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IndustriousAngel

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Everything posted by IndustriousAngel

  1. 4mil seem feasible, yes - with drops like this week even easily! Next week Terminator will drain some tickets but this franchise seemed pretty dead so probably no serious threat for #1,
  2. First weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1 Joker 700k (-17% wtf ...) #2 Malef2 300k (ok) #3 IwnniNY >100k
  3. Rather undewhelming openings ... Joker will be the only big movie once again
  4. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Joker 841.002 690 1.219 940.402 8.945.477 - 1 2 Gemini Man 100.159 569 176 385.595 4.042.105 -53 2 3 Dem Horizont so nah 85.094 378 225 109.345 930.369 - 1 4 Shaun the Sheep 2 70.984 676 105 481.470 3.327.801 -61 3 5 Angry Birds 2 58.286 643 91 508.555 3.611.772 -59 4 6 Abominable 56.970 549 104 324.205 2.392.403 -53 3 7 Dora and the Lost City 53.302 336 159 53.302 377.149 - 1 8 Downton Abbey 45.345 511 89 527.934 4.798.867 -56 4 9 It 2 45.115 433 104 1.807.458 18.261.871 -61 6 10 Systemsprenger 39.285 380 103 293.679 2.353.649 -33 4 11 Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2.0 36.735 247 149 144.593 1.174.325 -52 2 12 Deutschstunde 35.998 136 265 119.746 1.043.706 -41 2 13 The Lion King 28.616 443 65 5.429.458 50.019.753 -61 13 14 Rambo - Last Blood 24.647 425 58 383.739 3.419.288 -62 4 15 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 19.026 297 64 1.807.702 17.835.604 -63 9 16 47 Meters Down - Uncaged 17.082 162 105 28.522 209.999 - 1 17 The White Crow 16.442 142 116 113.381 967.462 -52 3 18 Ad Astra 15.464 308 50 306.733 2.804.254 -73 4 19 7. Kogustaki Mucize 15.402 31 497 15.402 140.332 - 1 20 Gut gegen Nordwind 15.085 374 40 374.698 3.188.648 -66 5 The excellent opening for Joker and steep drops for everything else made for an ok overall weekend. WOM seems good for Joker, it has a decent chance at 3mil total - an unexpected but welcome hit! (In Austria, 300k total seem very probable, too, after a nearly 100k OW) Next weekend: Maleficent 2 is the widest opener but won't be able to reach #1 against this week's villain. A 250k OW would be decent I'd say. Also opening is domestic musical comedy "Ich war noch niemals in New York"; hard to predict but should top 100k OW. And a very interesting release: Parasite which is even harder to predict; OW not that big I'd say but might build WOM for the coming weeks.
  5. fantastic, didn't see that coming! Nice surprise in a not-so-nice year!
  6. excellent! Sadly, other releases suffer a bit - wanted to see AdAstra yesterday but the only show was at 23:00 ...
  7. That seems very difficult (but I guess it has got a lot more early shows than It2 so might not be impossible)
  8. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Gemini Man 212.134 549 386 233.808 2.526.574 - 1 2 Shaun the Sheep 2 184.194 639 288 363.181 2.523.703 +40 2 3 Angry Birds 2 141.774 643 220 404.384 2.886.790 +37 3 4 Abominable 120.866 514 235 227.463 1.706.234 +45 2 5 It 2 115.393 537 215 1.738.809 17.596.965 -13 5 6 Downton Abbey 102.995 562 183 445.147 4.076.537 -4 3 7 Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 76.344 244 313 85.857 715.662 - 1 8 The Lion King 72.550 443 164 5.379.078 49.615.170 +36 12 9 Rambo - Last Blood 65.620 450 146 341.877 3.062.751 -22 3 10 Systemsprenger 58.802 280 210 219.562 1.770.677 +24 3 11 Ad Astra 58.259 467 125 277.024 2.545.208 -20 3 12 Deutschstunde 56.238 127 443 60.658 536.523 - 1 13 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 51.880 389 133 1.777.144 17.535.485 +2 8 14 Gut gegen Nordwind 44.634 525 85 344.791 2.963.789 -12 4 15 The White Crow 34.169 131 261 82.976 712.319 +19 2 16 Paw Patrol 33.230 381 87 117.571 591.065 -61 2 17 Toy Story 4 31.046 370 84 816.753 6.092.988 +13 8 18 Good Boys 28.512 235 121 577.312 4.572.762 +6 7 19 Ugly Dolls 22.157 298 74 22.157 154.923 - 1 20 Ready or Not 21.306 233 91 75.602 603.354 -21 2 The weekend was ok, with the only wide opener Gemini Man doing a bit better than I expected and nice increases for family fare. Also a fine PTA for Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2.0; it seems to be the year of the Bavarian comedy! Next weekend: Joker should take the #1 spot; weather is predicted warmer so family releases will probably suffer. I have no idea how high Joker might go but if it doubles this week's opener I'll be satisfied.
  9. I hope so, the market sure needs some hits, I just can't see much interest atm but will be glad if proven wrong! final weekend estimates again a bit down for family releases; positive surprise could be the Bavarian comedy.
  10. Don't know why Joker should be a success, really don't see any target audience (quality of the film doesn't matter much in that respect)
  11. first trend was obviously too good to be true .. let's hope Sunday gets better!
  12. first weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Gemini - 260k admissions (very nice!) #2: Shaun2 - 225k (+70%) #3: Angry2 - 175k (+70%) didn't expect the bad weather to have so much impact - together with the Thu holiday, that's a really strong weekend all around!
  13. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 It 2 132.724 630 211 1.570.457 15.910.216 -30 4 2 Shaun the Sheep 2 131.289 609 216 147.154 1.027.489 - 1 3 Downton Abbey 106.909 487 220 287.095 2.644.457 -10 2 4 Angry Birds 2 103.282 618 167 238.199 1.706.798 +5 2 5 Paw Patrol 84.341 403 209 84.341 421.247 - 1 6 Rambo - Last Blood 84.174 426 198 237.653 2.143.663 -24 2 7 Abominable 83.537 514 163 84.242 641.718 - 1 8 Ad Astra 72.693 233 312 194.441 1.799.108 -15 2 9 The Lion King 53.452 497 108 5.288.758 48.854.963 -0 11 10 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 51.101 455 112 1.704.986 16.820.660 -12 7 11 Gut gegen Nordwind 50.711 601 84 274.753 2.334.873 -6 3 12 Systemsprenger 47.450 173 274 123.106 986.786 +44 2 13 Nurejew - The White Crow 28.672 121 237 31.751 271.246 - 1 14 Toy Story 4 27.514 437 63 779.309 5.828.304 -8 7 15 Good Boys 27.011 310 87 540.494 4.278.418 -26 6 16 Ready or Not 26.863 233 115 42.631 326.513 - 1 17 Angel Has Fallen 20.271 244 83 340.139 3.019.869 -25 5 18 Midsommar 18.693 225 83 32.313 256.609 - 1 19 Leberkäsjunkie 15.716 227 69 1.185.621 9.502.625 -11 9 20 Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo 15.598 366 43 148.405 945.843 +1 5 Terrible weekend … drops were ok but the openers, oh my. Next weekend: Gemini Man (should become #1 but everything above 200k would be a surprise), and domestiv comedy Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 which might also reach >100k OW even if it's only playing in the south.
  14. 5/10, C+ one of the most boring action movies I've seen ... few redeeming qualities except the nice optics.
  15. that's some poor numbers considering the weather ... didn't think Shaun would come in that low
  16. Downton seems to be much more popular in Germany than in Austria ...
  17. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 It 2 189.716 690 275 1.390.091 14.100.187 -44 3 2 Downton Abbey 119.075 418 285 119.265 1.131.532 - 1 3 Rambo - Last Blood 110.912 408 272 110.912 1.024.741 - 1 4 Angry Birds 2 98.310 597 165 119.244 845.654 - 1 5 Ad Astra 85.895 455 189 85.895 811.789 - 1 6 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 58.377 546 107 1.628.686 16.084.802 -37 6 7 Gut gegen Nordwind 53.956 562 96 194.783 1.656.079 -15 2 8 The Lion King 53.691 586 92 5.219.630 48.272.398 -30 10 9 Good Boys 36.561 380 96 505.807 4.007.339 -40 5 10 Systemsprenger 33.029 93 355 43.677 384.712 - 1 11 Toy Story 4 29.980 538 56 746.053 5.596.735 -38 6 12 Angel Has Fallen 27.083 354 77 312.097 2.772.200 -45 4 13 Fast & Furious - Hobbs & Shaw 17.794 267 67 1.670.062 15.466.374 -49 8 14 Leberkäsjunkie 17.734 299 59 1.160.383 9.300.431 -25 8 15 Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo 15.436 435 35 130.824 835.490 -24 4 16 Playmobil 13.657 517 26 185.849 1.231.271 -41 4 17 Pets 2 12.039 320 38 2.405.369 18.263.267 -25 13 18 Und der Zukunft zugewandt 7.948 120 66 62.835 494.486 -39 3 19 Und wer nimmt den Hund? 5.587 191 29 176.590 1.429.083 -35 7 20 Die drei !!! 4.765 252 19 373.927 2.423.885 -20 9 Baaad weekend - a LOT of wide openers but none was impressive; the only positive surprise was domestic drama (and academy awards nominee) Systemsprenger which had the highest PTA and made it into the Top10 despite playing in less than 100 venues; nice result but with its serious theme I'm not sure if an expansion will help it much through the next weeks. Next weekend: Weather is finally turning more harvest-like again which should help family stuff. Accordingly, the favourite for #1 is Shaun the Sheep 2; 200k should be doable and when it turns rainy even more. And it gets competition in Abominable which should also top 100k on OW.
  18. final weekend trend a bit better for nearly all releases except Downton (which seems really frontloaded by now)
  19. ugh, as expected poor numbers except maybe Downton Abbey (which looked a little frontloaded imho)
  20. older numbers are extremely hard to come by (apparently they had a different contract with Rentrak than other countries) but you might try the Austrian Film Institute office@filminstitut.at
  21. Well, there were no "Golden Tickets" (or other ones) in the 80s since the whole Golden/Platinum/Diamond Ticket startet only in 2007. As to the "Sissi"-movies, I only know that each of them had at least 20mil admissions in German-speaking regions, the 2nd one close to 25mil. (those were the times ...)
  22. Thanks for the Austria numbers, nice to see that LionKing crossed the 800k, fantastic result! (Endgame is #2 this year with "only" 611k). Pets2 is out of the Top10 but crossed the 300k, so in the end a "Golden Ticket" despite the horrible start.
  23. Germany's Top16 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 It 2 339.925 686 496 1.120.731 11.414.873 -42 2 2 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 92.097 718 128 1.530.231 15.143.416 -41 5 3 Der König der Löwen 77.126 617 125 5.143.010 47.642.175 -49 9 4 Gut gegen Nordwind 63.387 479 132 104.417 881.582 - 1 5 Good Boys 60.491 457 132 456.314 3.616.616 -41 4 6 Angel Has Fallen 49.535 420 118 268.921 2.402.213 -38 3 7 Toy Story 4 48.070 563 85 705.855 5.330.111 -54 5 8 Fast & Furious - Hobbs & Shaw 34.601 367 94 1.643.338 15.221.486 -41 7 9 Leberkäsjunkie 23.706 364 65 1.132.297 9.082.184 -65 7 10 Playmobil 23.213 600 39 167.994 1.121.988 -64 3 11 Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo 20.245 446 45 112.196 723.842 -52 3 12 Pets 2 16.075 421 38 2.390.994 18.175.140 -65 12 13 Und der Zukunft zugewandt 13.046 136 96 47.143 373.051 -40 2 14 Und wer nimmt den Hund? 8.576 220 39 164.734 1.339.040 -43 6 15 Die drei !!! 5.950 323 18 368.675 2.394.921 -35 8 16 Late Night 5.878 175 34 62.317 517.176 -60 3 Dreadful weekend, even if it was up from last year. Bad drops and the only opener worth mentioning stayed below my already low expectations … Next weekend: Weather won't help; it will be mostly sunny and warm and accordingly, family releases will suffer once more - among them Angry Birds 2; that one might have had a chance at #1 with rain. Among other releases, Rambo: Last Blood is the most prominent one but I'd be really surprised if this can become even a medium-sized hit, Stallone doesn't draw any longer - a 6-digit-opening is easily possible I think, but I can't see it reach 200k OW. Also opening: Ad Astra (very little buzz, going by presales this might miss 100k) and as the dark horse, Downton Abbey which I'm completely unfamiliar with, but it seems to have a real fanbase which might lead to a strong opening (presales good!). Also opening: The Kitchen and domestic teenager drama Systemsprenger. So, we might see a weekend with 5 releases >100k despite the sun (realistically, 4, but let's hope) - the question remains why the distributors didn't release one or two of them a week earlier but what do I know …
  24. actuals tomorrow but as expected bad drops for everything family; evening shows were not that bad - in Austria, exactly the same.
  25. First estimates for Germany's weekend from insidekino.de: #1: It2 - 250k (-58%) #2/3: LionKing / OuaTiH with 90k each (40-43% drops) #4: Gut gegen Nordwind - 90k incl. previews as expected, bad drops, and the domestic opener on the lower end of expectations.
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