FilmBuff
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Posts posted by FilmBuff
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Poor jimbo can’t handle it Avatar is about to go down. Swing and one punch knockout of the former king.
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I’m expecting 26.5 mil.
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DashR and Goffe both Fs. Why am I not surprised? 🙄 Bet both of those clowns haven’t seen this movie.
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6 minutes ago, Birdo Mandingo said:
Been thinking about its chances of overtaking TFA.
So it basically got a 110 million lead off OW. Through Monday and Tuesday it has given back 7-8 million, tomorrow if it goes like people think and is 23m or so it will give back 15m (TFA actually increased Tuesday to wed), but Thursday wont be as bad because it was Cmas eve for TFA and it dropped hard, either way it looks like it gives back 30 million during weekdays.
So and 80 million lead. Think the key this weekend is to just not lose ground on TFA. TFA did 150m I think EG can do that, and maybe a bit better, but lets just say they do about the same and 80 mil lead stays intact.
We are really going to bleed next week though. TFA did 31, 29, 28, 23 m-th 2nd week... I see losing 50-60 million, but still hold the lead by 20-30 mil.
3rd weekend TFA did 90m, I think EG will be at worst 75m, go do in the mid 80s. So the lead could be just 5 mil up to 20 mil depending.
Now after 3rd weekend TFA comes back to earth for dailies as hit the wasteland of January, but it still had solid holds week to week and got an MLK bump. Then died after the 1st week in Feb.
Now with endgame. It also gets a big holiday boost at the 1 month mark in Memorial day, but it will get its late leg days in June.
The scenario I see is EG and TFA are basically tied with EG having a slight advantage at the end of weekend 3. TFA overtaking EG during 3rd weekdays and 4th weekend and building a 10-15 million lead but EG will play solidly deep into the summer and pass it back up in late June early July and settle on about 950 mil domestic.
It really rides on this 2nd weekend. To me as long as it does not lose ground this weekend to TFA it has a chance to hold on and take the Dom crown.
So 150 million gives it a chance, something like a 165 gives us a lock and a shot at 1 billy.
Jmo, Avengers Endgame restores that big lead over TFA. It’s doing 170-180 mil 2nd weekend gaining the 30 mil lead throughout the week that it lost.
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AndyK told me for a long time Endgame would ‘negatively affect’ the box office for Captain Marvel. Yeah, that wasn’t true at all.
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USA and China are going to carry this to pass Avatar!
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6 minutes ago, HeadShot said:
Yikes .. I wanted 40+ m Monday and Tuesday. Guess TFA dom record is safe.
Youre ‘concern trolling’ is funny. Endgame might or might not cross 935 million domestic, but the fact it has a shot at 900+ million domestic is unbelievable. Going to enter into the all time top 10-15 adjusted for inflation chart.
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On the first page finally!
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We’re all the green aliens from toy story, and Rth is the claw. Lmao
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16 minutes ago, RtheEnd said:
Either my vision sucks, and I’m getting old, or those words are extremely blurry.
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Hot take Super 8 is better than both It(2017) and Stranger Things.
Thanks baumer. Im going to watch that movie tonight. Been awhile since I’ve seen it.
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26 minutes ago, baumer said:
Exactly. Her performance in Super 8 is just absolutely stunning. And of course in my opinion she's incredible in neon demon.
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We need a gif of Avengers:Endgame avada-kadavring Deathly Hallows pt. 2.
Majes this happen!
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Just now, sfran43 said:
So fast.
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4 minutes ago, BK007 said:
You seem to always overpredict the numbers.
Does knowing that make any difference to your projections?
Don’t be an asshole. We’re very lucky he gives us usual spot on numbers. He’s probably much better predicting these numbers than you are.
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9 minutes ago, Sindreee said:
So if someone disagrees with your opinion you want them to leave the forum?
Yes.
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Empires antic grew thin with me. Glad that dude left. Dude called Wonder Woman bad, and WW ended up being awesome.
Kept badmouthing WW and Aquaman
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My God, this movie is going to hit the top 10 adjusted for inflation chart. That’s insane!!
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Just now, VenomXXR said:
So, using Charlie/RTH/Deadline as guidance....
$357.1m - OW
$38m - M$36.5m - T
$27m - W
$25.5m - Th$180m - 2W
$664m in 10 days...
Passes Infinity War in 10 days? Lolcopter. What is this movie??
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Comet hale-bopp will comeback before we get an Avatar sequel.
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5 minutes ago, RtheEnd said:
top playdates 28-Apr
All AEG1-AMC Empire 25, NYC
(combined with E-walk over 1m)
2-AMC Orange 30, ORange CA
3-AMC Lincoln Sqaure, NYC
4-AMC Burbank 30
5-Regal Irvine Spectrum
6-Regal Kaufman Astoria , NY
7-AMC Garden State 16, Paramus NJ
8-Pacific Arclight, Los Angeles CA
(huge result 50% of combo Arclight+El Capitan + TCL Chinese)
9-Regal Ontario Palace
(combined with Ontario Mills #2)
10-Regal Atlantic Station, Atlanta GA
11-AMC Deer Park NY
12-AMC Boston Commons
13-Regal Houston Marq Stadium
14-Regal South Gate CA
15-Regal LA Live
Top Canada
1-CPLX Winston Churchill, Oakville ON, 2-CPLX Scotiabank Toronto, 3-CPLX Banque Scotia Montreal, 4-CPLX Queensway Etobicoke ON, 5-CPLX Vaughan ON
Aww man. No Moore:Warren. Where did it place Rth?
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22 minutes ago, druv10 said:
TOP SINGLE DAY GROSSES
Rank Title (click to view) Studio Single Day Gross Theaters Average Date Gross-to-Date 1 Avengers: Endgame BV $157,461,641 4,662 $33,776 F 4/26/19 $157,461,641 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $119,119,282 4,134 $28,815 F 12/18/15 $119,119,282 3 Avengers: Endgame BV $109,264,122 4,662 $23,437 Sa 4/27/19 $266,725,763 4 Avengers: Infinity War BV $106,334,939 4,474 $23,767 F 4/27/18 $106,334,939 5 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $104,684,491 4,232 $24,736 F 12/15/17 $104,684,491 6 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 WB $91,071,119 4,375 $20,816 F 7/15/11 $91,071,119 7 Avengers: Endgame BV $90,389,244 4,662 $19,389 Su 4/28/19 $357,115,007 8 Avengers: Age of Ultron BV $84,424,532 4,276 $19,744 F 5/01/15 $84,424,532 9 Avengers: Infinity War BV $82,131,612 4,474 $18,358 Sa 4/28/18 $188,466,551 10 Jurassic World Uni. $81,953,950 4,274 $19,175 F 6/12/15 $81,953,950 https://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/?page=single&p=.htm
This chart truly puts in perspective what we witnessed this weekend, holy crap!!!!!!!!!!
Jfc. Endgame owns 3 of the top 7 days.
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1 hour ago, cdsacken said:
So it could have a pretty big drop and still do a monster second week.
IW had very mixed WOM, worse critic scores etc when GA didn't like the ending. Can't fathom it it's drop is 55.5% but it has to be big because of how front loaded that weekend was.
It it's 357.7m a 51% drop is 175m 2nd weekend. Huge drop but 4.5% better than IW
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1 minute ago, Bonenash said:
the key for EG is not the following weekdays or the 2nd week end.
The key is and always for me the 3rd week end.
The 3rd WE drop is very very important for legs as Spiderman 1 have showed us long time ago or avatar and its 68m etc...
The first week end is the rush fans or curious
The second is potential spill over and .or reapeat viewing.
The 3rd is when the real WOM kick in the GA not super interested by super heros usually etc etc and after that the wom spread
my 2 cents.
Well said
AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted
I’m just I’ll be able to use ‘did it pass 0.5 Avengers: Endgame’ in a very smug way bc Endgame will be #1 now.
Do you guys think ROS will be able to pass 0.5 Endgame?