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Everything posted by Bastien
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Just found this interview of Dunkirk line producer John Bernard “ ‘Riviera’ involves 130 shooting days in France, which is clearly happening because of the 30% rate,” says Bernard. “The same thing applies to the Christopher Nolan film, with a six-week shoot on location. Without the 30% rate, this would have been limited to a five-day shoot.”
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-50% is a normal drop for this kind of blockbuster, it's so silly the way you seem to enjoy every "dissapointing" number of Valerian. Yes a $200m movie which was the movie of a director lifetime is bombing, so funny isn't it ? A movie that employed more than 1500 people is bombing, let's enjoy that ! What would be awful is this Cars 3 number (it's not happening the movie is gonna do 750k at least I think, it has terrific previews numbers)
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Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
Bastien replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
1) Avengers: Infinity War : $510m ($210m) People will get crazy as Guardians / Thor / Iron Man teamup. Trailer looks good, good potentiel. Will def make more than Civil War. 2) The Incredibles 2 : $480m ($150m) It's probably the only sequel of a Pixar people always wanted. 3) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom : $440m ($190m) Avengers 2 style I think, unnecessary sequel. 4) Han Solo : $380m ($145m) Less appealing than ROGUE ONE, May release + Jurassic World 2 two weeks after... = bad combo, still solid because of Star Wars 5) Dr. Seuss' The Grinch : $325m ($80m) The Grinch is probably the most popular noval of Dr Seuss + the power of Illumination = $$$ 6) Mary Poppins Returns : $310m ($58m) Dis-nostalgia will help it, + perfect Christmas movie 7) Deadpool 2 : $290m ($130m) Still strong, but will disappoint I think, not fresh like the first was anymore. 8) Fantastic Beasts 2 : $255m ($87m) The first one had great legs, + Dumbledore 9) Ant-Man and the Wasp : $235m ($85m) The first one had great legs, + the true Civil War sequel ? 10) Aquaman : $215m ($73m) Weird super-hero + weird release date... Really depends on Justice League. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Bastien replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
You want to trash Valerian so much that what you're saying is absolutely non sense. How France could be less kind to Besson than Germany with this Valerian opening (second biggest of the year) ? -
The thing is, thanks to this method, Europa Corp is not going to bankrupt because of Valerian. They just have to make tinnier movies again in order to have an other hit like Lucy that would gave them an other shot at making blockbuster.
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Nikita, The Profesionnal, Le Dernier Combat, Subway... No ?
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Not good at all. But France is not the problem, the problem is other territories..;
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A 1.3m admissions 5-days is exactly what french boxoffice forum predicted after its first day. Should be around 1.7m for the full week.
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It just end its first week in France (925k admissions, slightly under Interstellar besides a bigger OD... anyway I think the wom should help him to get 2.3/2.5m admissions). You won't have any news on its second weekend before Monday.
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Avatar did 100% better than TFA in France in dollars: but It only did 40% better in admissions (14.75mil vs 10.51mil), I think it shows well the decrease of the exchange rate.
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The president of the CNC (French National Center of Cinema) thinks the tax credits helped it to be shot during more than 5 weeks. Since the introduction of this tax credit, more than 35 foreign films have been shot in France, a number that has doubled compared to previous years. It is quite possible that without this tax credits the film would have been shot Belgium and / or the Netherlands and a shorter shoot in France.
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Well, it's impossible in France. I mean, Rogue One did $40m... Basically the top in $ for space operas in French boxoffice is : 1) Avatar : 176m$ 2) SW7 : 88m$ 3) The Fifth Element : ~~around 60m$ SW3 : 57m$ Rogue One : 40m$ SW2 : 30.6m$ Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 : 25m$ Guardians of the Galaxy : 20m$ Prometheus : 16m$ John Carter : 8.9m$ Star Trek ID : 8m$ Star Trek : 6.9m$ Star Trek Beyond : 5.8m$ Jupiter Ascending : 5.5m$ Chronicles of Riddick : 5.2m$ With the current exchange rate that is very unfavorable, we could not expect better!
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Updated Opening Day : 375 400 admissions (Tues: 84k Wed: 290k)
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It's absolutely normal in France. Previews started at 7PM so it's normal they are important. The movie has a shot to do 5mil admissions in France. Maybe $40m. It's great. The problem is definitely not the French boxoffice.
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Fun Fact: Dunkirk has completely overshadowed Valerian in the theaters. But do you know that if Dunkerque could be realized as Nolan wished, in France, it is thanks to Luc Besson? By passing a law to increase tax credits for movies shot in English in France, Besson helped foreign films like Dunkerque to be able to be shot in France. It's also this law that helped MI6 to be shot in France !
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Release Dates Discussion | Avengers Endgame 2019
Bastien replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Any prediction for Valerian? Are $50m possible ? Jupiter Ascending did $44m... -
First estimate of the OD : DESPICABLE ME 3 (BIGGEST OF 2017) : 455 000 VALERIAN : 360 000 FAST & FURIOUS 8 : 312 000 VALERIAN : 360 000 LUCY : 351 000 ARTHUR AND THE INVISIBLE : 316 000 THE FIFTH ELEMENT : 303 000
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It was unrealistic to think that Valerian could make an incredible score as over $ 50m. The movie is closer to a Star Trek than a Star Wars and when you see the Trek scores in France ... ($6m for Beyond).
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You are talking about things you know nothing about The career of DM3 is far from over, it will end up around $30m maybe even $35m. That's exactly what Valerian seems to be able to do, maybe even more.
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Ok-ish Paris 2PM for Valerian; 2nd biggest of the year 4th biggest of Besson filmography ARTHUR AND THE INVISIBLES : 11 281 admissions THE FIFTH ELEMENT: 6 905 LUCY : 6 359 VALERIAN : 5 306 It looks like a 1.5m OW to me.