felt like it got back on track from the dip of Scorch Trials and the last 30 minutes or so was unexpectedly very emotional.  

     

    Nice to see a YA franchise survive as a mid level hit.

    • Like 1
  4. 46 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

    Beyoncé 

    people really don't understand how the casting is going to mobilize urban and nonurban audiences alike.

     

    i want to be careful with setting up myself for disappointment but there is truly no Disney movie that defines the milennial generation more than TLK.  people are going to come out in DROVES and Beyonce and Donald Glover will help get young people in theaters (families are already an assumption).  

     

    another thing to think about here is unlike BATB which had no real musical talent this is LOADED with it, I suspect Disney has the same marketing strategy for this as they will have seen worked with Frozen where you just flood the music and film industries so hard that it become a cultlural phenomenon.  I have no problem predicting 175/550 for TLK right off the bat, i think it's going to be an absolute monster.  

     

    And honestly the closer we get and start seeing some footage I wouldnt be surprised to start predicting Avengers numbers.

    • Like 1
  5. Yeah MP has a LOT of interesting variables in terms of how it affects box office.  

     

    I've been a member since beta and for instance there are some big work arounds to the few restrictions it has that could have some small affects on numbers.

     

    For example, you can't see the same movie twice.  This restriction has been in place since beta.  But all you have to do is check into a movie you would never see and then go into that theater.  Obviously, depending on the strictness of the theater it can be harder to pull off but I've done it more than 20 times and its never been an issue.  I also don't think the theaters care as long as someones paying for it.

     

    They use to have far more restrictions than they do now, you used to could see no more than one movie every 24 hour period, with a clock that would countdown your next available time to use your pass.  They axed that so now you can see a movie at 11pm on a sunday and go to a matinee on Monday.

     

    I have a feeling we will see with Moviepass the same thing the music industry has seen with Spotify.  No one and i mean NO ONE thought Spotify would stay around because of the price point of their service and they royalty rates they pay the artist.  But consumers spoke and essentially forced the invisible hand to a new standard.  And the music industry has had to adapt to it.

     

    Could see a very similar situation with MoviePass over the next 5-10 years, with enough volume, I think they could essentially force new ticket pricing on theaters to make the platform viable long term.

    • Like 1
  6. 3 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

    All valid points. And, as usual around here, a very good discussion. Refreshing to discuss big successes rather than harp on disappointments and flops too.

     

    Get Out is horror too. Openly cerebral and politicized horror at that. I'm still shocked at how well it did. IT to me is in the vein of Stranger Things whereas Get Out is in the vein of Rosemary's Baby, Being John Malkovich and Manchurian Candidate. Much weirder and wackier for a large audience to embrace as much as the GA did.

     

    Which brings me to what still is arguably the biggest shock in the history of the box office, The Exorcist. I'll never fail to be floored by how much that juggernaut grossed. And, it's not just R-rated, it was nearly X-rated at the time. And, even today, is far more disgusting and repulsive in spurts than anything in IT. IT could almost get by with a PG-13 with some thrifty editing. The Exorcist... Could not.

    Fair, but I find It to be more horror and Get Out to be a psychological thriller.  Get Out makes you think and gets a lot of discussion going.  It is what your nightmares are made of, and something if you see as a kid, would always stick with you.  It's big teeth and blood and demons.  That too me is a harder sell (though again, you can argue it had a big built in fan base).   They're both great stories and a lot of fun to follow but yeah for me I give the edge to It.

  7. For me It gets the biggest story of 2017 simply due to the fact that it’s horror.  What it did, box office wise, simply transcended the genre.  

     

    Sure it’s source material is popular but it could have opened big (in the 60-70 range) and finished with 120-140.  Instead it played like a Marvel movie.

     

    Get Out, Wonder Woman, Jumanji all insanely huge and fun to follow but yeah It is just in a league of its own.

    • Like 1
  8. 1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

    Well her last 4 wide releases prior to this have been disasters. 

    if you think the audience who went to see a sequel to snow white and the huntsman were going to see it because jessica chastain was in it..i mean..come on.

     

    same with crimson peak, she's got very little screen time there and it's a gothic period piece that was lucky to make what it did.

     

    zookeepers wife actually had a really solid result considering the screen count.

     

    miss sloane is the only flat out miss that is due to chastain.

     

     

  9. 1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

    Everyone knows I'm no Chastain fan but she's great in MG and you are wrong about awards (it has just been nominated for PGA and Chastain has a GG nom in Actress) and the boxoffice (it's a solid number from 1600+ theaters considering adult market competition form the Darkest Hour, TSOW,etc). So I have no agenda to give the movie props on either account, just stating the facts. It isn't awards DOA and the boxoffice is fine.

    totally agree.  it's not like it has an easy hook for the GA and with Sorkin/Chastain GG noms I feel like it's solid.

  10. 6 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

    They’re not solid numbers. This should’ve been bigger. No awards + no box office. Looks like it’s missed both it’s aims.

     

    Audience officially just outright reject Idris and Chastain. 

    but chastain and sorkin are both nominated....

     

    also very confused about the Chastain comment she's been in more financially successful films than not.

  11. 7 hours ago, Noctis said:

    I'm happy that PP3 is going to hit $100m. Not interested in watching this one in theaters but I enjoyed the first two (especially the first) so it's nice this one is going to hit $100m after a disastrous OW. 

     

    Kind of weird that the two films (TGS and PP3 - both musicals) are going to end up finishing over $100m. But honestly...TGS is on another level entirely. 

    Coming from someone who loved the first, and thought the second was very mediocre....this one lands right in the middle.  It's really silly, but in a good way and the music selections arent quiet as strong (they'res a killerrrrr Toxic remix) it's overall much more fun and a good note to go out on.

     

    I think everyones expectations for the third got a bit out of hand after the lightning in a bottle run of the second. 100 is a fantastic result.

    • Like 1
  12. 2 minutes ago, baumer said:

     

    IMO, she's better than both of them.  Hawkins performance is wildly over rated imo and McDormand is terrific but Chastain is as well.  I loved Robbie's performance in I, Tonya as well.  I would love to see Chastain or Robbie win it this year.

    seeing shape of water and i tonya tomorrow and then i'll have seen everything actress nominee wise except all the money in the world.  i thought mcdormand was absolutely insane and i would give the edge to her but it's also one of those things where that role was destined to ben an awards winner and is way more left field than what molly was so for me it can sometimes be an easier role to get noticed.  but you're right, she DESERVES to be in the front runner talk.

  13. I finally saw Molly's Game last night and sweet jesus i love sorkin.  The man can breathe life into a script.  

     

    With McDormand and Hawkins, I don't think Chastain has a real shot but dammit this just continues the streak of her being absolute aces.  The Help, Zero Dark Thirty, Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby, Miss Sloane.  Just too good.  Hope she finally gets her dues soon.

     

     

    • Thanks 1
  14. 1 minute ago, the beast said:
    Glove_bigger.jpgGitesh Pandya @GiteshPandya

    Strong start for #InsidiousTheLastKey w/ $2M from THU night pre-shows despite Arctic weather in much of the east. 28% better than last #Insidious film from summer of 2015 & double what HappyDeathDay did this past OCT. Will join #JumanjiJumanji_Emoji.png & #StarWarsThe_Last_Jedi_BB8_emoji_v3.png in Top 3 this wknd.

     

    really is remarkable the reliability of horror in January.  

     

    i personally thought this would struggle to hit low teens over the 3 day.

    • Like 1
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