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IndustriousAngel

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  1. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Le Dernier Jaguar 146.828 657 223 581.117 4.626.699 +10 3 2 Eine Million Minuten 140.076 705 199 614.445 6.202.839 -7 3 3 Bob Marley - One Love 123.342 497 248 153.206 1.593.280 - 1 4 Anyone But You 122.475 599 204 1.184.413 11.535.770 -5 5 5 Migration 97.330 680 143 2.005.410 17.695.152 +14 9 6 Madame Web 94.462 481 196 127.707 1.333.941 - 1 7 Argylle 46.921 510 92 284.645 3.024.819 -33 3 8 The Beekeeper 41.642 377 110 687.883 7.111.517 -19 6 9 Wonka 40.541 413 98 2.467.421 22.822.717 -4 11 10 Poor Things 33.812 230 147 407.339 4.125.473 -27 5 11 Night Swim 28.354 327 87 104.233 1.019.441 -33 2 12 Wish 28.288 414 68 1.946.417 16.447.832 +6 12 13 La Passion de Dodin Bouffant 24.378 148 165 72.890 702.300 -8 2 14 Fireman Sam 23.042 592 39 71.567 372.897 -48 2 15 All of Us Strangers 17.067 86 198 52.041 480.057 -13 2 16 Lohusa 16.130 74 218 96.191 943.420 -26 4 17 The Holdovers 15.800 163 97 177.685 1.724.114 -34 4 18 Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul 15.465 415 37 123.744 925.843 -7 4 19 Anatomie d'une chute 14.147 190 74 395.775 4.051.939 -15 16 20 Aquaman 2 13.071 167 78 1.366.804 15.663.585 -29 9 One more ok weekend without big hits … Bob Marley opened higher than expected despite not that many screens and made it to #3 in a close race, Madame Web continues the run of weak Spidey tie-ins but is not an outright flop. Family releases (with the exception of Fireman Sam) had super holds or even increases, Migration has now crossed 2mil total and Wish might get there, too. And Anyone But You has crossed 1mil, not bad. Domestic dramedy Eine Million Minuten continues with another fine hold, WOM seems excellent and 1mil total should be no problem at all with continuing good legs. In Austria, Anyone But You won the weekend and should cross 200k total before next WE; Migration is on track for close to 300k total; it's so close I'm sure the distributer will give it a final push if it should fail that mark. Madame Web opened higher than in Germany, enough for #2, while Bob Marley came in at #4 with numbers similar to Germany. Next weekend: Once more, no really big openers; maybe horror comedy Lisa Frankenstein can attract some business (the horror demo is a little neglected atm). And a new domestic children's book adaption, Spuk unterm Riesenrad, enters the family market - I have no idea how popular the book series is, some of these adaptions get to 1mil total with usually leggy runs.
  2. Saturday update from insidekino.de, as expected, Jaguar is dropping a bit, so with actuals the Top3 should stay the same as last weekend
  3. early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Le Dernier Jaguar - 150k (+12% but it went down with actuals last weekend so probably lower) #2: Eine Million Minuten - 135k (-10%) #3: Anyone But You - 110k (-15%) Best opener: Bob Marley - 130k incl. previews; Madame Web is not an instant flop with >110k.
  4. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Eine Million Minuten 150.269 655 229 396.311 4.024.523 -6 2 2 Le Dernier Jaguar 133.345 600 222 351.502 2.840.052 -6 2 3 Anyone But You 128.754 615 209 973.752 9.495.629 -32 4 4 Migration 85.308 702 122 1.862.172 16.553.622 -19 8 5 Argylle 70.223 523 134 206.151 2.215.373 -32 2 6 The Beekeeper 51.114 442 116 632.221 6.542.102 -29 5 7 Poor Things 46.158 239 193 350.588 3.547.819 -28 4 8 Fireman Sam 44.164 620 71 44.164 221.443 - 1 9 Night Swim 42.225 337 125 54.031 511.868 - 1 10 Wonka 42.172 476 89 2.394.869 22.214.843 -24 10 11 Wish 26.762 445 60 1.904.472 16.113.487 -23 11 12 La Passion de Dodin Bouffant 26.613 122 218 32.327 310.460 - 1 13 The Holdovers 24.052 187 129 150.541 1.457.368 -32 3 14 Lohusa 21.677 75 289 72.340 708.397 -6 3 15 Dune 20.097 339 59 1.899.652 19.820.775 - 1 16 All of Us Strangers 19.721 70 282 19.721 185.742 - 1 17 Aquaman 2 18.301 213 86 1.346.014 15.445.067 -37 8 18 Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul 16.708 528 32 97.164 735.357 -27 3 19 Anatomie d'une chute 16.677 187 89 373.705 3.286.477 -15 15 20 Perfect Days 15.083 183 82 355.551 3.386.292 -26 8 An ok weekend once more; while there's still no blockbuster in sight, at least a lot of releases >15k admissions - a wide selection of attractive releases, good for the industry. The one with the highest PTA was Turkish dramedy Lohusa! #1 went to domestic Eine Million Minuten, also a dramedy - the super hold (as for Le Dernier Jaguar) indicates excellent WOM. In Austria, once more, a better weekend, with the exception of Eine Million Minuten which only made #5 here. all other releases were as high, most a lot higher than in Germany. Next week(end): Valentine's Day will boost Anyone But You (at least mid-week), and it will be difficult for any opener to make the Top5. Madame Web doesn't look very attractive (presales very low); the openers with the highest PTA will probably be Bob Marley: One Love and Voyage au pôle sud, both with a lower screen- and show count. No new family releases.
  5. early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Le Dernier Jaguar - 165k (+16%, great number if true) #2: Eine Million Minuten - 150k (-6%) #3: Anyone But You - 130k (-32%, the first real drop) With about 25k admissions, the rerelease of Dune stayed behind expectations but it's not that bad a number, there were not that many shows. The Color Purple is barely in the 5-digits range, instant flop.
  6. Comparison Germany - Austria: As mentioned a few times, Austria's admissions have been crawling away from Germany's for some time now; the last weekend was a prime example. Here's a table comparing the numbers for some actual and some big older releases: admissions Germany admissions Austria title WE (4day) total WE (3day) total % total Everyone But You 190.390 790.514 31.444 114.569 14,4% Le Dernier Jaguar 142.605 172.967 16.202 18.565 10,7% Migration 104.877 1.749.349 15.672 231.992 13,2% The Beekeeper 71.828 566.347 15.330 96.071 17,0% Poor Things 64.290 277.285 9.588 49.822 18,0% Wonka 55.272 2.336.575 11.744 318.199 13,6% Aquaman 2 29.009 1.320.297 8.105 166.887 12,6% Wish 34.673 1.869.081 ? ca 250.000 13,4% Barbie ca. 5.996.000 ca. 800.000 13,3% Oppenheimer ca. 4.165.000 ca. 510.000 12,2% Super Mario Bros. 5.311.966 691.863 13,0% Elemental 2.069.699 263.660 12,7% GotG 3 2.002.576 245.299 12,2% Avatar 2 10.203.912 1.161.090 11,4% Top Gun 2 3.748.283 602.342 16,1% No Time To Die 6.024.915 584.864 9,7% Spider-Man NWH 4.642.898 592.935 12,8% Minions 2 4.171.424 537.940 12,9% Germany has 84,6mil inhabitants, Austria 9,1 (10,8% of Germany's). Austria has a bigger share of non-German-speaking inhabitants than Germany; counting only the native speakers, Austria has 10,4% of Germany's - so that's not making that much of a difference. Given the very similar market, you would expect Austria's admissions to be near that number, too - and that has been true for a long time with a bit more in favour for Austria, say, 11-11,5% instead of 10,5%, because Austrians just went to the movies a bit more often. The other difference is that Austria's Opening Weekends tend to be bigger (I guess, because there are more seats/capita, so easier to get good tickets) but legs shorter, so it makes sense to compare totals, not weekends. But in the after-Covid and during-Ukraine crisis market, that gap has become wider as seen in the right column where I give Austria's admisisons as percent from Germany's total. Of course, for movies still in release, those will still change because the aforementioned better German legs. The one notable exception here is James Bond, No Time To Die actually did better in Germany than in Austria! But for other non-domestic releases, we're now mostly >12%, with family releases seemingly pulling further ahead, around 13%. So, while the Austrian market is facing difficulties, too, it's not as bad as in Germany.
  7. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Everyone But You 190.390 595 320 790.514 7.700.295 -15 3 2 Eine Million Minuten 159.185 618 258 184.191 1.895.120 - 1 3 Le Dernier Jaguar 142.605 520 274 172.967 1.404.955 - 1 4 Migration 104.877 712 147 1.749.349 15.641.717 +4 7 5 Argylle 102.767 526 195 110.485 1.205.975 - 1 6 The Beekeeper 71.828 481 149 566.347 5.870.898 -28 4 7 Peppas Kino Party 68.440 237 289 68.440 378.509 - 1 8 Poor Things 64.290 232 277 277.285 2.805.905 -11 3 9 Wonka 55.272 520 106 2.336.575 21.708.327 -23 9 10 The Holdovers 35.259 187 189 112.442 1.075.555 -12 2 11 Wish 34.673 500 69 1.869.081 15.822.033 -22 10 12 Aquaman 2 29.009 277 105 1.320.297 15.171.280 -39 7 13 Lohusa 23.024 63 365 44.348 434.439 +53 2 14 Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul 22.949 584 39 71.714 549.372 -25 2 15 Mean Girls 22.552 387 58 85.778 791.435 -48 2 16 The Boy and the Heron 22.491 306 74 523.478 5.298.665 -35 4 17 Perfect Days 20.294 206 99 329.872 3.146.813 -10 7 18 Anatomie d'une chute 19.576 188 104 348.376 3.567.305 +12 14 19 Checker Tobi 2 13.620 202 67 1.148.993 8.838.611 +18 18 20 Butterfly Tale 12.912 297 43 13.047 102.918 - 1 Another "ok" weekend for Germany, at least 5 releases >100k. Domestic dramedy Eine Million Minuten opened stronger than I expected, as did Le Dernier Jaguar, but the surprise was kiddie release Peppas Kino Party which had the strongest PTA among family releases - hopefully it will expand next weekend! Argylle stayed behind expectations with a poor PTA. Among holdovers, Everyone But You, The Beekeeper and Migration plus the award contenders continued with nice holds or even increases, while last week's Mean Girls fell from a disappointing OW into the worst drop on the chart … In Austria, the weekend was much better once more (details later). Next weekend: The Color Purple (probably not hit material, presales very low) and a ton of new family releases (holidays!), none of them really interesting (the latest Fireman Sam movie might attract some business - the series' admissions have been volatile but a >50k OW seems possible). This week's leaders should stay safely in front.
  8. early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Anyone But You - 200k (-11%, fine) #2/3: Eine Million Minuten / Le dernier Jaguar with about 120k each without previews #4: Migration - 110k (+9%, nice) #5: Argylle - 102k so, 5 movies >100k admissions, not too bad, we've had years with less 6-digit-movies on this weekend. Let's hope the trend continues; sadly, we're still missing anything really blockbustery.
  9. I was thinking the same ... with Valentine's Day on the horizon, and WOM obviously good, we're seeing a medium-sized hit here.
  10. Germany's Top20 last weekend_ title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Anyone But You 224.280 571 393 528.942 5.155.602 +16 2 2 Migration 101.244 710 143 1.627.708 14.649.106 -17 6 3 The Beekeeper 99.824 585 171 472.035 4.918.460 -23 3 4 Poor Things 72.410 187 387 179.546 1.814.073 +1 2 5 Wonka 71.806 657 109 2.266.518 21.095.289 -28 8 6 Aquaman 2 47.511 459 104 1.281.859 14.759.623 -35 6 7 Wish 44.241 604 73 1.828.737 15.491.787 -28 9 8 Mean Girls 43.411 390 111 51.355 480.270 - 1 9 The Holdovers 40.028 176 227 57.944 535.879 - 1 10 The Boy and the Heron 34.804 418 83 488.060 4.950.368 -39 3 11 Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul 30.672 588 52 42.779 331.983 - 1 - Le Dernier Jaguar 30.280 437 69 30.280 234.000 - 0 12 Perfect Days 22.511 217 104 297.746 2.851.513 -3 6 - MET: Carmen (LEO) 18.197 185 98 18.197 551.152 - 0 13 Anatomie d'une chute 17.550 156 113 319.988 3.274.203 +63 13 14 The Hunger Games Prequel 15.563 232 67 1.632.554 18.219.985 -39 11 15 Lohusa 15.026 47 320 15.026 148.766 - 1 16 Girl You Know It's True 14.790 310 48 358.665 3.690.336 -20 6 17 Stella. Ein Leben 13.650 130 105 14.740 145.804 - 1 18 Home Sweet Home 11.510 214 54 18.648 157.243 - 1 19 Checker Tobi 2 11.509 226 51 1.120.578 8.244.627 +61 17 20 Oppenheimer 11.369 230 49 4.156.179 47.235.084 +511 28 A nice weekend (again, under current circumstances …) with a lot of releases >10k admissions and a surprising increase for last week's Anyone But You - good! Award contenders were on the rise, even Oppenheimer is back to 5 digits and Holdovers did ok! Poor Things continues with its excellent PTA, hopefully we'll see a slight increas in screens! Mean Girls was the disappointment among openers. In Austria, similar numbers (but a bit higher for most everything), plus domestic dramedy Rickerl on #6 with an increase from the OW. Next weekend: After this week's 30k previews (which were published, rare for Germany), Le Dernier Jaguar will open officially. Other openers: Domestic dramedy Eine Million Minuten, actioner Argylle - and Austrian movie Rickerl finally gets to Germany too after the two ok weekends in its domestic market.
  11. Final estimates for Germany a bit better for many releases (Beekeeper might hit 6 digits once more) - Anyone But You with a surprising increase, obviously the only real Date Movie atm
  12. The reasoning might run something like "there HAVE to be some big earners so why not this" early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany's weekend, no big openers: #1: Anyone But You - 200k (+4%, nice) #2: Migration - 100k (-18%) #3: Beekeeper - 90k (-30%) despite the good holds, this is obviously another weekend <1mil admissions Holdovers opening to about 50k, good
  13. Mean Girls seems floppy, at least at my venue it's selling less tickets today than last week's Poor Things; the strongest opener here is Holdovers (except maybe the kiddie movie Chaosschwestern; always difficult to predict because there are never much presales for those ...)
  14. Germany's Top18 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Anyone But You 192.573 503 383 232.277 2.263.569 - 1 2 The Beekeeper 128.999 563 229 344.026 3.613.821 -22 2 3 Migration 122.626 692 177 1.510.485 13.676.356 -26 5 4 Wonka 99.475 725 137 2.179.024 20.322.884 -30 7 5 Aquaman 2 73.033 558 131 1.220.764 14.109.236 -33 5 6 Poor Things 72.019 143 504 72.019 734.849 - 1 7 Wish 61.143 623 98 1.776.917 15.072.044 -33 8 8 The Boy and the Heron 57.483 462 124 434.472 4.425.405 -39 2 9 The Hunger Games Prequel 25.686 318 81 1.610.549 17.978.769 -36 10 10 Perfect Days 23.300 217 107 261.425 2.511.486 -36 5 11 Napoleon 19.096 373 51 1.146.565 13.033.533 -43 9 12 Girl You Know It's True 18.433 455 41 335.914 3.460.566 -43 5 13 Priscilla 15.336 194 79 106.753 1.026.298 -44 3 14 Kolpacino 4 4'lük 13.649 61 224 13.649 142.072 - 1 15 Saw 10 12.046 257 47 449.833 4.722.965 -36 8 16 Anatomie d'une chute 10.786 170 63 294.893 3.015.985 -38 12 17 The Palace 10.351 214 48 15.436 136.415 - 1 18 Next Goal Wins 7.150 334 21 85.303 750.832 -59 3 Excellent opening for Anyone But You - should reach 1mil total without any problem. Also excellent OW for Poor Things - a PTA of >500, with often only one or two shows per day on smaller screens, means this was running close to capacity. Among holdovers, The Beekeeper seems to have good WOM, and Migration had the best hold among family releases and flew past 1,5mil total. Overall, a good weekend. In Austria, once more, numbers were much better - the openers 30% ahead of Germany, and Beekeeper 50% ahead. Plus domestic dramedy Rickerl on #6, so overall much friendler. Next weekend: A few wide openers will rough up the chart but I see no one dethroning this week's leader. The most potent openers will probably be Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul (a domestic family release) and Mean Girls. Also opening: The Holdovers (not a BO story), The Marsh King's Daughter, and domestic horror thriller Home Sweet Home. As an aside: Keep in mind - if I'm calling this a "good" weekend, that's in the context of the German post-Covid market and the general shitty state of the BO at the moment. In pre-Covid-times, this would have been an awful weekend. The top ten last WE add up to about 856k admissions; in 2020 and earlier years, a January weekend was always >1mil, usually >1,2mil for the Top10.
  15. final estimates have Anyone But You even higher; 215k incl previews - excellent start!
  16. yep, that's a pretty good opening. there were some "Ladies' Nights" on Wed but despite that it doesn't seem to be frontloaded, so WOM seems at least decent and it might leg it to 1mil admissions (Valentine's Day coming up, should give it a decent mid-run push)
  17. Sat updated estimates from insidekino.de higher for Anyone and Migration, lower for Wonka and Poor Things - overall still a good weekend.
  18. early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany: #1: Anyone But You - 175k (incl. a few previews) #2: The Beekeper - 120k (-27%, ok hold) #3: Migration - 115k (-30%) #4: Wonka - 110k (-23%) Poor Things trending >80k, that's fine given the low number of theaters - so, both "big" openers successful.
  19. Nice to see a Bavarian movie hit the Golden Ticket (the predecessor did already cross the 300k mark but Rehragout increased a bit) and Griechenland - a domestic production - coming pretty close!
  20. Germany's Top16 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Beekeeper 165.381 528 313 180.757 1.926.415 - 1 2 Migration 165.107 688 240 1.370.525 12.482.991 -46 4 3 Wonka 142.230 757 188 2.060.671 19.239.283 -44 6 4 Aquaman 2 108.588 610 178 1.131.254 13.145.800 -50 4 5 The Boy and the Heron 93.627 440 213 349.550 3.576.136 -33 2 6 Wish 90.867 633 144 1.707.472 14.497.510 -48 7 7 The Hunger Games Prequel 40.193 351 115 1.576.889 17.601.279 -41 9 8 Perfect Days 36.665 192 191 223.935 2.153.489 -22 4 9 Napoleon 33.601 451 75 1.120.114 12.730.723 -41 8 10 Girl You Know It's True 32.406 524 62 309.884 3.194.624 -43 4 11 Priscilla 27.226 186 146 82.240 791.268 -26 2 12 Saw 10 18.434 277 67 436.449 4.579.758 -39 7 13 Next Goal Wins 17.526 330 53 74.741 658.848 -56 2 14 Anatomie d'une chute 17.372 170 102 277.380 2.837.570 +10 11 15 791km 11.248 246 46 148.770 1.406.644 -31 5 16 15 Jahre 10.941 77 142 14.345 125.612 - 1 Ok for a post-holiday weekend and a very close race for #1 which The Beekeeper won by 274 admissions … of course, moneywise, it led by much more. Wonka has crossed 2mil total, Aquaman 2 1mil … not bad numbers for those releases, it's just something blockbustery is missing, as was the case throughout the holidays. The boy and the Heron had an impressive hold compared to other family releases; Next Goal Wins however had the worst drop on the chart and that from an already disappointing OW. In Austria, similar numbers except for Beekeeper; the actioner opened much better than in Germany, no close race here. Next weekend: Romcom Anyone But You tries catering to a (lately) neglected market and SciFi drama Poor Things is also targeting an audience currently underserved, so both should find their place - the romcom might even make #1! In Austria, Adrian Goiginger's latest movie Rickerl is opening; his three prior directorial works have made him Austria's most interesting director (imho). His first and third movies each got >100k admissions in Austria, no mean feat for domestic arthouse dramas - Rickerl is his first comedy (or at least dramedy) so I'm hoping for an even better result!
  21. with those kind of holds it might make it well past 600 ... 1mil seem out of reach but say 750k?
  22. early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de: #1: Beekeper - 170k incl previews (better than I thought) #2: Migration - 140k (-54%) #3: Wonka - 110k (-57%) #4: Boy&Heron - 100k (-29%, excellent) #5: Aquaman2 - 85k (-61%) as expected, a bloodbath once holidays are over, but Beekeeper is a positive surprise! And that would be an astonishing hold for Boy & Heron, more like an arthouse release.
  23. wow, that means it's about 75% ahead of Germany ... while the Austrian market has been stronger throughout 2023 (I'd guess, overall in the 25% range), it's still rare for a Hollywood release to have such different results!
  24. Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Migration 305.809 681 449 1.178.812 10.799.709 +3 3 2 Wonka 253.918 771 329 1.887.376 17.618.113 -11 5 3 Aquaman 2 216.520 631 343 995.284 11.613.482 -16 3 4 Wish 174.587 628 278 1.601.742 13.634.576 -11 6 5 The Boy and the Heron 140.156 398 352 214.125 2.222.311 - 1 6 The Hunger Games Prequel 67.889 396 171 1.524.112 17.003.349 -18 8 7 Napoleon 57.353 488 118 1.074.982 12.210.905 -22 7 8 Girl You Know It's True 56.666 563 101 263.580 2.718.349 -27 3 9 Perfect Days 46.948 144 326 171.298 1.648.778 +14 3 10 Next Goal Wins 39.807 322 124 50.693 440.146 - 1 11 Priscilla 36.967 169 219 42.609 410.862 - 1 12 Saw 10 30.243 299 101 414.378 4.336.470 -4 6 - MET: Nabucco 23.271 185 126 23.271 702.261 - 1 13 Neue Geschichten vom Pumuckl 20.069 187 107 421.247 2.917.936 +48 11 14 Checker Tobi 2 16.861 209 81 1.090.656 8.053.479 +29 14 15 791km 16.274 289 56 133.009 1.260.701 -39 4 16 Anatomie d'une chute 15.754 156 101 252.616 2.580.651 +33 10 17 Joan Baez I Am A Noise 13.842 93 149 39.061 357.447 +6 2 18 Wow! Nachricht aus dem All 13.433 338 40 76.452 583.466 -6 4 19 Atatürk 1881-1919 2 13.230 91 145 13.230 144.788 - 1 20 Complètement cramé! 13.032 138 94 62.430 567.283 -26 3 A pretty good weekend - most releases with good holds or even increases. Among openers, Boy & Heron was stronger than I expected, extremely good number for a Miyazaki movie. Next Goal Wins stayed behind my expectations and barely made the Top10 while Priscilla opened way higher than I expected and came close in admissions despite only having about half the screens of Next Goal … I Was disappointed by the 2nd Atatürk movie; part one had a super PTA, this is an extremely steep drop - must have generated lousy WOM. Holdovers are looking good, Wonka should get to 2,5mil total and Migration and Wish to 2mil. Aquaman 2, while dropping from the about 2mil total of ist predecessor, is still no flop but doing nicely, maybe coming close to 1,5mil total - let's keep in mind that Germany has always been a difficult market for superheroes. The Hunger Games Prequel is also doing better than I expected, and Napoleon has finally reached 1mil. Perfect Days has gone up from the already good OW, might get to 500k total - good for such an arthouse release! In Austria, the weekend was even better, nearly all releases 20-40% ahead of Germany - Wonka and Migration should both reach the Golden Ticket für 300k admissions; even Wish has a small chance to reach this blockbuster status. Next weekend: With holidays over, be ready for steep drops. The only big opener will be The Beekeeper; a six-digit-OW would be nice (but presales are low). Also opening on a samller scale: The Pod Generation; presales even lower.
  25. finale estimates a bit lower for Wonka but higher for Aquaman; Boy&Heron is also climbin higher the longer the weekend lasts - a satisfying results. Only Next Goal Wins seems to stay below the radar.
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