Im not disputing that she’s the top reason people are going to see this. Just that the type of film it is hasn’t performed well in theaters lately. I mean No Hard Feelings is only tracking for an opening in the teens despite having a likable star like Jlaw. It’s really tough to sell nowadays. I don’t think a September release is going to do significantly better. At best, maybe Don’t Worry Darling numbers.
He got that advice from Leonardo Dicaprio. DiCaprio is from a different era. If he was an up and coming actor now he would definitely be doing superhero films or franchise ip.
Comedy usually doesn’t translate well overseas. The Barbie brand/IP should help it somewhat but I still think the film overall is being overestimated. 300m WW for Barbie is what I’m currently
predicting.
Taylor Swift is known as a singer not actress and she wasnt the lead of those films. So I’m not sure why you mentioned her. To be honest none of these guys that we are discussing can sell a film in the traditional way it was done before but if we are talking about sole name recognition and popularity it’s Holland > Chalamet > Butler
Timothee is the new Tom cruise? I don’t think so at all. If he compares to anyone it would be Leo DiCaprio.
Currently Holland is a bigger name then Chalamet to general audiences due to the spiderman franchise. That might not always be the case but it is right now.
I’m starting to feel the same way. Those films don’t really have huge advantage over the others and share demos. IMAX did account for a large chunk of Dune sales so that’s the one I think should move to October to get some room from marvels. But I don’t think The Marvels is looking like a big threat right now. If anything Wish could be the sleeper pick of November.
what I’m expecting:
Extended looks at their summer movies including: Spiderverse, Insidious, and No Hard Feelings
First teaser/trailer for Gran Turismo
Preview/exclusive looks at Kraven The Hunter, The Equalizer 3, and Ghostbusters sequel.
Im not even gonna try to guess what unannounced titles they might give or what films they might push back.
summer 2023 top 10
1) The Little Mermaid
2) SM Across the Spiderverse
3) MI Dead Reckoning
4) GOTG 3
5) Indiana Jones The Dial of Destiny
6) The Flash
7) Elemental
8). Fast X
9) Transformers Rise of the Beasts
10) Oppenheimer
Well it looks like 10 are locked to make it so far. There should be a steady stream throughout the spring and summer but it’s fairly empty in the fall and winter other than the big tentpole films. There just isn’t that much product that I think can perform that well. So I’m gonna guess 65. We still aren’t back to pre pandemic levels.
Oppenheimer vs Barbie
I still think Oppenheimer is going to be the winner of that duel. Barbie looks like a film Twitter movie, which scares me, they are a volatile audience that’s unreliable.
I agree that they need to move 65 to April. It’s gonna be a bomb anyway but atleast it could possibly save a little face with little competition except Mario bros