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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. I think Catching Fire over-performed more than Mockingjay is underperforming. JLaw factor was huge late last year and it really helped both CF and American Hustle. Without JLaw's popularity the second movie may have done $370-380 and Mockingjay numbers would've been more in line with the previous two movies.
  2. $100 million is the floor for this movie domestically and I won't be surprised if it challenges $200 million.
  3. Birdman is not a movie that is is going to play outside of major cities without a strong awards run. If anything, they expanded it too fast and are now doing the right thing by waiting for its Oscar run to start in December/January.
  4. Box Office: Early Returns Show 'Big Hero 6' Rocketing Past 'Interstellar' to Win Weekend http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-early-returns-show-746607?utm_source=twitter BH6 $60 million Interstellar $50-55 million
  5. Then there is Redmayne. Academy isn't very kind to young male actors but there are exceptions. Here is a write-up from earlier today. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/11/03/eddie-redmayne-s-time-has-come-on-his-heartrending-turn-as-stephen-hawking-and-benedict-bromance.html
  6. Well, Heath died so that's not the best comparison. The thing is that these performances don't play in a vacuum. Keaton will be competing against four other men and one of them may be better than him.
  7. The vast majority of these so-called A-listers aren't major box office draws anyway so Kidman is smart that she chooses these projects with good directors. She now has the credibility in Hollywood to work for a very long time.
  8. First Saw movie is a classic but they have undermined its significance by making a million sequels. I am not surprised that it tanked.
  9. Lionsgate must have bought it for $5.5 million but the $20 million number seems to be in the ballpark.
  10. http://deadline.com/2014/10/box-office-ouija-john-wick-st-vincent-859761/ 1). Ouija (UNI), 2,858 theaters / $8M UNI Fri. (includes $911K late nights) / 3-day cume: $19M+ UNI / Wk 1 2). John Wick (LGF), 2,589 theaters / $5.5M Fri. to $5.7M (includes $870K late nights) / 3-day cume: $15M+ / Wk 1 3). Fury (SONY), 3,173 theaters / $4.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $13.5M to $14M (-42%) / Total cume: $46.2M to $47.3M / Wk 2 4). Gone Girl (FOX), 3,106 theaters (-143) / $3.4M to $3.6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $11M to $12M / Total cume: $124.1M / Wk 4 5). The Book of Life (FOX), 3,133 theaters (+42) / $2.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $10.7M (-37%) / Total cume: $30.9M / Wk 2 6). St. Vincent (TWC), 2,282 theaters (+2,214) / $2.6M to $2.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8.5M / Total cume: $10.9M / Wk 3 7). Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day (DIS), 3,117 theaters (+29) / $1.8M to $2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7M+ / Total cume: $44.3M / Wk 3 8). The Best of Me (REL), 2,936 theaters (0) / $1.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.2M (-48%) / Total cume: $18.1M / Wk 2 10). The Judge (WB), 2,610 theaters (-393) / $1.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.6M / Total cume: $24.7M / Wk 3 10). Dracula Untold (UNI), 2,364 theaters (-536) / $1.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.4M / Total cume: $48.5M / Wk 3 NOTEWORTHY: Birdman (FSL), 50 theaters (+46) / $380K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.3M / Per screen: $26K / Total cume: $1.9M / Wk 2 Citizenfour (RAD), 5 theaters / $55K Fri. / 3-day cume: $134K / Per screen: $26K to $27K / Wk 1
  11. John Wick is doing well all things considered. I think that $50 million club is still alive.
  12. The problem is that LGF didn't support the movie. The movie is hitting the theaters in October and the first trailer came online in September. This is just nuts. On the plus side, since they haven't spend a lot of money in advertising the movie the bar for movie to be a financial success is a lot lower than is usually the case for most wide releases.
  13. Joe Dirt 2 will start shooting in November so ,basically yeah, I don't have any issues with Skyline 2.
  14. Fury's numbers are alright but a lot will depend on its legs. The budget isn't huge but mid-budget movies with big stars need to make money or it will just lead to even fewer mid-budget movies.
  15. Good choice for Dreamworks. Robbie isn't a box office draw and this movie may end up with a $100 million+ pricetag.
  16. Dracula is doing okay but this was a very well-known IP and Universal spend like crazy on ad campaign. I an expecting a $180-190 million WW total which is fine for its negative cost but nothing to brag about.
  17. I don't think this was a glitch. Ray Subers would've said something if this was a glitch. IMDB/ Amazon would've done the same. I am not sure exactly what happened but they probably tried to do to the site what they did to the forums in 2011 but the response against it was overwhelming so they backed off. My guess is that they will try to move some content behind the paywall but do it in a more upfront way instead of simply pulling the plug overnight.
  18. http://web.archive.org/web/20141008015034/http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/ ^^^ Check out something as simple as the release schedule. There isn't another website that keeps track of every release for the next 3 years.
  19. Boxoffice.com is also a paysite so I don't expect them to create a database and give it up for free but there are things like release schedule that should be freely available. Mojo was an invaluable resource with its content.
  20. This will be a huge loss if Mojo is gone for ever. There is no substitute for Mojo's huge database. My guess is that IMDB will absorb the database into their pay site. Now boxoffice.com needs to up its game.
  21. RDJ will help the movie a lot but ultimately people have to want to see the movie. The reviews aren't that great so I am not expecting it to overperform. $20 million will be a very good OW for a drama with low RT score.
  22. Very good saturday number for Annabelle. It actually increased from Friday to Saturday without the Thursday previews.
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