IndustriousAngel

Opening nights ... Iron Sky 2 had a strong Wednesday (with double features) but looking at today's presales that seems like a one-day wonder. Us gets the biggest screen but has awful presales, not good at all - even worse is German comedy Die Goldfische. The strongest opener (and strongest movie overall) at my theater is climbing doc Free Solo (evening sellout) which is hardly surprising (huge climbing community here in Innsbruck - don't know how it's doing elsewhere) Among holdovers, Green Book and Captain Marvel are strongest

Germany’s Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Captain Marvel 393.546 651 605 1.168.616 12.674.914 -39 2 2 Astérix - Le Secret de la Potion Magique 124.594 439 284 164.094 1.142.932 - 1 3 Green Book 111.756 753 148 1.182.992 10.442.070 -27 7 4 Ostwind 4 109.916 693 159 560.443 3.861.540 -41 3 5 Howto Tame Your Dragon 3 95.209 668 143 2.053.374 17.097.385 -45 6 6 Escape Room 91.834 447 205 405.642 3.474.012 -19 3 7 Rocca verändert die Welt 61.104 391 156 61.515 429.030 - 1 8 Cold Pursuit 47.235 451 105 295.050 2.501.238 -32 3 9 Misfit 43.294 293 148 44.893 337.742 - 1 10 Trautmann 42.814 255 168 60.816 475.923 - 1 11 Bohemian Rhapsody 40.160 502 80 3.417.808 31.674.437 -23 20 12 Rate Your Date 32.757 369 89 115.701 962.452 -44 2 13 Der Junge muss an die frische Luft 30.960 578 54 3.443.371 28.939.669 -30 12 14 The Lego Movie 26.535 424 63 493.886 3.647.608 -51 6 15 Battle Angel Alita 24.351 361 67 672.257 7.310.592 -51 5 16 Wreck-it Ralph 2 24.055 352 68 1.311.318 9.975.655 -51 8 17 What Men Want 20.976 123 171 38.374 281.316 - 1 18 Der goldene Handschuh 19.978 218 92 178.106 1.557.181 -30 4 19 Mia et le Lion Blanc 18.099 407 44 522.603 3.602.788 -55 7 20 Checker Tobi und das Geheimnis unseres Planeten 16.144 318 51 318.998 2.017.872 -52 7 A satisfying weekend even if the latest Asterix movie opened a bit below my expectations. Captain Marvel had a very decent hold and should crack 2mil total. And 2018’s longrunners continue their head-to-head race, nice to see those releases take #2 and 3 of the 2018 charts! Next weekend: Us opens for an obviously hungry horror crowd (look at this weekend’s hold for Escape Room); otherwise there are few interesting releases (Iron Sky 2 won’t make much of a splash outside the core demo). With weather turning warmer, family fare might face harsh drops.

I liekd the last one despite the CGI, better than the real-life adaptions anyway.

in my theater, the strongest Asterix show is also the latest one (19:00); audience seems (predictably?) on the older side; afternoon shows not good despite rainy weather.

First estimates for Germany's weekend: #1: CM - 375k admissions (-41%) #2: Asterix - 175k incl. a lot of previews #3: Ostwind4 - 105k (-44%) #4: GreenBook - 100k (-35%) #5: HTTYD3 - 85k (-51%) rather step drops despite perfect movie-going weather; maybe business gets better over the weekend. CM's drop looks really good compared to the others.

with the 3D share it's got 20mil US$ would be a poor result indeed ... BlackPanther opened to a bit over 400k admissions and made >21mil US$ in the end. Even if we suppose that higher opening --> steeper drops, Captain Marvel should still sail past 25mil US$ total; if it gets roughly the same multiplier 30mil are possible.

that would be a disappointment ...

Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Captain Marvel 640.081 633 1.011 640.081 7.050.715 - 1 2 Ostwind 4 187.387 664 282 429.708 2.959.493 +11 2 3 How to Tame Your Dragon 3 173.375 696 249 1.940.020 16.223.475 -10 5 4 Green Book 153.689 729 211 1.026.191 9.065.000 -12 6 5 Escape Room 113.415 391 290 290.560 2.480.368 -4 2 6 Cold Pursuit 69.522 440 158 233.759 1.977.246 -33 2 7 Rate Your Date 58.384 369 158 68.580 573.362 - 1 8 The Lego Movie 2 54.154 483 112 462.789 3.430.980 -6 5 9 Bohemian Rhapsody 52.327 509 103 3.363.351 31.165.175 -18 19 10 Battle Angel Alita 49.743 466 107 635.383 6.927.940 -50 4 11 Wreck-it Ralph 2 49.410 434 114 1.283.573 9.779.860 -1 7 12 Der Junge muss an die frische Luft 44.545 577 77 3.395.278 28.558.951 -13 11 13 Mia et le lion Blanc 39.925 474 84 501.112 3.458.135 +9 6 14 Checker Tobi und das Geheimnis unseres Planeten 33.793 348 97 299.953 1.906.320 +39 6 15 Der goldene Handschuh 28.678 191 150 146.929 1.289.777 -24 3 16 Club der roten Bänder 24.879 382 65 420.500 3.467.181 -45 4 17 On the Basis of Sex 22.720 121 188 33.144 255.147 - 1 18 Vice 22.453 180 125 149.965 1.313.714 -38 3 19 Minuscule 2 18.198 301 60 65.992 427.671 +3 3 20 Happy Death Day 2U 14.253 299 48 246.383 2.069.863 -58 4 Extremely good opening for Captain Marvel - a PTA >1000 is a rare occasion! Add some extremely good holds and we have an overall very satisfying weekend. Ostwind 4 recovered from the disappointing OW and seems to fall, once more, in the range reserved for those movies. Green Book crosses 1mil total - unexpected for that kind of movie. Plus there's still a very close race going on between Bohemian Rhapsody and Der Junge muss an die frische Luft - exciting times! Next weekend: Nothing really big but the latest Asterix movie should be well-received; it already had some success with previews this weekend. With a little luck, it might even become #2 for the weekend! Captain Marvel will stay on top and we'll see if it can steer towards a total >2mil.

atm I'd say 250-300k total which translates to say 4mil US$ or more depending on 3D share

impressive weekend - not only CM but also holdovers. In Austria, CM scored nearly 80k admissions, an even better start than in Germany (though, as mentioned, drops tend to be steeper here)

excellent number - a bit unexpected but a welcome relief for the cinemas. Holds for family movies good as expected, so overall a really nice weekend!

Captain Marvel seems to have a very nice opening, by now there might be a certain frontloadedness for the Marvel movies but 400k admissions should be easily doable with today's evening and 500k possible if it's getting good WOM.

Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 How to Tame Your Dragon 3 193.149 710 272 1.681.191 14.264.719 -10 4 2 Green Book 174.029 617 282 797.434 7.065.466 +96 5 3 Ostwind 4 169.356 629 269 169.356 1.204.336 - 1 4 Escape Room 118.643 330 360 136.633 1.161.069 - 1 5 Cold Pursuit 104.275 435 240 132.449 1.113.792 - 1 6 Battle Angel Alita 100.340 602 167 546.793 6.034.040 -25 3 7 Bohemian Rhapsody 63.534 542 117 3.280.219 30.369.624 +116 18 8 The Lego Movie 2 57.457 495 116 381.988 2.876.211 -4 4 9 Der Junge muss an die frische Luft 51.215 657 78 3.326.257 27.997.368 -14 10 10 Wreck-it Ralph 2 49.972 527 95 1.208.786 9.268.076 +2 6 11 Club der roten Bänder 45.117 592 76 373.081 3.101.085 -39 3 12 Der goldene Handschuh 37.946 157 242 102.699 907.106 -12 2 13 Mia et le Lion Blanc 36.770 498 74 438.754 3.054.089 -2 5 14 Vice 36.009 174 207 112.082 981.960 -26 2 15 Happy Death Day 2U 33.772 379 89 216.568 1.839.455 -42 3 16 Checker Tobi und das Geheimnis unseres Planeten 24.245 352 69 250.693 1.609.676 +14 5 17 Glass 20.434 287 71 898.433 8.304.505 -39 7 - MET: La Fille du Régiment 20.370 211 97 20.370 598.706 - 1 18 Wie gut ist deine Beziehung? 18.524 178 104 25.686 204.196 - 1 19 Minuscule 2 17.638 323 55 41.573 273.482 +10 2 20 The Favourite 12.549 170 74 199.352 1.629.269 +40 6 A weekend for the awards winners … Bohemian Rhapsody and Green Book with excellent increases! How to Tame Your Dragon 3 seems to have stopped its freefall but again, drops for other CGI movies were better. Among openers, Ostwind 4 stayed a bit below expectations while Escape Room and Cold Pursuit opened as expected. Next weekend: Well, there's only one real interesting opener and that's Captain Marvel. While a rather unknown property, Marvel has managed to impress itself upon audiences and has built a rather reliable fanbase and so even an unknown superhero might open to something around 500k admissions. Direct competition like Alita or Cold Pursuit will be hit hard; family fare otoh might see good holds once more without new competition.

yes, generally drops are better than in the US, and drops for family stuff even more. In Austria, openings tend do be a little bigger than in Germany and drops steeper (probably because we have more seats per capita; a sellout situation in Austria is extremley rare) The good news this weekend: Green Book had its strongest weekend to date, in Germany as well as in Austria. Let's see how far the awards win can carry it