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Everything posted by TLK
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Weekend Thread (11/12-14) | Eternals 7.82 Fri, Clifford 4.22
TLK replied to Eric Atreides's topic in Numbers and Data
Good numbers for Belfast under these circumstances. I don't see why it should miss $1.8 million unless the previews were inflated by the holiday. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
TLK replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Anything on Belfast ? Are they going ahead with the 500+ theaters release ? -
Weekend Thread: Raya 2.5 Friday, T&J 1.6, Chaos 1.3
TLK replied to Eric Atreides's topic in Numbers and Data
Godzilla vs Kong is going to be a good test at the end of the month. It should clear $20 million. -
Wonder Woman 1984 | Dec 16 2020 OS | Dec 25 2020 US and on HBO MAX
TLK replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
Don't read too much into the fast-track decision. Hollywood is completely shutdown for holidays and ,in all likelihood, this was decided even before the movie opened. At any rate, a 3rd WW was always going to be greenlighted. The biggest question will be whether Jenkins returns and on which terms. WB had a much tighter reins on Jenkins for the first movie and it turned out to be good. They mostly let her do what she wanted to and the reception is more mixed this time so I am not sure if WB will go the same route this time. -
Wonder Woman 1984 | Dec 16 2020 OS | Dec 25 2020 US and on HBO MAX
TLK replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
I know it will make money if they don't spend anything on CGI like they didn't for this one but the billion dollar potential is likely no longer there. -
Wonder Woman 1984 | Dec 16 2020 OS | Dec 25 2020 US and on HBO MAX
TLK replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
If they are smart they'll keep the follow-ups on HBO Max. Maybe make a WW TV show because the quality of the movie and the release strategy may have killed the mega-blockbuster potential of the franchise. The sequel to this movie is not going to come close to WW's $400 million domestic gross and the CBM audience in the rest of the world is probably watching it for free after it leaked yesterday. How much will the sequel to this movie make worldwide in 2023 ? $500 million ? -
That's not the only movie Legendary is making for WB so they also have leverage. Legendary's concerns are valid. If Netflix or another streamer is willing to pay $250 million then that's the market price. Why should they settle for less from HBO max ? WB benefits from any gains in HBO Max subscriptions not legendary and they shouldn't settle for any less.
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WB fucked up and it isn't even debatable. A lot of directors and actors go to studios like WB only for their theatrical promise. It made sense to send some movies to streaming. It makes no sense to antagonize some fairly important people in the process. HBO Max has nothing on Netflix. It doesn't have the budget and it doesn't have the reach. If they are lucky then by the end of the year they'll have half the number of subscribers that Hulu has.
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If they completely get rid of theatrical in 2021 then they will have to lay off thousands of employees and shut down entire divisions within the studio so I don't see them sticking to their HBO MAX plans. I am expecting them to revisit it in six months max. Edited to Add : HBO Max had 12.6 million active subscribers as of early December. I'm guessing that they must be hoping for 20 million at the end of the quarter to justify the Wonder Woman sacrifice.
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Wonder Woman 1984 | Dec 16 2020 OS | Dec 25 2020 US and on HBO MAX
TLK replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
They can also move it to November if one of Black Widow or James Bond gets moved to next year. -
Wonder Woman 1984 | Dec 16 2020 OS | Dec 25 2020 US and on HBO MAX
TLK replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
They have two options if they are keeping it in 2020 - either Thanksgiving or Christmas. I'm not sure if they'd want to open against Bond and a couple of weeks removed from Black Widow. Christmas makes more sense but it will fuck up Dune's release strategy. -
The Broken Hearts Gallery | Sony | July 10, 2020
TLK replied to Eric Atreides's topic in Box Office Discussion
The weekend after Tenet.