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TLK

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Everything posted by TLK

  1. Did anyone else notice that Fox is expecting a 2.55 IM ? This is the only piece of information that is worth anything really.
  2. That 30 was a ridiculous number and no one bought it but the Fox dude sounded angry in his denial. Usually, these sort of denials are of the wink,wink type.
  3. No, why on earth will you try to lower expectations for Friday at this point in time? I am not sure about 22 but I am inclined to believe Fox exec who says they won't get to 26 million.
  4. Yes but Variety and Deadline's numbers are now converging. THR is an outlier.
  5. Wow. That 70 million club has a shot now. I had lost all hope with divisive opinions and reviews.
  6. Variety 22-27 millionTHR 20-22 millionDeadline Squirrel!
  7. There is so much discrepancy between THR and Variety estimates. Nothing from Deadline so far either. Weird.
  8. Snow White and MIB3 will both get killed if Prometheus and Madagascar 3 break out( 60+ each).
  9. ^^^ Prometheus will be a late evening/night movie so 22 million+ is possible, I think.
  10. THR has dropped the numbers to 20-22 million for both.
  11. It will drop because it is a R-rated Sci-Fi movie with huge upfront demand. Friday night is the peak for movies like this. WOM will come into play next week.
  12. Prometheus will decrease on Saturday so it needs a better than 22 million FRI number to have any shot at 55+.
  13. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/prometheus-madagascar-3-box-office-335330
  14. 22 million for PROME translates to low 50s weekend22 million for MAD3 translates to low 60s weekend
  15. ^^ Variety is a trade magazine and its reporters have more sources inside studios than Nikki but it is a 12 PM EST update so take everything with a grain of salt.
  16. Stuart Oldham ‏@s_oldham Box Office Estimates (12pm PST): "Prometheus" and "Madagascar 3" neck and neck with $22M-$27M friday, $60M+ weekend. $22 million for Prometheus will mean low 50s weekend. $22 million for Madagascar 3 will mean low 60s weekend.
  17. So about 5% decrease for Snow White. I think it has a shot at 25 million second weekend which will be in line with the tracking numbers.
  18. It is a kid's movie. Children don't mind bright, colorful and loud movies. This is going to be huge everywhere.
  19. MIB3 didn't open very well but it is holding well and 180 million+ is still in play. I think this weekend is crucial for movies like SW&Th and MIB3. If they survive it alright, they are going to have a good three week run as no big blockbuster type movie is on the horizon until TASM. Brave is the only potential 200 million dollar and the rest of the field is very weak.
  20. I think that sounds right. Prometheus should play more like a sequel because of the more upfront demand while MIB3 is playing like an original movie rather than a sequel. I know its weird but it makes sense.
  21. I don't know. Its Saturday and Sunday holds have been pretty good considering the time of the year and the competition.
  22. Great for Battleship. I wonder if UNI gave it a couple of hundred thousands from SWATH.
  23. I am still not convinced that actors make that much of a difference. You need big name actors for publicity purposes as the movies are easier to sell but at the end of the day people will only watch movies if they are interested in the subject matter.
  24. I am not sure about the robustness of BO.com' 's twitter algorithm but SW&Th's twitter Pos:Neg has stayed in the 10:1 and 11:1 range for the first three days. If this is true across the board then it may have better legs than many are expecting.
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