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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. There doesn't seem to be much interest in Jungle Cruise based on trailer views. Disney has bigger movies that they can slot in the December holiday frame.
  2. Have you tried using VPN with American IP address ?
  3. Movies of this size can have a global marketing budget of up to $100 million. They are going to lose at least $50 million because of this move.
  4. It is a potential $1 billion movie. Sending it directly to Disney+ means they will lose hundreds of millions in theatrical revenue. That's not gonna happen. Most likely scenario is that they will move it to a late summer slot (late July/ early August) . The next likely scenario is that it will take The Eternals date.
  5. There are no good options for this movie. It will under-perform if it keeps this date and it will cost a lot of money to move it to a better release date.
  6. How are its trailer views so far compared to captain marvel ? Youtube views seem a bit weak but I wasn't tracking Captain Marvel.
  7. It may be too late to move AQP2 without taking a big hit. A sequel like this will probably have a $80-100 million global marketing budget and they must have already spend most of it by now.
  8. $225 million budget ?? Jeff Sneider @TheInSneider BREAKING: Per @RichardRushfield , the budget on Scorsese's KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON has soared to $225M (not far off from The Irishman, mind you) & Paramount is getting nervous (even with Leo starring), and Marty wants to move it to Netflix (which doesn't know how to say "no"). https://twitter.com/TheInSneider/status/1231001758324838401
  9. I have been a fan of Bong ever since I saw Memories of Murder , which is every bit as good as Zodiac. Well deserved wins for Parasite.
  10. Will Disney go ahead with the Mulan release if they can't release it simultaneously in China ? It may make more sense to move it to November/December.
  11. There was a time back in the 80s and 90s when a handful of actors would carry anything. I mean Kindergarten Cop did $200 million Worldwide 30 years ago.
  12. The era of actors being draws on their own is over. Either they need to pick an IP or pick good projects with good directors. Blake Lively needs to pick better projects and she'll be fine.
  13. It will be more frontloaded than Shazam as it is a sort of sequel. Shazam was a completely unknown property for most non-comic book reading public.
  14. Joker also had 8-9 days of sales so BOP is going to be a direct comparison.
  15. Congratulations on TROS becoming the last Star Wars movie to ever cross a billion dollars worldwide.
  16. Only 5 seats sold on Monday from Philly market is legit bad. It is going to play as a family film so there's still hope.
  17. Dolittle will still make a good bit of money for a January movie even if it flops relative to its budget. $30 million 4-day may not be impressive for a $175 million movie but it will have an impact on the MLK weekend boxoffice.
  18. Here's my problem. This is the third Fox movie to open under $10 million in the past 6 months and none of them were outright terrible movies. Worse movies from other studios have done better because they made some effort. There are going to be more Fox movies that will bomb in the next few months. There is a larger dynamic in play here and that's Disney doesn't know what to do with movies that don't fit under Disney umbrella of movies. It is what it is.
  19. I wonder if Disney will treat other finished Fox movies similarly or make more effort for some of them. I expect them to make some effort for Call of The Wild because it is something that will also play at Disney+ later on. Woman in the Window may be DOA unfortunately because it ain't ever gonna play on Disney+. The King's Man is a question mark after they inexplicably delayed it by 7 months and gave it the Ad Astra release date.
  20. 1917 is breaking out for sure. Just Mercy is an interesting one for me. Its limited release PTA isn't all that impressive but there is an audience for it. $4k PTA from 2500 screens is a possibility but I don't see it going any higher than that.
  21. I think it will be massive but more of a $30-35 million massive with around $10k PTA but $40 million can easily happen if it wins Golden Globes Best Picture on Sunday.
  22. ^^^ Ford v Ferrari is the best comparison IMO but watch out for Golden Globe boost on Monday.
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