The Panda

If American Hustle was a comedy than so is Birdman

I was hoping for true detective but Fargo is fine.

Hmm... I wonder why?

Thank you gloves for getting the predictable stuff out of the way first.

MLK Weekend 1.American Sniper - 45m / 54m (57m) 2.The Wedding Ringer - 24.5m / 30m 3.Paddington - 18.5m / 23m (23m) 4.Selma - 17.4m / 24m (45.5m) 5.Blackhat - 14.5m / 16m (16m) 6.T3ken - 14.1m / 15.5m (62.9m) 7.The Imitation Game - 10.9m / 12.5m (57.8m) 8.Into the Woods - 7.8m / 9m (117.8m) 9.Unbroken - 5m / 6m (110m) 10.The Hobbit: The Battle of Five Armies - 4.2m / 5m (243.7m) 11.Birdman - 3.5m / 4.2m (32.6m) 12.Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 3.1m / 4m (105m) 23rd 1.American Sniper - 26.1m (96.1m) 2.Selma - 15.7m (68.8m) 3.Mortdecai - 12.4m (12.4m) 4.The Wedding Ringer - 11.8m (47.4m) 5.Paddington - 11.3m (39.5m) 6.The Imitation Game - 9.5m (71.9m) 7.Blackhat - 7.7m (27.4m) 8.T3ken - 6.2m (72.1m) 9.Into the Woods - 5.4m (125.7m) 10.Birdman - 3m (37.1m) 11.Unbroken - 2m (113m) 12.The Hobbit: The Battle of Five Armies - 2m (246.7m)

So I presume both lists with feature the same movies, then?

Birdman is easily his best.

So far strongly disagree with the whole list (with a slight exception to elm street) But then again, I don't think a film can brainwash people into liking them.

Looks about right, I'm thinking it's something like Likelihood for nom rankings Near-Locks (nothing is ever truly locked till it gets the award) 1.Boyhood 2.Birdman 3.The Imitation Game 4.The Grand Budapest Hotel 5.The Theory of Everything Fighting For the Last Spots (depends on nom number) 6.Whiplash 7.Gone Girl 8.American Sniper 9.Selma 10.Nightcrawler 11.Foxcatcher Outside possibilities 12.Mr. Turner 13.Into the Woods 14.Interstellar 15.Unbroken 16.Wild 17.A Most Violent Year

You take that back.

I'll take the first bet

I can't see 60m, but 40-mid 50m should be in play, especially if it gets a BP nomination (which looks possible right now)

Taken numbers are very strong given how disliked taken 2 was and given this is January. (40m opening in January is very strong) Next weekend will be a big determining factor. Will Selma and Imitation pull good increases? Can some of the more run Oscar contenders rebound back up to decent numbers (Theory and Gone Girl going over 1-2m)? How will the four openers do?

I bet 50 points to two people American Sniper, Paddington, Blackhat, and the Wedding Ringer all open over 12.5m 3 day I bet 50 points to two people Selma increases next weekend I bet 50 points to two people Fifty Shades of Grey opens over 50m

I really enjoyed this, funny and cynical near the end. A great dissection of the music industry.

Obviously the Transformers films brainwashed the American public into liking them, and they only started to realize after the fourth installment of the bayfest. (Hence the giant domestic drop) To bad the Chinese will keep the franchise alive because they are more brainwashable than Americans. Not surprising because their government(s) have done it for thousands of years

A Most Violent Year isn't getting nominated for anything but maybe Supporting Actress. And The Theory of Everything and Grand Budapest are locked, they aren't missing.

Not saying it would, but it's getting a lot of guild attention for a Marvel film. Historically the film with the most academy love for other subjects tends to win here and there's no best picture nominee in this category. Guardians is locked for make up and hairstyling, and has a good chance at sneaking in for sound and production design nom's. It also has an off chance for an editing and screenplay nom based off guild nominations. Interstellar is really falling flat, even in categories where it was thought a shoe in, and this will likely be the only nomination for dawn. I'd personally give it to Dawn, but Guardians has real potential to upset in this category.

Don't call boyhood or Birdman one trick ponies until you actually see them. There's much more to them than their "gimmicks", which aren't even gimmicks btw but more of an extra layer of excellency.

1.American Sniper 2.The Last 5 Years 3.Star Wars: The Force Awakens 4.Tomorrowland 5.Inside Out 6.Jurassic World 7.Crimson Peak 8.Jupiter Ascending 9.Kingsman: The Secret Service 10.Pitch Perfect 2

I'll go after Telemachos, that'll give me enough time to catch up on a few movies

I'll go after Telemachos, that'll give me enough time to catch up on a few movies

BAFTA Picture Birdman Boyhood The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game The Theory of Everything British Picture '71 The Imitation Game Paddington Pride The Theory of Everything Under the Skin Actor Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler Michael Keaton, Birdman Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything Actress Amy Adams, Big Eyes Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything Julianne Moore, Still Alice Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl Reese Witherspoon, Wild Supporting Actor Steve Carell, Foxcatcher Ethan Hawke, Boyhood Edward Norton, Birdman Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher JK Simmons, Whiplash Supporting actress Patricia Arquette, Boyhood Rene Russo, Nightcrawler Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game Imelda Staunton, Pride Emma Stone, Birdman Director Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel Damian Chazelle, Whiplash Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman Richard Linklater, Boyhood James Marsh, The Theory of Everything Adapted Screenplay American Sniper Gone Girl The Imitation Game Paddington The Theory of Everything Original Screenplay Birdman Boyhood The Grand Budapest Hotel Nightcrawler Whiplash Animated Film Big Hero 6 The Boxtrolls The LEGO Movie Documentary 20 Feet from Stardom 20,000 Days on Earth Citizenfour Finding Vivian Maier Virunga Foreign Film Ida Leviathan The Lunchbox Trash Two Days, One Night Cinematography Birdman The Grand Budapest Hotel Ida Interstellar Mr. Turner Costume Design The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Into the Woods Mr Turner The Theory of Everything Editing Birdman The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Nightcrawler The Theory of Everything Whiplash Make-Up and Hair The Grand Budapest Hotel Guardians of the Galaxy Into the Woods Mr. Turner The Theory of Everything Music Birdman The Grand Budapest Hotel Interstellar The Theory of Everything Under the Skin Production Design Big Eyes The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Interstellar Mr. Turner Sound American Sniper Birdman The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Whiplash Visual Effects Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Guardians of the Galaxy Aithadi The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies Interstellar X-Men: Days of Future Past

Updating with Makeup and Hairstyling Guild Contemporary Make-Up Captain America: The Winter Soldier Gone Girl Guardians of the Galaxy Interstellar Nightcrawler Period/Character Make Up The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 Into the Woods The Grand Budapest Hotel The Theory of Everything Unbroken Special Effects Make Up Foxcatcher Guardians of the Galaxy Into the Woods Maleficent The Hobbit: The Battle of Five Armies Contemporary Hairstyling Birdman Guardians of the Galaxy Interstellar St Vincent Winter's Tale Period/Character Hairstyling Get on Up Into the Woods Selma The Grand Budapest Hotel The Theory of Everything

Guardians might be able to pull the win here actually as an acknowledgement to its success.